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Week 8 DFS (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter TwinTurbo
- Start date
KarmaPolice
Footballguy
Early top stacks are LaR by far, then Buff, LaC, and Cinci.
SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
Gronk is back at practice, so Brady versus New Orleans is in play. NO is a pass funnel defense which is a bad matchup trying to defend Tampa's offense. Marcus Lattimore will give Mike Evans some trouble, but Godwin and Gronk should produce.
TwinTurbo
Footballguy
I've been all-in for Brady this season (and Gronk too) but the Saints wooped them twice last year. This is a new year. Bucs are better, Saints are arguably worse. But is this really an excellent matchup for Brady? I'm not sold on it yet.
SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
That's fair. I think Stafford is the best play, but I'm not sure that Allen vs a division rival, Herbert vs Belichick (Ravens Lite) or Burrow vs Jets are better than Brady's chances. I probably have it Stafford >> Brady, Burrow > Allen, Herbert as most probable outcomes, but factoring in ceilings I'll probably have it Stafford, Brady, Allen > Burrow, Herbert (I expect Joe Mixon and Eckler to sap some of the Cincy and LAC fantasy output).
TwinTurbo
Footballguy
Agree on everything you said. I might fade Stafford depending on how popular that stack looks by end of week. But the Rams will probably smash Houston.
FatNate
Footballguy
Henderson killed people last week, but I am going back to him this week. I believe you could say the same for him eating into some of Stafford’s production, much like Mixon and Ekeler.
FatNate
Footballguy
I do not think it is a plus matchup for Brady. But, I will have plenty and I hope others stay away, so I get it at lower ownership. Saints D looks to be for real, but It seems in today’s NFL good offense beats good defense most weeks.
FatNate
Footballguy
Personally, I love the Bills matchup. I think Allen has a great week and paired with Diggs could be huge. I believe Diggs is due for a monster week. With all that said, I am not sure if I can fit Allen in and like the rest of the lineup. I have not started building yet.
Steeler
Footballguy
I haven't looked at anything yet, but I'm hoping Allen comes in a low-ish ownership because I like the matchup as well.
KarmaPolice
Footballguy
When I looked he was QB2 on DK and QB1 on FD. Near 20% on FD which is a bit nuts for a QB. I usually don't see much more than 13% or so in projections, especially for a 12 game slate.
However, it make sense - no Mahomes, Murray, Lamar, etc..
SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
My $2 entry has this but with Nuk instead of Jones. I hacked my $1 entry to align with your Ertz option. I risked a whole dollar on 20 $0.05 pooch entries. #bigspender
KarmaPolice
Footballguy
Good on you for finding it, but it seems like every time I get excited and chase some it fills up in the last few minutes.
KarmaPolice
Footballguy
Doing a few on DK. I went with Jones in cpt, both Qbs, and then Tonyan instead of a WR for GB.
Jones - cpt
Murray, Rodgers, Edmonds, Tonyan, Dillon
Jones - cpt
Murray, Rodgers, Edmonds, Tonyan, Dillon
KarmaPolice
Footballguy
That said, there is a $3 gpp currently at 3K out of 16K that I will keep an eye on. It's a 20max contest, so might not fill as fast or fully.
BassNBrew
Footballguy
Hope you guys tailed this. Both lineups were winners even without overlay and Murray as MVP who turned out to be not even a top 5 choice. When the fantasy gods gift you like this, build your bankroll.
KarmaPolice
Footballguy
I was $12 in, $60 out. Best LU was 103pts for $48.
For all 4 I did Jones cpt, Rodgers/Murray/Dillon. Then did Cobb/Edmonds/Green/Tonyan/Kirk combos in the other 2 spots.
For all 4 I did Jones cpt, Rodgers/Murray/Dillon. Then did Cobb/Edmonds/Green/Tonyan/Kirk combos in the other 2 spots.
FatNate
Footballguy
I want free money too! I checked and did not see the overlay opportunities. Did I just miss it? Was this on FanDuel or Draft Kings?
FatNate
Footballguy
From RG, for FD, at QB:
14.8% Hurts
12.7% Brady
12% Stafford
11.1% Allen
8.7% Herbert
6% Burrow
All others are projecting at less than 5%.
BassNBrew
Footballguy
Didn't see the typically single game overlay last night on FD.
There was a Thur-Mon gpp that only filled to about 50%, I entered my Randall Cobb and placeholders lineup right at lock but forgot all your placeholders can't be from the same team. That's free money gone.
FatNate
Footballguy
Nothing fancy or ground breaking here.
Using mostly Allen, Hurts, Herbert, Stafford, Brady, and Burrow at QB
Fading Henry completely.
Optimizer loved Deebo and I have none.
I stacked, but not as much as previous weeks. I do not like the other side, as much.
Tons of Mitchell, Goedart, Henderson, and Diggs.
I like Brown and Pittman stacked together this week.
I wish I had more Mixon and Swift.
I like this lineup: Burrow - Gainwell/Mitchell/Hubbard - Chase/Brown/Pittman - Pitts - 49ers
Using mostly Allen, Hurts, Herbert, Stafford, Brady, and Burrow at QB
Fading Henry completely.
Optimizer loved Deebo and I have none.
I stacked, but not as much as previous weeks. I do not like the other side, as much.
Tons of Mitchell, Goedart, Henderson, and Diggs.
I like Brown and Pittman stacked together this week.
I wish I had more Mixon and Swift.
I like this lineup: Burrow - Gainwell/Mitchell/Hubbard - Chase/Brown/Pittman - Pitts - 49ers
FatNate
Footballguy
Week 8 Contest -- $5 -- Top 2 Paid -- Ten Person -- Main Slate
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https://www.fanduel.com/entry/65904-250576250?invitedBy=fatnate&cnl=ba
Courtjester
The Town Drunk
I haven't felt confident enough to post in the DFS thread because I just really started getting into this over the past couple years. I had no idea what I was doing and basically was just giving DK my money. I still have no idea what I am doing, but lately, I have started to cash in some tourneys--usually small amounts, but did get $150 the other day. I have to tell you on that $150 it was sort of bittersweet because in the 4th quarter of MNF, I made the mistake of looking at my score and I was sitting at #1 winning like $2500, but that didn't hold.
I know some guys that are making some big bank off DFS, but I honestly am only putting 10-15 NFL entries a week in $2 or $3 tourneys and I know that it is going to take blind squirrel luck to take down the big bucks. I usually just watch every video I can find on youtube for recommended players and then do my own research to supplement. Is there a source you guys use over others? It just seems like I can hit most of my picks, but I always pick that one or two players that under-perform and they just kill the whole slate.
I have been off all week and doing NBA DFS and have won small amounts every day doing 5-10 entries a night.
My newbie thoughts this week:
I like Herbert or Hurts and I am going to throw together a Bridgewater/Sutton stack to totally be contrarian.
There seem to be obvious RB choices this week to mix and match. I think Gainwell to go with Hurts is a good stack and then use Swift on the flip side of the ball. Jackson for the Chargers could be a sneaky play if Ekeler is out.
I really like E. Sanders this week over Diggs. I also like Godwin and Claypool if healthy
You know Brady will try and get Gronk a TD, but Uzomah looks worth a dart throw..
I am still working on things, but this is what I have so far.
I know some guys that are making some big bank off DFS, but I honestly am only putting 10-15 NFL entries a week in $2 or $3 tourneys and I know that it is going to take blind squirrel luck to take down the big bucks. I usually just watch every video I can find on youtube for recommended players and then do my own research to supplement. Is there a source you guys use over others? It just seems like I can hit most of my picks, but I always pick that one or two players that under-perform and they just kill the whole slate.
I have been off all week and doing NBA DFS and have won small amounts every day doing 5-10 entries a night.
My newbie thoughts this week:
I like Herbert or Hurts and I am going to throw together a Bridgewater/Sutton stack to totally be contrarian.
There seem to be obvious RB choices this week to mix and match. I think Gainwell to go with Hurts is a good stack and then use Swift on the flip side of the ball. Jackson for the Chargers could be a sneaky play if Ekeler is out.
I really like E. Sanders this week over Diggs. I also like Godwin and Claypool if healthy
You know Brady will try and get Gronk a TD, but Uzomah looks worth a dart throw..
I am still working on things, but this is what I have so far.
KarmaPolice
Footballguy
Now it's LaR, Buff, Philly, TB. Rams 3x Philly, and Buff 2x Philly, so like last week there is a big difference b/t the top teams and the rest.
Leverage is LaR, Buff, TB, and Cinci b/c Hurts' ownership is 2x what they have the Philly top stack % at.
KarmaPolice
Footballguy
Interesting. awesemo has:
Hurts-16.6
Allen - 14.6
Stafford, Herbert, Brady at 8-9%
Burrow 5%
everybody else <5%
TwinTurbo
Footballguy
For some reason, I like the Lions D this week. It's probably a huge mistake but I could see them getting a def TD against Philly.
FatNate
Footballguy
FatNate
Footballguy
FatNate
Footballguy
TwinTurbo
Footballguy
I also like Jackson, E.Sanders (over Diggs), Godwin, Gronk, Uzomah. I am looking at Claypool as well.
And I definitely like that Den/Was game for contrarian gpp stacks.
TwinTurbo
Footballguy
That's my thinking. This Eagles team is not good. Poorly coached and a fair amount of players that wouldn't start for any other team, even the Lions. Plus the Lions have Duce Staley coaching on their sideline. I think they get the win.
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KarmaPolice
Footballguy
So far just doing 3 teams this week. I think it will be 2 Stafford and 1 Allen, and I think in all 3 it will have minimum 5 players from those games.
The first shell I like is Stafford/Henderson/Jefferson + Sanders/Gesicki . I added in a RB from the SF/Chic game (I like both sides, and they are exactly the same price).
That gives me 16.2 for DT, WR, Flex.
I like a lot of the late game WRs - Godwin, Evans, McLaurin, Sutton, Williams, etc. And I like the DTs in the was/Denver game, so the plan for that LU is to use spots from those games and I can use a lot of swapping depending on how those earlier plays hit.
For placeholder I used Denv D, Sutton, and Godwin.
The first shell I like is Stafford/Henderson/Jefferson + Sanders/Gesicki . I added in a RB from the SF/Chic game (I like both sides, and they are exactly the same price).
That gives me 16.2 for DT, WR, Flex.
I like a lot of the late game WRs - Godwin, Evans, McLaurin, Sutton, Williams, etc. And I like the DTs in the was/Denver game, so the plan for that LU is to use spots from those games and I can use a lot of swapping depending on how those earlier plays hit.
For placeholder I used Denv D, Sutton, and Godwin.
SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
I had several lineups with Ridley, Gronk and Pitts. I switched a lot of Gronk lineups to Pitts at 12:59 which was a mistake with Ridley out for "personal reasons".
I'm amazed that I was able to salvage $97 in winnings from $105 in entries. The payoff line was really low this week on FD....lots of 1TD performances for 10-15 points.
I'm amazed that I was able to salvage $97 in winnings from $105 in entries. The payoff line was really low this week on FD....lots of 1TD performances for 10-15 points.
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Steeler
Footballguy
On DK 23 in and 160 out. My Milly maker entry was so close... C. Wentz, M. Carter, D. Samuel, A. Brown, M. Pittman, and C. Godwin were great and the WTF D was good.
However, K. Gainwell and K. Pitts prevented this lineup from having a chance a big score. Gainwell was the really frustrating one since PHI scored 4 rushing TDs!!!! and he ended up with only 27 yards rushing
On to week 9.
However, K. Gainwell and K. Pitts prevented this lineup from having a chance a big score. Gainwell was the really frustrating one since PHI scored 4 rushing TDs!!!! and he ended up with only 27 yards rushing
On to week 9.
SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
It was good to see Pittman continue to be treated like the alpha with TY on the field.
KarmaPolice
Footballguy
Break even across the 2 sites, mostly b/c I was over on the Buff/Mia game again, and had 0 of the Tenn/Indy game. Oh well.
Tonight I don't have much of a clue for showdown, but after Xing out a couple guys and running optimals it gave me a lot of McKinnon in cpt LUs.
Tonight I don't have much of a clue for showdown, but after Xing out a couple guys and running optimals it gave me a lot of McKinnon in cpt LUs.
KarmaPolice
Footballguy
I don't seem to ever get T.Hill right. Starting to really dislike that guy.
