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Why is Beanie Wells not climbing rankings? (1 Viewer)

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Footballguy
I was surprised to see Wells still ranked about the 30th RB. He has virtually zero competition in the Cards backfield right now. If Wells projects to be the workhorse back and get goal line carries, shouldn't he be in the top 15-20 RBs? Is one of the unknowns on the Arizona roster expected to get the goal line carries? If so, who? :confused:

 
I'm hoping he falls to me :) I agree he should be moving up but he still hasn't proven he can be an every down back. I would rather take Wells in the 4th/5th round instead of taking someone like Bradshaw in the 2nd/3rd.

 
Rankings are based on talent and opportunity. Right now all he's proven is that he has the opportunity. Best in a couple games looked better than Wells has ever looked.

 
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Rankings are based on talent and opportunity. Right now all he's proven is that he has the opportunity. Best in a couple games looked better than Wells has ever looked.
The talent is there, the health has not been.Not sure what Best has to do with this(?)
 
Slug or not, the opportunity is there. If Kolb can move the offense Wells should have plenty of chances to score this year.

 
Rankings are based on talent and opportunity. Right now all he's proven is that he has the opportunity. Best in a couple games looked better than Wells has ever looked.
The talent is there, the health has not been.Not sure what Best has to do with this(?)
Best is relevant here because he is in a very similar situation..A guy who was hurt last season and his backup who was thought to take carries away this year goes down for the season. Difference is Best flashed great talent in a few games last season and is now moving up the rankings (also has a better offense on paper). Wells has looked alright but nothing spectacular so his stock is rising but not exponentially. Neither has shown the ability to stay healthy and produce over extended stretches of games..
 
I was surprised to see Wells still ranked about the 30th RB. He has virtually zero competition in the Cards backfield right now. If Wells projects to be the workhorse back and get goal line carries, shouldn't he be in the top 15-20 RBs? Is one of the unknowns on the Arizona roster expected to get the goal line carries? If so, who? :confused:
Yes. The problem is, it's gotten to the point where many "experts" are like politicians. In today's day and age of rankings proliferation, they often check to see what all the other "experts" are doing, in terms of rankings before "updating" their's. Thus you end up with "status quo rankings" - with few thinking outside the box enough to see forward moving trends. Also, while many that rank players are famous for saying things like "you can't project injury" - many do (or at least assume it). Once a player gets an "injury risk" tag it's tough to shake (see Fred Taylor for examples).Interestingly, almost the opposite happens with rookies at this time a year - they tend to enter everyone's rankings a little too high (because in TC and preseason, we've heard/seen them and "forgotten" the older vets who may not run the 40 quite as fast but know how to play the game and are thus used by their coaches once the regular season starts).

Then people are burned by highly-ranked rookies...and jump on the WW pickups who weren't ranked highly enough. Rinse. Repeat. :popcorn:

 
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I would probably take him later in the draft (around the Joseph Addai or Reggie Bush range), but I'm just not willing to lock him in as someone that I'm counting on every week. I'm in a PPR though, and his limited value as a receiver drops him down my board. A solid game without a touchdown could be 9 points, compared to someone like Reggie Bush going 35 yards rushing and 3 catches for 30 yards, and outperforming him.

 
Rankings are based on talent and opportunity. Right now all he's proven is that he has the opportunity. Best in a couple games looked better than Wells has ever looked.
The talent is there, the health has not been.Not sure what Best has to do with this(?)
Best is relevant here because he is in a very similar situation..A guy who was hurt last season and his backup who was thought to take carries away this year goes down for the season. Difference is Best flashed great talent in a few games last season and is now moving up the rankings (also has a better offense on paper). Wells has looked alright but nothing spectacular so his stock is rising but not exponentially. Neither has shown the ability to stay healthy and produce over extended stretches of games..
I see what you're saying but I think we disagree. I see the knock on Wells as mostly durability (and to an extent, fumblitis) rather than ability.
 
When I watch him run he just does nothing for me at all. I don't know what it is but he just doesnt give me a good feeling and he hasnt looked good.

 
hes got some speed for a big guy and a good stiff arm. But he seems to always get stuffed at the goaline and doesn't really run people over like you would think he should. I would take him if he fell to me, but I aint reachin

 
I wanted no part of him and now I'm targeting him. He's got great opportunity now to get a ton of touches. A sure fire RBBC with a lot of risk o suddenly becomes a one horse race.

