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UFC wagering: no longer stuck with the old thread title. The window to change it is here! (5 Viewers)

Leban got worked! Rosenthal let that go on too long imo.
:hot: :rant: I had 2 parlays (a 7 fighter one and a 6 fighter one) and one has Frankie, and one has gray. I won most of the fights in both, and realized that I had leben in both. I went to put money on Stann, but didn't realize my DVR was 4 mintues behind so i missed it. :bag: Sorry, but i had to vent that out of my system. I'm hoping Frankie pulls this out as well, but more importantly, I can't wait for the "Mechanic"!!! I mean really, i get that they put some commercials in with the PPV like these, but the "Mechanic". Maybe I am judging the movie too soon, but something tells me the premise here is real dopey
 
I might've scored it a draw too, though the third round was pretty close. Just sucks to end up without a clear outcome.

I totally don't want to see Edgar/Maynard III, though I'd put money on Edgar to win it (again).

 
I might've scored it a draw too, though the third round was pretty close. Just sucks to end up without a clear outcome.I totally don't want to see Edgar/Maynard III, though I'd put money on Edgar to win it (again).
both rds 3 and 5 were pretty close, but I had GM with 3 and FE with 5... judge ACP has it 47-47. I'd also go with Edgar in the rematch.
 
AhrnCityPahnder said:
If that first round was a 10-8 (it should be) and Frankie wins this round we could be looking at a draw. Round 3 might have gone to Maynard.
:thumbup: I think 1st was clearly maynard 10-8, and Frankie clearly won round 2 and 4. Rounds 3 and 5 were a little iffy, and maybe that is where one judge had it 48-46 Edgar, and one had it 48-46 Maynard. I would have probably scored it a draw too without re-watching the fight just yet, and if it was Pride scoring i would have given it to Frankie. I am not sure where they go next, I am anxious to see Pettis in the octagon, and i think he can definitely hang with both of these guys.

 
Your Mom said:
Cliff Clavin said:
modogg said:
Cliff Clavin said:
they are on the Ion channel right now, channel 305 on DirecTV
Don't get that channel unfortunately.
I am pretty sure ION is a broadcast channel like CBS, NBC etc... Read an article and Dana White said that you can get ION with Rabit ears for your TV.
I eventually found it on Sportsnet East (Canadian channel) and ended up ordering the fights anyway.
 
Abrantes said:
Also, it's fun watching this with the Brazilian commentary. They got two big jiu-jitsu guys doing the play-by-play, and while I had it 29-28 for Kim due to the takedowns, control and work in the first two rounds, they scored it 10-10, 10-9 Diaz and 10-9 Diaz based on trying more stuff while on the bottom. Valid point, but good or bad, it's not how the UFC judges ever score it.
:thumbup: Was talking about this with the buddies I watched the fight with. Kim did nothing besides hold down him while Diaz was constantly trying to finish the fight. Not once was Diaz closed to being finished or really even in trouble. Based on the UFC judging, it was the right call but alas, UFC judging is horrible.
 
AhrnCityPahnder said:
If that first round was a 10-8 (it should be) and Frankie wins this round we could be looking at a draw. Round 3 might have gone to Maynard.
:goodposting: I think 1st was clearly maynard 10-8, and Frankie clearly won round 2 and 4. Rounds 3 and 5 were a little iffy, and maybe that is where one judge had it 48-46 Edgar, and one had it 48-46 Maynard. I would have probably scored it a draw too without re-watching the fight just yet, and if it was Pride scoring i would have given it to Frankie. I am not sure where they go next, I am anxious to see Pettis in the octagon, and i think he can definitely hang with both of these guys.
I had it 47-47. 10-8 in the first with rounds 2, 4 and 5 going to Edgar. I have no idea how that one judge came up with 48-46 Edgar. How in the world was the first round not 10-8? Closed to 10-7 than it was to 10-9.

 
the 48-46 Edgar jugde could have had it a 10-8 round for GM in the first, then given FE rounds 2,3,4,5 10-9 to FE (not saying I agree, just trying to figure out how that judge got there)

 
the 48-46 Edgar jugde could have had it a 10-8 round for GM in the first, then given FE rounds 2,3,4,5 10-9 to FE (not saying I agree, just trying to figure out how that judge got there)
Pretty much what I figured too. Shame that the scoring system is so inflexible, really.
 
