Week 5 Survivor Pool strategy (1 Viewer)

[Big Blue Wrecking Crew]

Tennessee at Pittsburgh

Seattle at NY Giants

Cincinnati at Jacksonville

New Orleans at Carolina

Oakland at Houston

Philadelphia at Buffalo

Kansas City at Indianapolis

Arizona at Minnesota

Tampa Bay at San Francisco

NY Jets at New England

San Diego at Denver

Green Bay at Atlanta

Chicago at Detroit

Giants appear to be the no brainer pick. However, for those who have multiple entries still alive, do you go all in with them or spread the risk? Other options would appear to be NO (road team), CIN (solid D, but on the road, can you trust them?), and SF (TB going west plus short week). Thoughts?

 

[griff321]

Tennessee at PittsburghSeattle at NY GiantsCincinnati at Jacksonville New Orleans at Carolina Oakland at Houston Philadelphia at Buffalo Kansas City at Indianapolis Arizona at Minnesota Tampa Bay at San Francisco NY Jets at New England San Diego at Denver Green Bay at Atlanta Chicago at Detroit Giants appear to be the no brainer pick. However, for those who have multiple entries still alive, do you go all in with them or spread the risk? Other options would appear to be NO (road team), CIN (solid D, but on the road, can you trust them?), and SF (TB going west plus short week). Thoughts?

I think we could see an Eli meltdown and the Gmen would still win.That and looking to the future, it seems to be about the best time to use the giants.

 

[fatness king]

I might go with IND.

They seem to be playing with more heart than KC and they're at home...

 

[griff321]

I might go with IND. They seem to be playing with more heart than KC and they're at home...

I was thinking the same thing but when else do you really want to use either, so gmen it is.ETA: actually Indy may be a good choice week 10 vs Jax at home. If they start showing any consistency on O.

 

[Time Kibitzer]

I really don't wanna take the Giants since Eli sucks and I think in general the team isn't very good, but there's not a lot of other options. Houston or the Patriots maybe.

 

[Raider Nation]

I have to avoid the Giants. One of these weeks, an overwhelming favorite will get upset and take 5/8 of the pool with them.

Why not Eli?

 

[Instinctive]

I am having a hard time not picking Houston...

 

[Raider Nation]

I am having a hard time not picking Houston...

I don't disagree (unfortunately), but I'm not touching it without Andre.

 

[Buc in Exile]

I think we could see an Eli meltdown and the Gmen would still win.That and looking to the future, it seems to be about the best time to use the giants.

Agreed. I suppose you could make a case for using them Week 8 against Miami, but it hardly seems worth it considering what the other options are for this week.Someone mentioned Houston, but they've got home games in Weeks 8 and 9 against Jacksonville and Cleveland.IMO, there are some weeks where there just isn't a bold move worth making and this is one of those weeks. Week 6 is where things will really start to get fun.

 

[Instinctive]

I am having a hard time not picking Houston...

I don't disagree (unfortunately), but I'm not touching it without Andre.

Exactly my dilemma - which forces me to lean towards NO - but a road divisional game???????

 

[Raider Nation]

I am having a hard time not picking Houston...

I don't disagree (unfortunately), but I'm not touching it without Andre.

Exactly my dilemma - which forces me to lean towards NO - but a road divisional game???????

That's my #1 option this week. Carolina has no chance to stop the Saints aerial attack, and their blitzes will cause Newton problems.

 

[Instinctive]

I am having a hard time not picking Houston...

I don't disagree (unfortunately), but I'm not touching it without Andre.

Exactly my dilemma - which forces me to lean towards NO - but a road divisional game???????

That's my #1 option this week. Carolina has no chance to stop the Saints aerial attack, and their blitzes will cause Newton problems.

At the same time...a divisional road game? Anything can happen!!! It's so hard to pick, but with no AJ, I think I'm 80% of the way to choosing the Saints...and pulling hard against NY all game!

 

[Buc in Exile]

I have to avoid the Giants. One of these weeks, an overwhelming favorite will get upset and take 5/8 of the pool with them.