 
Rankings are based on talent and opportunity. Right now all he's proven is that he has the opportunity. Best in a couple games looked better than Wells has ever looked.
The talent is there, the health has not been.Not sure what Best has to do with this(?)
Best is relevant here because he is in a very similar situation..A guy who was hurt last season and his backup who was thought to take carries away this year goes down for the season. Difference is Best flashed great talent in a few games last season and is now moving up the rankings (also has a better offense on paper). Wells has looked alright but nothing spectacular so his stock is rising but not exponentially. Neither has shown the ability to stay healthy and produce over extended stretches of games..
I see what you're saying but I think we disagree. I see the knock on Wells as mostly durability (and to an extent, fumblitis) rather than ability.
Beanie Wells fumbles lost in 2010 -- 0 (1 fumble total)
 
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Rankings are based on talent and opportunity. Right now all he's proven is that he has the opportunity. Best in a couple games looked better than Wells has ever looked.
The talent is there, the health has not been.Not sure what Best has to do with this(?)
Best is relevant here because he is in a very similar situation..A guy who was hurt last season and his backup who was thought to take carries away this year goes down for the season. Difference is Best flashed great talent in a few games last season and is now moving up the rankings (also has a better offense on paper). Wells has looked alright but nothing spectacular so his stock is rising but not exponentially. Neither has shown the ability to stay healthy and produce over extended stretches of games..
I see what you're saying but I think we disagree. I see the knock on Wells as mostly durability (and to an extent, fumblitis) rather than ability.
Beanie Wells fumbles lost in 2010 -- 0 (1 fumble total)
Ahhh...reality vs. perception.
 
Things that have changed since last year for Wells. 1. Went from me to Kevin Kolb at QB 2. Starting RB in front of him traded away, rookie brought in, rookie hurt....it's HIS JOB, period. 3. Comes into the year without a bad knee injury to slow him down. Sure he runs a little upright and has struggled in the past with injury and being on a piss poor offense, but MUCH has changed to increase this cat's potential.

If he can't do it this year...he can't do it.

 
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The thing with the Cardinals is that they simply haven't shown themselves to be a team that runs the ball effectively.

Under Whisenhunt, here is what they've produced in the run game:

2007 - ranked 29th; 402/1440/9

2008 - ranked 32nd; 340/1178/14

2009 - ranked 28th; 365/1494/7

2010 - ranked 32nd; 320/1388/9

While having no legitimate QB hurt last year, simply put, this team hasn't run the ball well in forever. Even when Beanie looked like he was really getting it and was a legit RB2 in the second half of the 2009 season, it was still just an average running team. And that was with a HOF QB in Kurt Warner along with Fitz/Boldin to occupy defenses.

Point being is that, I think Beanie's upside is capped. Even as the sole guy in the backfield, is he really a threat to his 1600 YFS? 10 TD's? Granted those are elite numbers, but you could make a case for alot of other RB's, even those is RBBC situations at the moment, having a better chance at hitting those numbers than Beanie.

I think his value in Round 5/6 is appropriate. Quite frankly, I think his upside is Cedric Benson; 2010 version.

 
My gut is screaming that he is going to shock us this year. Last year he was considered a top 15 RB with amazing natural ability for a top 5 finish. That ability hasn't changed and he is still only 23 years old! I plan to draft him and hope for the dilemma of trading/keeping him after a hot start against weak opponents.