the 48-46 Edgar jugde could have had it a 10-8 round for GM in the first, then given FE rounds 2,3,4,5 10-9 to FE (not saying I agree, just trying to figure out how that judge got there)
Pretty much what I figured too. Shame that the scoring system is so inflexible, really.
That scoring is very strange. There is really no doubt that Maynard won rounds 1 and 3. I think the judges got this right in the end, but took the long way around to get there. A draw is the right call here, and I am very anti-draw usually.What a performance by Edgar. That dude has some heart. Could be the most amazing comeback I've ever seen in MMA.
 
Abrantes said:
Guida is so ridiculous. Love rooting for him, and great to see him pull out another big win.
;) My favorite fighter. I liked before meeting him, but he's ultra cool in person, so that was the clincher.

Grispi was clearly not ready for Jose Aldo.

Tavares was pretty soft in the midsection.

Vera's nose was bad, but not near as gruesome as Sakuraba's ear. :lmao: Vera needs to fight Luis Cane in a loser-leaves-town match.

:confused: at the Stun Gun.

Leben clearly did not respect Stann.

Had Edgar / Maynard at 47-47. God, I wish Maynard could finish a fight. Of course, he can knock himself out. Hopefully, we won't see a rematch next.

 
What a performance by Edgar. That dude has some heart. Could be the most amazing comeback I've ever seen in MMA.
Jake Shields vs Dan Henderson was similar except Shields dominated rounds two through five after being brutalized in the first.
 
I'm a big DHK fan, but he clearly lost round 2, and should have lost 29-28 vs Diaz. I really expected better of Joe Rogan, as a BJJ guy, than to say it was clear DHK won round 2, when all he did was secure a takedown and defend sub attempts for the entire round. DHK did no damage to Diaz. Kim landed 0 effective strikes. Diaz landed a few pitter-patter strikes from the bottom, but Nate was constantly going for sub attempts the entire round. I'm disappointed as held out hope that some judge's would rightfully give a fighter a round who was on his back for most of the round, and this was a clear case of round where that should happed. The fact that it was in Nevada, where presumably they have the best judges (NV or CA) makes it worse.

As for the main event, I had it scored 46-46 with a 10-7 round, three 10-9 rounds for Edgar, and one 10-10 round. I was shocked that Rogan questioned whether round 1 should have been a 10-8 during the broadcast. If that wasn't at least a 10-8, where the fight probably would have been stopped multiple times if it wasn't a UFC title fight, then no round should be scored a 10-8 or more lopsided. I personally saw it 10-7, as that was one of the most one-sided beatdowns ever in a round. Curious to others thoughts on scoring round 1 a 10-7.

Pretty much what I figured too. Shame that the scoring system is so inflexible, really.
It really isn't if you use it properly, IMO.edit: I'm really happen Fightmetric agreed with me on Diaz-Kim.

http://blog.fightmetric.com/2011/01/kim-vs...statistics.html

 
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AhrnCityPahnder said:
If that first round was a 10-8 (it should be) and Frankie wins this round we could be looking at a draw. Round 3 might have gone to Maynard.
;) I think 1st was clearly maynard 10-8, and Frankie clearly won round 2 and 4. Rounds 3 and 5 were a little iffy, and maybe that is where one judge had it 48-46 Edgar, and one had it 48-46 Maynard. I would have probably scored it a draw too without re-watching the fight just yet, and if it was Pride scoring i would have given it to Frankie. I am not sure where they go next, I am anxious to see Pettis in the octagon, and i think he can definitely hang with both of these guys.
I had it 47-47. 10-8 in the first with rounds 2, 4 and 5 going to Edgar. I have no idea how that one judge came up with 48-46 Edgar. How in the world was the first round not 10-8? Closed to 10-7 than it was to 10-9.
:confused: That;s how I had it too.
 