Why not Eli?

New England? That spread looks bizarre but have to think there's something behind it.Detroit? If the Bears had trouble stopping Carolina, I can't see them stopping the Lions on the road in what should be a raucous atmosphere.

 

[Area51Inhabitant]

I don't have the guts to pull the trigger but I'm thinking this might be the week Indy gets into the win column.

 

[cheese]

Saints of Giants no doubt IMO.

Don't like Indy at all. Just because they rose up and played decent for 1 MNF game that everyone saw doesn't mean they are going to win this week. If anything, I would say the MNF hangover could work against them.

 

[Battersbox]

Used: SD, PIT, TEN, TB

Week 05: NYG

 

[Tickle Monster]

Giants all the way. Seahawks coming east for a 1pm game.

 

[QuizGuy66]

Tennessee at PittsburghSeattle at NY GiantsCincinnati at Jacksonville New Orleans at Carolina Oakland at Houston Philadelphia at Buffalo Kansas City at Indianapolis Arizona at Minnesota Tampa Bay at San Francisco NY Jets at New England San Diego at Denver Green Bay at Atlanta Chicago at Detroit Giants appear to be the no brainer pick. However, for those who have multiple entries still alive, do you go all in with them or spread the risk? Other options would appear to be NO (road team), CIN (solid D, but on the road, can you trust them?), and SF (TB going west plus short week). Thoughts?

I would steer clear of my young, inconsistent Bengals on either side of the ledger at this point.-QG

 

[Big Blue Wrecking Crew]

Tennessee at Pittsburgh

Seattle at NY Giants

Cincinnati at Jacksonville

New Orleans at Carolina

Oakland at Houston

Philadelphia at Buffalo

Kansas City at Indianapolis

Arizona at Minnesota

Tampa Bay at San Francisco

NY Jets at New England

San Diego at Denver

Green Bay at Atlanta

Chicago at Detroit

Giants appear to be the no brainer pick. However, for those who have multiple entries still alive, do you go all in with them or spread the risk? Other options would appear to be NO (road team), CIN (solid D, but on the road, can you trust them?), and SF (TB going west plus short week). Thoughts?

I would steer clear of my young, inconsistent Bengals on either side of the ledger at this point.-QG

After further thought, agreed.Think all know about the Survivor grid page, but here is another one I stumbled across:

Survivor Pool

Any other sites folks are using to gain some additional opinions/perspectives?

 

[Raider Nation]

Detroit? If the Bears had trouble stopping Carolina, I can't see them stopping the Lions on the road in what should be a raucous atmosphere.

I'd like more opinions on this. I have three spots in the same pool. I've already decided on New Orleans and Houston for the first two.I have Detroit penciled in for the last one, but something about the game is making me uneasy. Every time the Lions have high expectations, they seem to piss themselves. In my mind's eye, I can certainly see Detroit moving the ball on the Bears, but I can also see Cutler throwing on the Lions. Will the nutso home crown on Monday Night be enough to get them a victory?As I previously stated, I am avoiding the Giants. They have crapped the bed SO many times in spots like this. Plus, a Giants loss would likely knock out 70% of the pool. :fingers crossed:

 

[Instinctive]

I'm rocking the Saints. Just don't like picking against Oakland because McFadden can explode on any given Sunday...

 

[Buc in Exile]

I have Detroit penciled in for the last one, but something about the game is making me uneasy. Every time the Lions have high expectations, they seem to piss themselves. In my mind's eye, I can certainly see Detroit moving the ball on the Bears, but I can also see Cutler throwing on the Lions. Will the nutso home crown on Monday Night be enough to get them a victory?

If Cutler has time, yes. But can you trust that Bears o-line to hold up against Suh and Company?I hear what you're saying about this one though - to me, it kind of feels like the last Monday night game with the talent differential not being as big as may be perceived, but the better team is at home and hasn't had a Monday night game in forever.

 

[Raider Nation]

Call me nuts, but I think Philly is a sneaky play here. One, not a lot of people will be on them. Two, this is a "must-win" game for a team which was expected to contend for the Super Bowl, and three, Buffalo's passing game is its strength, and Philly has the All-World corners.