 
The thing with the Cardinals is that they simply haven't shown themselves to be a team that runs the ball effectively.Under Whisenhunt, here is what they've produced in the run game:2007 - ranked 29th; 402/1440/92008 - ranked 32nd; 340/1178/142009 - ranked 28th; 365/1494/72010 - ranked 32nd; 320/1388/9While having no legitimate QB hurt last year, simply put, this team hasn't run the ball well in forever. Even when Beanie looked like he was really getting it and was a legit RB2 in the second half of the 2009 season, it was still just an average running team. And that was with a HOF QB in Kurt Warner along with Fitz/Boldin to occupy defenses.Point being is that, I think Beanie's upside is capped. Even as the sole guy in the backfield, is he really a threat to his 1600 YFS? 10 TD's? Granted those are elite numbers, but you could make a case for alot of other RB's, even those is RBBC situations at the moment, having a better chance at hitting those numbers than Beanie.I think his value in Round 5/6 is appropriate. Quite frankly, I think his upside is Cedric Benson; 2010 version.
On one side they had Kurt "All-World-Passer" Warner at QB with Larry "the best WR in the league" Fitzgerald + Bolden...high octain passing game that was WAY out of balance toward the pass....leaving some open running lanes but few opportunities. Warner retires, and the SUCK happened. No threat of a passing game, stack the box, no holes, horrible production. Fast forward to now, they sign Kolb (Matt Cassell-esque----not all world, not all suck). I think we have to clear the slate and see what Beanie can do in an offense that will have to be balanced as Kolb isn't Peyton/Brady/Rodgers.....and Beanie isn't ADP/CJ3.Jury is out in my mind, but the potential to crawl out of the SUCK is very much there. As a Williams owner...it's been painful.
 
I agree that it's too early to write off Wells. Having an unimpressive YPC average at age 22 isn't exactly the kiss of death:

http://pfref.com/pi/share/43Kip

Code:
Rk                Player Year Age Draft  Tm  Lg    G GS  Att  Yds  Y/A TD  Y/G13         Jerome Bettis 1994  22  1-10 RAM NFL   16 16  319 1025 3.21  3 64.120          Thomas Jones 2000  22   1-7 ARI NFL   14  4  112  373 3.33  2 26.625           Chris Wells 2010  22  1-31 ARI NFL   13  2  116  397 3.42  2 30.526       Darren McFadden 2009  22   1-4 OAK NFL   12  7  104  357 3.43  1 29.831        Ricky Williams 1999  22   1-5 NOR NFL   12 12  253  884 3.49  2 73.733       Dalton Hilliard 1986  22  2-31 NOR NFL   16  5  121  425 3.51  5 26.642    Karim Abdul-Jabbar 1996  22  3-80 MIA NFL   16 14  307 1116 3.64 11 69.843   LaDainian Tomlinson 2001  22   1-5 SDG NFL   16 16  339 1236 3.65 10 77.344        Charlie Garner 1994  22  2-42 PHI NFL   10  8  109  399 3.66  3 39.949       Marshall Faulk* 1995  22   1-2 IND NFL   16 16  289 1078 3.73 11 67.453           Tiki Barber 1997  22  2-36 NYG NFL   12  6  136  511 3.76  3 42.659         O.J. Simpson* 1969  22   1-1 BUF AFL   13  0  181  697 3.85  2 53.6
 
Rankings are based on talent and opportunity. Right now all he's proven is that he has the opportunity. Best in a couple games looked better than Wells has ever looked.
The talent is there, the health has not been.Not sure what Best has to do with this(?)
Best is relevant here because he is in a very similar situation..A guy who was hurt last season and his backup who was thought to take carries away this year goes down for the season. Difference is Best flashed great talent in a few games last season and is now moving up the rankings (also has a better offense on paper). Wells has looked alright but nothing spectacular so his stock is rising but not exponentially. Neither has shown the ability to stay healthy and produce over extended stretches of games..
His point about short term memories is valid.Heading into last year Beanie was viewed as a guy with immense talent who looked fantastic in his rookie year but was in a bad situation.The situation is now much better, but he plays one year while hurting and suddenly there's this notion that he hasn't looked good. I'm sorry, but not only did pre-injury Beanie look every bit as good as pre-injury Best, but he looked better and did it for longer. Best basically had one big screen pass to get everyone to go gaga over him. In his other two games prior to getting hurt he averanged 1.4ypc in week 1 and scored twice through gaping holes that my deceased grandmother could have scored through, and 3.6 yards in week 3.How quickly we all forget that the most used term that floated around to describe Beanie after his rookie year was "man among boys".It's all based on their post-draft perceptions. For the most part Beanie was looked down upon around here heading into his rookie year, so even with a rookie season where he looked great people were quick to jump on the "aha, see he really does suck!" bandwagon when looked bad while playing hurt.Best, on the other hand, was a FBG darling, to an extent I've almost never seen around here before. So of course when suffers the same fate as Beanie, only with a meager 1 game of looking good before getting hurt and playing poorly (as opposed to Beanie who did it for an entire season), people are quick to forgive him in order to vindicate the immense love that they gave him out of the gate.
 
