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Will Westbrook hit the injury wall? (1 Viewer)

TidesofWar

Footballguy
:shock: No doubt, Brian can produce some monster numbers - but do you guys feel this may be the year the nagging injuries turn more serious? :confused:
 
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:rolleyes: No doubt, Brian can produce some monster numbers - but do you guys feel this may be the year the nagging injuries turn more serious? ;)
I wasn't expecting any gypsy fortune telling or soothsaying - just wanted some opinions :confused: :(
 
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TidesofWar said:
TidesofWar said:
:confused: No doubt, Brian can produce some monster numbers - but do you guys feel this may be the year the nagging injuries turn more serious? :confused:
I wasn't expecting any gypsy fortune telling or sppthsaying - just wanted some opinions :confused: :(
Ok.....Kenny Irons hit the injury wall in his first pre-season as an NFL RB and is out of the league.There is a thought for you to chew on.
 
TidesofWar said:
TidesofWar said:
:confused: No doubt, Brian can produce some monster numbers - but do you guys feel this may be the year the nagging injuries turn more serious? :confused:
I wasn't expecting any gypsy fortune telling or soothsaying - just wanted some opinions :confused: :(
This isn't an opinion question, though. That's like saying "in your opinion, what will the lottery numbers be tomorrow?"People can discuss whether Westbrook is significantly more prone to injury, or how significantly more prone he is, or whether he has a resistance to serious injury despite his tendency toward minor injuries, although I doubt many people are really qualified to give opinions on that, either. But predicting future events? That sounds like gypsy fortune telling to me.I do know that Drinen did a study years back showing that "durable" RBs were barely more likely to go through a season uninjured than "injury prone" RBs. And, indeed, there's always the example of Fred Taylor, who was injury-prone until he wasn't anymore. All in all, I've seen enough that I don't adjust the ranking of a player based on injury unless the player is ALREADY INJURED. Predicting injuries seems to be an excercise in futility.
 
TidesofWar said:
TidesofWar said:
:confused: No doubt, Brian can produce some monster numbers - but do you guys feel this may be the year the nagging injuries turn more serious? :confused:
I wasn't expecting any gypsy fortune telling or soothsaying - just wanted some opinions :confused: :(
This isn't an opinion question, though. That's like saying "in your opinion, what will the lottery numbers be tomorrow?"People can discuss whether Westbrook is significantly more prone to injury, or how significantly more prone he is, or whether he has a resistance to serious injury despite his tendency toward minor injuries, although I doubt many people are really qualified to give opinions on that, either. But predicting future events? That sounds like gypsy fortune telling to me.I do know that Drinen did a study years back showing that "durable" RBs were barely more likely to go through a season uninjured than "injury prone" RBs. And, indeed, there's always the example of Fred Taylor, who was injury-prone until he wasn't anymore. All in all, I've seen enough that I don't adjust the ranking of a player based on injury unless the player is ALREADY INJURED. Predicting injuries seems to be an excercise in futility.
:shrug: There are very few players that I adjust for injury risk if they aren't already hurt. Westbrook isn't omne of them. If you adjust Westy...you have to adjust 40% of the leagues starting RBs to stay consistant. Since you'd still miss on half of them, you're final list would be no better then the original...and not worth it.
 
TidesofWar said:
:goodposting: No doubt, Brian can produce some monster numbers - but do you guys feel this may be the year the nagging injuries turn more serious? :X
Yes. There is your answer that you want to hear. Now you don't have to draft him and let the Sharks in your league take him instead.I think Westbrook is awesome. He is 28. He has had two awesome seasons in a row. He can rack up rushing and receiving yards. What's not to like?
 
I have to agree, we could ask the same question about any rb, and think ourselves into a needless headache. Westbrook has been money. Having said that, there are many considerations that can affect how a player is looked at long term. Age, history, situation (contract or otherwise). Is the team a heavy favorite to win the division? Does the coach like to rest players? Is a RBBC developing or in place? Does the player have "chronic" hamstring issues...? It's still a lot of projection and a slippery road to travel at best. Westbrook is a unique talent and in that respect he stands alone like few others, let alone being THE focal point of an offense. Westbrook can carry a FF team to a championship.

 
Westbrook will actually be 29 at the start of the season. Yes, he has been money, but given his ADP is around 1.04 I would be hesitant to draft him as my stud RB. PPR, I would look very hard at the screen, but would still pass on him. Given that in the #4 spot I could take a much safer pick in someone like Addai, I would prefer to do that and let 1.05 deal with the injury risk, etc. In fact, in ppr I would probably rather draft someone like Gore who is younger and likely to have a lot of receptions this year as well.

