Sleeper RBs (1 Viewer)

[secretid]

Who are RBs out of the top 50 that you guys see as worth a roster spot?

Some of mine:

Derrick Blaylock NYJ

Cedrick Houston NYJ

Ladell Betts WAS

Michael Turner SD

Deangelo Williams CAR

G Jones (might be top 50) JAC

Michael Bennett KC

Obviously NYJ carries are up for grabs. WAS situation is dicey. Jones could be the guy.

Bennett, Turner, Williams all represent a ton of value if the starter goes down. Some are valuable because starter is likely to go down (Williams) some because of the great numbers possible if they get in (Turner, Bennett).

Who else would you add?

 

[Monse]

I like Greg Jones a lot if Freddy goes down. DeAngelo Williams won't have much of an impact (I think). Saunders has been impressed with Betts and now with the Portis injury, he could have an improved role.

 

[Lightning Fast Whip]

Mewelde Moore- Chester has proven very little. MeMo has done just as much minus getting his big pay day.

 

[Ron_Mexico]

I like all on that list,

minus Bennett & Blaylock.

 

[cws3030]

i'm assuming for redrafts.

i would say d.williams is top 50

some that come to mind:

morency / lundy

norwood

drew

haynes

 

[jbird]

I know I'm in the minority so I am targeting Antoin Smith in the last round of all of my drafts. I have him in my top 35 and expect him to beat out Morency and Lundy due to his experience. I don't see Davis doing much of anything this year with his knees in the condition they are in.

 

[KCC]

Michael Turner

His upside is higher than anyone else on that list. If Tomlinson sits out any games this season, you'll be able to plug a top 5 RB into your starting line-up. I hope to snag him late in my drafts.

 

[Marc Levin]

There of those seven listed are in the top-50 RBs.

And outside of the top-50 would probably be considered "flyers" not sleepers.

 

[Super King]

There of those seven listed are in the top-50 RBs.And outside of the top-50 would probably be considered "flyers" not sleepers.

wait to two more weeks of camp, and Eric Shelton would be looking really nice.

 

[Couch Potato]

i'm assuming for redrafts.i would say d.williams is top 50some that come to mind:morency / lundynorwooddrewhaynes

Correct. Assuming FBG staff rankings, Williams is mid-30s. No way anyone will get him post-50.Ced Houston and Greg Jones are also top-50.For someone outside top-50 to shine, there must be - 1a) Injury to the starter1b) Ineffectiveness of the starterand 2) Backup must not have it end up a RBBC, and must perform at a level high enough to hold onto the job once he gets it. In the case of 1b above (ineffectiveness of starter), often that ineffectiveness has more to do with OL problems and the backup will also do poorly.So, I'd start by looking at the injury/ineffectiveness situations we know about. If people in general are thinking a starter's status isn't solid and may be ineffective or unhealthy, his backup/competition is already in the top-50. Barlow/Gore, FTaylor/Jones, Dayne and the Bells, Green/Gado, Martin/Houston, CTaylor/Moore.But there are a few places outside the top-50 to look. Dom Davis is clearly unhealthy at this time, and Clinton Portis we'll need more info on before we know if he's expected to miss any time in the season. Their backups?Davis - Unclear, and likely RBBC. Ant Smith, Morency, maybe Lundy. Pretty hard to know if any would carry the rock enough or do well enough to warrant rostering.Portis - Chances are if he misses any time it'll only be the first week or two. However, Betts is outside the top-50 and would be a good replacement if he had to play a lot. You'd have to beat the CP owner to him though, as Betts is worth more to that owner than he is to you.Martin - Houston (top-50) mentioned above, but there's also Blaylock (journeyman, started Saturday's preseason game, was underwhelming), and Washington (CoP player I think, nothing more). Lots of trade rumblings too. Not a good offensive team, not a strong OL. Except maybe Houston, who is not outside the top-50, I'd not look for a sleeper here.Green - Gado (top-50) mentioned above, but there's also Davenport who started Saturday's preseason game. This is one possibility, since Green's quad has not really been tested and oft-injured Davenport has always shown well when given carries. He's constantly an injury waiting to happen though.Westbrook - Moats. Outside top-50, and good sleeper material if Westbrook goes down. Showed well at the end of last season and Reid has said Moats should see the field plenty even with Westbrook healthy. IMO he should not be outside the top-50 now, but he is. LT - Turner and LJ - Bennett. Both are good pickups in the event the starter goes down. Both are in situations which would allow good success if given the start, and both have had some success.Barber - Jacobs. Hard to say how well Jacobs would do, but he is currently pegged as Tiki's replacement down the line, and Barber is on the other side of 30. He's had a lot of touches the last two years and been lucky so far with the injury bug not biting. Will the luck run out?