Spot on. Plus, his YPA last year was influenced by playing through a knee injury sustained in the preseason. He looked good prior to that and he certainly looked good as a rookie when he posted 176-793-7 (4.5 YPC) with 12 receptions. He has consistently been knocked for not playing hurt, but despite what he did or didn't do at tOSU, he played all last year through a knee that was definitely not 'right'. He had some fumbling issues as a rookie along with blocking/protection challenges that most rookies struggle with as well. (4 fumbles, 2 lost in '09) He corrected those last year.Looking at his 'career' totals could be a decent barometer for his outlook since it includes both years when he was exciting and looking like he was playing through an injury:2 yr totals - 292-1190-9 (4.1 YPC) rushing and 17-217-0 receivingGranted, I don' think he'll approach 290 carries, but the number I'm looking at is 4.1 YPC. I actually think that is VERY conservative even behind the Cardinals offensive line. Tim Hightower averaged 4.2 in '09 and 4.8 last year.My current projections *subject to change*: 240-1020-9 (4.25 YPC) and 20-155-0 - approximately RB19 in my projections.It's ok, probably even prudent, to have some skepticism with Wells given his track record, but the opportunity is there, and from what we can tell, he took his conditioning/training as serious as anyone during the lockout. He reported to camp in pristine shape and is doing/saying all the right things. For that, I'm more than willing to give him a shot as my RB3 (preferably) but as a RB2 if I go after a QB/2WRs early and scoop up Wells next.

I agree that it's too early to write off Wells. Having an unimpressive YPC average at age 22 isn't exactly the kiss of death:http://pfref.com/pi/share/43Kip

Code:
Rk                Player Year Age Draft  Tm  Lg    G GS  Att  Yds  Y/A TD  Y/G13         Jerome Bettis 1994  22  1-10 RAM NFL   16 16  319 1025 3.21  3 64.120          Thomas Jones 2000  22   1-7 ARI NFL   14  4  112  373 3.33  2 26.625           Chris Wells 2010  22  1-31 ARI NFL   13  2  116  397 3.42  2 30.526       Darren McFadden 2009  22   1-4 OAK NFL   12  7  104  357 3.43  1 29.831        Ricky Williams 1999  22   1-5 NOR NFL   12 12  253  884 3.49  2 73.733       Dalton Hilliard 1986  22  2-31 NOR NFL   16  5  121  425 3.51  5 26.642    Karim Abdul-Jabbar 1996  22  3-80 MIA NFL   16 14  307 1116 3.64 11 69.843   LaDainian Tomlinson 2001  22   1-5 SDG NFL   16 16  339 1236 3.65 10 77.344        Charlie Garner 1994  22  2-42 PHI NFL   10  8  109  399 3.66  3 39.949       Marshall Faulk* 1995  22   1-2 IND NFL   16 16  289 1078 3.73 11 67.453           Tiki Barber 1997  22  2-36 NYG NFL   12  6  136  511 3.76  3 42.659         O.J. Simpson* 1969  22   1-1 BUF AFL   13  0  181  697 3.85  2 53.6
 
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Man, I think space aliens have zapped some brains around the FF community and blocked their ability to remember anything past 1 year. Let's correct this with a little exercise.

Ok, let's say the Cards and Bucs made a trade last night. Beanie to the Bucs and Blount to the Cards. If that happened, this morning would be raging about how Blount is a LOCK top 5 back. People would say "there's no competition...he's going to be a bell cow, etc, etc." people would be getting stupid to trying to get Blount and day dreaming about 250+ carries.

Ok, so we have just proven that this about name an no other factors. So forget the "who's at Qb..the line..the philosophy, and all that.

So, its about name and perception and stigma. I like to call this the Arian Foster/Ryan Matthews 2010 syndrome (those who read my posts know exactly what I'm talking about).

NOW, let's look at the reality. Given exactly one season to compare these two player where both were healthy and played a partial season of games:

Both are similar in body type and style. Both are listed as 6-1 and 235 (Beanie) and 245 (Blount). Very similar.

In their season of play :

Beanie ran 176 times for 793 and 7 scores...12 catches for 143.

Blount ran 201 times for 1007 and 6 scores..5 catches I think for about 40.

Beanie caught more and averaged 4.5 ypc.

Blount averaged 5.0 ypc.

the numbers are so similar, yet the casm of perception is huge...

