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The 2010 Rookie Scouting Portfolio-Available for download! (1 Viewer)

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Matt Waldman said:
gheemony said:
ConstruxBoy said:
Matt Waldman said:
Iron_Far said:
Pretty damning observations of Dwyer here....
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Not sure about that...the questions about his vision are merely questions, not conclusions. My friend Doug reminded me to go back to his freshman year and watch him in the I formation - he also reminded me of Dwyer's bum shoulder that he dealt with early in the year (although this doesn't explain some similar behaviors I saw later in the year). So I'm going to see if I can do that this weekend. To me, a Corey Dillon/Stephen Davis comparison is a very good thing. If give me those two as RB1 and RB2 in their primes and I'll be happy with my dynasty league for the next 2-3 seasons. I think it also depends how you view what a good fantasy RB is. If you're counting on a starting back to be the next top-three guy, you'll be disappointed this year. Dwyer's talent is not a question. How refined that talent is, is...
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I saw a clip from his Freshman year somewhere and he looks very good in it. I wouldn't really worry about the difference between the Johnson offense and an I formation that much, I think he can do the same things in either, both good and bad. There is some worry that he relaxes and doesn't have the drive to keep himself in great shape and to get every yard he can. Not sure if that is just a guy being "smart" in college waiting for a pay day or a personality trait. Guess we'll see soon enough.
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I worry about the weight issues. Suggests a lack of motivation to me. I remember Corey Dillon here at the UW. He was a beast. A man on a mission. I don't sense that from Dwyer.Also, I don't see how you compare him to Dillon. Dillon posted one of the greatest first quarters in college history when he rushed for 222 yards and also caught an 83-yard touchdown pass on a screen play. The 222 yards rushing and 305 yards of total offense were both NCAA records for a quarter. Dillon went on to rush for a school-record 1,555 yards and 24 touchdowns that year.Goofy offense scheme or not, I don't see Dwyer having the talent to do that.Matt, I love you man, but the comparison to Dillon I think is stretching it.
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LOL - Comparing him to Dillon's intangibles (especially with a UW man reading it)...I agree. Dillon used every ounce of his ability. Comparing him in terms of physical potential, I still stand by it. Personally, I think he's closer to Davis, but he has more agility than Davis and this is where the Dillon comparison comes into the play. If Dwyer could take the "chip" out of his back pocket and figure out how to balance it on his shoulder, the Dillon comparison might become more evident :goodposting:
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LOL! Yeah, that's the challenge with Dwyer: is he motivated to use every ounce of his talent. He has POTENTIAL. For me, I'll take the guy with heart, a chip on his shoulder, something to prove, etc. For me, Dwyer is behind Spiller, Best, Matthews, and even Gerhart because he doesn't appear to have "it". If he shows "it", then someone may be getting a steal in the draft. If not, someone is going to get their QB killed by drafting him.
 
I posted this in another thread, but was hoping for some of your insight because there is a wealth of information in this thread....

Could you contrast these SEC running backs? Since I didn't see them in action much this past year, please help me distinguish because to be honest they look rather similar.

Dixon, Hardesty, Tate.

given that they are similar in weight.... 233, 225, 220.... certainly in the ideal size range to be a three-down RB in the NFL... and similar in height as well, in that sweet spot 5'10'' to 6 foot range (not that it matters anymore with MJD and Rice)... also pretty similar in 40 time....

is it worth putting much stock into Dixon's slow-ish 40 time of 4.6/7? that's pretty darn slow... IIRC, Moreno was a 4.5/6 from last year, and he just didn't seem to have the speed to be a dynamic NFL back last season. i mean he made buckhalter look like a burner. Hardesty and Tate seem to be in that 'fast-enough' category, and even Dixon could be there, too.

It seems that the consensus goes something like: Dixon/Hardesty.......... Tate. Why is this?

and if you can, please rate these guys in the following categories....

1. short-yardage/goal-line.... TDs

2. catching the ball.... PPR value, 3-down potential

3. pass blocking.... early season opportunity

finally, any estimates on the rounds they get drafted in?

 
karmarooster said:
I posted this in another thread, but was hoping for some of your insight because there is a wealth of information in this thread....

Could you contrast these SEC running backs? Since I didn't see them in action much this past year, please help me distinguish because to be honest they look rather similar.