 

[EBF]

At that point in the draft you'd basically be looking at players who would have the chance to succeed in the event of an injury to their team's starter. Some guys who might fall into that category:

Jerious Norwood

Maurice Drew

Brian Calhoun

Ryan Moats

William Green

Travis Henry

Justin Fargas

Michael Bennett

Tony Fisher

Lee Suggs

Of this group, I'd say Jerious Norwood and Ryan Moats are the best options. Warrick Dunn has been fairly durable, but he's old and liable to break down at any moment. Brian Westbrook seems to get hurt for a few weeks each season and Moats has the talent to be productive if given carries.

I agree that the Texans and Jets situations are also worth monitoring. I like Lundy and Houston as the best RB values on those teams. Lundy is tailor-made for a zone blocking system and appears to have a real shot at significant playing time. If he wins that job, he could be a serviceable RB2. As for Cedric Houston, he might be the best back on the Jets at this point. I think he's certainly better than Blaylock or Washington.

 

[Bri]

Today, Fisher. Tomorrow I might not think so. Very wishywashy on him

 

[secretid]

My friend took Davis in the 2nd not realizing the health issues.

I'll be monitoring that situation closely. I was shocked that basically all of these guys mentioned above ended up going in my draft (only 1 or 2 to me). Usually me and one other guy get our pick of all the back-ups/unexpected starters.

 

[Mystery Achiever]

I had my eye on Ladell Betts. But he'll be moving up now on the Portis injury.

 

[ConstruxBoy]

There of those seven listed are in the top-50 RBs.And outside of the top-50 would probably be considered "flyers" not sleepers.

wait to two more weeks of camp, and Eric Shelton would be looking really nice.

 

[ConstruxBoy]

Today, Fisher. Tomorrow I might not think so. Very wishywashy on him

I like him.

 

[Franknbeans]

Marion Barber III

 

[Jackal King]

6.14 - Terry Glenn, WR DAL

PMING Next

 

[ConstruxBoy]

6.14 - Terry Glenn, WR DALPMING Next

Uhh...wrong thread and forum, but you got the website right.

 

[msommer]

Today, Fisher. Tomorrow I might not think so. Very wishywashy on him

I like him.

OMG - the Construx death knell has just been awarded to Fisher

 

[paz1]

"Dayne and the Bells"

There's a joke or two in there somewhere.

 

[ConstruxBoy]

Today, Fisher. Tomorrow I might not think so. Very wishywashy on him

I like him.

OMG - the Construx death knell has just been awarded to Fisher

"I take players from Sleeper to Coma"That can be my new slogan!

 

[Super King]

There of those seven listed are in the top-50 RBs.And outside of the top-50 would probably be considered "flyers" not sleepers.

wait to two more weeks of camp, and Eric Shelton would be looking really nice.

i can dream. after all the #### he did last year, hes still 3rd on the depth chart. once DFoster gets hurt, and DWill cuts outside too many times in a game, Fox is gonna want a pounder.

 

[aposulli]

Assuming it's redraft....

