TITANS' OFFSEASON ENHANCEMENT: Tennessee preparing for takeoff
I'm not in the prediction business, but the Tennessee Titans will win the AFC South if their passing game substantially improves in 2017.
Now, I know that's a Captain Obvious statement on the surface, but the Titans are a dynamic passing game away from being a legitimate contender in the AFC.
Yes, after going 2-14 in 2014 and 3-13 in '15, Tennessee jumped to 9-7 last season behind the league's No. 3 ground game. But the Titans need to generate more explosive plays and score more points to compete with the elite teams in the conference. With AFC foes like the Patriots, Raiders and Steelersscoring at least 25 points per game, Tennessee must be able to put points on the board through the air to hold its own in shootouts within the conference.
Granted, the Titans tied for eighth in passing touchdowns (29) and finished 14th in scoring (23.8 points per game), but they only generated eight completions of 40 yards or more. Without a 1,000-yard receiver on the squad, the Titans lacked the firepower to fully take advantage of the talents of their young franchise quarterback, Marcus Mariota, who showed signs of coming into his own as a second-year starter with over 3,400 passing yards, 26 touchdowns and only nine interceptions in 15 starts.
The Titans needed to upgrade the talent around Mariota to help him grow and give the offense a chance to compete with the heavyweights in the conference. More importantly, the team needed to change the mentality of a passing game that lacked a dominant playmaker on the outside.
"For me, the big thing was, I believe we need more consistency and more dominance from a mental standpoint in the passing game," Titans offensive coordinator Terry Robiskie said back in May, via The Tennessean. "I believe for us, for me, we are at that point, we are who we are. We're a physical football team. We believe in being physical. We're going to play physical. We're going to do that. And I think theory-wise, we don't care who we play against. We make up our mind we're going to run the football, and we make up our mind we're going to run this play, we're going to run that play.
"We've got to get that mindset in the passing game. ... And I don't know if we're at that point. We've got to get that mindset that I don't care what the coverage is, one of us is going to win, and we're going to throw it and we're going to catch it."
While changing the mindset is a step in the right direction, the team's decision to add a whole bunch more firepower to the offense should significantly improve the aerial production. The Titans used three of their first four draft picks on pass catchers (wide receivers Corey Davis and Taywan Taylor, as well as tight end Jonnu Smith) and scooped up a productive veteran (Eric Decker) at the end of the offseason workouts. Although it is a challenge to fit so many new pieces into an offensive puzzle, the team needed to find a No. 1 receiver for their young quarterback and surround that top dog with enough complementary pieces to help him dominate on the outside.
Drafting Davis at No. 5 overall, the Titans made a bold move to snag a highly productive pass catcher with the prototypical physical dimensions and skills associated with elite WR1s. The 6-foot-3, 209-pound pass catcher is the all-time leader in major college football in receiving yards (5,285) after a stellar career at Western Michigan. He is not only a polished route runner with an outstanding combination of size, speed and ball skills, but he is a powerful runner adept at picking up chunk yards following short completions. Davis' ability to create explosive plays reminds me a lot of Jordy Nelson.
"Davis is a great kid with tremendous upside," I was told by Jerry Sullivan, a long-time NFL wide receiver coach who worked with Davis during the pre-draft process. "He is a polished route runner with the suddenness and ball skills to play the position at a high level."
Considering how the Titans desperately need someone to fill the WR1 role, Davis' skills are perfectly suited for the job -- if, of course, he can quickly acclimate to the pro game after dominating the MAC.
The recent signing of Decker gives the team a legitimate WR2 to align opposite the young pass catcher. The 6-foot-3, 214-pound veteran has topped the 1,000-yard mark three times in his last four full seasons -- and he's scored 52 career touchdowns. He is a dangerous red-zone weapon as a big-bodied playmaker, but he could settle into a role as a "chain mover" for the Titans. As a crafty route runner with outstanding size and superb ball skills, Decker is a dependable "combat catcher" in key situations. In addition, he can play out wide or in the slot in spread formations to take advantage of a favorable matchup between the numbers.
With Rishard Matthews and Delanie Walker also capable of winning over the middle of the field as possession-receiver types, the Titans have assembled more than enough weapons for Mariota to play "connect the dots" from the pocket. But the team needs to find a vertical threat to deliver a handful of explosive plays over the course of the season. While most observers expect that production to come from Davis, based on his size/speed combination as a potential WR1, I believe the Titans have a pair of wild cards who could emerge as "field flippers" in their aerial attack. Rookies Jonnu Smith and Taywan Taylor certainly fit the bill as dynamic pass catchers with vertical-stretch ability and catch-and-run potential.
Smith, the 100th overall pick, is an explosive pass catcher with rare athletic traits (4.62 40-yard dash at 248 pounds, 38-inch vertical jump and 10-foot-7 broad jump) for the position. Standing at 6-foot-3 with soft hands and crafty route-running ability, the Florida International product is a carbon copy of Walker with more juice. He could deliver big plays as the "H" tight end (move) in the Titans' "12" package (1 RB, 2 TEs and 2 WRs) against base personnel. If he can fully grasp the nuances of the position, Smith could be the big-play threat on an offense who creates home run plays off play-action fakes.
Taylor, the 72nd overall pick, is an electric route runner with spectacular playmaking ability after the catch. He can turn short passes into big gains on the perimeter or blow past defenders on vertical routes. Although his timed speed (4.50) doesn't suggest that he is a burner, Taylor repeatedly blew past defenders as a two-time first-team All-Conference USA receiver with 34 touchdowns during his last two seasons at Western Kentucky. Look for him to carve out a role as a designated big-play specialist in the team's spread formations.
Robiskie certainly alluded to taking advantage of his new offensive weapons when he suggested that it was "good to have new toys" when discussing his young wide receivers and tight end earlier this offseason.
With expectations growing as they hurtle toward the 2017 campaign, the Titans need to get their shiny new toys up and running quickly.