This is crazy early, so I'm just sticking with order of playoff seeding for the draft order. Also, since so many teams don't have coaches(or GMs in some cases) I stuck to more of a what I would do logic, than what I think will happen. I'm not a huge fan of this QB class at all, so I'm pretty much universally lower on them. I'm sure at least 3 guys will probably be 1st rounders, but I'm really only somewhat confident in 1 of them.
1. Jax=Evan Neal OT Alabama...most important goal of new coach is helping Trevor Lawrence, nothing does that more than better blocking.
2. Det=Aidan Hutchinson EDGE Michigan...local guy is probably the best overall player in the draft, and a perfect fit for Dan Campbell.
3. Hou=Kyle Hamilton S Notre Dame...versatile playmaker in the Derwin James mold. Secondary is Texans greatest weakness.
4. NYJ=Kayvon Thibodeaux EDGE Oregon...their lucky day, as some feel he should go #1. Best case, he's Saleh's new Nick Bosa.
5. NYG=Derek Stingley CB LSU...I know many will be screaming for OL help here, but I truly think its not as bad a need as it looks, and was hurt by awful coaching. Stingley adds a playmaker in the secondary, which will be key if they hope to catch Dallas.
6. Car=George Karlaftis EDGE Purdue...versatile defender who can play all over. Adds to a frightening young front 4.
7. NYG=Garrett Wilson WR Ohio St...I know, they just added Golladay and Toney last year, and extended Shepard(though he's unlikely to contribute much next season) but Wilson is more talented than any of them, and should give Jones a true #1.
8. Atl=Ikem Ekwonu OT NC State...Dominant run blocker, who can also play Guard, I think Arthur Smith would be thrilled to play a little more smashmouth.
9. Den=Trent McDuffie CB Washington...I don't see Denver dipping into the rookie QB pool. McDuffie could pair with Surtain to be the Broncos 1-2 at CB for years to come.
10. NYJ=Charles Cross OT Miss St...adding more OL help for Wilson is a must, and Cross is a very experienced pass blocker.
11. Was=Nakobe Dean LB Georgia...smaller LB, but flies around the field. Feels like a Rivera type, and gives them a ton of speed at the position with last year's #1 Jamin Davis.
12. Min=Ahmad Gardner CB Cincinnati...dominant college CB with great size. Tough to know what the Vikings new staff will prefer in their CBs, but its their biggest need in my opinion.
13. Cle=Drake London WR USC...I've seen him compared to Brandon Marshall for his size and YAC ability. Had 88 catches in just 8 games this year, and profiles as exactly the type of WR Mayfield hasn't had.
14. Bal=Kaiir Elam CB Florida...The Ravens secondary was the #1 reason they missed the playoffs this year(even more than Lamar getting hurt in my opinion) and while Humphrey and Peters should be back, the Ravens have always been a team unafraid to draft a guy, with a more long term plan in mind.
15. Phi=Treylon Burks WR Arkansas...yes, WR 3 years in a row is a very Millen-esq strategy, though with 3 1sts this year, its not really the same. I had Jameson Williams here before his injury, now I'm not even sure he'll declare. Burks gives them an option with size, who also separates unlike JJAW.
16. Phi=Tyler Linderbaum C Iowa...He's a top 10, maybe top-5 player in this class in my opinion. I felt that way a few years back about Ragnow as well, but Centers simply don't go high. The Eagles care about OL probably more than any other team, and Kelce, while still elite, is also in his mid 30s. Brandon Brooks also may be a cap cut, after playing under 100 snaps the last 2 seasons, so perhaps Linderbaum could start as a Guard at first.
17. LAC=Andrew Booth CB Clemson...a bit of a gambler, but a huge playmaker. Could pair with Samuel as the 1-2 long term in a division where stopping the pass is paramount.
18. NO=Kenyon Green G Texas A&M...the interior of the OL has been pretty iffy of late, as Peat has been hurt and bad, and Ruiz has been a slight bust so far. Green has more talent than either, and the Saints seem like they are transitioning to a more run and play defense team.
19. Phi=Devin Lloyd LB Utah...the Eagles never take LBs in round 1, but with this being their 3rd pick, I think an exception can be made. Lloyd has zero holes in his game, and only a lack of elite speed keeps him out of the top-10 in my opinion.
20. Pit=Kenny Pickett QB Pittsburgh...the Steelers forever regretted passing on the last 1st round Pitt QB they could have had(Marino) and have an even bigger need now. Pickett is a bit of a 1 year wonder, but so was Joe Burrow, Pickett was extremely consistent all season. this QB class has a lot of intriguing players, but nobody who is a sure thing. Pickett feels closest to me.
