Even his 1 good season in Chicago, there were many games where he was invisible and then caught 3/4 balls in absolute garbage time to save the Fantasy day.
You just literally described 90% of Fantasy WR1s let alone WR2/FLEX guys
To be clear, I don't think anyone in here is implying Arob is going to be a stud Fantasy WR.... at least they shouldn't be.
His ADP is WR21. That means he's got to be a low end WR2 or solid Flex to pay off at ADP. Anything above that is a bonus. Last year's HORRIBLE numbers, normalizing Catch rate (was playing with a terrible rookie QB) and TDs (Rams O >> Bears O) and he would have been around WR32.
GIven the significant investment in money, the FAR superior offense, the gushing coachspeak, the film of him still getting separation, etc.... I think it's pretty safe to assume Arob will pay off at ADP with a reasonable chance he over-delivers as WR15ish performance ROY.
If the owner is panicking and the price is right... swipe him. I've only got one share but I'm looking to get more at the right price.
No, I don’t think that describes most WR’s.
You are banking on off-season coach speak and I was banking on watching A Rob every Sunday as a Bear. Plus that whole R Woods thing last season. I don’t see the value here, but I won’t knock anyone that does.
I mentioned 4 causes for optimism... you honed in on coachspeak for some reason? Well, i can think of one reason...
VERY few startable WRs are without several down weeks, or weeks saved by garbage time.
I watched every game/play for Arob last year as well as I owned him in a $400 buy in league. I'm intimately aware of his lack of performance.
Nobody is arguing his stats didn't drop off last year. However in the
two previous years with that same NFL team he averaged a very respectable 16 (2019 WR8) and 16.4 (2020 WR9) PPG in PPR... a team with an offense that isn't nearly as productive as this Ram's offense. What changed?
Some seem to think he had a massive skill drop off at age 28. Others seem to recognize it was more due to a combination of inept offensive gameplan, injury, and putrid QB play.
For what it's worth, PFF gave him a respectable 67 receiving grade last year,
WELL above his competition Van Jefferson's 59.5.
IMO the only way Robinson doesn't deliver on his WR21 ADP is if he's inexplicably not targeted like the WR he was signed to be.
Time will tell.