Sebowski said:
Just made 2 parlays:LebenSilvaDiazGuidaDavis$10 to win $271andthe same without Davis $30 to win $251Really love Leben and Guida. Stann is Leben-lite. Leben will eat him alive in a brawl, and it will be a brawl. He is also light year's ahead on the ground. Guida will not stand there calmly while Gomi measures him up like Griffin did. He will lean and tackle and never give an inch. Bad matchup for Gomi.I also like Silva a decent amount, but I might be clouding myself on him since I have always been a fan. Not sure what Vera brings to the table that will nullify Silva. As long as he doesn't gas out again, he should handle Vera. Really temtped to bet big on Leben at -160 though.
I decided to cover my ### on my parlays to at least break even. Tempted to bet a little on each of my real favorites (Leben, Guida, Silva), but decided in the end to just lay it on one of the,. Chose Leben ;)
 
I was shocked that Rogan questioned whether round 1 should have been a 10-8 during the broadcast. If that wasn't at least a 10-8, where the fight probably would have been stopped multiple times if it wasn't a UFC title fight, then no round should be scored a 10-8 or more lopsided. I personally saw it 10-7, as that was one of the most one-sided beatdowns ever in a round. Curious to others thoughts on scoring round 1 a 10-7.
You certainly do live up to your name on that one. I don't think I've ever seen a more lopsided round where a hand wasn't raised at the end. Major props to Frankie and his corner for getting him back to win round 2 and keep the fight competitive. Definitely deserved to keep the belt (as much as I disagree w/ the actual scoring).

I'm a big Diaz family fan, so I'm disappointed w/ the result of that fight. But I knew that's exactly how it'd go and it's unfortunate that the scoring situation is how it is (good for boxing but 10 point must isn't sufficient for MMA), but props to both guys for fighting a good fight. Kim is a great athlete and a strong fighter/grappler. Diaz is one of the best off the back, but unless you finish, that won't win you decisions. As much as I like the guy, I can't ever see him competing for a title in that division ;)

 
I'm a big DHK fan, but he clearly lost round 2, and should have lost 29-28 vs Diaz. I really expected better of Joe Rogan, as a BJJ guy, than to say it was clear DHK won round 2, when all he did was secure a takedown and defend sub attempts for the entire round. DHK did no damage to Diaz. Kim landed 0 effective strikes. Diaz landed a few pitter-patter strikes from the bottom, but Nate was constantly going for sub attempts the entire round. I'm disappointed as held out hope that some judge's would rightfully give a fighter a round who was on his back for most of the round, and this was a clear case of round where that should happed. The fact that it was in Nevada, where presumably they have the best judges (NV or CA) makes it worse.

edit: I'm really happen Fightmetric agreed with me on Diaz-Kim.

http://blog.fightmetric.com/2011/01/kim-vs...statistics.html
Going for subs that aren't close to being finished is like throwing haymakers that whiff. I'm impressed by neither.In the first two rounds, Kim put Diaz on the mat and didn't let him up. The definition of octagon control.

 
Curious to others thoughts on scoring round 1 a 10-7.
Serious question: Has any judge in any UFC ever given a 10-7 round? I don't remember it if they did. I remember Kalib Starnes got a 30-24 decision from one judge for his running man routine. If the scoring rules allow you to give a 10-7 round, I'm not sure how much more of an argument can be made for one than what GM did in rd 1. But, we've talked about this before.....they're so hesitant to even give 10-8 rounds that I'm not surprised (I'm pissed, but not surprised) we never see them.
 
Curious to others thoughts on scoring round 1 a 10-7.
Serious question: Has any judge in any UFC ever given a 10-7 round? I don't remember it if they did. I remember Kalib Starnes got a 30-24 decision from one judge for his running man routine. If the scoring rules allow you to give a 10-7 round, I'm not sure how much more of an argument can be made for one than what GM did in rd 1. But, we've talked about this before.....they're so hesitant to even give 10-8 rounds that I'm not surprised (I'm pissed, but not surprised) we never see them.
I'm not sure I've ever seen a 10-7 round. I don't know how you decide if a round is 10-8 or 10-7. The scoring allows going 10-6 and lower so what would it take to get to that?I thought the draw was the correct ruling. Even if Maynard did have the slight edge in the 5th, you don't change belts with such a slight margin of victory.
 