D.Williams, Barber, Greg Jones and whoever the Jets name as starter should all be top 50 no matter what (going with Houston at this time)... I also have three Denver RBs in my top 50 as well as Turner and Bennett.

If it's a DEEP sleeper you want, try Eric Shelton, Derrick Blaylock, Ladell Betts, Michael Pittman as well as Morency/Lundi/A.Smith

 

[Ron_Mexico]

I know I'm in the minority so I am targeting Antoin Smith in the last round of all of my drafts. I have him in my top 35 and expect him to beat out Morency and Lundy due to his experience. I don't see Davis doing much of anything this year with his knees in the condition they are in.

I disagree.Lundy and Morency have enough talentbetween them to push A.Smith down the depth chart.

 

[Headbutts]

LenDale White

 

[zamboni]

Not exactly a sleeper, but I like Maroney this year. It may not happen until the 2nd half of the season, but I could see Dillon hitting the wall big time this year a la Curtis Martin, either through injury or just plain mileage.

 

[Darth Cheney]

What about Verron Hayes as a late round pick? I'm not sold on Staley being healthy or effective all year and while FWP had a good year last year that might have been the exception. Would Hayes be the man if FWP went down?

 

[Significant Shrinkage]

Marion Barber down? Or is he considered top 50? With Julius Jones' penchant for injury, a good offense, and a very good defense, this guy could be golden if given the chance

 

[CrossEyed]

What about Verron Hayes as a late round pick? I'm not sold on Staley being healthy or effective all year and while FWP had a good year last year that might have been the exception. Would Hayes be the man if FWP went down?

I don't know. It's so hard to tell anything about Duce because we've seen so little of him. Yet last year when he was healthy and did get a shot, he ran the ball very well. Haynes also looked very good last year when he played. I would think that it might turn into RBBC if FWP went down.

 

[wannabee]

What about Verron Hayes as a late round pick? I'm not sold on Staley being healthy or effective all year and while FWP had a good year last year that might have been the exception. Would Hayes be the man if FWP went down?

I don't know. It's so hard to tell anything about Duce because we've seen so little of him. Yet last year when he was healthy and did get a shot, he ran the ball very well. Haynes also looked very good last year when he played. I would think that it might turn into RBBC if FWP went down until Staley is re-injured.

fixed ...

 

[Couch Potato]

Folks, a name not mentioned yet in this thread is 24 year old Musa Smith. If he's really as good now that he's back to being healthy as he's looked in his first two preseason games, and J Lewis continues to struggle with injuries, this kid's going to be on the field a lot.

 

[CrossEyed]

Folks, a name not mentioned yet in this thread is 24 year old Musa Smith. If he's really as good now that he's back to being healthy as he's looked in his first two preseason games, and J Lewis continues to struggle with injuries, this kid's going to be on the field a lot.

If he's that good, why did they sign Anderson in the offseason?

 

[-OZ-]

Why not, if I'm right, I look like a genius, if wrong, deny everything.

I like the Cedric Houston pick

Duckett

Michael Bennett

Morency

 

[zamboni]

Folks, a name not mentioned yet in this thread is 24 year old Musa Smith. If he's really as good now that he's back to being healthy as he's looked in his first two preseason games, and J Lewis continues to struggle with injuries, this kid's going to be on the field a lot.

If he's that good, why did they sign Anderson in the offseason?

Musa is good as long as he doesn't have to actually play in a regular season game.

 

[Organized Chaos]

Folks, a name not mentioned yet in this thread is 24 year old Musa Smith. If he's really as good now that he's back to being healthy as he's looked in his first two preseason games, and J Lewis continues to struggle with injuries, this kid's going to be on the field a lot.

If he's that good, why did they sign Anderson in the offseason?

Musa is good as long as he doesn't have to actually play in a regular season game.

Ahh, Ron Dayne Syndrom?

 

[Sigmund Bloom]

James Mungro is one of my favorites, assuming he's not hurt too bad.

