"The year of the pass"... "The year of the run" (1 Viewer)

[Raider Nation]

I remember about six or seven years ago, guys in my local league kept talking about it being "The year of the pass," then the next year they'd claim it was "The year of the run." It seemed like it kept going back and forth from year to year. I'm sure I'm not the only one who heard this discussed.

One season, defenses were getting trampled by running backs, and they were trumping QBs and WRs. The next year, teams were passing all over defenses who had adjusted to defend the run, and the QBs/WRs were putting up more consistent points than RBs.

That is the way I remember it. Is there anything statistically to that, or is it all BS? If it is legit, what trends are we expecting for the upcoming season? Thanks.

 

[Family Matters]

I remember about six or seven years ago, guys in my local league kept talking about it being "The year of the pass," then the next year they'd claim it was "The year of the run." It seemed like it kept going back and forth from year to year. I'm sure I'm not the only one who heard this discussed.

One season, defenses were getting trampled by running backs, and they were trumping QBs and WRs. The next year, teams were passing all over defenses who had adjusted to defend the run, and the QBs/WRs were putting up more consistent points than RBs.

That is the way I remember it. Is there anything statistically to that, or is it all BS? If it is legit, what trends are we expecting for the upcoming season? Thanks.

There was some research here the last 2 years that talked about that (maybe Yudkin) and what we saw was little difference from 1 year to another regarding passing to rushing ratios.The 1 thing that did clearly change was involvement of the TE in the passing game with the rule change, er uh enforcement 2 years ago.

 

[Raider Nation]

There was some research here the last 2 years that talked about that (maybe Yudkin) and what we saw was little difference from 1 year to another regarding passing to rushing ratios.

Sounds about right. Thanks.The first time I heard the "Year of the Pass" crap was in '99 when Kurt Warner and the Rams were carving up defenses. I guess people figured that if some no-name could throw for 400 yards/game, it must be the year that EVERYONE passes at will.

Figured it was a myth.