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Waiver Wire Defenses for Week 3 (1 Viewer)

buck naked

Footballguy
In a recent thread, Borbely and I disagreed on whether defensive TD's can be predicted. Just like in RB, WR matchups in which people predict TD's are more likely for certain players based on the matchup, so are defensive TD's. So rather than just disagree with Borbely, I'm putting proof to the pudding. Here are two great play defenses that are likely available on your waiver wire which have higher probabilities for scoring a defensive TD this week.

1) TAMPA BAY - St. Louis is in panic mode on the offensive line. Injuries and player position shifting have left no continuity whatsoever for the line. Bulger was sacked six times last week, and beaten up. That will continue. Expect a Buccaneer mutiny on Bulger, which means sacks and turnovers, and the predictable TD. Get Tampa.

2) KANSAS CITY - Home opener for the Chiefs, and they desperately need the win. The Chiefs defense showed signs of aggression last week against the Bears. The Minnesota offense has trouble passing the ball. It is a good thing for the Vikings that T. Jackson is out, or the Chiefs would wreck havoc on that guy. At least Holcomb resembles an NFL QB. I don't feel as strongly about KC as Tampa, but still a very good play.

 
After grabbing the Bengals defense off the waiver wire last week and starting them against the lowly Browns, I am reconsidering my WW defense theory. Giving up 49 points is not going to win me many games, and last week was no exception!

 
I agree that Carolina is a great play defense this week. But my post was meant to discuss a defense that is likely on the waiver wire that can be picked up with confidence for week 3.

 
I think alot of people are missing the boat on this defense. Now i dont know how deep their talent goes but as far as starters go the are very good. In the first game i thought that Arizona was just rusty but after watching again the 9ers d was flying all over the field and Willis was causing havoc. Right now i have houstons d but in leagues were i didn't jump on houstons d before the season started I think I'm gonna get the 9ers.
 
After grabbing the Bengals defense off the waiver wire last week and starting them against the lowly Browns, I am reconsidering my WW defense theory. Giving up 49 points is not going to win me many games, and last week was no exception!
LOL i did that in two leagues i should have known better than to trust the bengals def.
 
I think alot of people are missing the boat on this defense. Now i dont know how deep their talent goes but as far as starters go the are very good. In the first game i thought that Arizona was just rusty but after watching again the 9ers d was flying all over the field and Willis was causing havoc. Right now i have houstons d but in leagues were i didn't jump on houstons d before the season started I think I'm gonna get the 9ers.
Niners have a lot of aggressive playmakers - Willis, Lawson, Brandon Moore, Banta-Cain, Clements, Walt Harris, Shawntae Spencer, Michael Lewis. I loaded up on them in drafts where I didnt get Chicago or Baltimore at a value pick.
 
After grabbing the Bengals defense off the waiver wire last week and starting them against the lowly Browns, I am reconsidering my WW defense theory. Giving up 49 points is not going to win me many games, and last week was no exception!
I feel your pain, bro. I picked up Cincy D in all 3 of my leagues thinking it was the shark move and they got me -3, -1, and 1 point, respectively... :censored: TB and KC do look like nice spot plays this week, though.

 
I think alot of people are missing the boat on this defense. Now i dont know how deep their talent goes but as far as starters go the are very good. In the first game i thought that Arizona was just rusty but after watching again the 9ers d was flying all over the field and Willis was causing havoc. Right now i have houstons d but in leagues were i didn't jump on houstons d before the season started I think I'm gonna get the 9ers.
Niners have a lot of aggressive playmakers - Willis, Lawson, Brandon Moore, Banta-Cain, Clements, Walt Harris, Shawntae Spencer, Michael Lewis. I loaded up on them in drafts where I didnt get Chicago or Baltimore at a value pick.
Hey Bloom,The only reason I haven't jumped all over them is KR/PR. Brandon Williams has been awful, can Hill or anyone else be a force in this area. I believe that the key to being a really successful FF def is having a good returner, thats why i jumped all over the Texans as i knew the D would be improved but now have JJones and Mathis as returners you get alot of bang for your buck.
 
i picked up oakland and texans (diff leagues) more for future. but am seriously thinking about oakland for this week. yes, i know what happened to all of you who played the bengals last week. but the raiders are at home, there is now film on anderson, and the browns haven't suddenly morphed into a playoff team.

 
Great post buck naked.

I agree with those two defenses plus let's not forget this:

Chiefs activated DE Jared Allen from the reserve/suspended list.

Jimmy Wilkerson goes to the bench. Allen should immediately be plugged into all IDP lineups. The havoc wrecker could also bring Kansas City's fantasy defense back to respectability while taking pressure off Tamba Hali.

Allen is their high-energy guy and the Chiefs really need a spark.

I am very surprised that DD would rank Tampa that low considering the sorry state of the Rams O-line. I do like the Carolina play. Houston and 49ers are good for future weeks, but Pitt and Indy pass block well and their QBs do not turn the ball over often enough (at least in 2007 Big Ben) to be helpful in week 3.