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Can't remember if Starnes/Quarry was three 10-8 rounds or what.

As for a 10-7 round, that's precisely what I meant. In the judges' eyes, a round is only 10-10 if the two fighters basically sit down and have a cup o' tea for 5 minutes. On the other hand, you need to deliver such a vicious beating to get awarded a 10-8 that you'd need to literally kill the opponent and revive him to get a 10-7. It simply doesn't happen.

 
I'm a big DHK fan, but he clearly lost round 2, and should have lost 29-28 vs Diaz. I really expected better of Joe Rogan, as a BJJ guy, than to say it was clear DHK won round 2, when all he did was secure a takedown and defend sub attempts for the entire round. DHK did no damage to Diaz. Kim landed 0 effective strikes. Diaz landed a few pitter-patter strikes from the bottom, but Nate was constantly going for sub attempts the entire round. I'm disappointed as held out hope that some judge's would rightfully give a fighter a round who was on his back for most of the round, and this was a clear case of round where that should happed. The fact that it was in Nevada, where presumably they have the best judges (NV or CA) makes it worse.

edit: I'm really happen Fightmetric agreed with me on Diaz-Kim.

http://blog.fightmetric.com/2011/01/kim-vs...statistics.html
Going for subs that aren't close to being finished is like throwing haymakers that whiff. I'm impressed by neither.In the first two rounds, Kim put Diaz on the mat and didn't let him up. The definition of octagon control.
I'd say Diaz's attack from the guard was substantially more controlling and aggressive.in round 2

 
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Trying to figure out if I underestimated Stann or overestimated Leben. Leaning towards overestimating Leben. I'm sure Stann will cost me more money down the line. I'll make sure Leben doesn't though.

 
Trying to figure out if I underestimated Stann or overestimated Leben. Leaning towards overestimating Leben. I'm sure Stann will cost me more money down the line. I'll make sure Leben doesn't though.
Leben's style makes him very susceptible to anyone with KO power.
 
Trying to figure out if I underestimated Stann or overestimated Leben. Leaning towards overestimating Leben. I'm sure Stann will cost me more money down the line. I'll make sure Leben doesn't though.
Leben's style makes him very susceptible to anyone with KO power.
Hard for me to argue that after what happened last night, but if you said this yesterday I would have pointed out that the only man to knock him out was Anderson Silva.
 
Trying to figure out if I underestimated Stann or overestimated Leben. Leaning towards overestimating Leben. I'm sure Stann will cost me more money down the line. I'll make sure Leben doesn't though.
Leben's style makes him very susceptible to anyone with KO power.
Hard for me to argue that after what happened last night, but if you said this yesterday I would have pointed out that the only man to knock him out was Anderson Silva.
Fair enough. I had some money on Leben last night as well. His game plan is to brawl and when you do that, the risk of getting KO'd is a lot higher. He has a hell of a chin that has saved him in the past but maybe it is starting to show some wear after all the abuse it has taken.
 
Trying to figure out if I underestimated Stann or overestimated Leben. Leaning towards overestimating Leben. I'm sure Stann will cost me more money down the line. I'll make sure Leben doesn't though.
Leben looked like he hadn't slept in a week at the weigh in. He has been going through some personal stuff and I think underestimated what Stann brought to the table. He was peeved that he didn't draw a bigger name for an opponent after fighting twice in a month when the UFC needed him last time around.
 
Trying to figure out if I underestimated Stann or overestimated Leben. Leaning towards overestimating Leben. I'm sure Stann will cost me more money down the line. I'll make sure Leben doesn't though.
Leben looked like he hadn't slept in a week at the weigh in. He has been going through some personal stuff and I think underestimated what Stann brought to the table. He was peeved that he didn't draw a bigger name for an opponent after fighting twice in a month when the UFC needed him last time around.
I think someone found a quote from one of Leben's trainers that said Leben had the flu and couldn't even break a sweat warming up before the fight.As far as I know, Leben hasn't said anything about this, and I don't think he's known for excuses.
 

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