LionFan78 has sold me on the Iggles this year - here's his Eagles Def. breakdown...
PHILADELPHIA
2007 Fantasy Finish: 27th
Defensive Losses: DT Ian Scott, CB William James, LB Takeo Spikes, DE Jevon Kearse.
Defensive Additions/Contract Status: LB Rocky Boiman (1 year), DE Chris Clemons (five years); CB Asante Samuel, (six years, $57 million).
Rookies/Round Drafted: DT Trevor Laws (2nd), OLB Bryan Smith (3rd), FS Quintin Demps (4th), CB Jack Ikegwuonu (4th), ILB Joe Mays (6th), OLB Andy Studebaker (6th)
Notes: DE Chris Clemens should be a factor in the pass rush this season. Philadelphia had an average number of sacks last year, so this should help. Asante Samuel was easily the most sought after defensive player in free agency. He will no doubt provide a well-needed level of playmaking ability. Rookie Trevor Laws is an instant fit in DC Jim Johnson’s 4-3 scheme. LB Bryan Smith, although undersized, is extremely quick and could fit in at weakside linebacker. FS Quintin Demps was a former 3-year starter, with 17 career interceptions at UTEP. And let’s not overlook WR/KR Desean Jackson. For a club that finished at the bottom in special teams touchdowns last year, he’s an impact upgrade.
Fantasy Points Allowed for 2007
QB Points – 14.1 (t-23rd)
RB Points – 15.6 (27th)
WR Points – 20.5 (t-16th)
TE Points - 5.5 (23rd)
2007 Stats - Top Third - Middle Third - Bottom Third
95.8 Rushing Yards Per Game Allowed (7th)
215.6 Passing Yards Per Game Allowed (18th)
18.8 Points Allowed Per Game (9th)
11 Interceptions (t-30th)
8 Fumble Recoveries (t-27th)
37 sacks (t-9th)
0 safeties
2007 Breakout/Bust Fantasy Performances
W3 - DET (15 FP)
W15 - @DAL (17 FP)
W7 - CHI (1 FP)
W9 - DAL (-5 FP)
W12 - @NE (-1 FP)
Projected Favorable Matchups: 7
W1 vs. STL
W4 @ CHI
W5 vs. WAS
W6 @ SF
W8 vs. ATL
W12 @ BAL
W13 vs. ARI
Projected Tough Matchups: 5
W2 @ DAL
W3 vs. PIT
W10 vs. NYG
W14 @ NYG
W15 vs. CLE
Favorable Bye-week Matchups:
NYJ (@ OAK)
MIA (vs. BAL)
HOU (vs. DET)
BAL (@ MIA)
Combo Defenses: MIA. Besides a difficult decision week 2, against either NE or PIT, Miami matches up very well with Philadelphia, and counters Philly’s rough fantasy playoff schedule with 3 very solid matchups (@BUF, SF, @KC). Although they’ll likely be one of the higher defenses chosen, MIN also matches up perfectly with PHI, with the exception of having to choose between IND or DAL week 2. Honorable mentions include TEN and KC.
Fantasy Playoff Schedule (Weeks 14-16): @NYG, CLE, @WAS
Quick Hits: Zero defense/special teams touchdowns last season…..2 NFC east matchups during the fantasy playoffs (weeks 14-16)…..Actually finished worse last season in leagues that don’t penalize/award points for points-allowed.
Breakdown: Philadelphia was just a mess last year for fantasy football purposes. Drafted in the top half of nearly every league, they finished a mere 27th in scoring. Problem is, when you look at their numbers, they really don’t look bad at all. They ranked in the top 10 in rushing yards allowed per game (7th) and points-allowed per game (9th), as well as sacks (9th). The problem was turnovers and special teams. And turnovers are what make the world go around for fantasy defenses. They were near the bottom of the league in interceptions with 11, and were in a four-way tie for 27th in fumble recoveries. Add to that fact that they scored zero special teams/defensive touchdowns, and you can see why they fared so poorly. They also had a very tough fantasy playoff stretch, with games against future Super Bowl Champion NY Giants, Dallas and an improved New Orleans team.
Outlook: Philadelphia shouldn’t be one of the top defenses drafted off your league’s board this year. Too many people will remember their letdown performance from last year. You’ll be able to grab them relatively late, and if “Defense by Committee” is your approach, there are plenty of teams that match up perfectly with them. I only wish they had a better fantasy playoff stretch. There’s certainly reason for optimism here. There’s no reason to believe that they can’t improve on last year’s horrible turnover and touchdown totals with Asante Samuel hanging out in center field, which should elevate their value even more in leagues that don’t penalize for points-allowed. Remember folks, they’re a good football team. Good fantasy defenses can thrive on good offenses. Philadelphia should continue to be a strong team this year, which will only create opportunities for their defense. While I like their schedule during the first half of the season much more than the second, we all know how team strength can fluctuate. Opponents during the second half of the season such as SEA, CIN and ARI could very well turn out to be very favorable matchups. There are plenty of mid-season games against teams such as SF, ATL, and BAL, together with the borderline teams mentioned above, to help you down the stretch. After all, having a great defense during the playoffs is one thing. Having a defense that will help you even reach the playoffs is an even more important thing!
Why they're ranked __st: Section will be added AFTER all teams have been ranked.
How they might disappoint: Like I said before, it’s all about the turnovers and touchdowns with this team. True, we should never count on touchdowns to carry our fantasy defense, but getting ZERO scores from them the entire season is just ridiculous. If those numbers don’t improve by much, and if their fantasy playoff stretch does indeed prove to be tough for them, they could very well finish in the bottom half of the league again this year