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'Way Too Early' fantasy football sleepers & busts for 2015 (1 Viewer)

For (early) sleepers, I like:

Jarius Wright - WR Vikings

He started to improve at the end of 2014 as Bridgwater improved. Ended up with 42 catches on the year catching ~67% of his targets. He is also in the final year of his rookie contract which means he will be playing for a bigger contract next year. And he is on record as saying he is playing for friend Greg Childs this year. He is not being drafted anywhere.

Ahmad Bradhaw - RB Free agent

Obviously he is not signed at this point, but if and when a team picks him up, he always produces. He is going undrafted at this point.

Kenny Stills - WR Miami

Stills was the New Orleans Saints most productive wide receiver down the stretch last year. The last 6 games he averaged 5+ catches and 83 yards. He was traded to Miami which lost the services of Mike Wallace. Sure he has to compete with an older Greg Jennings for the starting spot, but he should get it. At 23 years of age, Stills is a great deep threat. Current ADP is around WR #53. Seems like nice upside in that range.

Markus Wheaton - WR Pittsburg

With an ADP in the WR #70 range, he is way too low. Sure he lost the starting role to Martavis Bryant, but Wheaton still holds the #3 WR spot in a pass heavy offense. He is going behind a lot of guys with little or no upside. With Lance Moore gone, Wheaton should be on the field plenty and have more opportunities than last year.

 
Faust said:
ADP First Look: Undervalued

http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/55458/71/adp-first-look-undervalued
Click to expand...
[SIZE=small]1. Arian Foster, ADP 14.9[/SIZE]The main reason Arian Foster is slipping into the early part of the second round is injury history – he’s missed 11 games over the last two years and been hobbled in a fistful of others. Granted, this is a legit concern. Foster will be 29 later this month and has had at least 260 carries in four of the last five seasons. Injury Predictor’s algorithm puts him around a 90 percent favorite to miss at least one game this year.

All that said, the per-game reward on Foster is massive. He was fantasy’s No. 2 RB in points per game last year, behind only DeMarco Murray. Our Graham Barfield has pointed out that Foster has been a top-12 RB in 67 percent of the games he’s played over the last five years. Coaches love riding this guy – he’s touched the ball an average of 23.5 times per game during that five-year span. He’s a game-flow neutral back as he excels in the pass game. And for a cherry on top, Foster enjoyed a completely healthy offseason and participated fully in OTAs.
Click to expand...
D'Oh.

 
ponchsox said:
I have a feeling Forte is going to bust hard this year.
Click to expand...
I expect his receptions to drop a lot (maybe 50%), but I still think 1,200 combined yards, 40-50 receptions and 4-6 combined TDs is a lock if healthy. That would make him the somewhere between the 10th and 15th RB in a PPR. And that's his floor IMO.

 
Anyone think Jay Cutler might have a return this year? Looks like he will go undrafted in many leagues and I look like the look of Kevin White.

 
billieve15 said:
Anyone think Jay Cutler might have a return this year? Looks like he will go undrafted in many leagues and I look like the look of Kevin White.
Click to expand...
Even as bad as he was last year, he still finished in the top 12 in most leagues I'd imagine. I don't know if I'd trust him to start every week, but he could be serviceable as part of a QBBC.

 
MattFancy said:
billieve15 said:
Anyone think Jay Cutler might have a return this year? Looks like he will go undrafted in many leagues and I look like the look of Kevin White.
Click to expand...
Even as bad as he was last year, he still finished in the top 12 in most leagues I'd imagine. I don't know if I'd trust him to start every week, but he could be serviceable as part of a QBBC.
Click to expand...
I wonder how many people fall victim to the siren song of Jay Cutler every year? The last time he finished top 12 was 2009. Last time he outperformed his ADP was 2008. Think about that for a second, for all the discussion about Jay Cutler and despite being paid like a franchise QB the last time he was a "good" pick in fantasy football was 2008.

