Snap Count Observations (1 Viewer)

[FF Ninja]

Kind of annoying that FBG doesn't have snap counts or recaps for the MNF games up yet and it is Thursday, but that's another topic, I guess.

As I was looking through snap counts these are the things that stood out to me. Anyone have any other takeaways from reviewing snap counts?

General notes - Be wary of inflated numbers from Seattle, SF, Dallas, Houston, and Philly. They all played 75 offensive snaps or more. The NFL median was around 64 last year. Granted, Houston and Philly/Chip Kelly led the league with 70 and 69 respectively last year.

San Francisco - I know they were up a lot, but Hyde dominated snaps 57-21-3. I'm tentatively optimistic about Hyde this year. Kerley got a lot of targets, but only played 54 snaps to Torrey's 78 (100%) and Patton's 71. I thought Torrey was a nice value pick before the season and I still do despite only 2 catches on 6 targets in week 1.

Washington - Thompson outsnapped Jones 39-19. Probably due to game flow, but I'd still avoid this backfield. Crowder outsnapped Garcon 47-40. I found that surprising.

Arizona - Probably due to missing time with a concussion, but John Brown only played 35 snaps to 59 & 58 for Fitz & Floyd (out of a possible 61). So much for Chris Johnson (2 snaps) splitting time with David Johnson (58 snaps). Ellington (9 snaps) must've been on the field at the same time as David for a handful of plays.

Baltimore - They are rocking a full WRBC here. No WR got more than 2/3 of the snaps. Out of 68 offensive snaps, the split was Smith-45, Wallace-44, Aiken-36, Perriman-21, Moore-14. Given Smith's play, I think it might be wise to buy Aiken cheap right now. Or Perriman if you're a believer (I'm not). The RBBC is a mess. Personally, I'm betting on Dixon to take over by week 8. Pitta outsnapping Gillmore 56-30 was a shocker. He's a nice find for anyone with Eifert, Gronk, or Ertz. Maxx only got 9 snaps, so he obviously coming along very slowly for such a high draft pick.

Buffalo - Only 49 snaps to go around, but Shady got 42. They're going to ride him until the wheels fall off. Woods only got one snap less than Watkins. I wouldn't get excited about him, but he could be a volume guy while Watkins heals.

Cincy - Uzomah was a surprise with 52/57 snaps. 29-28 split at RB was interesting. Wasn't sure if the new OC would have a favorite. Glad I avoided.

Cleveland - Despite losing, Crowell outsnapped Duke 30-23. People should've listened to Waldman on that one. Coleman played 47/51 snaps. Seems like a good buy low. If he gets it together, he could put up nice ppg numbers down the stretch if McCown is halfway decent. 

Denver - Virgil played 48/58. If he's dropped, I'd be eyeballing him.

Houston - Braxton Miller played 52 snaps to Fuller's 54. Wasn't really expecting that many snaps from a project player in week 1. Strong is a forgotten man with just 12.

KC - surprised to see West and Ware in a perfect 50% split. That should temper Ware enthusiasm, but it won't. When Charles comes back, I don't think I would want to count on any of them.

Miami - Stills played 100% of the snaps (53) and Carroo (45) wasn't far behind for a WR3. Foster was the clear workhorse despite D.Williams nice offseason/preseason. Word on the street is that Ajayi is still going to get 300 touches /sarcasm

NYJ - so much for the RB split. Enunwa's role really expanded from last year. 

SD - despite winning most of the game, Woodhead outsnapped Gordon 50-23.

Atlanta - 36/32 for Freeman/Coleman, making Freeman a likely relative bust and Coleman a nice zero-RB guy, but I wouldn't want to start either on the regular.

Carolina - all 4 WRs split snaps relatively evenly (52-46-39-38). I wouldn't want to own a non-Kelvin WR on this team.

Chicago - Langford has to be the worst bell cow RB in the league, right? 54/56 snaps. I guess volume beats talent in some cases. Kevin White saw 55 snaps. Could be a nice buy low if you're a gamblin' man.

Detroit - Abdullah played 40/65 snaps. Another good Waldman call. Marvin played 61 and looks like the WR1 despite only 4 catches. Tate and Boldin played 55 and 54.

GB - Cooks split time pretty evenly with Rogers 33-25.

Minnesota - zero snaps for Treadwell. Oof. 

New Orleans - Fleener could be a failed signing like Spiller, but he played 56/69 snaps. Might make for a nice buy low.

NYG - so much for Tye being a sleeper. 31-25 split in favor of Donnell. 

Philly - Sproles outsnapped Mathews 38-37.

Seattle - Baldwin-Kearse-Lockett were 70-70-62. Bit of a wet blanket for the Lockett bandwagon to see Kearse outsnapping him, although he did have 1 more target than Kearse.

Tampa - Doug outsnapped Sims 44-20. Was much closer to even last year (624-457). ASJ was 3rd on the pecking order behind Locker and Brate. Humphries is going to have a decent sized role in this offense (49 snaps to 55 & 51 for Evans & VJax).

 

[Ministry of Pain]

 

[bicycle_seat_sniffer]

Nice post

 

[Snotbubbles]

Kind of annoying that FBG doesn't have snap counts or recaps for the MNF games up yet and it is Thursday, but that's another topic, I guess.

As I was looking through snap counts these are the things that stood out to me. Anyone have any other takeaways from reviewing snap counts?

General notes - Be wary of inflated numbers from Seattle, SF, Dallas, Houston, and Philly. They all played 75 offensive snaps or more. The NFL median was around 64 last year. Granted, Houston and Philly/Chip Kelly led the league with 70 and 69 respectively last year.

Philly - Sproles outsnapped Mathews 38-37.

