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Thoughts on RB-RB-RB from the 1 spot? (1 Viewer)

TheNext0

Footballguy
Judging from current ADP, there's a solid chance of grabbing LT/James/Portis in the first 3 rounds from the 1 spot this year. MJD is an option, too. That's a scary start on paper, and one that has me pretty intrigued.

However, I think I'd have to identify a cut-off line at WR before this option becomes viable. WRs do tend to go early in my league, last year saw 5 selected in the 2nd round. I feel comfortable going RB-RB-RB if Holt, Harrison, S Smith and Owens are gone. I can't see myself taking CJ, Wayne, or Fitzgerald over any of those RBs.

Do I forfeit too much WR value here? Am I overvaluing these studs based on past performance? Are their best days behind them? Is the explosive MJD a better choice than either of them? I'm not big on taking chances in the first 3 rounds, I like to make sure those picks count, and MJD seems a little iffy to me...I feel like I need to see another season like last year's to be convinced.

Anyone else in this spot considering the same thing?

 
Unless you have an option to start a 3rd rb, you have to take at least one wr. Otherwise you will be very weak at the position and have a great rb wasting away on your bench.

 
You are starting with a big advantage at RB - why immediately go in the hole at WR?

You are in a shallow league - there will be lots of playable RB to go with LT2

you don't say anything about your lineup, but I would look to go WR/WR or WR/RB at 2-3

 
I did this last year in a dynasty league and wound up with LT-Westbrook-Maroney. I like this strategy if the values right, since it limits the chances that a bad early running back pick will ruin your season. To many guys just take two backs in the first 5 rounds and have Lamont Jordan kill an otherwise good team.

I'd plan on going heavy on WR 3-7 and then try and snag two of the 10-15 ranked QB’s from 8-10 rounds. If you take advantage of value in the middle rounds and get a few extra WR and QBS to mitigate some of your players failing then you should wind up complimenting your top three backs very well.

Edit to add: We do have a flex where a 3rd running back can be used. Its a home team advantage flex so you only get to use it for half your games sometimes, but it is an option.

 
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Seems to me this spot is easy to get "cute" with. Just go RB RB WR or RB WR WR and don't look back.

Also, something I discovered in mocks about drafting Portis. With the must have Turner being drafted around the 8/9 turn and Betts somewhere before that, I have found that two handcuffs that early are seriously hurting my depth and even starting qb and/or te positions.

 
Sorry, forgot the starting requirements: 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 flex RB/WR, 1 TE, 1 K, 1 D.

Of course I wouldn't investigate this strategy if I couldn't start all 3.

I don't think I'm getting too cute here. I feel it's much easier to piece together your WR corps throughout the season than a RB corps. PPR opens up a lot more WR opportunties, and I only have to start 2. Everyone knows it's tough to project the top 10 WRs from year to year, too much turnover.

Anyway, curious to see some more opinions, thanks for the input so far!

 
Seems to me this spot is easy to get "cute" with. Just go RB RB WR or RB WR WR and don't look back. Also, something I discovered in mocks about drafting Portis. With the must have Turner being drafted around the 8/9 turn and Betts somewhere before that, I have found that two handcuffs that early are seriously hurting my depth and even starting qb and/or te positions.
That was one thing that I was worried about. I'm not very big on drafting handcuffs in the first place, but Turner and Betts offer top 10 talent if the starter goes down. I'd have to force myself to just take one, and I'd probably lean towards Betts since LT has been consistently healthy. A lot of times you see the vultures jump on guys like Turner and Betts a little earlier, only to drop them after a few weeks because they need more production from that roster spot. I'd be willing to roll the dice and take just one.
 
I say when you get LT you can afford to take chances with RBs #2 and 3 and I would take a WR/RB or WR/WR unless Manning lasted till your picks..then would take him and a WR or RB

 
I think it really depends on what WRs are there. With Smith, Owens, Holt and Harrison off the board...if CJ goes before me, would anyone still suggest taking Fitzgerald or Wayne over any of those 3 RBs? I just can't see it.

How much of an advantage is having two WRs who score around 16 fppg, when I can wait til round 4/5 and grab guys who will probably score 14, but may end up ahead of those two (see Evans, Housh, Ward, Edwards).

Now try to name some RBs in the 4/5 that could outperform a combo of James/MJD/or Portis.

A Green / Lynch?

A Green / McAllister?

McAllister / J Lewis?

Cadillac / A Green?

I just don't see it happening. Green has potential due to PPR, but those picks seem riskier than James/MJD/Portis. The WRs available in the 4th and 5th, to me, don't seem too risky and have good upside.

 
TheNext0 said:
Seems to me this spot is easy to get "cute" with. Just go RB RB WR or RB WR WR and don't look back. Also, something I discovered in mocks about drafting Portis. With the must have Turner being drafted around the 8/9 turn and Betts somewhere before that, I have found that two handcuffs that early are seriously hurting my depth and even starting qb and/or te positions.
That was one thing that I was worried about. I'm not very big on drafting handcuffs in the first place, but Turner and Betts offer top 10 talent if the starter goes down. I'd have to force myself to just take one, and I'd probably lean towards Betts since LT has been consistently healthy.
Sorry. I disagree that Turner is a must have or that either handcuff is necessary...with the possible exception of a very large league. Certainly not in a ten team league. I am surprised that you could get these guys that late, but I don't think you'd necessarily suffer at WR if you did this -- it is a much deeper position and hot WRs always emerge early in the season the wire.
 
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I have the #1 spot in a ten team redraft,ppr league. I personally think Edge is going to be a top 10 RB this year,so being able to pair him with LT would be a gift,as far as I'm concerned. With the third pick,unless Holt,TO,Smith or Harrison were somehow still around,and I don't expect they will be,I'd take MJD over Portis. We start 1RB and 1WR with 3 flexes from the rmaining RB's and WR's so starting 3 RB's every week is no problemo.

 

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