timschochet
Footballguy
I think Trump could win again very easily.You really think Trump has a chance to win? There is no way Trump wins again.....unless Hillary is resurrected.
I think Trump could win again very easily.You really think Trump has a chance to win? There is no way Trump wins again.....unless Hillary is resurrected.
Trump approval ratings are horrible and have no real chance at improving. I don't see what his path to winning is.I think Trump could win again very easily.
It will never happen but Hillary is his only chance at winning. I don`t think he will run again anyway.I think Trump could win again very easily.
A strong economy OR a crisis in which Trump performs well OR a candidate from the Democrats who is regarded as unacceptable to the center Or an event which greatly increases the public’s level of fear. Or some combination of any of these.Trump approval ratings are horrible and have no real chance at improving. I don't see what his path to winning is.
Economy has been fairly strong and it hasn't helped. Perhaps some attack on the US could unite the country. But let's not go there. Under normal circumstances, candidate X beats Trump soundly.A strong economy OR a crisis in which Trump performs well OR a candidate from the Democrats who is regarded as unacceptable to the center Or an event which greatly increases the public’s level of fear. Or some combination of any of these.
alsoIn the first 8 months of the year China bough 7.8m tons of soybeans in the US, 31% down on same period last year. Specifically for August the percentage is down 95%
...
In the same period China has purchased 1.5m tons more of Saybeans from Brazil than they used to.
...
China may have found a different type of feed for it's swine farms, thus whether the market recovers after the trade war is in doubt
Odds on that continuing?Iran has bought 414,000 tons of Soybeans from the US in August.
3% drop back to where it was just 3 weeks ago. No no really.Again. We're not celebrating. A drop that big is news, no?
Not quite as "newsworthy" as the people coming in here shouting from the rooftops when it goes up 50 or 100 points.Again. We're not celebrating. A drop that big is news, no?
After a great Spring and Summer farmers in Iowa were expecting even better crops than last year, which was one of the best, but now we are experiencing one of the wettest Falls I have ever seen. There are a lot of crops still in the fields right now and no way to harvest them until it dries up. Now we have temps dropping below freezing over night with highs only in the 40's. Farmer spending with us has dropped in the last month after having a pretty good August. It's going to be an interesting finish to the year.To get back on track - @Hawkeye21 I thought of you when I read this
China soybean imports down (The English version is behind a paywall and I can only offer a loose translation of the Danish text below)
also
Odds on that continuing?
It's pretty bad news if the Chinese have found an alternative to American soybeans for swine feed, particularly if it is domestic. They will be sure to press on that to reduce the dependence on (US) imports in the future.After a great Spring and Summer farmers in Iowa were expecting even better crops than last year, which was one of the best, but now we are experiencing one of the wettest Falls I have ever seen. There are a lot of crops still in the fields right now and no way to harvest them until it dries up. Now we have temps dropping below freezing over night with highs only in the 40's. Farmer spending with us has dropped in the last month after having a pretty good August. It's going to be an interesting finish to the year.
LinkNot quite as "newsworthy" as the people coming in here shouting from the rooftops when it goes up 50 or 100 points.
Trump is like the employee that goes to the boss demanding a raise only to find out they are way over paid in the first place and can be replaced by two people cheaper.It's pretty bad news if the Chinese have found an alternative to American soybeans for swine feed, particularly if it is domestic. They will be sure to press on that to reduce the dependence on (US) imports in the future.
Pretty much....he's not very good at the thing he is supposed to be best atSo Trump replaces Yellen with a more hawkish chairman and then proceeds to implement policies that are expected to raise inflation (tariffs and deficit-financed tax cuts). Now he is complaining about the Fed for raising rates. What a dangerous buffoon.
Also this:
Donald J. TrumpVerified account @realDonaldTrump
The Fed's reckless policies of low interest and flooding the market with dollars needs to be stopped or we will face record inflation.
12:24 PM - 29 Sep 2011
On the contrary: he’s best at blaming everybody else when things go wrong, and he’s very good at it.Pretty much....he's not very good at the thing he is supposed to be best at
Yep, never his fault or the obvious results of his stupid misguided ideas (ie; executive orders.)On the contrary: he’s best at blaming everybody else when things go wrong, and he’s very good at it.
So no link then? Because "shouting from the rooftops when it goes up 50 points" is something that is a little more ridiculous than the hysteria in here every time it takes a down turn like yesterday.google Gopher State and Father in Law....YMMV
Disappointed or happy?Set to go down another 350 points this morning...
https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/765238-trade-war-dow-drops-800-points-in-one-day/?do=findComment&comment=21399047So no link then? Because "shouting from the rooftops when it goes up 50 points" is something that is a little more ridiculous than the hysteria in here every time it takes a down turn like yesterday.
oh nos....my point range was off just a bit. I was completely and totally wronghttps://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/765238-trade-war-dow-drops-800-points-in-one-day/?do=findComment&comment=21399047
https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/765238-trade-war-dow-drops-800-points-in-one-day/?do=findComment&comment=21395722
https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/765238-trade-war-dow-drops-800-points-in-one-day/?do=findComment&comment=21360632
https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/765238-trade-war-dow-drops-800-points-in-one-day/?do=findComment&comment=21287350
https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/753767-the-trump-years/?do=findComment&comment=20728602
Is there a reason to be either?Disappointed or happy?