 
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Indy was still hanging around on my waiver wire. I like the matchup against the AJ-less Texans. Thoughts?
i don't know. owen and jacoby could step in nicely. i think i'd only consider this if my other d had a really bad matchup.
 
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Indy was still hanging around on my waiver wire. I like the matchup against the AJ-less Texans. Thoughts?
i don't know. owen and jacoby could step in nicely. i think i'd only consider this if my other d had a really bad matchup.
Interesting. I haven't seen too much of the Texans offense to really get a feel for them, but it would seem to me that the Colts could clamp down on a TE and a rookie WR. AJ certainly seems to be the key piece of the puzzle there, and without him, I tend to think that Schaub will struggle. I also have Jax D, but on the road against Denver, which isn't a matchup I love too terribly much.
 
I also have Jax D, but on the road against Denver, which isn't a matchup I love too terribly much.
I have the Jags and I'm not starting them this week. Their defense has been OK but hasn't faced an offense of Denver's caliber. I think the Broncos run on the Jags and Cutler makes plays in the passing game as well. Best case is they get one turnover and maybe a sack or two. I don't see the Jags holding the Broncos under 20 points. I'm looking at either Minnesota or KC as a replacement this week. I think that will be a low-scoring game with plenty of turnovers.
 
In a recent thread, Borbely and I disagreed on whether defensive TD's can be predicted. Just like in RB, WR matchups in which people predict TD's are more likely for certain players based on the matchup, so are defensive TD's. So rather than just disagree with Borbely, I'm putting proof to the pudding. Here are two great play defenses that are likely available on your waiver wire which have higher probabilities for scoring a defensive TD this week.1) TAMPA BAY - St. Louis is in panic mode on the offensive line. Injuries and player position shifting have left no continuity whatsoever for the line. Bulger was sacked six times last week, and beaten up. That will continue. Expect a Buccaneer mutiny on Bulger, which means sacks and turnovers, and the predictable TD. Get Tampa.2) KANSAS CITY - Home opener for the Chiefs, and they desperately need the win. The Chiefs defense showed signs of aggression last week against the Bears. The Minnesota offense has trouble passing the ball. It is a good thing for the Vikings that T. Jackson is out, or the Chiefs would wreck havoc on that guy. At least Holcomb resembles an NFL QB. I don't feel as strongly about KC as Tampa, but still a very good play.
There is a difference between a higher probability for defensive TD's and predicting them. Of course teams that create sacks and turnovers have a better chance of getting TD's. But trying to predict TD's is next to impossible. But trying to use one defense over another based on whether you think they will get a TD doesn't seem like a good idea to me. If a defense gets a TD, it's a bonus to me.
 
In a recent thread, Borbely and I disagreed on whether defensive TD's can be predicted. Just like in RB, WR matchups in which people predict TD's are more likely for certain players based on the matchup, so are defensive TD's. So rather than just disagree with Borbely, I'm putting proof to the pudding. Here are two great play defenses that are likely available on your waiver wire which have higher probabilities for scoring a defensive TD this week.1) TAMPA BAY - St. Louis is in panic mode on the offensive line. Injuries and player position shifting have left no continuity whatsoever for the line. Bulger was sacked six times last week, and beaten up. That will continue. Expect a Buccaneer mutiny on Bulger, which means sacks and turnovers, and the predictable TD. Get Tampa.2) KANSAS CITY - Home opener for the Chiefs, and they desperately need the win. The Chiefs defense showed signs of aggression last week against the Bears. The Minnesota offense has trouble passing the ball. It is a good thing for the Vikings that T. Jackson is out, or the Chiefs would wreck havoc on that guy. At least Holcomb resembles an NFL QB. I don't feel as strongly about KC as Tampa, but still a very good play.
There is a difference between a higher probability for defensive TD's and predicting them. Of course teams that create sacks and turnovers have a better chance of getting TD's. But trying to predict TD's is next to impossible. But trying to use one defense over another based on whether you think they will get a TD doesn't seem like a good idea to me. If a defense gets a TD, it's a bonus to me.
Not much of a difference, but you and I are discussing semantics. All of fantasy football is "higher probabilities" and opportunities. I will agree that defensive touchdowns are the most difficult touchdown to predict. We can predict sacks and turnovers based on information, and td's flow from those.
 
After grabbing the Bengals defense off the waiver wire last week and starting them against the lowly Browns, I am reconsidering my WW defense theory. Giving up 49 points is not going to win me many games, and last week was no exception!
I did the exact thing. Started the Bengals instead of the Chargers. Got lucky and still won the week in spite of the Bengals D. Not sure what I might do but I am inclined to just stick with the Chargers D the rest of the way and quit trying to pick a plum from previous weeks tendencies.
 