A lot of people are going to be DYING when they see how bad they wiffed on Beanie this year. WHIZZ is on record this morning as saying they are in no hurry to bring in another RB and when they do, he is not guaranteed a spot on the roster. There are people adjusting their forecast of carries up in the 240-280 range for Beanie with only LaRod and Smith behind him.

Its almost funny that in a day and age where people spend countless hours looking for the rarer and rarer bell cow back, that when one drops in their lap, they try to pick it apart. But yet, in reality, the last few seasons have dropped bell cows in our laps and ALL were met with the critics and ALL were wrong (Foster last year, Benson before that, Turner a few years ago, Thomas Jones before that). Is it SO diffucult (or conceited) for FF forum posters to believe that they have a better idea of what is going to happen over the coaches on the NFL teams? If Whizz says "I got these three and this is enough", then I'm rolling with Whizz...and Beanie...and its going to take me far.

 
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Because Beanie is a slug. Runs hard, but is not special at all.
+1. Average talent, average situation.Wells isn't gonna see the gaping holes saw when Warner/Boldin/Fitz were doing their thing.

I was surprised to see Wells still ranked about the 30th RB. He has virtually zero competition in the Cards backfield right now. If Wells projects to be the workhorse back and get goal line carries, shouldn't he be in the top 15-20 RBs? Is one of the unknowns on the Arizona roster expected to get the goal line carries? If so, who? :confused:
I agree here though. He should be higher up in the 20s based on the fact that he has no competition at this point.
 
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In addition to my post above that was mostly based on his past statistics and projections looking forward, I'm more on the glass is half full side with respect to Wells and whether or not to target, even draft him.

That said, a couple more points that are directly from the 'eye ball' test.. no stats, just trusting what I see from him on tape, in games...

- Big (tall and strong), fast (for his size particularly) and physical (doesn't shy away from engaging defenders, perhaps to a fault)

- Pad level - not terrible and doesn't run as high as a Chris Brown, but could certainly be more effective by lowering his shoulders and driving for more yards. He is able to get yards after contact, break tackles and he does use a stiff arm, but could definitely improve in this area

- Good when running downhill, or with a head of steam, but still able to accelerate though holes for big gains.. the Cards line just doesn't create a ton of big lanes like he had at OSU, where he regularly did the one cut and gone routine

Again, his opportunity to get 240+ carries is there. Is it a great opportunity overall? Not the best, but not the worst. It has to be better than last year with no QB and on that squad Hightower averaged 4.8 YPC. I still think Wells is more talented and a better runner than Hightower.

There is plenty of room for Wells to disappoint, but again, I'm more on the glass is half full..

 
Arizona Cardinals Team Report

USA TODAY

The Cardinals will search for help at running back after rookie Ryan Williams suffered a torn patellar tendon in his right knee against the Packers.

Williams is expected to undergo surgery soon, and he is out for the season. Doctors anticipate a full recovery, but that's a season away.

The Cardinals need help now, although coach Ken Whisenhunt doesn't see it as a desperate.

Williams was backing up Beanie Wells, and Whisenhunt is a proponent of a two-back system. Wells has not been durable in his first two seasons, suffering ankle and knee injuries.

The team traded Tim Hightower to the Redskins at the beginning of camp, which was a surprise. It was obvious a running back had to go from the time the team took Williams in the second round. But it was thought the Cardinals might not make the trade until well into camp, just to cover themselves in the event of injury.

LaRod Stephens-Howling is the backup now to Wells now, but at 5-feet-7 and 185 pounds, Stephens-Howling is too small to replace Wells for an extended time.

Alfonso Smith is the only other back on the roster. As a rookie, he spent most of last season on the practice squad. Only 208 pounds, Smith isn't a physical runner, but he's improved running between the tackles and he has enough speed to get outside.

The Cardinals did re-sign William Powell, an undrafted rookie out of Kansas State who was released Aug. 2.

Coaches think he has potential, but the Cardinals need to add a running back.

Whisenhunt said filling that job could be "a process."

That suggests the player the team adds first might not be one who makes the 53-man roster. The Cardinals will monitor the waiver wire closely. The Bears' Chester Taylor makes sense, as does the Cowboys' Tashard Choice.

There are questions if those two backs figure into the plans of their current teams.

