I don't know how many times I can say it in one thread, but unless voters radically change how they vote, VALUE has very little to do with MVP balloting. They typically have voted best offensive player on one of the elite teams . . . or a record breaking (or near record breaking) producer on a playoff team.It's def Rodgers. Put Matt Ryan on the Packers to start the year and they would be 4-12.
You are not remembering correctly.If I remember correctly, there has never been a QB to win MVP with 6 losses in a season. If Rodgers wins, it would be paving new ground.
In David's defense I also forgot that Adrian Peterson played QB in 2012.You are not remembering correctly.
Adrian Peterson in 2012.
Oh ok. I'm sure you're right. I didn't read this entire thread I just kind of jumped in. Rodgers has played the QB position as good or better than anybody ever has the last 11 games which is when GB turned to him after trying to run the ball with Fat Lacy. If you put Matt Ryan on GB he would not play as well and if you put Rodgers on Atlanta they would be even better imo. If I had a vote, which I don't, it would be Rodgers.I don't know how many times I can say it in one thread, but unless voters radically change how they vote, VALUE has very little to do with MVP balloting. They typically have voted best offensive player on one of the elite teams . . . or a record breaking (or near record breaking) producer on a playoff team.
Using that criteria, had Brady played 16 games I think he would win, but he didn't, so that will probably cost him. Ryan led the league in a lot of efficiency categories and was Top 2-3 in volume categories. And he played on a team that earned a bye. All those will likely get him more votes than Rodgers.
If I remember correctly, there has never been a QB to win MVP with 6 losses in a season. If Rodgers wins, it would be paving new ground.
Huh. I'm not in here to talk about who will win. I'm in here to debate who *should* win.I don't know how many times I can say it in one thread, but unless voters radically change how they vote, VALUE has very little to do with MVP balloting. They typically have voted best offensive player on one of the elite teams . . . or a record breaking (or near record breaking) producer on a playoff team.
Using that criteria, had Brady played 16 games I think he would win, but he didn't, so that will probably cost him. Ryan led the league in a lot of efficiency categories and was Top 2-3 in volume categories. And he played on a team that earned a bye. All those will likely get him more votes than Rodgers.
If I remember correctly, there has never been a QB to win MVP with 6 losses in a season. If Rodgers wins, it would be paving new ground.
Only one way to find outI don't know how many times I can say it in one thread
The Packers won more games 4 other times. Rodgers had better efficiency numbers in 4 or 5 other seasons. The only thing that really changed is he passed more and the Packers won less.Aaron Rodgers accounted for 8 more touchdowns than Matt Ryan. The team's leading rushing had a whopping 457 yards. He threw the team on his back and carried them into the playoffs. Rodgers all the way.
You do realize that the Packers D allowed 30+ points in five of those six losses, right?Rodgers led the Packers to 6 straight wins but he also led them to a 4-6 start.
Bobby Boucher had tackling fuel, Tom Brady has winning fuel. Brady's fuel, like Rodger's also, is being slighted, in his mind and the minds of his fans if not in reality. It keeps him going. It is the best thing that can happen to that franchise. The same can be said of Rodgers. I hope Rodgers manages to feel slighted. I hope he does not win this meaningless hardware . I say give it to Ryan, or Prescott, or Brady, or whoever the Packers are going to have to face in the playoffs. I hope the winner feels self-satisfied and fulfilled, like his year is completely made. I hope the winner listens to their own press, gets overconfident, and loses focus. This award is meaningless without the Lombardi. Rodgers knows this. Brady knows this. Ryan, well he has no idea.tiThe Packers won more games 4 other times. Rodgers had better efficiency numbers in 4 or 5 other seasons. The only thing that really changed is he passed more and the Packers won less.
The last time the Patriots won the SB, the team leader in rushing had 412 yards. NE went 12-4, Brady put up 4100/33/9, and he got a whopping 1 MVP vote. That was one of the years Rodgers won. No one cared that Brady put the team on his shoulders because they had no running game.
