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Trade Papelbon Now (1 Viewer)

Finless

Footballguy
You heard it here first. With huge margins of victory he's just not going to get the opportunities needed to warrant his current value.

 
My MLB front office source suggests that Pappelbon has completely lost his top-end fastball, and he might just be done. He doesn't think the shoulder is right. JP could be sent down to Pawtucket "to work on things" by next week.

 
He has resorted to throwing almost fastballs exclusively. He needs to go back to mixing in a splitter or developing another pitch.

 
My MLB front office source suggests that Pappelbon has completely lost his top-end fastball, and he might just be done. He doesn't think the shoulder is right. JP could be sent down to Pawtucket "to work on things" by next week.
Most closers breakdown around this time. Thats what makes Mariano's & Hoffman's runs so impressive.
 
Wasn't Papelbon leaking oil a bit towards the end of last year?
Yes...the last half of last season.
Well, his numbers after the all star break were:1.86 ERA0.90 WHIP.189 BAA15 saves in 16 attempts35 Ks and 6 BBs in 29 IP1 HR allowedThat sure looks terrible to me. :lmao:He had one bad outing in the playoffs and allowed a HR yesterday. So now there is a conspiracy theory suggesting he's got issues.As I already mentioned, he's been relying on his fastball too much. But that's about it.
 
Why he refuses to use his splitter more baffles me. I guess it's his cockiness in believing he can just blow the fastball by you. When he uses his splitter effectively he is not hittable.

 
Current Bard owner here. Writing's been on the wall for a while now.
And what writing would that be? That Paps blows one out of 10 save opportunities? His career save percentage is 89.4%.Wanna guess what Mo Rivera's is? 89.4%. As long as Paps is on the Sox he'll be the closer.
 
Current Bard owner here. Writing's been on the wall for a while now.
And what writing would that be? That Paps blows one out of 10 save opportunities? His career save percentage is 89.4%.Wanna guess what Mo Rivera's is? 89.4%. As long as Paps is on the Sox he'll be the closer.
Exactly. The vultures always come out when Paps blows one but curl up in their hole when he saves the next 12. I'm a huge fan of Bard for the future but I personally don't think he is even close to being ready to handle the closer role on a full time basis.
 
Paps overall save percentage (regular and post season):

159 saves, 20 blown saves (88.8%)

11 saves, 2 blown saves vs NYY (84.6%)

Rivera overall save percentage (regular and post season):

567 saves, 67 blown saves (89.4%)

55 saves, 14 blown saves vs BOS (79.7%)

512 saves, 53 blown saves vs the rest of MLB (90.6%)

I'm not saying Paps = Rivera, only that people complaining about Paps need to settle down.

 
Paps overall save percentage (regular and post season):159 saves, 20 blown saves (88.8%)11 saves, 2 blown saves vs NYY (84.6%)Rivera overall save percentage (regular and post season):567 saves, 67 blown saves (89.4%)55 saves, 14 blown saves vs BOS (79.7%)512 saves, 53 blown saves vs the rest of MLB (90.6%)I'm not saying Paps = Rivera, only that people complaining about Paps need to settle down.
People arent complaining about his whole career numbnuts. Last year he wasnt as good so alot of people think hes starting to decline.
 
Current Bard owner here. Writing's been on the wall for a while now.
And what writing would that be? That Paps blows one out of 10 save opportunities? His career save percentage is 89.4%.Wanna guess what Mo Rivera's is? 89.4%. As long as Paps is on the Sox he'll be the closer.
Wow...I don't know where to begin.Paps has been a big league closer for how long? And Mo has been for how long?The writing should be...you know what? Just forget about any writing. It's just much easier to call you dumb.
 
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Current Bard owner here. Writing's been on the wall for a while now.
And what writing would that be? That Paps blows one out of 10 save opportunities? His career save percentage is 89.4%.Wanna guess what Mo Rivera's is? 89.4%. As long as Paps is on the Sox he'll be the closer.
Wow...I don't know where to begin.Paps has been a big league closer for how long? And Mo has been for how long?The writing should be...you know what? Just forget about any writing. It's just much easier to call you dumb.
THE POINT was that Paps has been saving games at the same clip as Rivera, who has been thought to be the best closer in the history of the game. And some folks want to ditch Paps for being less effective. The point WAS NOT to say Paps was better than Rivera.
 
Paps overall save percentage (regular and post season):159 saves, 20 blown saves (88.8%)11 saves, 2 blown saves vs NYY (84.6%)Rivera overall save percentage (regular and post season):567 saves, 67 blown saves (89.4%)55 saves, 14 blown saves vs BOS (79.7%)512 saves, 53 blown saves vs the rest of MLB (90.6%)I'm not saying Paps = Rivera, only that people complaining about Paps need to settle down.
People arent complaining about his whole career numbnuts. Last year he wasnt as good so alot of people think hes starting to decline.
Paplebon of 2007 was extraordinarily phenomenal. He was Mariano Rivera from 2005 phenomenal. Perhaps even better.His 2008 and 2009, and 2006 were very good, and very similar. Besides a pronounced walk rate in 2009, he was still a very very good pitcher. If his walk rate comes down just a tad, you are still looking at a top 2 or 3 closer in the game.
 