Losing Williams is a big blow to Arizona, even though he was a rookie. He had been impressive in camp, showed incredible quickness and cutting ability.

His upbeat personality had won over teammates, who surrounded him on the cart that carried him off Lambeau Field.

"The biggest thing was, we were all very excited about him," said quarterback Kevin Kolb. "We've seen some stuff he's done in the game and a lot of stuff he's done in practice and kind of kid he is.

"As an athlete, you hate to see that for any athlete, no matter if he's in green and yellow or in our colors."

I don't think Beanie will be alone for long in the backfield, Choice would kill Wells value

 
Man, I think space aliens have zapped some brains around the FF community and blocked their ability to remember anything past 1 year. Let's correct this with a little exercise.

Ok, let's say the Cards and Bucs made a trade last night. Beanie to the Bucs and Blount to the Cards. If that happened, this morning would be raging about how Blount is a LOCK top 5 back. People would say "there's no competition...he's going to be a bell cow, etc, etc." people would be getting stupid to trying to get Blount and day dreaming about 250+ carries.

.
You lost me here. :confused: Blount is already in a better situation and I don't see anybody calling him a Top 5 back.

 
I never understood arguing how good a player can be with non believers in the midst of draft season. I hate attention being brought to players I am targetting who may slip under the radar and into my lap.

 
Ok, let's say the Cards and Bucs made a trade last night. Beanie to the Bucs and Blount to the Cards. If that happened, this morning would be raging about how Blount is a LOCK top 5 back. People would say "there's no competition...he's going to be a bell cow, etc, etc." people would be getting stupid to trying to get Blount and day dreaming about 250+ carries.
People are already projecting Bount for 250+ carries, and (virtually) no one is calling him a top 5 back. You actually have some good points buried beneath the ridiculous rhetoric. Tone it down.
 
This weekend, Ryan Williams went down. So immediately, placed Wells in my rankings.

HOWEVER.

I hadn't seen him solo in practice, and with his injury history and struggles last year, I'm not just throwing him into a top 15-20 Rb ranking. Even if he's lights out this week across the board, while he may move up, I'm not sure I'd automatically plug him in as a low end RB1 or high end RB2.

I think my 29th ranking is totally reasonable without overreacting to a new situation. In fact, most of the staff have him in the 20-30 range.

For a guy who gets banged up and showed little last year I think that's a very fair first week's ranking. I can't speak for the rest of the staff, just myself.

 
Arizona Cardinals Team Report USA TODAY The Cardinals will search for help at running back after rookie Ryan Williams suffered a torn patellar tendon in his right knee against the Packers.Williams is expected to undergo surgery soon, and he is out for the season. Doctors anticipate a full recovery, but that's a season away.The Cardinals need help now, although coach Ken Whisenhunt doesn't see it as a desperate.Williams was backing up Beanie Wells, and Whisenhunt is a proponent of a two-back system. Wells has not been durable in his first two seasons, suffering ankle and knee injuries.The team traded Tim Hightower to the Redskins at the beginning of camp, which was a surprise. It was obvious a running back had to go from the time the team took Williams in the second round. But it was thought the Cardinals might not make the trade until well into camp, just to cover themselves in the event of injury. LaRod Stephens-Howling is the backup now to Wells now, but at 5-feet-7 and 185 pounds, Stephens-Howling is too small to replace Wells for an extended time.Alfonso Smith is the only other back on the roster. As a rookie, he spent most of last season on the practice squad. Only 208 pounds, Smith isn't a physical runner, but he's improved running between the tackles and he has enough speed to get outside.The Cardinals did re-sign William Powell, an undrafted rookie out of Kansas State who was released Aug. 2.Coaches think he has potential, but the Cardinals need to add a running back.Whisenhunt said filling that job could be "a process."That suggests the player the team adds first might not be one who makes the 53-man roster. The Cardinals will monitor the waiver wire closely. The Bears' Chester Taylor makes sense, as does the Cowboys' Tashard Choice.
A few things to keep in mind. First off, any RB that is brought in now will take time to learn the offense. Secondly, any WW RB brought in now will be nowhere near the ability level of Williams or Wells (if they were, they wouldn't be getting cut by their respective teams). Third, as a Bears fan watching Chester Taylor all last season and this preseason, if the Cardinals bring him in, he will be absolutely no threat to Wells - he will be a warm body to pick up 4-6 carries a game and pass block once in a great while. As far as Choice, I honestly don't think the Cowboys will cut him.
 