Sproles/Matthews snap-count isn't really relevant to me because Matthews, when healthy, will get the bulk of the carries.  Sproles is nothing more than a change of pace back who Philly will move around in different formations to try and create mis-matches.  If Matthews goes down, Kenyon Barner would probably slot in as the lead runner.  In fact, I expect Barner to get more carries on the season than Sproles.

 

[lod001]

Football Outsiders has the snap counts.

 

[FF Ninja]

Sproles/Matthews snap-count isn't really relevant to me because Matthews, when healthy, will get the bulk of the carries.  Sproles is nothing more than a change of pace back who Philly will move around in different formations to try and create mis-matches.  If Matthews goes down, Kenyon Barner would probably slot in as the lead runner.  In fact, I expect Barner to get more carries on the season than Sproles.

I don't disagree with anything you said, but it just kind of sucks for Mathews to be on a new team, but still getting used like he was in SD... defenses know that when he's on the field, he's probably going to get the ball. They ran the ball on about 60% of his snaps. Any middling DC will pick up on this and adjust accordingly. 

Football Outsiders has the snap counts.

That's where I got the snap counts for SF, PIT, & WAS. They don't have a drop down box for LA yet and the STL selection yields no results. 

 

[Nero]

Travares Cadet had 26 snaps to Mark Ingram's 29. Cadet got 7 targets. Last year Cadet/Spiller/Robinson combined for 60 receptions. I think that is Cadet's floor as long as he keeps the role to himself. He should be owned in all PPR formats, but he isn't.

 

[Apple Juice]

Nice write-up.

I'm monitoring the John Brown situation. I expected the kind of usage he had in the first game because he basically sat out the preseason. Fitz looked really good, Floyd looked good enough to keep things as is for the time being. He'll get loose for a big gainer here and there but I don't think he's a good start until Fitz or Floyd miss time.

 

[FF Ninja]

Travares Cadet had 26 snaps to Mark Ingram's 29. Cadet got 7 targets. Last year Cadet/Spiller/Robinson combined for 60 receptions. I think that is Cadet's floor as long as he keeps the role to himself. He should be owned in all PPR formats, but he isn't.

Good catch. I meant to mention that, but forgot. I am less excited about Cadet than you are, though. I think the fact that the game was a shootout played into Cadet's snaps. Ingram has proven his 3 down ability already, so I'm not sure why Cadet was featured to the extent that he was, but I doubt it continues. I say this as someone who owns zero Ingram stock this year.

I'm monitoring the John Brown situation. I expected the kind of usage he had in the first game because he basically sat out the preseason. Fitz looked really good, Floyd looked good enough to keep things as is for the time being. He'll get loose for a big gainer here and there but I don't think he's a good start until Fitz or Floyd miss time.

Yeah, same here. John Brown is a Matt Harmon favorite, so I want to buy low, but I felt a lot of his stats and usage last year were due to Floyd's injuries. However, looking ahead, if Floyd is not brought back in 2017, I want John Brown on my team (and Jaron Brown backing him up).

 

[Nero]

I'm not buying Cadet as a threat to Ingram. Over 120 receptions went to backs last year. Ingram got 50. In the absence of Spiller and Khiry Robinson, I think Cadet get the largest share of the receiving pie.

Given the Saints defense, all of their games will probably be shootouts.

 

[Dope]

Thanks Ninja. Great effort and much appreciated.

 

[strong]

Crowder outsnapped Garcon 47-40. I found that surprising.

crowder also had 4 red zone targets. second year receiver who put up 600 yards receiving in rookie season. people are sleeping on him big time, just like they slept on willie snead.

Denver - Virgil played 48/58. If he's dropped, I'd be eyeballing him.

he had a great red zone look too, just siemien threw it right into a DLineman.

Houston - Braxton Miller played 52 snaps to Fuller's 54. Wasn't really expecting that many snaps from a project player in week 1. Strong is a forgotten man with just 12.

mentioned this in another thread, but tyler ervin got 15% of the snaps in week 1 and saw action on 11 plays. he's flying WAY under the radar, but has a decent shot to working his way into RB3/flex category pretty quickly especially since he'll probably score one or more TDs on special teams this year, too.

Minnesota - zero snaps for Treadwell. Oof. 

mentioned this in the treadwell dyno thread--the last last first round receiver to be a healthy scratch/non play in week 1 and go on to fantasy relevancy was roddy white (11 years and 42 1st round receivers ago). sure, the minnesota coaches don't think rookies are ready to rock week 1 (or are at least saying that) but as far as dyno goes, what will he have to show this year to even get back 1st round rookie talent in a trade next offseason? if he's basically a no show this whole season, could this be his peak value? what's his value next offseason if his whole rookie year is a scratch? i know patience is king with rookies, but we're not talking about a 2 catch, 23 yard game here... dyno owners might want to start quietly shopping him.

 

[chad in Indy]

Good catch. I meant to mention that, but forgot. I am less excited about Cadet than you are, though. I think the fact that the game was a shootout played into Cadet's snaps. Ingram has proven his 3 down ability already, so I'm not sure why Cadet was featured to the extent that he was, but I doubt it continues. I say this as someone who owns zero Ingram stock this year.

Yeah, same here. John Brown is a Matt Harmon favorite, so I want to buy low, but I felt a lot of his stats and usage last year were due to Floyd's injuries. However, looking ahead, if Floyd is not brought back in 2017, I want John Brown on my team (and Jaron Brown backing him up).

Part of this was NE defensive game script too. NE kept everything in front of them and were willing to give up the short stuff, but refused to give up any deep balls. Also think this is what lead to Fitz finding openings in the short to intermediate routes.