 

[Instinctive]

Call me nuts, but I think Philly is a sneaky play here. One, not a lot of people will be on them. Two, this is a "must-win" game for a team which was expected to contend for the Super Bowl, and three, Buffalo's passing game is its strength, and Philly has the All-World corners.

Doesn't Fred Jackson lead the league in rushing yards? Or after McFadden? I thought he was top 3 at least - would say the strength of their offense is simply the entire offense.

 

[BassNBrew]

I am having a hard time not picking Houston...

I don't disagree (unfortunately), but I'm not touching it without Andre.

Exactly my dilemma - which forces me to lean towards NO - but a road divisional game???????

That's my #1 option this week. Carolina has no chance to stop the Saints aerial attack, and their blitzes will cause Newton problems.

At the same time...a divisional road game? Anything can happen!!! It's so hard to pick, but with no AJ, I think I'm 80% of the way to choosing the Saints...and pulling hard against NY all game!

Cam could throw for 500 and rush for 4 TDs and the Saints would still win. There is no way Carolina can stop the Saints. Carolina also has one of the worst special teams in the league. It wouldn't surprise me if there's a net 20 yard change in favor of the Saints every two possessions. The defense gives up long runs and pass plays. In a fantasy league I'd start any 2 of their 3 RBs and any 3 of their 4 WRs and their backup TE and expect to come out with a win.As much as I would like to see the Panthers win this game and rocket Cam into stardom, it will never happen. I'm all over this game and it's the first time in three years I've taken a road team. I stayed away from Chicago last week because I had a feeling the Cats had about a 25% chance of winning. If they played this game 100 times, the Saints would roll in 99. In the 100th game there would be a rainstorm like 2 weeks ago and the entire Saints starting offense would drown on the sidelines...even then, it would be a coinflip.

 

[massraider]

Everyone I know is taking the Giants. It's probably the best time to take them, but Seattle has been competitive the last two weeks with decent teams, beating AZ and losing to ATL. Granted, they were at home, and that really helps, especially Seattle, but they aren't as terrible as I thought when I took SF over them in week 1. If that game happened this week, I wouldn't touch SF.

My main concern with taking the Giants is that they are a little Jekyll and Hyde, and everyone is on them. It's my own personal quirk, I hate taking the majority pick, if the favorite goes down, I like to avoid the bloodbath.

I am probably taking DET with my remaining entry (I hate you, Philly). I think even if Chicago's D plays to it's best, Stafford can score 21 without breaking a sweat. Not sure Cutler can.

 

[BassNBrew]

Everyone I know is taking the Giants. It's probably the best time to take them, but Seattle has been competitive the last two weeks with decent teams, beating AZ and losing to ATL. Granted, they were at home, and that really helps, especially Seattle, but they aren't as terrible as I thought when I took SF over them in week 1. If that game happened this week, I wouldn't touch SF. My main concern with taking the Giants is that they are a little Jekyll and Hyde, and everyone is on them. It's my own personal quirk, I hate taking the majority pick, if the favorite goes down, I like to avoid the bloodbath. I am probably taking DET with my remaining entry (I hate you, Philly). I think even if Chicago's D plays to it's best, Stafford can score 21 without breaking a sweat. Not sure Cutler can.

I'm not going to say Chicago is a great team, but what's changed from last year to this year. They are at least a sniff .500 type of team. One could argue Chicago is on par with Dallas who should have beaten the Lions last week. I'll save the Lions for when they play the Vikings at home.

 

[Raider Nation]

For the record, I went Philly/Houston/New Orleans with my three spots, and I will sell my first-born for a Giants LOSS!!!

 

[Buc in Exile]

My main concern with taking the Giants is that they are a little Jekyll and Hyde, and everyone is on them. It's my own personal quirk, I hate taking the majority pick, if the favorite goes down, I like to avoid the bloodbath.

