NE defense will spend more time on the field than previous seasons simply because of Mac Jones - rookie QB with throw more ints, and cause more turnovers than they had last season. the defense will get worn down. yes, they play Miami twice, and we know that they will get the snot beaten out of them @ miami ,just like always. We know Tua looks like a different ( better) QB this camp/preseason. NE also plays:
Saints, Bucs, Jets much improving offense with what looks to be a stud QB in the making ( Wilson), Cowboys - good luck vs. Dak and Co., NE can't score the necessary 45 pts to beat Dallas, @ Chargers with last year's wonderboy, J. Herbert, at panthers not an easy game, Browns at NE - good luck vs. Browns defense how is NE offense going to score 10 pts in this one?! then easy game at Falcons, and then the brutal part of the schedule, where they host Titans ( blowout loss Ten will crush them), at Bills ( another loss), At Colts (and the consensus top 5 Indy defense ), Bills at Pats - another loss to Buffalo, Jags at Pats , and week 17's game at miami .
I don't see NE's offense coming off the field for large swaths of these games. but from week 10 onward, this is a BRUTAL schedule for NE. and I'm only saying the Falcons game is easy, but many people here think Atl is going to be a good team, if that happens , NE is in trouble on the road is this one - Arthur Smith is the guy who engineered the Titans recent wins over NE.
so it's pretty hard to say NE can be a top 5 defense when they're likely to finish as a 9-8 or 8-9 team this season. I just dont see it. When they have less time of possession because their offense is sluggish and turnover prone, that defense will get worn down as the season goes on. for fantasy purposes this is not a top 5 defense.
1. Rams
2. Cowboys - Dak is the MVP and their offense is going to make teams have to play catch-up, so plenty of INT and sack opportunities
3. Steelers
4. Colts
5. Bucs
We always start the season with somewhat high hopes for WFT - and they ALWAYS disappoint. Dolphins are just outside this list, same with Niners and Bills.