 
BoltBacker said:
MattFancy said:
billieve15 said:
Anyone think Jay Cutler might have a return this year? Looks like he will go undrafted in many leagues and I look like the look of Kevin White.
Click to expand...
Even as bad as he was last year, he still finished in the top 12 in most leagues I'd imagine. I don't know if I'd trust him to start every week, but he could be serviceable as part of a QBBC.
Click to expand...
I wonder how many people fall victim to the siren song of Jay Cutler every year? The last time he finished top 12 was 2009. Last time he outperformed his ADP was 2008. Think about that for a second, for all the discussion about Jay Cutler and despite being paid like a franchise QB the last time he was a "good" pick in fantasy football was 2008.
Click to expand...
:unsure: he's not great but he was still the #12 QB last year and he goes lower than that.

 
FUBAR said:
BoltBacker said:
MattFancy said:
billieve15 said:
Anyone think Jay Cutler might have a return this year? Looks like he will go undrafted in many leagues and I look like the look of Kevin White.
Click to expand...
Even as bad as he was last year, he still finished in the top 12 in most leagues I'd imagine. I don't know if I'd trust him to start every week, but he could be serviceable as part of a QBBC.
Click to expand...
I wonder how many people fall victim to the siren song of Jay Cutler every year? The last time he finished top 12 was 2009. Last time he outperformed his ADP was 2008. Think about that for a second, for all the discussion about Jay Cutler and despite being paid like a franchise QB the last time he was a "good" pick in fantasy football was 2008.
Click to expand...
:unsure: he's not great but he was still the #12 QB last year and he goes lower than that.
Click to expand...
Lower expectations because he's lost one of his best mistake-erasing targets don't seem out of line. He could easily fail to reach even those lowered projections.

 
FUBAR said:
BoltBacker said:
MattFancy said:
billieve15 said:
Anyone think Jay Cutler might have a return this year? Looks like he will go undrafted in many leagues and I look like the look of Kevin White.
Click to expand...
Even as bad as he was last year, he still finished in the top 12 in most leagues I'd imagine. I don't know if I'd trust him to start every week, but he could be serviceable as part of a QBBC.
Click to expand...
I wonder how many people fall victim to the siren song of Jay Cutler every year? The last time he finished top 12 was 2009. Last time he outperformed his ADP was 2008. Think about that for a second, for all the discussion about Jay Cutler and despite being paid like a franchise QB the last time he was a "good" pick in fantasy football was 2008.
Click to expand...
:unsure: he's not great but he was still the #12 QB last year and he goes lower than that.
Click to expand...
When I am on FBG I just use their scoring so we have a common baseline in discussions....

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/players/player-all-info.php?id=CutlJa00&tab=1

 
Arodin said:
FUBAR said:
BoltBacker said:
MattFancy said:
billieve15 said:
Anyone think Jay Cutler might have a return this year? Looks like he will go undrafted in many leagues and I look like the look of Kevin White.
Click to expand...
Even as bad as he was last year, he still finished in the top 12 in most leagues I'd imagine. I don't know if I'd trust him to start every week, but he could be serviceable as part of a QBBC.
Click to expand...
I wonder how many people fall victim to the siren song of Jay Cutler every year? The last time he finished top 12 was 2009. Last time he outperformed his ADP was 2008. Think about that for a second, for all the discussion about Jay Cutler and despite being paid like a franchise QB the last time he was a "good" pick in fantasy football was 2008.
Click to expand...
:unsure: he's not great but he was still the #12 QB last year and he goes lower than that.
Click to expand...
Lower expectations because he's lost one of his best mistake-erasing targets don't seem out of line. He could easily fail to reach even those lowered projections.
Click to expand...
Agreed, his ADP has sunk to the lowest point in his career(#21) so if he stays on the field he probably has his best shot to outperform his ADP... but I just don't think Fox trusts him. Fox isn't on the hot seat, Cutler wasn't his mistake, and the draft next year is much stronger in terms of QB. Any time Fox has had to talk about Cutler he looks like a kid who has nothing on his plate but brussel sprouts but can't leave the table until he finishes. It's one of the reasons I think people that have a "spidey sense" that Forte will tank are way off.

 
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