I don't think you're unique in thinking this way. I generally follow that line of thinking myself, but I'm on the heavy favorite this time for a strategic reason. Looking at future lines from Week 6 onward, with the exception of Week 10, there appear to be at least four 7+ point home favorites to choose from each week. Obviously, things happen and those lines will move, but the point is there will be plenty of choices. We know not all of those will hit. My thinking is that the pool will weed itself out and by taking the non-majority pick during those weeks, you can stay alive and set yourself up for the stretch run. I really think Weeks 6-9 are where the pool can be won.

 

[Tiger Fan]

I am having a hard time not picking Houston...

I don't disagree (unfortunately), but I'm not touching it without Andre.

Exactly my dilemma - which forces me to lean towards NO - but a road divisional game???????

That's my #1 option this week. Carolina has no chance to stop the Saints aerial attack, and their blitzes will cause Newton problems.

Problem is, NO can give up points as well.Road divisional games violate 2 of the "big 4" survivor pool rules. I try to avoid the following (in order)1. No road teams2. No divisional games3. No prime time games4. No cross conference gamesI've got 2 entries this week and I'm going NYG and Houston. If I had a 3rd I'd go Indy

 

[Tiger Fan]

Saints of Giants no doubt IMO.Don't like Indy at all. Just because they rose up and played decent for 1 MNF game that everyone saw doesn't mean they are going to win this week. If anything, I would say the MNF hangover could work against them.

They played well vs. Pittsburgh too

 

[Jimboozie]

for sneaky plays, i really like the vikings. debating taking them for one entry instead of putting all my eggs into eli's basket.

no team wants to start 0-5, have to think they go all out vs the cardinals who are pretty awful. peterson is a beast at home. vikings hung in there with san diego, tampa, and detroit.

 

[Jimboozie]

also just wanna say that there's no way i'd bet against cam newton and the panthers, total wild-card.

 

[Dexter Manley]

Everyone I know is taking the Giants. It's probably the best time to take them, but Seattle has been competitive the last two weeks with decent teams, beating AZ and losing to ATL. Granted, they were at home, and that really helps, especially Seattle, but they aren't as terrible as I thought when I took SF over them in week 1. If that game happened this week, I wouldn't touch SF. My main concern with taking the Giants is that they are a little Jekyll and Hyde, and everyone is on them. It's my own personal quirk, I hate taking the majority pick, if the favorite goes down, I like to avoid the bloodbath. I am probably taking DET with my remaining entry (I hate you, Philly). I think even if Chicago's D plays to it's best, Stafford can score 21 without breaking a sweat. Not sure Cutler can.

So are you going to avoid taking the Gmen all year? The only other good spot to take the Giants is week 8 at home vs. Miami (and the Giants are coming off their bye week in that game). But they're a few other good teams to take in week 8: Baltimore vs. Arizona, Houston vs. Jax, and Tennessee vs. Indy. I like Baltimore and Houston in week 8 better than any other non-Giants team this week.Personally, I think the Giants match up better vs. Seattle than Miami. The Giants DL is a huge mismatch for the pourous Seattle OL. And remember, the Giants destroyed Seattle last year at Qwest Field. While any team can win on any given sunday and all that, passing on the Giants here is sort of like passing on a chance to go allin preflop with AA vs. someone elses 99's.

 

[Raiderfan32904]

In my 1000+ entry, local radio station pool (that are still alive) 70% are choosing the G-Men, and the Saints are 2nd with 6%, and from there a few 1% teams.

Updated numbers:

Week 5 Top Survivor Picks

# Pk #1 % Pk #2 %

1 NYG 69 % %

2 NOR 8 % %

3 NWE 6 % %

4 HOU 5 % %

5 DET 2 % %

6 SDG 2 % %

7 IND 1 % %

8 GNB 1 % %

9 PHI 1 % %

10 NYJ 1 % %

11 PIT 1 % %

12 MIN 1 % %

 

[massraider]

Everyone I know is taking the Giants. It's probably the best time to take them, but Seattle has been competitive the last two weeks with decent teams, beating AZ and losing to ATL. Granted, they were at home, and that really helps, especially Seattle, but they aren't as terrible as I thought when I took SF over them in week 1. If that game happened this week, I wouldn't touch SF. My main concern with taking the Giants is that they are a little Jekyll and Hyde, and everyone is on them. It's my own personal quirk, I hate taking the majority pick, if the favorite goes down, I like to avoid the bloodbath. I am probably taking DET with my remaining entry (I hate you, Philly). I think even if Chicago's D plays to it's best, Stafford can score 21 without breaking a sweat. Not sure Cutler can.

