saw on rotoworld or something that KC has talked about 500 rushing attempts this year....if they approach that number Hillis should be very involved...I am a huge KC fan....and I know this may seem crazy...but I think Hillis could end up with more touches (piece of the rushing attempts pie + receptions) than Charles...factor in the possibility that he may get some goal line love and while
Charles still may have good numbers, I wouldn't be surprised if Hillis is the more productive back week in and week out and ends up being the one you want to own of the two....especially at their ADP....
Don't think you're crazy at all. That's exactly my take on it. 500 team RB carries is reasonable assuming the backfield doesn't fall apart. 250 Hillis (including goal-line), 200 Charles (10 / game early, his pre-injury 15 / game late), 50 McCluster / other.IMO Hillis is at least even money to outscore Charles straight up over the year as whole; when you factor in the huge difference in ADP Hillis is a slam dunk value-wise.
I worry more about players' effectiveness in the year immediately after a big injury than most. Charles and Peterson are still going in the borderline RB1 / RB2 range, which seems risky to me.