Fair warning: I’m pretty good at this contest in odd-numbered years. Made the finals in ’07 and ’09, finished 17th in 2011.
This is the year.
QB - Andrew Luck - IND/8 - $16
QB - Tony Romo - DAL/11 - $15
I seriously considered the one-QB strategy, but couldn’t pull the trigger. I also had three QBs in many iterations, mostly with Manuel as QB3. Ultimately, I decided the Luck/Romo combo will provide elite production.
RB - Matt Forte - CHI/8 - $26
RB - Reggie Bush - DET/9 - $23
RB - Eddie Lacy - GB/4 - $16
RB - Giovani Bernard - CIN/12 - $16
RB - LeGarrette Blount - NE/10 - $2
RB - Kenjon Barner - CAR/4 - $2
Two studs who catch lots of passes, two rookies with upside, two lottery tickets. They are widely held, except for Barner, for whom I have high hopes. He is currently buried on the depth chart, but the guys in front of him have considerable injury history. He is quicker than bad news, and is my best hope for differentiation late in the contest.
WR - Cecil Shorts - JAX/9 - $17
WR - T.Y. Hilton - IND/8 - $14
WR - Lance Moore - NO/7 - $14
WR - Anquan Boldin - SF/9 - $13
WR - Dexter McCluster - KC/10 - $3
WR - Kenbrell Thompkins - NE/10 - $2
Loved the mid-range value at WR, and decided to forego studs here. Had Tavon Austin in there until very late. I finally decided I didn’t want two rookie WRs. Moore seems to have fallen out of favor with my fellow contestants, but is perfect for best-ball.
TE - Rob Gronkowski - NE/10 - $24
TE - Jason Witten - DAL/11 - $23
TE - Brent Celek - PHI/12 - $6
Who am I kidding? I dumped Austin so I could upgrade at TE. Hoping to get one flex here most weeks. I admit $53 is a lot to spend at this position, but I was a little cheap here last year, and it cost me dearly. Also, I obviously didn’t get the memo on Orange Julius.
PK - Steve Hauschka - SEA/12 - $3
PK - Kai Forbath - WAS/5 - $3
PK - Rob Bironas - TEN/8 - $3
I wanted to spend the minimum on my three kickers. The first two were popular selections, but like Lance Moore, folks have forgotten that Bironas has been money in this format forever.
TD - Indianapolis Colts - IND/8 - $3
TD - Carolina Panthers - CAR/4 - $3
TD - New Orleans Saints - NO/7 - $3
Again, not paying up here. I am aware how comprehensively bad all of these defenses were last year. In the case of the Panthers, they appear to be clearly improved. The other two, well, they play in domes and have the benefit of quick-strike offenses that can give them a lead.
Good luck to all!