21. NE=David Ojabo EDGE Michigan...a complete 1 year wonder, but he showed amazing pass rushing upside and that feels like something the Patriots always value. I see a lot of early mocks with WR here, and that just feels extremely unlikely.
22. Mia=Jermiane Johnson EDGE Florida St...complete player, with a very high floor. Phillips was a disappointment in year 1, and Ogbah, though very good this year, has always been up and down. Never hurts to have more DL.
23. LV=Trevor Penning OT Northern Iowa...small school bully in the run game. Allows them to keep Leatherwood inside, where he's probably better suited.
24. Ari=Roger McCreary CB Auburn...average size and speed, but just sticks to WRs like glue. Cards need a guy like that a ton.
25. Cin=Jordan Battle S Alabama...BPA, Battle has improved every year, and has a very well rounded game. Maybe not a year 1 starter, but likely a long term one.
26. Buf=Zion Johnson G Boston College...Bills don't have much oin the way of holes, but the interior OL is a glaring one, this is probably a reach to fill a need pick, but those are sometimes not bad moves for top teams. Very high floor pick, who excels as a pass blocker fits Bills O to a tee.
27. Det=WR Jahan Dotson Penn St...I could see possibly taking a QB here(Corral perhaps) but Goff played well enough down the stretch to earn another year, as the team keeps rebuilding. Dotson is lightning fast and complements St.Brown and Hockenson well.
28. Dal=Devonte Wyatt DL Georgia...late bloomer who is explosive off the ball, and is equally good against the run and the pass. I thought about Olave here, but felt addressing a need made more sense, than making a strong spot stronger. Also think Gallup could stay(1 year deal) due to his injury.
29. KC=Drake Jackson EDGE USC...Chiefs need a major injection of youth on the edge. Jackson is highly explosive, but probably isn't ready to be a full timer as a rookie. Sky high upside though.
30. TB=Chris Olave WR Ohio St...AB is gone, and who knows if/when Godwin will be back. Olave is a great route runner, with underrated speed. Size is a small issue, and he may be more of as floor than ceiling pick, but he's exactly what this offense needs. Thought about a QB here as an heir apparent pick, but not ready to write off Kyle Trask yet, and WR is suddenly a pretty big need.
31. Ten=Kinsley Enagbare EDGE South Carolina...productive, high motor type, who fits the Vrabel mold.
32. GB=Kyler Gordon CB Washington...good size and freakish athletic ability, he's likely a slight project but has as much upside as any CB short of Stingley. Of course, he's also a 1 year wonder, who bounced between outside and the slot. He's a similar, slightly better in my opinion, prospect to Stokes a year ago. Can never have too many CBs.
1. Jax=Evan Neal OT Alabama...most important goal of new coach is helping Trevor Lawrence, nothing does that more than better blocking.
2. Det=Aidan Hutchinson EDGE Michigan...local guy is probably the best overall player in the draft, and a perfect fit for Dan Campbell.
3. Hou=Kyle Hamilton S Notre Dame...versatile playmaker in the Derwin James mold. Secondary is Texans greatest weakness.
4. NYJ=Kayvon Thibodeaux EDGE Oregon...their lucky day, as some feel he should go #1. Best case, he's Saleh's new Nick Bosa.
5. NYG=Derek Stingley CB LSU...I know many will be screaming for OL help here, but I truly think its not as bad a need as it looks, and was hurt by awful coaching. Stingley adds a playmaker in the secondary, which will be key if they hope to catch Dallas.
6. Car=George Karlaftis EDGE Purdue...versatile defender who can play all over. Adds to a frightening young front 4.
7. NYG=Garrett Wilson WR Ohio St...I know, they just added Golladay and Toney last year, and extended Shepard(though he's unlikely to contribute much next season) but Wilson is more talented than any of them, and should give Jones a true #1.
8. Atl=Ikem Ekwonu OT NC State...Dominant run blocker, who can also play Guard, I think Arthur Smith would be thrilled to play a little more smashmouth.
9. Den=Trent McDuffie CB Washington...I don't see Denver dipping into the rookie QB pool. McDuffie could pair with Surtain to be the Broncos 1-2 at CB for years to come.
10. NYJ=Charles Cross OT Miss St...adding more OL help for Wilson is a must, and Cross is a very experienced pass blocker.
11. Was=Nakobe Dean LB Georgia...smaller LB, but flies around the field. Feels like a Rivera type, and gives them a ton of speed at the position with last year's #1 Jamin Davis.
12. Min=Ahmad Gardner CB Cincinnati...dominant college CB with great size. Tough to know what the Vikings new staff will prefer in their CBs, but its their biggest need in my opinion.
13. Cle=Drake London WR USC...I've seen him compared to Brandon Marshall for his size and YAC ability. Had 88 catches in just 8 games this year, and profiles as exactly the type of WR Mayfield hasn't had.