Rodgers put up 4381, 38 TDs , 5 INTs that year.Another 269 rushing with 2 TDs. Superior numbers to Brady. Brady also had the 8th rated defense in points against...Rodgers this year? 29th.The Packers won more games 4 other times. Rodgers had better efficiency numbers in 4 or 5 other seasons. The only thing that really changed is he passed more and the Packers won less.
The last time the Patriots won the SB, the team leader in rushing had 412 yards. NE went 12-4, Brady put up 4100/33/9, and he got a whopping 1 MVP vote. That was one of the years Rodgers won. No one cared that Brady put the team on his shoulders because they had no running game.
I don't think Brady will be MVP, but he had the same number of wins this year as Ryan and more wins than Rodgers (in 4 fewer games). Winning has been the primary statistic that voters have migrated to over the years. Brady's only loss was to SEA where they fell a yard short from extending the game (or winning).Rodgers put up 4381, 38 TDs , 5 INTs that year.Another 269 rushing with 2 TDs. Superior numbers to Brady. Brady also had the 8th rated defense in points against...Rodgers this year? 29th.
This year...Brady's numbers are good..that TD to INT ratio is ridiculously good. But hardly superior overall numbers to Rodgers and Ryan.
Rodgers alone...4428, 40 TDs, 7 INTs...369 rushing and 4 TDs.
Its great if you put them on your back and all...but other guys can't have superior numbers to you.
I think Ryan's numbers and that offense are a bit better so Id give it to him...Brady had a great year after missing 4 games and if he isn't the greatest ever...he is damn close.
But without having great numbers across the board and missing 4 games (where your team went 3-1)...you don't win MVP.
Its not in the noise...it goes to winning and losing.I don't think Brady will be MVP, but he had the same number of wins this year as Ryan and more wins than Rodgers (in 4 fewer games). Winning has been the primary statistic that voters have migrated to over the years. Brady's only loss was to SEA where they fell a yard short from extending the game (or winning).
I heard discussion on various tv and radio shows where they said that all year Brady was masterful in engineering drives, audibling at the LOS, moving the football, and getting into the end zone. The folks discussing him said switching up a play to get into the end zone on a running play would not be help against him. Some of the people in these conversations actually had MVP votes, so their opinions should matter.
As for how many points someone's defense gave up, that's also mostly in the noise. You have to play with the cards you are dealt. Want to win more games? Then don't turn the ball over 3 times against the Vikings (loss), 4 times against the Cowboys (loss), 3 times against the Titans (loss), and twice against the Redskins (loss). The offense gave up the ball (whether Rodgers had anything to do with it or not still falls on him as the leader of the offense). And for a team that was said to have no running game, GB ranked 7th in ypc. The fact they ranked Top 5 in passing attempts somewhat made it appear that they couldn't run the ball.
The main reason the Packers are winning lately is the offense stopped turning the ball over (1 TO in the last 6 games) while the defense has forced 15 TO's in that time. But no one is suggesting the Packers defense should be MVP.
I'm saying Rodgers is MVP. They lost all 3 of their HBs that they had going into the season. They are getting by with a WR, FB, and a guy who doesn't understand left from right who is on his 4th roster change in less than 18 months. Yet Rodgers has STILL put up the numbers he has. Plus his WR2 has been hurt for the better part of this season.Its not in the noise...it goes to winning and losing.I don't think Brady will be MVP, but he had the same number of wins this year as Ryan and more wins than Rodgers (in 4 fewer games). Winning has been the primary statistic that voters have migrated to over the years. Brady's only loss was to SEA where they fell a yard short from extending the game (or winning).
I heard discussion on various tv and radio shows where they said that all year Brady was masterful in engineering drives, audibling at the LOS, moving the football, and getting into the end zone. The folks discussing him said switching up a play to get into the end zone on a running play would not be help against him. Some of the people in these conversations actually had MVP votes, so their opinions should matter.As for how many point
s someone's defense gave up, that's also mostly in the noise. You have to play with the cards you are dealt. Want to win more games? Then don't turn the ball over 3 times against the Vikings (loss), 4 times against the Cowboys (loss), 3 times against the Titans (loss), and twice against the Redskins (loss). The offense gave up the ball (whether Rodgers had anything to do with it or not still falls on him as the leader of the offense). And for a team that was said to have no running game, GB ranked 7th in ypc. The fact they ranked Top 5 in passing attempts somewhat made it appear that they couldn't run the ball.
