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Willie Parker's tough matchup (1 Viewer)

F

FGITLOTR

Footballguy
Well, I don't know if I'm the only seriously considering benching him for another player this week. I think his ceiling this week is around 75 and could easily wind up with another 30-40 yard showing. For that reason, I'm giving serious thought to benching him for either Tatum Bell or Mike Turner. I know it sounds crazy, but I'd rather go with a high risk/high reward back this week, such as Turner, in the place of Parker. I think Turner or even Bell for that matter will wind up having better stats than Fast Willie.

Anyone else in the same predicament? If so, share your thoughts on Willie this week and whether or not you are going with him.

 
I figured I wasn't the only one contemplating sitting this stud. When push comes to shove I'll probably go with him, but my gut says he has about 45 yards on 20+ carries

 
FGITLOTR said:
Well, I don't know if I'm the only seriously considering benching him for another player this week. I think his ceiling this week is around 75 and could easily wind up with another 30-40 yard showing. For that reason, I'm giving serious thought to benching him for either Tatum Bell or Mike Turner. I know it sounds crazy, but I'd rather go with a high risk/high reward back this week, such as Turner, in the place of Parker. I think Turner or even Bell for that matter will wind up having better stats than Fast Willie.Anyone else in the same predicament? If so, share your thoughts on Willie this week and whether or not you are going with him.
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I'm got Parker, and am staying with him - Yes, Baltimore's defense scares me, but I would be kicking myself for going with this guy all season, and then not doing so in my Championship Game, despite the matchup. Parker is a TD threat, 3 or 4 in TD's amongst RB's, and Pittsburgh is playing some of it's better offense of the season, not to mention will be looking to rebound from the beatdown Baltimore game them earlier this season.
 
My other options are Droughns and S Morris (Brown back) so I have no choice but I think with the Steelers and Ben playing better.....throwing some decent passes it should help open the running game a little. I just hope he breaks 1 or 2 long ones on a screen or something. 75 and maybe a TD sounds about right.

 
FWP has been great at home...an absolute monster at times. The Steelers as a whole look better at home than on the road so I'd be surprised if the Rothlisberger-sacked-NINE-times team that showed up in Baltimore shows up for this one. I don't expect Parker to go off, but I don't expect a stinker like he had in Baltimore, either.

 
I'm thinking of benching FWP for Rudi Johnson. I'm fortunate I have to plaly 2 and have:

1. Frank Gore

2. Willie Parker

3. Rudi Johnson

FWP has been my stud all year but his performance has been spikey. I'm afraid of another shut out with him.

What are your thoughts?

 
For me, Ron Dayne has the better matchup but I just can't do that. I've given some thought to an LT/Turner combo, but I'm going with LT and FWP. My original plan was to start KJ against Chicago, but KJ is on IR. If I had Gore or Rudi I'd probably sit FWP.

 
It sure is tough to sit him, but I'm considering sitting him for Betts. I just know I would probably kill myself if Willie goes off and I have him on the bench. There is a difference of $1400 between first and second place, so this is a pretty darn big decision here :thumbdown:

 
I'm considering benching him in favor of Travis Henry. Henry should have some EXTRA incentive playing against his former team in Buffalo.

Still - it is very difficult to pull the trigger and bench FWP - even against the Ravens D.

I'll be debating right up until game time..............

 
Starting him, but more because of lack of options. In the Superbowl, I'd rather have FWP upside in a bad matchup than Thomas Jones' downside of starting but only getting 10 or less carries.

 
oldwolf said:
I'm thinking of benching FWP for Rudi Johnson. I'm fortunate I have to plaly 2 and have:1. Frank Gore2. Willie Parker3. Rudi JohnsonFWP has been my stud all year but his performance has been spikey. I'm afraid of another shut out with him.What are your thoughts?
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How about thinking of this strategically?If your opponent will have a really strong game, meaning that you will also need a big game, then go with Willie Parker and his home run ability.If your opponent is just solid, then maybe going with a less risky / more consistent Rudi Johnson is the way to go.
 
The last game was a total meltdown for the Steelers. I don't see them laying an egg at home, especially with an ever-so-slim chance at the playoffs.

My main concern is rookie Willie Colon will get his first start at RT this week. That is downright scary.

I could see FWP getting a lot of receiving yards this week.

 
kutta said:
It sure is tough to sit him, but I'm considering sitting him for Betts. I just know I would probably kill myself if Willie goes off and I have him on the bench. There is a difference of $1400 between first and second place, so this is a pretty darn big decision here :goodposting:
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I'm with you here bro. Betts is on a four game 100 + yard roll and going against the 31st ranked Ram run D. FWP is been so good to me but the Ravens run D is scary. As of now I have Betts in the lineup.
 
He has carried you this far into the Superbowl, I think you have to play him. I am tempted to start Dayne instead, but I have to stick with FWP. It would burn me up to have FWP on my bench when I have started him all season, and he goes off for a big game. When I get into micro managing my team, and analyzing every stat, that is when I get burnt.

Stick with FWP.....

 
as of now I am starting MJD over FWP, along w/LJ.