So are you going to avoid taking the Gmen all year?

Hey, maybe.

The only other good spot to take the Giants is week 8 at home vs. Miami (and the Giants are coming off their bye week in that game). But they're a few other good teams to take in week 8: Baltimore vs. Arizona, Houston vs. Jax, and Tennessee vs. Indy. I like Baltimore and Houston in week 8 better than any other non-Giants team this week.Personally, I think the Giants match up better vs. Seattle than Miami. The Giants DL is a huge mismatch for the pourous Seattle OL. And remember, the Giants destroyed Seattle last year at Qwest Field. While any team can win on any given sunday and all that, passing on the Giants here is sort of like passing on a chance to go allin preflop with AA vs. someone elses 99's.

The Giants are not a pair of Aces. And really, they aren't even close. And I couldn't care less what happened last year. I think if you make bets based on last year's result, you'll be hurting.I may actually wind up picking them, I just don't think it's the slam dunk I would have thought three weeks ago. And really, now that you mention Miami, I think I might like that matchup just fine. Henne out for the year, I think their coach is a joke, no pass rush, and no deep threat in the passing game. What keeps me coming back to the Giants is that Seattle has to go to NY. I assume, like any team with a nice HFA, that they won't look as good on the road. In general, I think Seattle has to play one of their better games to beat the Giants, so I am not calling an upset here. I am saying that the Seahawks have played OK the last two weeks, looking better than I thought they would all year, b ased on what I saw in August. I was thinking about the Giants, and I realized it isn't just them, it's that whole division I want no part of. Any team in that division can lose to any team in the league on any given Sunday.

 

[doeseatplace]

Everyone I know is taking the Giants. It's probably the best time to take them, but Seattle has been competitive the last two weeks with decent teams, beating AZ and losing to ATL. Granted, they were at home, and that really helps, especially Seattle, but they aren't as terrible as I thought when I took SF over them in week 1. If that game happened this week, I wouldn't touch SF. My main concern with taking the Giants is that they are a little Jekyll and Hyde, and everyone is on them. It's my own personal quirk, I hate taking the majority pick, if the favorite goes down, I like to avoid the bloodbath. I am probably taking DET with my remaining entry (I hate you, Philly). I think even if Chicago's D plays to it's best, Stafford can score 21 without breaking a sweat. Not sure Cutler can.

So are you going to avoid taking the Gmen all year?

Hey, maybe.

The only other good spot to take the Giants is week 8 at home vs. Miami (and the Giants are coming off their bye week in that game). But they're a few other good teams to take in week 8: Baltimore vs. Arizona, Houston vs. Jax, and Tennessee vs. Indy. I like Baltimore and Houston in week 8 better than any other non-Giants team this week.Personally, I think the Giants match up better vs. Seattle than Miami. The Giants DL is a huge mismatch for the pourous Seattle OL. And remember, the Giants destroyed Seattle last year at Qwest Field. While any team can win on any given sunday and all that, passing on the Giants here is sort of like passing on a chance to go allin preflop with AA vs. someone elses 99's.

The Giants are not a pair of Aces. And really, they aren't even close. And I couldn't care less what happened last year. I think if you make bets based on last year's result, you'll be hurting.I may actually wind up picking them, I just don't think it's the slam dunk I would have thought three weeks ago. And really, now that you mention Miami, I think I might like that matchup just fine. Henne out for the year, I think their coach is a joke, no pass rush, and no deep threat in the passing game. What keeps me coming back to the Giants is that Seattle has to go to NY. I assume, like any team with a nice HFA, that they won't look as good on the road. In general, I think Seattle has to play one of their better games to beat the Giants, so I am not calling an upset here. I am saying that the Seahawks have played OK the last two weeks, looking better than I thought they would all year, b ased on what I saw in August. I was thinking about the Giants, and I realized it isn't just them, it's that whole division I want no part of. Any team in that division can lose to any team in the league on any given Sunday.