14. Bal=Kaiir Elam CB Florida...The Ravens secondary was the #1 reason they missed the playoffs this year(even more than Lamar getting hurt in my opinion) and while Humphrey and Peters should be back, the Ravens have always been a team unafraid to draft a guy, with a more long term plan in mind.
15. Phi=Treylon Burks WR Arkansas...yes, WR 3 years in a row is a very Millen-esq strategy, though with 3 1sts this year, its not really the same. I had Jameson Williams here before his injury, now I'm not even sure he'll declare. Burks gives them an option with size, who also separates unlike JJAW.
16. Phi=Tyler Linderbaum C Iowa...He's a top 10, maybe top-5 player in this class in my opinion. I felt that way a few years back about Ragnow as well, but Centers simply don't go high. The Eagles care about OL probably more than any other team, and Kelce, while still elite, is also in his mid 30s. Brandon Brooks also may be a cap cut, after playing under 100 snaps the last 2 seasons, so perhaps Linderbaum could start as a Guard at first.
17. LAC=Andrew Booth CB Clemson...a bit of a gambler, but a huge playmaker. Could pair with Samuel as the 1-2 long term in a division where stopping the pass is paramount.
18. NO=Kenyon Green G Texas A&M...the interior of the OL has been pretty iffy of late, as Peat has been hurt and bad, and Ruiz has been a slight bust so far. Green has more talent than either, and the Saints seem like they are transitioning to a more run and play defense team.
19. Phi=Devin Lloyd LB Utah...the Eagles never take LBs in round 1, but with this being their 3rd pick, I think an exception can be made. Lloyd has zero holes in his game, and only a lack of elite speed keeps him out of the top-10 in my opinion.
20. Pit=Kenny Pickett QB Pittsburgh...the Steelers forever regretted passing on the last 1st round Pitt QB they could have had(Marino) and have an even bigger need now. Pickett is a bit of a 1 year wonder, but so was Joe Burrow, Pickett was extremely consistent all season. this QB class has a lot of intriguing players, but nobody who is a sure thing. Pickett feels closest to me.
21. NE=David Ojabo EDGE Michigan...a complete 1 year wonder, but he showed amazing pass rushing upside and that feels like something the Patriots always value. I see a lot of early mocks with WR here, and that just feels extremely unlikely.
22. Mia=Jermiane Johnson EDGE Florida St...complete player, with a very high floor. Phillips was a disappointment in year 1, and Ogbah, though very good this year, has always been up and down. Never hurts to have more DL.
23. LV=Trevor Penning OT Northern Iowa...small school bully in the run game. Allows them to keep Leatherwood inside, where he's probably better suited.
24. Ari=Roger McCreary CB Auburn...average size and speed, but just sticks to WRs like glue. Cards need a guy like that a ton.
25. Cin=Jordan Battle S Alabama...BPA, Battle has improved every year, and has a very well rounded game. Maybe not a year 1 starter, but likely a long term one.
26. Buf=Zion Johnson G Boston College...Bills don't have much oin the way of holes, but the interior OL is a glaring one, this is probably a reach to fill a need pick, but those are sometimes not bad moves for top teams. Very high floor pick, who excels as a pass blocker fits Bills O to a tee.
27. Det=WR Jahan Dotson Penn St...I could see possibly taking a QB here(Corral perhaps) but Goff played well enough down the stretch to earn another year, as the team keeps rebuilding. Dotson is lightning fast and complements St.Brown and Hockenson well.
28. Dal=Devonte Wyatt DL Georgia...late bloomer who is explosive off the ball, and is equally good against the run and the pass. I thought about Olave here, but felt addressing a need made more sense, than making a strong spot stronger. Also think Gallup could stay(1 year deal) due to his injury.
29. KC=Drake Jackson EDGE USC...Chiefs need a major injection of youth on the edge. Jackson is highly explosive, but probably isn't ready to be a full timer as a rookie. Sky high upside though.
30. TB=Chris Olave WR Ohio St...AB is gone, and who knows if/when Godwin will be back. Olave is a great route runner, with underrated speed. Size is a small issue, and he may be more of as floor than ceiling pick, but he's exactly what this offense needs. Thought about a QB here as an heir apparent pick, but not ready to write off Kyle Trask yet, and WR is suddenly a pretty big need.
31. Ten=Kinsley Enagbare EDGE South Carolina...productive, high motor type, who fits the Vrabel mold.
32. GB=Kyler Gordon CB Washington...good size and freakish athletic ability, he's likely a slight project but has as much upside as any CB short of Stingley. Of course, he's also a 1 year wonder, who bounced between outside and the slot. He's a similar, slightly better in my opinion, prospect to Stokes a year ago. Can never have too many CBs.