 
Westbrook will actually be 29 at the start of the season. Yes, he has been money, but given his ADP is around 1.04 I would be hesitant to draft him as my stud RB. PPR, I would look very hard at the screen, but would still pass on him. Given that in the #4 spot I could take a much safer pick in someone like Addai, I would prefer to do that and let 1.05 deal with the injury risk, etc. In fact, in ppr I would probably rather draft someone like Gore who is younger and likely to have a lot of receptions this year as well.
I think a pick of Gore over Westbrook would not be wise. Gore is "likely to have a lot of receptions", but I am fairly confident that Westbrook "will" have a lot of receptions. I was in three leagues last year with three different scoring systems and Westbrook was the number two RB in all three leagues. Gore was 10th, 12th and 12th in those leagues last year. I just don't see how Gore will beat Westbrook this year.
 
Westbrook will actually be 29 at the start of the season. Yes, he has been money, but given his ADP is around 1.04 I would be hesitant to draft him as my stud RB. PPR, I would look very hard at the screen, but would still pass on him. Given that in the #4 spot I could take a much safer pick in someone like Addai, I would prefer to do that and let 1.05 deal with the injury risk, etc. In fact, in ppr I would probably rather draft someone like Gore who is younger and likely to have a lot of receptions this year as well.
I hope you're in one of my leagues, lol. Gore over Westbrook? Addai was injured for a part of last year... :lmao: Westbrook is better in PPR, redraft, and yes still, in dynasty. Again, good luck in projecting "injury risk" over past performance.
 
I don't know, I think Gore will be strong this year. He's 4 years younger than Westbrook and both look to be the focal point of their teams offenses. I've had Westbrook before and have been burned by him in the past where he was "a gametime decision" and despite watching the tv faithfully only found out after my league roster was locked that he wasn't starting. Gore also plays in a weak division against the run whereas Westbrook plays in a tough division. I'll let somebody else have the headache. I honestly don't think that Westbrook will be *that* much better than Gore and I have to think about next year as well as I'm in keeper leagues and next year Westbrook will be 30 with Gore only 26...

 
Westbrook will actually be 29 at the start of the season. Yes, he has been money, but given his ADP is around 1.04 I would be hesitant to draft him as my stud RB. PPR, I would look very hard at the screen, but would still pass on him. Given that in the #4 spot I could take a much safer pick in someone like Addai, I would prefer to do that and let 1.05 deal with the injury risk, etc. In fact, in ppr I would probably rather draft someone like Gore who is younger and likely to have a lot of receptions this year as well.
I hope you're in one of my leagues, lol. Gore over Westbrook? Addai was injured for a part of last year... :confused: Westbrook is better in PPR, redraft, and yes still, in dynasty. Again, good luck in projecting "injury risk" over past performance.
You love brian But he loves frankAnd he loves somebody elseYou just can't win And so it goesTill the day you dieif you like a certain elite player over another it just comes down to bias...not talent
 
TidesofWar said:
:confused: No doubt, Brian can produce some monster numbers - but do you guys feel this may be the year the nagging injuries turn more serious? :confused:
you could ask the same question about any rb this year1. LaDainian Tomlinson – San Diego Chargers2. Adrian Peterson – Minnesota Vikings3. Brian Westbrook – Philadelphia Eagles4. Steven Jackson – St. Louis Rams5. Joseph Addai – Indianapolis Colts6. Clinton Portis – Washington Redskins7. Larry Johnson – Kansas City Chiefs8. Ryan Grant – Green Bay Packers9. Frank Gore – San Francisco 49ers10. Marion Barber – Dallas Cowboys11. Marshawn Lynch – Buffalo Bills12. Willis McGahee – Baltimore Ravens13. Jamal Lewis – Cleveland Browns14. Maurice Jones-Drew – Jacksonville Jaguars15. Ronnie Brown – Miami Dolphins16. Brandon Jacobs – New York Giants17. Darren McFadden – Oakland Raiders18. Laurence Maroney – New England Patriots19. Reggie Bush – New Orleans Saints20. Michael Turner – Atlanta Falcons21. Willie Parker – Pittsburgh Steelers22. Earnest Graham – Tampa Bay Buccaneers23. Jonathan Stewart – Carolina Panthers24. Edgerrin James – Arizona Cardinals25. LenDale White – Tennessee Titans26. Thomas Jones – New York Jets27. Julius Jones – Seattle Seahawks28. Rudi Johnson – Cincinnati Bengals29. Matt Forte – Chicago Bears30. Felix Jones – Dallas Cowboys31. Fred Taylor – Jacksonville Jaguars32. Kevin Smith – Detroit Lions :unsure:
 
TidesofWar said:
:thumbup: No doubt, Brian can produce some monster numbers - but do you guys feel this may be the year the nagging injuries turn more serious? :confused:
As long as you handcuff Buckhalter, you are fine. Buck can usually be had with your last pick - at least that's how it worked out for me last year.
 
Some have been saying that Booker is the more likely handcuff? In redraft ppr I would take Westbrook at 1.04 and nab his handcuff in late rounds. In dynasty, I would bet on a different, younger horse.

 

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