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Value wide recievers (1 Viewer)

I would avoid Edwards this year. He will be rushed back and won't be 100% this year pretty much no matter what. He is bound to put up average numbers once he gets in the lineup. Add in that he plays on Cleveland and I'm betting he will disappoint those that try to grab him late hoping for a half season of big numbers. He'll be fine in 2007, but not so much in 2006.

As for Antonio Bryant, from what I've seen it looks like Arnaz Battle will start the year as the WR1 and Bryant as the WR2 in SF. Whether that plays out in their production is another thing entirely.

I'm also not sold on Koren Robinson either. He might be worth it depending upon when he gets drafted, but from what I've ssen there's also someone that really wants him and will take him a lot sooner than I would. I'm a bit squimish on pinning high hopes on a big year from a WR that had only 22 receptions the year before.

I also see very little to suggest that Bruce will sit behind Curtis unless Bruce gets hurt.
What have you seen that has promoted the fact that Arnaz will be the #1? I haven't seen a peep about Arnaz. I have read Bryant has been working extensively with Alex, Vernon has looked good at camp, but NOTHING about Battle. Please explain.
 
I would avoid Edwards this year.  He will be rushed back and won't be 100% this year pretty much no matter what.  He is bound to put up average numbers once he gets in the lineup.  Add in that he plays on Cleveland and I'm betting he will disappoint those that try to grab him late hoping for a half season of big numbers.  He'll be fine in 2007, but not so much in 2006.

As for Antonio Bryant, from what I've seen it looks like Arnaz Battle will start the year as the WR1 and Bryant as the WR2 in SF.  Whether that plays out in their production is another thing entirely.

I'm also not sold on Koren Robinson either.  He might be worth it depending upon when he gets drafted, but from what I've ssen there's also someone that really wants him and will take him a lot sooner than I would.  I'm a bit squimish on pinning high hopes on a big year from a WR that had only 22 receptions the year before.

I also see very little to suggest that Bruce will sit behind Curtis unless Bruce gets hurt.
What have you seen that has promoted the fact that Arnaz will be the #1? I haven't seen a peep about Arnaz. I have read Bryant has been working extensively with Alex, Vernon has looked good at camp, but NOTHING about Battle. Please explain.
I looked in the Blogger and there's nothing there. I don't remember where I saw it, it may have been in the Sporting News, but I read that for now Battle would start out as WR1 and Bryant WR2. I also saw a couple of depth charts where that's how they were listed. However it's listed now really doesn't matter, as we will see much clearer info as the season approaches. Maybe that's a guess that someone made until Bryant learns the offense.
 
IMHO, the existing 34-40 in FGB staff WR rankings seem like great value. In fact, I'll be drafting other positions when mediocre WRs 20-33, such as Porter/Brach/Kennison/Coles/Stallworth are being drafted, and I'll grab a couple of these guys later (obviously Walker would require an earlier pick):

(1) Nate Burleson. #38 in FBG staff rankings. People are sleeping on this guy. I just love his opportunity in Seattle. Moving away from the 5 headed monster in Minnesota, he will be on the receiving end of 1100/9 of Hasselbeck's 4000/25.

(2) Antonio Bryant: Currently #37 in staff rankings. Obviously the SF situation is a mess, but he did clear 1000 in an equally horrendous Cleveland situation. If he catches half the balls Lloyd dropped he'll get 1100/8.

(3) Keyshawn Johnson: Currently #39 in staff rankings. Man I hate this guy. But #2 in Carolina opposite Steve Smith is a pretty good gig. 8 TDs.

(4) Javon Walker. Currently #18 in staff rankings, but has top 10 potential in Denver. One good thing about ACL injury in the first game of the season is he should be able to get closer to 100% by the following year.

 
Cedric Wilson. He did very well in the playoffs last year. IIRC, he had a few injury problems during the regular season. He will be a nice sleeper if he can keep up his playoff production into the next season.

 
Some things I look for when trying to identify these WR's:

1) Proven guy coming off a down year/non-serious injury

2) His team has an average to bad defense

3) QB must be decent.

4) How good is WR2? SSmith got everything thrown his way last year despite the fact that everyone knew it was going his way.

5) Did his situation improve in the off-season? i.e.- new QB, loss of a few defensive starters to FA, etc.

6) Proven guy coming off a down year/non-serious injury (this is the most important one so I put it twice. Most FFers want to prove they are smart b/c they pick players before they "break out", but do so at the expense of passing on a guy who had one bad season but is a known quantity)

Not everyone will fit all criteria, but here are the ones that seem to jump out at me:

1) Driver

2) Horn

3) Mason

4) Coles

5) Clayton

 
(2) Antonio Bryant: Currently #37 in staff rankings. Obviously the SF situation is a mess, but he did clear 1000 in an equally horrendous Cleveland situation. If he catches half the balls Lloyd dropped he'll get 1100/8.

(3) Keyshawn Johnson: Currently #39 in staff rankings. Man I hate this guy. But #2 in Carolina opposite Steve Smith is a pretty good gig. 8 TDs.
Re: Bryant, I don't think that Cleveland was "equally horrendous". Cleveland was about #20, SF was dead last.Re: Keyshawn, I agree. There is also the risk that Smith gets injured again, in which case Keyshawn is top 10, and possibly top 1.

 
(2) Antonio Bryant: Currently #37 in staff rankings. Obviously the SF situation is a mess, but he did clear 1000 in an equally horrendous Cleveland situation. If he catches half the balls Lloyd dropped he'll get 1100/8.

(3) Keyshawn Johnson: Currently #39 in staff rankings. Man I hate this guy. But #2 in Carolina opposite Steve Smith is a pretty good gig. 8 TDs.
Re: Bryant, I don't think that Cleveland was "equally horrendous". Cleveland was about #20, SF was dead last.Re: Keyshawn, I agree. There is also the risk that Smith gets injured again, in which case Keyshawn is top 10, and possibly top 1.
There is also the risk that any player gets injured.
 
I posted this in another thread. I think all of these guys will be solid values:

Joe Jurevicius - had a career year with Seattle and is going into a situation with the Browns where he may be the defacto WR1 until Edwards is healthy.

David Givens - Again, fell into a great situation with the Titans. Will form a great tandem with Drew Bennett (who is better and more comfortable as a WR2). Was undervalued in New England where he never put up quality fantasy stats because he was never featured in their offense.

Derrick Mason - Has been hampered with sub-quality QBs during his time with the Ravens. But, if he is reunited with Steve McNair, then his numbers should improve significantly.
The performance of Givens or Mason will depend on where McNair goes and he can only play in one place Ten or Balt. Once it is established where McNair does go that player more than likely will not be undervalued in the draft because most teams will recognize this fact.Jabar Gaffney or whoever steps up as the Eagles #2 WR is one player that comes to mind that may be "undervalued" at this point for the following reasons:

1. There is no clear cut #1 WR on the Eagles (Brown is just a 2nd year player) so Gaffney may have a shot to emerge at #1.

2. The Eagles throw the ball alot.

3. Gaffney did have one decent year as a WR in a dreadful offense in Hou

4. This will be Gaffney's 5th season so he has some exp and may actually be a decent WR in a good offense

5. His competition is Todd Pinkston, Greg Lewis and 2 rookies

The only drawback I see is that #2 WR in the Eagles offense or #1 WR will not get as many looks as one might think with Westbrook and LJ Smith getting so many balls.

 
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