In a recent thread, Borbely and I disagreed on whether defensive TD's can be predicted. Just like in RB, WR matchups in which people predict TD's are more likely for certain players based on the matchup, so are defensive TD's. So rather than just disagree with Borbely, I'm putting proof to the pudding. Here are two great play defenses that are likely available on your waiver wire which have higher probabilities for scoring a defensive TD this week.1) TAMPA BAY - St. Louis is in panic mode on the offensive line. Injuries and player position shifting have left no continuity whatsoever for the line. Bulger was sacked six times last week, and beaten up. That will continue. Expect a Buccaneer mutiny on Bulger, which means sacks and turnovers, and the predictable TD. Get Tampa.2) KANSAS CITY - Home opener for the Chiefs, and they desperately need the win. The Chiefs defense showed signs of aggression last week against the Bears. The Minnesota offense has trouble passing the ball. It is a good thing for the Vikings that T. Jackson is out, or the Chiefs would wreck havoc on that guy. At least Holcomb resembles an NFL QB. I don't feel as strongly about KC as Tampa, but still a very good play.
There is a difference between a higher probability for defensive TD's and predicting them. Of course teams that create sacks and turnovers have a better chance of getting TD's. But trying to predict TD's is next to impossible. But trying to use one defense over another based on whether you think they will get a TD doesn't seem like a good idea to me. If a defense gets a TD, it's a bonus to me.
Not much of a difference, but you and I are discussing semantics. All of fantasy football is "higher probabilities" and opportunities. I will agree that defensive touchdowns are the most difficult touchdown to predict. We can predict sacks and turnovers based on information, and td's flow from those.
In my large $ league we have quit giving any points to special teams and defensive TD's because we have concluded that they have nothing to do with the skill of drafting but all to do with just dumb luck. It has worked great for us.
 
In my league you have to plan a min of 2 weeks out for FA defenses, as a lot of people are playing the FA WW game and bidding wars ensue. As an example, my only transaction this week was picking up the Titan D for week 5 (against the Falcons at home) for when MN has a bye.

 
KC is the way to go. The Chiefs always bring it at Arrowhead and I see no reason that they won't rack up a lot of points for me this week against one of the worst offenses in the L. Jared Allen coming back this week is just icing on the cake.

 
i picked up oakland and texans (diff leagues) more for future. but am seriously thinking about oakland for this week. yes, i know what happened to all of you who played the bengals last week. but the raiders are at home, there is now film on anderson, and the browns haven't suddenly morphed into a playoff team.
In one league I'm playing the Oakland Defense with Houston on deck for week 4. Im not buying the Cleveland offense after 1 week.
 
I agree. I like K.C. as the first option but I prefer OAK at home against CLV than TB.Derek didn't just become the second coming of Brady and Jamal didn't just become the second coming of LT! :-)

 
In a recent thread, Borbely and I disagreed on whether defensive TD's can be predicted. Just like in RB, WR matchups in which people predict TD's are more likely for certain players based on the matchup, so are defensive TD's. So rather than just disagree with Borbely, I'm putting proof to the pudding. Here are two great play defenses that are likely available on your waiver wire which have higher probabilities for scoring a defensive TD this week.1) TAMPA BAY - St. Louis is in panic mode on the offensive line. Injuries and player position shifting have left no continuity whatsoever for the line. Bulger was sacked six times last week, and beaten up. That will continue. Expect a Buccaneer mutiny on Bulger, which means sacks and turnovers, and the predictable TD. Get Tampa.2) KANSAS CITY - Home opener for the Chiefs, and they desperately need the win. The Chiefs defense showed signs of aggression last week against the Bears. The Minnesota offense has trouble passing the ball. It is a good thing for the Vikings that T. Jackson is out, or the Chiefs would wreck havoc on that guy. At least Holcomb resembles an NFL QB. I don't feel as strongly about KC as Tampa, but still a very good play.
There is a difference between a higher probability for defensive TD's and predicting them. Of course teams that create sacks and turnovers have a better chance of getting TD's. But trying to predict TD's is next to impossible. But trying to use one defense over another based on whether you think they will get a TD doesn't seem like a good idea to me. If a defense gets a TD, it's a bonus to me.
Not much of a difference, but you and I are discussing semantics. All of fantasy football is "higher probabilities" and opportunities. I will agree that defensive touchdowns are the most difficult touchdown to predict. We can predict sacks and turnovers based on information, and td's flow from those.
In my large $ league we have quit giving any points to special teams and defensive TD's because we have concluded that they have nothing to do with the skill of drafting but all to do with just dumb luck. It has worked great for us.
Yeah, Devin Hester is just lucky.
 
Tampa game in the books. Tampa defense - 4 turnovers, 1 sack, 3 points allowed. 235 net yards allowed. Great stats, not alot of sacks. Depending on your scoring rules, could be very good. BUT no td.

Kansas City game in the books. Kansas City defense - 1 turnover, 5 sacks, 10 points allowed. 247 net yards allowed. Same thing. Depending on your scoring rules, could be very good. BUT no td.

 

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