Paps overall save percentage (regular and post season):159 saves, 20 blown saves (88.8%)11 saves, 2 blown saves vs NYY (84.6%)Rivera overall save percentage (regular and post season):567 saves, 67 blown saves (89.4%)55 saves, 14 blown saves vs BOS (79.7%)512 saves, 53 blown saves vs the rest of MLB (90.6%)I'm not saying Paps = Rivera, only that people complaining about Paps need to settle down.
People arent complaining about his whole career numbnuts. Last year he wasnt as good so alot of people think hes starting to decline.
Paplebon of 2007 was extraordinarily phenomenal. He was Mariano Rivera from 2005 phenomenal. Perhaps even better.His 2008 and 2009, and 2006 were very good, and very similar. Besides a pronounced walk rate in 2009, he was still a very very good pitcher. If his walk rate comes down just a tad, you are still looking at a top 2 or 3 closer in the game.
He's being shipped. Three way trade involving SD another team. A-Gon ends up in Boston.
 
He's being shipped. Three way trade involving SD another team. A-Gon ends up in Boston.
That would be totally cold blooded by Theo, but from a team makeup perspective, it makes a lot of sense.And if it involved Papelbon as a piece from the Red Sox, it would have to be a three way trade. The Padres are already shopping around their closer because they don't want to pay him anything. There's no reason that they'd want to take on Papelbon rather than just give the job to Adams or Gregerson.All in all, though, I don't think the Sox do it. Papelbon still has enough of a resume to say that he deserves the benefit of the doubt. And the Red Sox FO would be perceived by potential FAs as only valuing you for what have you done for me lately. They traded Nomar, but he was basically asking for it. And they didn't reup on Damon or Pedro, but they did lay out offers. The only move I think this would be compared to would be the trading of Arroyo right after he inked a new deal under market. And as a Red Sox fan, that left a bitter taste in my mouth. If they made that their MO, I'd be a lot less enthusiastic about the franchise. You have to trade away production for loyalty at some point.
 
Paps overall save percentage (regular and post season):159 saves, 20 blown saves (88.8%)11 saves, 2 blown saves vs NYY (84.6%)Rivera overall save percentage (regular and post season):567 saves, 67 blown saves (89.4%)55 saves, 14 blown saves vs BOS (79.7%)512 saves, 53 blown saves vs the rest of MLB (90.6%)I'm not saying Paps = Rivera, only that people complaining about Paps need to settle down.
People arent complaining about his whole career numbnuts. Last year he wasnt as good so alot of people think hes starting to decline.
Paplebon of 2007 was extraordinarily phenomenal. He was Mariano Rivera from 2005 phenomenal. Perhaps even better.His 2008 and 2009, and 2006 were very good, and very similar. Besides a pronounced walk rate in 2009, he was still a very very good pitcher. If his walk rate comes down just a tad, you are still looking at a top 2 or 3 closer in the game.
I wasnt calling him bad. Last year's final # were very good. But it was his worst year of his career and that is why some people think he is declining. Thats all Im saying.
 
Paps overall save percentage (regular and post season):159 saves, 20 blown saves (88.8%)11 saves, 2 blown saves vs NYY (84.6%)Rivera overall save percentage (regular and post season):567 saves, 67 blown saves (89.4%)55 saves, 14 blown saves vs BOS (79.7%)512 saves, 53 blown saves vs the rest of MLB (90.6%)I'm not saying Paps = Rivera, only that people complaining about Paps need to settle down.
People arent complaining about his whole career numbnuts. Last year he wasnt as good so alot of people think hes starting to decline.
Paplebon of 2007 was extraordinarily phenomenal. He was Mariano Rivera from 2005 phenomenal. Perhaps even better.His 2008 and 2009, and 2006 were very good, and very similar. Besides a pronounced walk rate in 2009, he was still a very very good pitcher. If his walk rate comes down just a tad, you are still looking at a top 2 or 3 closer in the game.
I wasnt calling him bad. Last year's final # were very good. But it was his worst year of his career and that is why some people think he is declining. Thats all Im saying.
I understand where you are going, and dont mean to harp on this point.But. Last year, he converted 93% of his save opportunities. Best of his career. He had his second best SO/9 numbers, second best number of saves, second best ERA.He walked a #### ton of guys, no doubt. This drove his WHIP up, but his last year was probably better than both his 2008 and 2006 years.He is still a major tool though.
 
He's being shipped. Three way trade involving SD another team. A-Gon ends up in Boston.
That would be totally cold blooded by Theo, but from a team makeup perspective, it makes a lot of sense.And if it involved Papelbon as a piece from the Red Sox, it would have to be a three way trade. The Padres are already shopping around their closer because they don't want to pay him anything. There's no reason that they'd want to take on Papelbon rather than just give the job to Adams or Gregerson.

All in all, though, I don't think the Sox do it. Papelbon still has enough of a resume to say that he deserves the benefit of the doubt. And the Red Sox FO would be perceived by potential FAs as only valuing you for what have you done for me lately. They traded Nomar, but he was basically asking for it. And they didn't reup on Damon or Pedro, but they did lay out offers. The only move I think this would be compared to would be the trading of Arroyo right after he inked a new deal under market. And as a Red Sox fan, that left a bitter taste in my mouth. If they made that their MO, I'd be a lot less enthusiastic about the franchise. You have to trade away production for loyalty at some point.
I get what you're saying, but I would think (or at least hope) typically that sort of loyalty would be more towards a player that's more of the face of the franchise type, a high quality character the rest of the organization (and outsiders) look up to and associate the team with. Papelbon's not that guy. Guys like Jeter, Chipper, and to a lesser degree Helton are.If there's a market for Pap like I think there is the Sox would be better off without him.

 

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