Luckily I have studs at QB and WR so if I do make "the mistake" @ RB hopefully they'll be able to pick up the slack...

 
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i've got some good options at rb, and need to pick 3 out of:

LJ

FWP

MBIII

ron dayne

LJ and MBIII are clearly starters this week...but do I go with Dayne against a poor Indy run D (although it looked pretty good last week...and it's Ron Dayne that we're talking about) -- or do I go with FWP who's been a stud most weeks (but has given a couple of stinko performances this year) against a great Ravens D?

difficult decision. most site rankings have Dayne above FWP this week.

 
Stompin said:
Starting him, but more because of lack of options. In the Superbowl, I'd rather have FWP upside in a bad matchup than Thomas Jones' downside of starting but only getting 10 or less carries.
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If there was a 'same boat' smiley I'd use it here.I'm sticking w/ FWP over TJ.TJ has the better match-up obviously but with being nicked up and sharing carries with Benson andprobably Peterson too I've gotta go with FWP.For the record Rudi is my other starter and will also have Jacobs and Turner on the bench with TJ.
 
I'm playing him over Addai, Turner (I have LT), and Caldwell.

Pittsburgh, and Willie especially from a yardage perspective, has not always been great away from home. I'm not saying Cleveland's defense should be compared to Baltimore, but look at the difference (disregarding the two late TDs) in overall yardage: 16 for 46 for 2.9 in the first away game, and then 32 for 223 for 7.0 in the home game.

They're also bitter division rivals so you KNOW that Pittsburgh wants to get revenge for the beatdown last time and potentially knock the Ravens out of the first round bye / home field advantage race.

I'm not saying Willie will light it up (though I wouldn't complain), but I also think you're going to get better than 37 total yards. I think 60 and a score would be a conservative estimate. For what it's worth, FBG projects him as 24 for 93 (3.9 ypc) and 0.6 Tds - that would be 14 pts.

If you have a guy like Rudi, sure - they're both studs, take a chance on Rudi even if he didn't have a monster game against Indy. But I probably wouldn't bench Willie for a big question mark like Turner etc.

I actually considered starting Turner in my flex alongside LT just in case it's a blowout... but I think I would be more likely to sit MB3 over Willie in that case.

 
FWP is who you need to go with. He has been monstrous at home and also coming off a big game in Carolina (whose defense is one of the top). 23-107 1td

 
Parker's career stats vs. Baltimore:

2005 (rush/recieve)

BAL: 14-63-0/2-18-0

@BAL: 18-59-0/2-22-1

2006

@BAL: 10-22-0/2-15-0

Just sayin...

 
jetpack said:
Parker's career stats vs. Baltimore:2005 (rush/recieve)BAL: 14-63-0/2-18-0@BAL: 18-59-0/2-22-12006@BAL: 10-22-0/2-15-0Just sayin...
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You are right except that if you see it from a positive side the guy is due vs the Ravens , as good as their defense is Parker ( Id say the best after LT and LJ and not that far from LJ ) can take it to house every time he touches the ball .I think he has a great game tomorrow . Be positive he is due vs those guys .
 
How about thinking of this strategically?

If your opponent will have a really strong game, meaning that you will also need a big game, then go with Willie Parker and his home run ability.

If your opponent is just solid, then maybe going with a less risky / more consistent Rudi Johnson is the way to go.

I'm struggling with this exact issue. Opponent has amazing LDT + way too much team.

I have to pick 2 out of FWP, Deuce, Marion III, and Joe Addai.

I think Marion III and Deuce are most likely to have decent games but FWP and Addai seem much more likely to put up feast or famine numbers.

 
How about thinking of this strategically?

If your opponent will have a really strong game, meaning that you will also need a big game, then go with Willie Parker and his home run ability.

If your opponent is just solid, then maybe going with a less risky / more consistent Rudi Johnson is the way to go.

I'm struggling with this exact issue. Opponent has amazing LDT + way too much team.

I have to pick 2 out of FWP, Deuce, Marion III, and Joe Addai.

I think Marion III and Deuce are most likely to have decent games but FWP and Addai seem much more likely to put up feast or famine numbers.

In your case (assuming a standard scoring system), I would play MBIII and FWP. MBIII is the most likely back to get a TD, and is always a possibility he'll get 2 TDs. Between FWP and Addai, FWP has the better upside, and is much more likely to get a TD. Addai is very inconsistent, and has really only had the one monster game. Besides his monster game, Addai has 4 TD (3 rushing, 1 receiving).

 
oldwolf said:
I'm thinking of benching FWP for Rudi Johnson. I'm fortunate I have to plaly 2 and have:1. Frank Gore2. Willie Parker3. Rudi JohnsonFWP has been my stud all year but his performance has been spikey. I'm afraid of another shut out with him.What are your thoughts?
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I have the exact situation, and right now Rudi is above him. I also have MJD I am also considering ahead of him.
 
He is tied for #4 RB in scoring with Westbrook in my league and is a huge reason why im in the FF superbowl, I cant imagine sitting him now for any reason. Dance with the one that got you to the dance.

 
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