Disappointed or happy?
It's important to know one way or the other because making life miserable for "lefties" is super duper what really matters.Poor form of you even to ask
Saw this on CNBC this morning. Jim Cramer, a Trump supporter, called him out, which was funny.So Trump replaces Yellen with a more hawkish chairman and then proceeds to implement policies that are expected to raise inflation (tariffs and deficit-financed tax cuts). Now he is complaining about the Fed for predictably raising rates. What a dangerous buffoon.
Also this:
Donald J. TrumpVerified account @realDonaldTrump
The Fed's reckless policies of low interest and flooding the market with dollars needs to be stopped or we will face record inflation.
12:24 PM - 29 Sep 2011
You know that thing where your wife will be like "if you had to sleep with one of my friends, which one would it be?"48.9% of about 125 posters would be celebrating according to the poll linked above by @Da Guru
Except for me the size of my 401K determines when I can retire and that's a pretty important life goal of mine.Is there a reason to be either?
Markets go up, and markets go down.
For me, its a little sad to see people who measure success by the size of their 401K. Life is bigger than money.
Thttps://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/765238-trade-war-dow-drops-800-points-in-one-day/?do=findComment&comment=21399047
https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/765238-trade-war-dow-drops-800-points-in-one-day/?do=findComment&comment=21395722
https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/765238-trade-war-dow-drops-800-points-in-one-day/?do=findComment&comment=21360632
https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/765238-trade-war-dow-drops-800-points-in-one-day/?do=findComment&comment=21287350
https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/753767-the-trump-years/?do=findComment&comment=20728602
I can't figure it out either. Don't know what the point of producing posts making fun of the people using their 401K as a measuring stick proves/disprovesWhat is your point? I didn't ask for any links.
Let's face it baby, all the guys want to sleep with Jennifer, and a goodly portion of the women do as well. I'll go sleep on the couch now. One thing, which end of it did she sit on when Jennifer was here last week?You know that thing where your wife will be like "if you had to sleep with one of my friends, which one would it be?"
And you're not an idiot, so you say "None of them."
And she says "No, but if you had to which one would it be?"
And you say "I'm not answering that question."
And she says "Don't be stupid, just which one would it be?"
And you say "I don't know, I guess Jennifer."
And she says "You scumbag, I knew you wanted to sleep with Jennifer. I can't believe you! You can sleep on the couch."
Are you retiring in the next few years? If not then you may want to be more concerned about the long term and not the short term.Except for me the size of my 401K determines when I can retire and that's a pretty important life goal of mine.
It is also sad because a large percentage of Trump voters (and the country as a whole) have little to money in the stock marketIs there a reason to be either?
Markets go up, and markets go down.
For me, its a little sad to see people who measure success by the size of their 401K. Life is bigger than money.
It doesn't matter. The success of their life lies in the perceived alignment of how the 1% is doing rather than their actual own existence.It is also sad because a large percentage of Trump voters (and the country as a whole) have little to money in the stock market
As opposed to people selling gloom and doom over a single day drop? Exactly my point.Are you retiring in the next few years? If not then you may want to be more concerned about the long term and not the short term.
Obviously everyone's situation is different, but I've lost pretty much all gains (including paycheck contributions) since May in the last three days, so yeah, relevant news to me. About the same thing happened in January and it took until July to recover back to that level.3% drop back to where it was just 3 weeks ago. No no really.
I think volatility can be a bad sign. Other than that it think people are just going back and forth trying to stick it to each other. I'm pretty sure most of us all agree the market really doesn't matter when it comes to Trump's performance.As opposed to people selling gloom and doom over a single day drop? Exactly my point.
Here you go:Obviously everyone's situation is different, but I've lost pretty much all gains (including paycheck contributions) since May in the last three days, so yeah, relevant news to me. About the same thing happened in January and it took until July to recover back to that level.
ETA: and the Dow is back at the same spot it was 3 weeks ago, so.Are you retiring in the next few years? If not then you may want to be more concerned about the long term and not the short term.
I agree, the market is a poor indicator or presidential performance.I think volatility can be a bad sign. Other than that it think people are just going back and forth trying to stick it to each other. I'm pretty sure most of us all agree the market really doesn't matter when it comes to Trump's performance.As opposed to people selling gloom and doom over a single day drop? Exactly my point.
My "long term" concern is that Trump has no idea what his economic policies will do to the country.Here you go: