I'd most certainly draft Nix over Penix right now for a couple reasons. 1. He was hand chosen by Payton. 2. He has a clear path to the starting job THIS YEAR. It's pretty clear that Penix is more talented, but I don't see him playing for at least another year and my goal is to hit up the disgruntled Penix owners next draft season when he's done exactly squat.I've only had 1 draft so far. I took Penix at 2.02 (SF). Nix was still available. Not sure it's enough to call it a reach. Doing mocks on sleeper, it seemed like he was going around 2.04/2.05 a lot. He was going after Nix quite a bit.
Top 8 draft capital QB in a SF league. I think the Falcons blunder of paying Cousins a fat stack and then drafting a QB top 10 has pushed Penix down the draft boards. I think people keep hearing the criticism of the pick and it translates in their head to Penix is a bad player. And I question if some people don't want to be the guy that took the bad pick by the Falcons.
You may have to wait a year or two. He has knee injury history. He also has very nice offensive weapons in London, Pitts, Bijan. He has a very good offensive line to help limit the pressure. At the end of the day, a QB picked top 10 (top 8 even) going 2nd round in a superflex feels great.
I’ll take “what are examples of NOT reaching in my rookie draft” for $500, AlexWe drafted a week after the NFL draft and I got some confused looks for trading up into the 3rd round (had previously traded away my own 3rd) to take Jermaine Burton at 3.03 and Kimani Vidal at 3.07. Now it seems consensus thinks that fair, if not good, value for Burton. Vidal is more I don't have a dire need for RB right now so I have little problem benching him this season as they work out their glut of meh guys they have in that backfield currently. I think he has the skill set to play 3 downs (not that he will be an 80% guy, but he's not a liability on the field in the RZ or 3rd and long either), and could be the lead guy as soon as 2025.
Later I packaged a few of my later picks and a future to move spots and grabbed the 4/5 turn picks and took Guerendo (similar reasoning as Vidal for me, I can wait out CMC so long as he doesn't have Henry like longevity) and Cade Stover. Stover was one of my top TEs, I want another piece of this Houston offense, he played well with Stroud at Ohio State, I don't think Schultz is anything special, and as of now Houston doesn't have any receiving threats locked up long term. I'm sure they will pay one or two of their guys. but I think Stover is a higher potential/higher pay off lottery ticket at a tough position to nail down.
Lol yeah I've pretty much checked out since early May so I have 0 clue where ADPs settled up since then. I know at the time most of those picks were looked at as "reaches" by at least a round or so. Also that was more consensus ADP, not FBG board ADP which winds up being much more shrewd than the rest of the public. Part of the reason I stay around all my fellow degenerates here haha.I’ll take “what are examples of NOT reaching in my rookie draft” for $500, AlexWe drafted a week after the NFL draft and I got some confused looks for trading up into the 3rd round (had previously traded away my own 3rd) to take Jermaine Burton at 3.03 and Kimani Vidal at 3.07. Now it seems consensus thinks that fair, if not good, value for Burton. Vidal is more I don't have a dire need for RB right now so I have little problem benching him this season as they work out their glut of meh guys they have in that backfield currently. I think he has the skill set to play 3 downs (not that he will be an 80% guy, but he's not a liability on the field in the RZ or 3rd and long either), and could be the lead guy as soon as 2025.
Later I packaged a few of my later picks and a future to move spots and grabbed the 4/5 turn picks and took Guerendo (similar reasoning as Vidal for me, I can wait out CMC so long as he doesn't have Henry like longevity) and Cade Stover. Stover was one of my top TEs, I want another piece of this Houston offense, he played well with Stroud at Ohio State, I don't think Schultz is anything special, and as of now Houston doesn't have any receiving threats locked up long term. I'm sure they will pay one or two of their guys. but I think Stover is a higher potential/higher pay off lottery ticket at a tough position to nail down.
![]()
4.11 and 5.02? Not reaches at all. I like both of them as potential value picks.4.11 Brenden Rice 5.02 Flournoy Ryan
Penix at 2.02 in a SF could ultimately prove to be a value pick for patient dynasty managers.I've only had 1 draft so far. I took Penix at 2.02 (SF).
I agree that Nix probably deserves to be drafted ahead of Penix for now in pretty much any format, although I like the upsides of both. Penix has arguably the best arm in this class, but Nix is a talented QB, as well. He will not make the wow throws that Penix can make, but wow doesn't necessarily translate into fantasy points.I'd most certainly draft Nix over Penix right now for a couple reasons. 1. He was hand chosen by Payton. 2. He has a clear path to the starting job THIS YEAR. It's pretty clear that Penix is more talented, but I don't see him playing for at least another year and my goal is to hit up the disgruntled Penix owners next draft season when he's done exactly squat.
I got him 3.02 in a 16 team league, so 34 overall. A little run on IDP picks helped but I thought it was a bargain.Now it seems consensus thinks that fair, if not good, value for Burton
I had the choice of Burton, Corley, or Esrime, and had them ranked in that order.Could have taken Corley, McCaffery, Allen, Vidal or Davis instead.
Never a truer statement.my fellow degenerates
This is the "Who did you reach for" thread, not the "Who did you possibly steal" thread.4.11 Brenden Rice 5.02 Flournoy Ryan
Yeah, i just looked at my situation, and the WRs I already have, 6 of them none older than entering their 3rd year in the league, and already drafted Coleman with 1.12, McCarthy at 2.12, so I figured it was time to get some RB options. Got Irving later, but doubt he makes my club due to roster limit.I had the choice of Burton, Corley, or Esrime, and had them ranked in that order.Could have taken Corley, McCaffery, Allen, Vidal or Davis instead.
Burton and Vidal aren't bad prospects to reach on, but it is probably more about who you had to pass on to take them. (I was hoping to land Vidal late in a recent draft but missed out. I got Tyrone Tracy as a consolation.)I reached for Burton and Vidal. Hoping it doesn't kill me. I passed on guys that have good odds to make those decisions look pretty, pretty bad.
I've been wrong a lot but I always believe in get your guy. I'd rather be wrong picking the player I want than being wrong picking from consensus. My league is pretty casual and not a lot of trading, so I don't have the luxury of trading down and gathering assets, managers are fine just picking where they are. So if I want someone I may need to reach and get them several picks ahead of where they'd normally go.I reached for Burton and Vidal. Hoping it doesn't kill me. I passed on guys that have good odds to make those decisions look pretty, pretty bad.
This is such a big factor in enjoyment in this hobby. If I wasn't making my own decisions then what's the point. I have swerved from my thoughts for the consensus sometimes and it always feels wrong. Stick to your guns and own your team.I'd rather be wrong picking the player I want than being wrong picking from consensus.