ConstruxBoy
Kate's Daddy
I did some research last year on the injury report and wrote a freelance article that should be published shortly. In the meantime, let's look at some data from the article and try to use it as guidance for what may happen this year. Keep in mind that this will not take into account any news or quotes from the coach on whether a player will play or not and that the sample sizes are quite small in most cases. But the information may still be able to help us.
CAR WR Steve Smith Questionable Thigh
I had thought it was a hamstring, but the injury report says Thigh.
Player: Steve Smith was not in last year's dataset (ie. fantasy starters listed on the injury report as D, Q, or P)
Overall: 50.4% of 254 Questionable Players played last year
Division: It is not a Division game
Week: 41.7% of 12 Questionable players played in week 2 last year
Position: 51.2% of 86 Questionable WRs played last year
Team: The Panthers listed 4 fantasy starters as Questionable last year and 3 played.
Injury: 2 of 2 players with a Questionable Thigh Injury played last year (AGates and EKinney).
ATL WR Roddy White Probable Hamstring
Player: Roddy White was Probable with a Hip in week 11 against the same Tampa Bay Bucs and played well, scoring 6.8 above his average per game output.
Overall: 89.7% of 272 Probable Players played last year
Division: In Division games, 90.6% of 106 Probable players played
Week: 100% of 12 Probable players played in week 2 last year
Position: 83.1% of 83 Probable WRs played last year; this is the LOWEST of any position for Probable
Team: Atlanta played 3 of 4 Probable players last year
Injury: 15 out of 18 players with a Probable Hamstring played last year; 8 of those 15 were WRs
OAK QB Aaron Brooks Probable Knee
Player: Aaron Brooks was not in the dataset last year
Overall: 89.7% of 272 Probable Players played last year
Division: It is not a Division game
Week: 100% of 12 Probable players played in week 2 last year
Position: 52 out of 53 Probable QBs played last season; lone exception was MVick in week 5 and he was downgraded during the weekend
Team: Oakland played all 11 Probable players last year
Injury: 88.7% of 62 Probable Knee injuries played last season
BAL TE Todd Heap Questionable Back
Player: Todd Heap was listed on the injury report 8 times last year, all as Probable, and played every time, including week 6 with a Back injury.
Overall: 50.4% of 254 Questionable Players played last year
Division: It is not a Division game
Week: 41.7% of 12 Questionable players played in week 2 last year
Position: Only 19 of 46 Questionable TEs played last year, the LOWEST by far of all Questionable positions
Team: BAL only played 1 of 4 Questionable Players last season
Injury: 71.4% of 14 players with a Questionable Back injury played last year, among the highest by injury
I'll try to post some more of these later. Keep in mind that nothing beats watching the pregame shows Sunday and getting information from insiders like Mort. But if you have to set your lineup early, this may help.
CAR WR Steve Smith Questionable Thigh
I had thought it was a hamstring, but the injury report says Thigh.
Player: Steve Smith was not in last year's dataset (ie. fantasy starters listed on the injury report as D, Q, or P)
Overall: 50.4% of 254 Questionable Players played last year
Division: It is not a Division game
Week: 41.7% of 12 Questionable players played in week 2 last year
Position: 51.2% of 86 Questionable WRs played last year
Team: The Panthers listed 4 fantasy starters as Questionable last year and 3 played.
Injury: 2 of 2 players with a Questionable Thigh Injury played last year (AGates and EKinney).
ATL WR Roddy White Probable Hamstring
Player: Roddy White was Probable with a Hip in week 11 against the same Tampa Bay Bucs and played well, scoring 6.8 above his average per game output.
Overall: 89.7% of 272 Probable Players played last year
Division: In Division games, 90.6% of 106 Probable players played
Week: 100% of 12 Probable players played in week 2 last year
Position: 83.1% of 83 Probable WRs played last year; this is the LOWEST of any position for Probable
Team: Atlanta played 3 of 4 Probable players last year
Injury: 15 out of 18 players with a Probable Hamstring played last year; 8 of those 15 were WRs
OAK QB Aaron Brooks Probable Knee
Player: Aaron Brooks was not in the dataset last year
Overall: 89.7% of 272 Probable Players played last year
Division: It is not a Division game
Week: 100% of 12 Probable players played in week 2 last year
Position: 52 out of 53 Probable QBs played last season; lone exception was MVick in week 5 and he was downgraded during the weekend
Team: Oakland played all 11 Probable players last year
Injury: 88.7% of 62 Probable Knee injuries played last season
BAL TE Todd Heap Questionable Back
Player: Todd Heap was listed on the injury report 8 times last year, all as Probable, and played every time, including week 6 with a Back injury.
Overall: 50.4% of 254 Questionable Players played last year
Division: It is not a Division game
Week: 41.7% of 12 Questionable players played in week 2 last year
Position: Only 19 of 46 Questionable TEs played last year, the LOWEST by far of all Questionable positions
Team: BAL only played 1 of 4 Questionable Players last season
Injury: 71.4% of 14 players with a Questionable Back injury played last year, among the highest by injury
I'll try to post some more of these later. Keep in mind that nothing beats watching the pregame shows Sunday and getting information from insiders like Mort. But if you have to set your lineup early, this may help.
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