This. I'm pulling the Giants this week, but I don't like it

 

[johnadams]

I have to avoid the Giants. One of these weeks, an overwhelming favorite will get upset and take 5/8 of the pool with them.

Why not Eli?

I'm thinking along these lines as well. Might be overthinking, but of all the double digit lines I've seen this year, this is the scariest. In reality, Giants should destroy a pretty terrible SEA team (though their D is not totally sucking), but the Giants always lay a few turds and this could be the game. Coupled with the potential of seriously hacking down the pool entrants (60-70%), it's worth going against the smart play. This week looks like a good spot to try to make a move.

 

[swampdog]

Used: SD, PIT, TEN, TBWeek 05: NYG

Wrong place for this.Hope you catch it.

 

[Rooni]

Everyone I know is taking the Giants. It's probably the best time to take them, but Seattle has been competitive the last two weeks with decent teams, beating AZ and losing to ATL. Granted, they were at home, and that really helps, especially Seattle, but they aren't as terrible as I thought when I took SF over them in week 1. If that game happened this week, I wouldn't touch SF. My main concern with taking the Giants is that they are a little Jekyll and Hyde, and everyone is on them. It's my own personal quirk, I hate taking the majority pick, if the favorite goes down, I like to avoid the bloodbath. I am probably taking DET with my remaining entry (I hate you, Philly). I think even if Chicago's D plays to it's best, Stafford can score 21 without breaking a sweat. Not sure Cutler can.

So are you going to avoid taking the Gmen all year? The only other good spot to take the Giants is week 8 at home vs. Miami (and the Giants are coming off their bye week in that game). But they're a few other good teams to take in week 8: Baltimore vs. Arizona, Houston vs. Jax, and Tennessee vs. Indy. I like Baltimore and Houston in week 8 better than any other non-Giants team this week.Personally, I think the Giants match up better vs. Seattle than Miami. The Giants DL is a huge mismatch for the pourous Seattle OL. And remember, the Giants destroyed Seattle last year at Qwest Field. While any team can win on any given sunday and all that, passing on the Giants here is sort of like passing on a chance to go allin preflop with AA vs. someone elses 99's.

And yet the Giants are only a 9.5 favorite. Look there are 2 ways to win your pool: 1) Survive to the end and/or 2) Have everyone else lose. This week a huge majority of people (yahoo has it over 70%) picking the Giants. On that number alone you should be looking for another team to choose.

 

[modogg]

are people avoiding the Packers because there are better spots for them later? i'm in a league where you can pick teams multiple times, but each week some of the favorites are not available (this week it is the 2 largest, NYG and NE). so i can pick any team except those 2 without worrying about future considerations, so are the Packers the best bet then?

 

[Raider Nation]

are people avoiding the Packers because there are better spots for them later?

Yep. In fact, I have them penciled in TWICE in week 10. That's a lean week and I can't see them losing to the Vikes at home on MNF.

 

[modogg]

are people avoiding the Packers because there are better spots for them later?

Yep. In fact, I have them penciled in TWICE in week 10. That's a lean week and I can't see them losing to the Vikes at home on MNF.

thanks bud, sounds good. I had 5 picks in this pool to start, and i'm down to 1. Lost 2 of them on the silly Browns week 1, and the damn Eagles burned me twice against the Giants for 1, and last week against the 49'ers. I would have put a ton of money on last week that the Eagles would not lose to the 49'ers, so at this point i am waiting a bit before i think anything about them. I think they will get better as the season goes on, so for you guys in the traditional survivor leagues they could be a nice safe bet later in the year

 

[Raider Nation]

are people avoiding the Packers because there are better spots for them later?