The main reason the Packers are winning lately is the offense stopped turning the ball over (1 TO in the last 6 games) while the defense has forced 15 TO's in that time. But no one is suggesting the Packers defense should be MVP.
You brought up an old season as a reason Brady carried his team...they gave up about 100 fewer points that year than the Packers D this year. And Rodgers had far superior numbers to Brady that year...hence, MVP.
This year...if Brady had numbers that much better than Rodgers this year...Id agree, give it to him over Rodgers. But he simply doesn't.
Wins are one part of it. He has 1 more win than Rodgers...yes, fewer games and his team went 3-1 without him (and yes, that will be taken into consideration).
YPC means running game? You realize much of that YPC is Rodgers running right?
The reason is turnovers and directly attributable to Rodgers play. Again...Im not trying to say Rodgers is the MVP...but to compare 2014 season to this season was pretty weak given the differences in the numbers.
By that it's obvious who should get it. I just have a feeling Ryan isn't in the conversation because Atlanta is (it seems at least) the least talked about team in the playoffs. Statistically, yes, I agree he should likely get it. MVP is never the most valuable player on their team award (if it were that I firmly believe Rodgers should win it), but according to statistics, wins/losses, and total points (shown above by Anarchy), then I think it's pretty clear who will likely get itA statistical comparison of the 6 quarterbacks that people are talking about the most:
Passing Efficiency Stats
Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt (not opponent adjusted)
9.03 Matt Ryan
8.81 Tom Brady
7.86 Dak Prescott
7.24 Aaron Rodgers
7.20 Derek Carr
6.56 Matthew Stafford
DVOA (opponent adjusted)
40.20% Matt Ryan
33.80% Tom Brady
31.50% Dak Prescott
19.90% Derek Carr
18.20% Aaron Rodgers
7.30% Matthew Stafford
QBR (opponent adjusted)
83.4 Matt Ryan
83.1 Tom Brady
81.7 Dak Prescott
77.0 Aaron Rodgers
70.7 Matthew Stafford
61.8 Derek Carr
Cumulative Stats
Clutch-Weighted Expected Points Added (not opponent adjusted, includes passing & rushing)
114.9 Aaron Rodgers
111.0 Matt Ryan
102.5 Dak Prescott
98.4 Matthew Stafford
83.3 Tom Brady
72.4 Derek Carr
Total DYAR (opponent adjusted, includes passing & rushing)
1950 Matt Ryan
1422 Dak Prescott
1340 Aaron Rodgers
1286 Tom Brady
1130 Derek Carr
828 Matthew Stafford
I don't really give a #### about Brady. Why do you keep posting about Brady?Anarchy99 said:The Packers won more games 4 other times. Rodgers had better efficiency numbers in 4 or 5 other seasons. The only thing that really changed is he passed more and the Packers won less.
The last time the Patriots won the SB, the team leader in rushing had 412 yards. NE went 12-4, Brady put up 4100/33/9, and he got a whopping 1 MVP vote. That was one of the years Rodgers won. No one cared that Brady put the team on his shoulders because they had no running game.
Someone said Rodgers should get extra credit for playing on a team where the leading rusher had 457 yards. The point was Brady recently played on a team that ended up winning the SB with less of a rushing attack than GB and was an MVP after thought. What QB would you rather I discuss?I don't really give a #### about Brady. Why do you keep posting about Brady?
They pick the MVP this week before the playoffs start. They usually announce the winner the last day or two of January.When do they pick the MVP?
Someone said Rodgers should get extra credit for playing on a team where the leading rusher had 457 yards. The point was Brady recently played on a team that ended up winning the SB with less of a rushing attack than GB and was an MVP after thought. What QB would you rather I discuss?
I quote both of these to 1, address the first one, and 2, to ask a question about the second oneThey pick the MVP this week before the playoffs start. They usually announce the winner the last day or two of January.