Dixon, Hardesty, Tate.

given that they are similar in weight.... 233, 225, 220.... certainly in the ideal size range to be a three-down RB in the NFL... and similar in height as well, in that sweet spot 5'10'' to 6 foot range (not that it matters anymore with MJD and Rice)... also pretty similar in 40 time....

is it worth putting much stock into Dixon's slow-ish 40 time of 4.6/7? that's pretty darn slow... IIRC, Moreno was a 4.5/6 from last year, and he just didn't seem to have the speed to be a dynamic NFL back last season. i mean he made buckhalter look like a burner. Hardesty and Tate seem to be in that 'fast-enough' category, and even Dixon could be there, too.

It seems that the consensus goes something like: Dixon/Hardesty.......... Tate. Why is this?

and if you can, please rate these guys in the following categories....

1. short-yardage/goal-line.... TDs

2. catching the ball.... PPR value, 3-down potential

3. pass blocking.... early season opportunity

finally, any estimates on the rounds they get drafted in?
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I'll answer some of this - the rest you can see when you download the publication in April. First, I don't do the Mel Kiper/Todd McShay thing about when they will be drafted. Other than for my own fantasy football jonz, I really don't care about predicting draft rounds. That said, I'd estimate the Hardesty will go earliest, Tate will go after him, and Dixon will slide past round three.

I think Dixon and Hardesty are the best two receivers of the three and I'd give Dixon a slight edge.

I probably give Hardesty a slight edge of Dixon in short yardage because of his burst, but it all depends on the team they go to.

I think the consensus is actually Hardesty-Tate-Dixon, but I think talent-wise it's the way you state it. Physically Tate is very talented and there are times he looks very good. The issue is vision, change of direction, and suddenness. Tate might have the best skills of the three physically, but he didn't process the game as quickly as the other two in similar situations as runner. Instinctive-quick-reacting play is very important for an RB and Tate may have the physical skills, but it isn't as integrated into his football skills as much as it is with Hardesty and Dixon. Hardesty as the least question marks because of his physical skills, playing from the I formation, and no real character issues. If you're looking for a safe pick - he's the safest of the three because he does everything well enough. I like Dixon's skills the best because I think he has the best feet, best vision, and he's a very smart runner. The reason Dixon will drop is a DUI this summer, issues with staying in shape, and a track record of showing up late to team activities like practice. Tate has played in the I formation and looked good in it - as he has in the Pistol. However, he shows less skill at getting yardage when the defense gets penetration at the LOS compared to the other two. Since you're basically asking me who should you pick, Hardesty is probably the guy.

 
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Is there any way to get the RSP without downloading it? My computer will not download it. Maybe because I have an old computer. I would really like to read the older ones as well as this years but I can't get it when I try to download. Thanks

 
Warpig said:
Wow! Excellent work Matt! Really appreciate the time and detail you incorporate. I'm now a fan!
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Thank you! I love it. It's work for sure, but I enjoy it most days. Especially when I get a chance to share it with people and they find the information worthwhile.
 
Matt Waldman said:
Thank you! I love it. It's work for sure, but I enjoy it most days. Especially when I get a chance to share it with people and they find the information worthwhile.
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im having a hard time making offseason trades involving draft picks without it, i always get more excited about the rookie draft when this comes out, clock is ticking only a couple days now right? keep up the great work matt
 
Indeed, Waldman, hats off to you and your great analysis, sir.

I, too, am looking forward your RSP 2010 report. Count me as one of your thousand fans who used your past reports to unearth few draft gems such as Ahmad Bradshaw and Steve Smith of Giants.

I'm curious to hear back from your reports on Montario Hardesty, Ben Tate, Anthony Dixon, Stafon Johnson (a real sleeper), and other.

Keep up good works! :thumbup:

 
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This will depend on how late it takes me to finish it and send it off to FBGs to get everything set up. I will definitely be done tonight, but how early or late is difficult to tell at this point ;)

I will be on Blog Talk Radio from 10pm-11pm with Andrew Garda to talk RSP on the Thundering Blurb podcast. I sent him my final rankings so we can discuss some of them.

Hopefully I'll be done with the book by then. I have taken the day off from the day gig and I have been wrapping this up since 4am...

M

 
(Fingers crossed) I am done. I just sent the files over and they should be up by this evening at the latest.

740 pages (printing is truly overrated, I already feel like trees stare at me since I started writing this) Over 175 prospects...I have lost count. Happy Holidays my friends :)

Some thoughts:

1. Not much to be excited about short-term with the QBs. The most interesting players are the projects, some might not even get drafted.

2. RB is deep, but the marquee quality isn't as high. I have a feeling my views have some distinct differences from my peers with some key guys.