Yep. In fact, I have them penciled in TWICE in week 10. That's a lean week and I can't see them losing to the Vikes at home on MNF.

thanks bud, sounds good. I had 5 picks in this pool to start, and i'm down to 1. Lost 2 of them on the silly Browns week 1, and the damn Eagles burned me twice against the Giants for 1, and last week against the 49'ers. I would have put a ton of money on last week that the Eagles would not lose to the 49'ers, so at this point i am waiting a bit before i think anything about them. I think they will get better as the season goes on, so for you guys in the traditional survivor leagues they could be a nice safe bet later in the year

As stated above, I took your Eagles with one of the spots this week. (Pray for me...)I just think Philly's season is O-V-E-R if they lose to the Bills, and they know it. I'll trust Reid on this one.

 

[Raider Nation]

Avoided the Giants because of reasons stated above: everyone is on them, and sooner or later you have to take chances and hope.

Avoided the Pats because the Jets can give their WRs problems, and New England's defense stinks. Perfect cure for N.Y.'s offense.

Avoided the Lions because.... I'm not sure really. Just feel a weird vibe about this game, like with the Bucs last week.

 

[modogg]

are people avoiding the Packers because there are better spots for them later?

Yep. In fact, I have them penciled in TWICE in week 10. That's a lean week and I can't see them losing to the Vikes at home on MNF.

thanks bud, sounds good. I had 5 picks in this pool to start, and i'm down to 1. Lost 2 of them on the silly Browns week 1, and the damn Eagles burned me twice against the Giants for 1, and last week against the 49'ers. I would have put a ton of money on last week that the Eagles would not lose to the 49'ers, so at this point i am waiting a bit before i think anything about them. I think they will get better as the season goes on, so for you guys in the traditional survivor leagues they could be a nice safe bet later in the year

As stated above, I took your Eagles with one of the spots this week. (Pray for me...)I just think Philly's season is O-V-E-R if they lose to the Bills, and they know it. I'll trust Reid on this one.

I think you may be safe with it. Ballsy, but the Eagles are notorious for losing the games they should win, and then they win games they should lose to bring your interest back and reignite the hope that they may be good. The reason they have lost the 3 games they have so far are because of silly reasons, and i am guessing that Castillo simplifies the defense a lot so the playmakers can play like they want to. And i agree with you that Detroit does not have a good feeling to it either, Monday night, division foe just seems like a possible bad spot

 

[griff321]

Avoided the Giants because of reasons stated above: everyone is on them, and sooner or later you have to take chances and hope.

Avoided the Pats because the Jets can give their WRs problems, and New England's defense stinks. Perfect cure for N.Y.'s offense.

Avoided the Lions because.... I'm not sure really. Just feel a weird vibe about this game, like with the Bucs last week.

I get your logic here, but I just think it's completely backwards. It's like not taking a pick because it's too good. Sure anything can happen from week to week in the NFL, but they don't get much easier than this. So, if your team falls this week and the 70% move on then what would you say. "Well I had to take a chance." I just don't get why now and here. Look how many people were on SD vs KC, and that game had way more negative upset factors. Plenty of teams will start to rack up injuries and fall off the map a week or two, but I just don't think this is the week. I think you're starting to over think things here.

Tarvaris Fking Jackson. On the road. /thread

 

[Big Blue Wrecking Crew]

For the Houston pickers, any change of heart with the passing of Al Davis? Know he wasn't as plugged in as in the past, but have to imagine the Raiders come out to pay homage.

 

[Raider Nation]

For the Houston pickers, any change of heart with the passing of Al Davis? Know he wasn't as plugged in as in the past, but have to imagine the Raiders come out to pay homage.

If anything, it just creates a bigger distraction.Especially since my pick is already locked in.

 

[Big Blue Wrecking Crew]

Rolling the dice with Indy today. Just not feeling the Texans w/ Al's passing and on hold with NO due to second road game plus a divisional game to boot.

Also going with NYG and DET with my other picks. Good luck to all (unless you picked against me... )