Edit to add: Also looking at Ciatrick Fason as a deep sleeper this year.

 

[Pole Cat]

Folks, a name not mentioned yet in this thread is 24 year old Musa Smith. If he's really as good now that he's back to being healthy as he's looked in his first two preseason games, and J Lewis continues to struggle with injuries, this kid's going to be on the field a lot.

If he's that good, why did they sign Anderson in the offseason?

Musa is good as long as he doesn't have to actually play in a regular season game.

They signed Anderson before they resigned Jamal Lewis. Essentially they were hedging their bets that Lewis wouldn't return. And no matter how good they thought Smith would be, they weren't going to turn over the keys to a guy coming off a major injury who has never started a game. Take Musa and run!I'd also add Marion Barber (12th) and Tatum Bell (7th), both of whom slipped a lot in a draft I did last night. Good value there.

 

[Couch Potato]

Folks, a name not mentioned yet in this thread is 24 year old Musa Smith. If he's really as good now that he's back to being healthy as he's looked in his first two preseason games, and J Lewis continues to struggle with injuries, this kid's going to be on the field a lot.

If he's that good, why did they sign Anderson in the offseason?

Musa is good as long as he doesn't have to actually play in a regular season game.

They signed Anderson before they resigned Jamal Lewis. Essentially they were hedging their bets that Lewis wouldn't return. And no matter how good they thought Smith would be, they weren't going to turn over the keys to a guy coming off a major injury who has never started a game. Take Musa and run!

Good reply. Essentially what I would have said. I'll only add that it hasn't been until recently they have had a chance to see Musa fully recovered. I'll also note that he is a UFA in 2007, and JLew's contract is set up so that he's likely to either have to restructure or leave in 2007, so in either case if Musa has a solid 2006 he could be up for a starting role next year. For dynasty teams scrambling for the next Lamont Jordan/Chester Taylor before it is readily apparent to all, Musa has possibilities.

 

[eddy13]

Folks, a name not mentioned yet in this thread is 24 year old Musa Smith. If he's really as good now that he's back to being healthy as he's looked in his first two preseason games, and J Lewis continues to struggle with injuries, this kid's going to be on the field a lot.

If he's that good, why did they sign Anderson in the offseason?

Musa is good as long as he doesn't have to actually play in a regular season game.

They signed Anderson before they resigned Jamal Lewis. Essentially they were hedging their bets that Lewis wouldn't return. And no matter how good they thought Smith would be, they weren't going to turn over the keys to a guy coming off a major injury who has never started a game. Take Musa and run!

Good reply. Essentially what I would have said. I'll only add that it hasn't been until recently they have had a chance to see Musa fully recovered. I'll also note that he is a UFA in 2007, and JLew's contract is set up so that he's likely to either have to restructure or leave in 2007, so in either case if Musa has a solid 2006 he could be up for a starting role next year. For dynasty teams scrambling for the next Lamont Jordan/Chester Taylor before it is readily apparent to all, Musa has possibilities.

I think its time to drop Cedric Houston from the list especially now that they sighned Barlow......

 

[oukurt]

There of those seven listed are in the top-50 RBs.And outside of the top-50 would probably be considered "flyers" not sleepers.

wait to two more weeks of camp, and Eric Shelton would be looking really nice.

I am betting he has a better chance of being cut.

 

[Ron_Mexico]

I think its time to drop Cedric Houston from the list especially now that they sighned Barlow......

Don't forget we are talking about Barlow here.I wouldn't be surprised in the leastif Ced Houston has the #1 gig by mid-season.Barlow is still a farce, only now he's a green & white farce,rather than the red and pewter variety.

 

[hi1111]

Ahman Green, their new OC is a Denver O-line prodigy from Atlanta and we all know what has been going on there

 

[mojorizin]

I like the prospects of this Maroney kid if Dillon continues the downslide.