3. WR feels like an absolute minefield this year. Lots of upside, but determining the contenders from the pretenders is going to be tough.

4. TE is as rich of a class as I've seen - not necessarily from a fantasy angle, although that potential is there, too.

 
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Matt Waldman said:
(Fingers crossed) I am done. I just sent the files over and they should be up by this evening at the latest. 740 pages (printing is truly overrated, I already feel like trees stare at me since I started writing this) Over 175 prospects...I have lost count. Happy Holidays my friends :)
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Great job, Matt. I can't wait to get my grubby paws on the RSP!
 
Footballguys will send an email announcement when it's up. David or I will also post in the Shark Pool when and where you can get it.

I sent it over in the middle of the night so I'm sure they will get it set up as soon as possible.

 
Matt has outdone himself here. 740 pages in the full version. It's available for free with a FBG subscription (Early-bird price of $23.95 right now) or by direct purchase of $17.95. He also has older versions available for $9.95 by email request. For those unwilling to blow the lock off of their wallets, check out his free sample report (38 pages).

 
Matt Waldman said:
(Fingers crossed) I am done. I just sent the files over and they should be up by this evening at the latest. 740 pages (printing is truly overrated, I already feel like trees stare at me since I started writing this) Over 175 prospects...I have lost count. Happy Holidays my friends :goodposting:Some thoughts:1. Not much to be excited about short-term with the QBs. The most interesting players are the projects, some might not even get drafted. 2. RB is deep, but the marquee quality isn't as high. I have a feeling my views have some distinct differences from my peers with some key guys. 3. WR feels like an absolute minefield this year. Lots of upside, but determining the contenders from the pretenders is going to be tough. 4. TE is as rich of a class as I've seen - not necessarily from a fantasy angle, although that potential is there, too.
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It's the goods...can't wait to get to it.
 
Looks to be tremendous. Thanks matt!

It's blocked at work for me so i just skimmed through on the iPhone.

First thing that caught my eye was that you have Spiller as RB6 where as Mike Mayock has him as the 6th best player in the draft.

Interested in reading your full review on him and many manyany others!

Thanks again matt! And thank you FBG for including this in our subscription!

 
HAM said:
Looks to be tremendous. Thanks matt! It's blocked at work for me so i just skimmed through on the iPhone. First thing that caught my eye was that you have Spiller as RB6 where as Mike Mayock has him as the 6th best player in the draft. Interested in reading your full review on him and many manyany others! Thanks again matt! And thank you FBG for including this in our subscription!
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LMAO, did the same thing. Blocked at worked, skimmed it on the iPhone and noticed Spiller's rank.
 
BTW - As if you aren't aware already, there will be some grammatical errors. While I run this through spell check I miss things trying to edit a 740-page document on my own within the span of two weeks. For instance, David pointed out to me that I referred to Jahvid Best as Travis Best in a segment, not sure where that Tech basketball reference came from, but...

Now that I have done this for five years, I'm working on a redesign for 2011. Part of the redesign will include a better schedule to I can have a second and third set of eyes to look it over prior to publication. But for now, I've made the conscious choice to live with the errors so I could provide as much analysis and coverage as possible. Thank you understanding that fact, it really is appreciated.

 
Absolutely invaluable.

While I appreciate the time and effort involved immensely, it's the amazing insights I value the most.

100% the real deal.

Thanks.

 
Matt Waldman said:
BTW - As if you aren't aware already, there will be some grammatical errors. While I run this through spell check I miss things trying to edit a 740-page document on my own within the span of two weeks. For instance, David pointed out to me that I referred to Jahvid Best as Travis Best in a segment, not sure where that Tech basketball reference came from, but...
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Your heart is in the right place. :thumbup:
 
Ramblin Wreck said:
Matt Waldman said:
BTW - As if you aren't aware already, there will be some grammatical errors. While I run this through spell check I miss things trying to edit a 740-page document on my own within the span of two weeks. For instance, David pointed out to me that I referred to Jahvid Best as Travis Best in a segment, not sure where that Tech basketball reference came from, but...
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Your heart is in the right place. :popcorn:
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As a Georgia alum and employee, I can still say without shame that I'm a Georgia Tech basketball fan and if Jahvid Best is as good on the field as Travis was on the court, he'll be pretty good. :popcorn:
 
bah! i forgot to get this yesterday... but my good friday at work just got better!! WEWT! ty waldman! exciting stuff here.

 
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