Good to know. I'm interested to see if Carr still gets a lot of votes only missing 1 game. Honestly, his team is crippled without him (what better criteria for MVP than that? but I guess that's what this thread is all about).Playoff performance IS NOT considered for MVP voting. All ballots are due in once the regular season ends but before the playoffs start. However, I am pretty sure voters can submit a ballot before the regular season is over.
behind the best offensive line in football with the second best running back in football with a top 10 wr and te in football? I can only imagine the records that would be broken if Ryan Rodgers or Brady were the QB in dallas...I think Ryan will win it. I think Brady and Rodgers will end up 2nd and 3rd. However--I personally think Dak should win it in regards to being the most deserving. To be the starting QB for the Dallas Cowboys--while Tony Romo is looming behind you--and Jerry Jones not fully committing to him until mid-late season is pretty amazing in my eyes. I think EE was also amazing--and I'd to see him get ROY--as both of them deserve awards in my opinion. It actually pains me to say that because I'm not a fan of the Cowboys. I also do want to echo the sentiments of other posters in here giving Derek Carr some love. He's definitely in the top 4-5 in my opinion.
And even with all of that--I assure you that nobody thought Dak and the Cowboys would be as good as they are. Dak played amazingly well for a rookie even with those circumstances. Let's not forget Brady missed a quarter of the season--and plays in a division against the Bills/Jets/Dolphins. If anything--Rodgers is the second half MVP as his team had to essentially win out to barely make the playoffs--and let's not call the divsion that his team plays in a juggernaut either. According your logic--no qb with an elite offensive line should ever be eligible to win the MVP. Let's also not forget that Dak played much of the season without Dez. What Dak did this year as a rookie QB was at least as remarkable as what any of the guys you mentioned did this season.behind the best offensive line in football with the second best running back in football with a top 10 wr and te in football? I can only imagine the records that would be broken if Ryan Rodgers or Brady were the QB in dallas...
great observation. many forget thisAnthony Borbely said:Rodgers led the Packers to 6 straight wins but he also led them to a 4-6 start.
That's all I heard for months last year.When the voters snub Brady, that will be his fuel to continue his assault on his opponents. Let Ryan, a Cowboy or Rodgers bask in the glory of an MVP while they fall short of a SB ring. Brady will take the SB ring instead.
no , I did not say that. what I meant was if u take Dak off Dallas and they are probably still a playoff team and Romo likely had a pro bowl season. thay doesn't really make an mvp imoAccording your logic--no qb with an elite offensive line should ever be eligible to win the MVP. Let's also not forget that Dak played much of the season without Dez. What Dak did this year as a rookie QB was at least as remarkable as what any of the guys you mentioned did this season.
What seed are the Broncos?That's all I heard for months last year.
"Brady is on a mission!"
Then the Broncos knocked him on his ### repeatedly and out of the playoffs.![]()
People absolutely said Montana had it easy. That's why overrated hacks like Elway got way more credit than they should have, and why there was a long-standing debate about Montana vs. Marino.Gronk was pretty good those four weeks this year. Lewis missed over half the season and Bennett has been playing on one ankle for most of the year.
There was no Jody Nelson or Julio Jones for Brady this year. All this doesn't mean Brady should be the MVP, but at some point he deserves some credit. People want to knock him for having good coaching and a solid defense, but he has no control over that.
Where were people years ago when the Niners had the best offense, the best defense, the best coaching, the best WR to ever play, and a dual threat RB. I don't remember people saying Montana had it easy.
Yeah, will never happen but I think you make a valid point. Take away that Oline and Elliott is I. Crowell and Prescott is B. Bortles, statistically.I would like to see an entire O-line be eligible for MVP with the Cowboys. Obviously it would be extremely rare, like a defensive player in the running for the Heisman. But in this case when those dudes in Dallas are collectively so head and shoulders above anybody else, I think it should be considered. Obviously voters and traditionalists will disagree.
Because his numbers were inferiorSomeone said Rodgers should get extra credit for playing on a team where the leading rusher had 457 yards. The point was Brady recently played on a team that ended up winning the SB with less of a rushing attack than GB and was an MVP after thought. What QB would you rather I discuss?