 

[Bri]

James Mungro is one of my favorites, assuming he's not hurt too bad.Edit to add: Also looking at Ciatrick Fason as a deep sleeper this year.

been hearing good things about him. Some folks think he's got a shot to bump Mewelde

 

[Killerclown]

If Maurice Drew gets a chance I think he can put up very solid numbers both rushing and receiving

 

[Ducegonads]

I'd add Musa Smith as a true sleeper.

 

[happy_donut]

Maurice Hicks

 

[RudeDog]

OK.

Here is a name that has not been mentioned yet.....

Arlen Harris. He has history with Martz and Martz likes him. If Jones dogs it (like we know he can) Martz just might have him on a short leash. Harris knows the system, and he has always done well when in the game.

 

[Phantom Knight]

Some of mineerrick Blaylock NYJCedrick Houston NYJLadell Betts WASMichael Turner SDDeangelo Williams CARG Jones (might be top 50) JACMichael Bennett KC

Betts: Personally I was high on Betts until the Ducket trade tonight. Now . . . my initial reaction is HUGE downgrade. Houston: I am afraid of him. And that was before they traded for Barlow. Blaylock I don't want period. Actually I don't think I want anyone on the Jets this year. Turner: I like Turner and would draft him is I had the luxury of sitting him on my bench even if he never played a down the entire season. Obviously if I had LT, I'd be looking to pick him up.Williams:- I believe he is in footballguys top 50, but yeah I'd snag him in a heartbeat.Jones: Definitely roster worthy. I would figure him to be rock solid for 2-3 starts in the year. Maybe more if luck is smiling on you.Bennett: It sure LOOKS good. But I have been burned by Bennett one time to many. He may have a huge week or two, but it will be on someone else's roster.Names I would add to the list from footballguys lists of rbs projected at 51-100.Brandon Jacobs: I think his role will expand from last year. Reports I have read say he looks improved running the ball this offseason.Michael Pittman: In ppr leagues, if I needed bye week filler. I don't think he has high upside though.Chris Perry: If I could afford to sit him until he gets healthy. I believe he was in the top 5 (top 3?) rbs last year in receptions even though he missed some games.Tony Fisher: If I was desperate for bye week filler. 59 Kevin Faulk: Only if Dillon or Maroney gets injured. Otherwise while he is likely to have a bog game or two as a receiver, his touches would be limited enough that you'd have no way of knowing which week to take a chance on him.Maurice Hicks & Michael Robinson: I'd be afraid to pick either of these right now. But I'd be watching early in the season to see if one of the seems to gain separation or a definite role in the offense. Robinson is new to the position, but he seems to be a natural.Travis Henry: If you can afford to wait. There is a decent chance he gets some starts unless Lendale really goes off in the very near future.Samkon Gado: Ahman Green is making noises. And Samkon is getting reps at FB, but if I had a roster spot to burn, I'd sure consider tossing Gado a bone.Maurice Morris: If you have Shaun, no duh. If you have a roster spot to burn and think Shaun is due to miss a few games, then yeah. Otherwise, keep shopping.Ciatrick Fason: Long shot, but again if I had a roster spot to burn I'd consider stashing him. He will be had cheaply. He never got a fair shake under the old regime. If Taylor who is unproven falters, Fason will get a shot to prove himself.Maurice Jones-Drew: Little man in a VERY crowded backfield. But he was Mr. Excitement during the offseason. If I had a roster spot to burn, especially in a dynasty league, I'd take a shot at him.Leon Washington: If I was going to take ANY of the Jets, it would be Barlow or a runner on Washington.Jerome Harrison: Has definitely improved his stock recently. Has a real chance to emerge as #2 in Cleveland which puts him behind only Droughs.Ron Dayne: Call me stubborn and stupid. But again, if I had a roster spot to burn (redraft league only), I'd consider Dayne.Priest Holmes: See above. But again in a redraft league, in the last round or two at the end of my bench? Uh-huh. If he is going on PUP instead of IR, then someone is still hoping he will come back this year, right?