I have him as RB19. Before Blount. Wells, when healthy was a hell of a back. Last year people were crazy with their projections for him though, so no people are too low on him because he disappointed them. With Williams out, Hightower gone, and Wells playing well this pre-season, I like him as a decent steal.

 
He's a top 20 running back basically because of the opportunity that's presented for him. I think I'm going to give him a pass for last season simply because of how the offense was. I think the addition of Kolb gives Wells more opportunities to score.

 
So I should be worried about Beanie in 5th, but be fine drafting Best or Matthews in 4th (or 3rd possibly late in PPRs), What about Hillis going late 2nd-early 3rd.. or for that matter SJax/Mcfadden early 2nd..? You can make an argument for all these guys having injury concerns(either prev injuries or heavy carries/running styles etc). Is there a risk, sure there is but come on.. Especially funny to me the tone of the knucklehead using Best for his argument and has been a member for like 5 mins.. Blount a top 5 back?? This shutout kid needs to get in the background..

*Re: Choice, Watching the game on Monday the announcers did mention that Cowboys did like the young back (?name escapes me..) and said that this kid has made them more open to idea of moving Choice as Choice doesnt play special teams and they feel the kid could. So yes Choice could very well be leaving DAL. He wouldnt kill Beanies value but if this did happen then yes I can see the current ranking of 29 being about right. I think FBG staffers are close having Beanie ranked lower than many feel because they know another RB will be brought in at some point..

 
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So I should be worried about Beanie in 5th, but be fine drafting Best or Matthews in 4th (or 3rd possibly late in PPRs), What about Hillis going late 2nd-early 3rd.. or for that matter SJax/Mcfadden early 2nd..? You can make an argument for all these guys having injury concerns(either prev injuries or heavy carries/running styles etc). Is there a risk, sure there is but come on.. Especially funny to me the tone of the knucklehead using Best for his argument and has been a member for like 5 mins.. Blount a top 5 back?? This shoutout kid needs to get in the background.. *Re: Choice, Watching the game on Monday the announcers did mention that Cowboys did like the young back (?name escapes me..) and said that this kid has made them more open to idea of moving Choice as Choice doesnt play special teams and they feel the kid could. So yes Choice could very well be leaving DAL. He wouldnt kill Beanies value but if this did happen then yes I can see the current ranking of 29 being about right. I think FBG staffers are close having Beanie ranked lower than many feel because they know another RB will be brought in at some point..
Lonyae Miller?
 
Talent and Opportunity.

Check and check.

It's not a tough analysis.

I agree with Boby Henry's sentiment...he passes the eyeball test in a big way. I've seen every carry of his career. Talent is not the question.

Opportunity, who is the backup in AZ again??

I think the conclusion is pretty clear.

 
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Talent and Opportunity.Check and check.It's not a tough analysis. I agree with Boby Henry's sentiment...he passes the eyeball test in a big way. I've seen every carry of his career. Talent is not the question.Opportunity, who is the backup in AZ again??I think the conclusion is pretty clear.
I'll be the first to say that I havent watched every carry of his career but I have this pre-season and last season and he looks like #### to me...He doesnt seem to run with power for as big as he is and doesnt look to have much agility either...JMO
 
'Couch Potato said:
'Teef said:
'Shutout said:
Man, I think space aliens have zapped some brains around the FF community and blocked their ability to remember anything past 1 year. Let's correct this with a little exercise.

Ok, let's say the Cards and Bucs made a trade last night. Beanie to the Bucs and Blount to the Cards. If that happened, this morning would be raging about how Blount is a LOCK top 5 back. People would say "there's no competition...he's going to be a bell cow, etc, etc." people would be getting stupid to trying to get Blount and day dreaming about 250+ carries.

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You lost me here. :confused: Blount is already in a better situation and I don't see anybody calling him a Top 5 back.
Yeah, that was kind of weird. No one can be a top-5 back that catches 10 passes a year, unless you think he's gonna get over 400 carries, and that's just not gonna happen.
And that's the subjective part of the equation...okay to agree to disagree there. I see a back that finishes his runs, doesn't dance if there's a hole and has surprising wiggle for a back his size.

 
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