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32. Houston 17.2631. Buffalo 16.5430. Arizona 14.1429. New Orleans 12.7828. Oakland 12.6427. San Diego 12.1026. Seattle 11.9525. Green Bay 11.7024. Atlanta 11.5023. New England 11.4822. Philadelphia 11.4621. Miami 11.3020. Cincinnati 11.1819. Chicago 10.9618. Denver 10.8817. San Francisco 10.7216. Kansas City 10.3215. Jacksonville 10.3014. Washington 9.76 13. Tennessee 9.60 12. New York Jets 9.36 11. St. Louis 8.81 10. Dallas 8.80 9. Tampa Bay 8.60 8. New York Giants 8.38 7. Minnesota 7.85 6. Carolina 7.74 5. Cleveland 7.43 4. Detroit 6.70 3. Baltimore 6.36 2. Pittsburgh 6.28 1. Indianapolis 5.82
I found some similar stats yesterday. Moeaki seems to be the play here based on his production + HOU defense.
Good stuff. Anyone kind enough to put together which TEs have the most friendly schedules from here on out, based on these numbers?Great thread
What he said. In a no TE league, I plan on trying to use Gonzalez this week vs. the Eagles.
Using this great list to work off of I'm running a quick analysis of the guys available on MY FA/Waiver wire now. Will post results shortly. Moeaki blows Lewis out of the water on weakness of schedule, I can tell you that right now.
waiting...........
This is great stuff. This is what the SP should be all about.So these numbers figure in "strength of defense" along with the average points to TEs listed above? How did you work the two together?
Thanks, and I agree on the SP. Now, excellent question: The ranking is an average gathered using Rifkin's list above and is solely based on each TE's remaining schedule vs the opposing defense's points allowed to the TE. (1 being the Colts; 32 being Houston). No actual scoring or points allowed to date was factored in whatsoever.
Ok, that's what I was thinking. But the reason I asked was that HOU is the worst at 17.26, so how can there be TE SoS scores higher than that?ETA: ahhhh, or is that an average rank?
AVERAGE RANK. I also just realized my calc was off on Hernandez as I miskeyed his rank for BUF in Week 16. Hernandez still grades out the lowest but moves up considerably from 9.72 to 12.36. I had the Bills ranked at #2 vs the intended #31 (I flipped their ranking). Updated.
Tight Ends Year To Date Average Rushing Receiving Rank Team Att Yds Avg TD Targt Recpt Yd Avg TD FL FPTS32 TE vs Texans 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 10.40 8.20 91.60 11.2 0.60 0.00 16.7031 TE vs Bills 0.20 2.60 13.0 0.00 7.00 5.60 72.60 13.0 1.00 0.00 15.9030 TE vs Cardinals 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 7.00 5.00 60.40 12.1 0.80 0.00 13.3029 TE vs Saints 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 8.20 5.60 71.20 12.7 0.40 0.20 12.2028 TE vs Raiders 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 6.40 4.60 65.40 14.2 0.60 0.00 12.1027 TE vs Seahawks 0.25 2.50 10.0 0.00 9.75 6.25 70.75 11.3 0.25 0.00 11.7026 TE vs Patriots 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 7.25 5.25 58.50 11.1 0.50 0.00 11.3025 TE vs Packers 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 9.40 6.20 69.00 11.1 0.20 0.00 11.1024 TE vs Chargers 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 7.20 4.80 53.00 11.0 0.60 0.00 10.9024 TE vs Dolphins 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 6.50 4.75 59.25 12.5 0.50 0.00 10.9022 TE vs Eagles 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 7.80 4.60 64.60 14.0 0.40 0.00 10.8021 TE vs Bengals 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 8.40 5.00 58.80 11.8 0.40 0.00 10.7020 TE vs Falcons 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 7.60 6.00 52.00 8.7 0.40 0.00 10.6019 TE vs 49ers 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 8.80 4.80 45.20 9.4 0.60 0.00 10.1019 TE vs Jaguars 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 6.60 4.20 45.00 10.7 0.60 0.00 10.1017 TE vs Broncos 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 7.00 4.20 55.80 13.3 0.40 0.00 9.9017 TE vs Redskins 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 8.20 4.40 45.20 10.3 0.60 0.20 9.9015 TE vs Bears 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 9.40 6.80 63.60 9.4 0.00 0.00 9.3014 TE vs Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 7.75 4.75 55.75 11.7 0.25 0.00 9.0013 TE vs Jets 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 7.00 3.80 47.60 12.5 0.40 0.00 8.6013 TE vs Titans 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 7.60 4.40 54.00 12.3 0.20 0.00 8.6011 TE vs Buccaneers 0.25 -0.25 -1.0 0.00 7.00 3.75 49.75 13.3 0.25 0.00 7.9010 TE vs Vikings 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 7.75 5.00 36.00 7.2 0.25 0.00 7.6010 TE vs Cowboys 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 6.00 3.50 46.75 13.4 0.25 0.00 7.6008 TE vs Browns 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 7.80 5.20 49.20 9.5 0.00 0.00 7.4007 TE vs Panthers 0.20 0.60 3.0 0.00 6.00 4.40 52.80 12.0 0.00 0.00 7.2007 TE vs Rams 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 6.20 4.20 40.60 9.7 0.20 0.00 7.2005 TE vs Giants 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 6.60 3.40 40.80 12.0 0.20 0.00 6.7004 TE vs Lions 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 5.60 3.80 37.00 9.7 0.20 0.20 6.2003 TE vs Steelers 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 6.00 4.00 40.25 10.1 0.00 0.00 6.0002 TE vs Ravens 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 4.80 3.00 30.60 10.2 0.20 0.00 5.7001 TE vs Colts 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 3.40 2.80 22.20 7.9 0.20 0.00 4.40
+1 Awesome post. Too bad I now have to agonize over whether to start Hernandez against Baltimore or Moeaki vs. Houston this week
+1Ruffrodys05 said:
And here's a bump down on Rifkin's list I used to match those rankings against Points Allowed (i.e. Moaeaki @ 24.8~25 = #25 Defense allowing an average 11.70 PPG vs Hernandez @ 9.2~9 = #9 Defense allowing an average 8.6 PPG) over the next 5 weeks, again through the GB BYE when we'd hope to see Finley back on the field and healthy.
An excellent thread.Regarding this point, the way to look at this information is which defenses are susceptible to TE performance. It's half the equation. The other half is the TE/offense itself.
Exactly. The information contained in this thread is a variable in deciding who to pick up as a Finley replacement or bye week filler. You shouldn't rush out and pick up someone who's never been a factor in their team's offense just because they face a defense that has given up points to the TE position.
I bit!!All off the Finley bandwagon, and lets get Hawai'ian.BUMP MOEAKI!!!Moeaki has 16 catches, no one else on the team is even in double digits. Thats not a stat you can jump around.Great thread that has this Finley owner feeling much better about spending a big chunk of FA money on Moeaki. Now I just need to remember how to spell his name.
I agree...you really need something to show how much more or less a defense gives up compared to the player's average.So say TE-John Doe played the Packers and scored 10 points. To judge the Packers defense, you need to see how TE-John Doe scored in his other games.Say John Doe averaged 11 PPG in the other games, the then he scored -1 against the Packers.Similarly if he averaged 6 PPG in the other games, the then he scored +4 against the Packers.And so on...
