barackdhouse
Footballguy
yeah same I still don't get it
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Your biggest bust of 2024 (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Judge Smails
- Start date
barackdhouse
Footballguy
it's true, and even though I wasn't avoiding him, I only luckily missed him in all of my FPCs and the ME this year, but when I did get a chance at 2 twice I took Tyreek instead purely out of prefernce at the time, so not sure how much of a successful "avoid" that was since they both busted. Chase and Jefferson seemed to be the obvious early 1st winners without reaching for Barkley.
jm192
Footballguy
In Olave's case:
8 games
32 receptions, 400 yards, 1 TD
Extrapolated: 68 receptions, 850 yards, 2 TD's
If we remove the Carolina game and re-do the extrapolation:
75 receptions, 940 yards, 2 TD's
Even when he played, he wasn't what you were hoping for if you drafted him in the 2nd/early 3rd
barackdhouse
Footballguy
I didn't see him as very risky at all so it was easy for me to draft him, since I was actively avoiding LaPorta and also favored Gibbs and Barkley in most of those spots. But I was obviously wrong about Kincaid in terms of that risk. I'm sure you wrote about it before, but what were the risks you saw? I mean they were obviously realized but it just seemed like such a slam dunk (to many of us).
jm192
Footballguy
They love Knox, and Kincaid just doesn't get the snaps/routes to be an elite fantasy producer right now.
Kincaid's day will come, but it may be 2026.
barackdhouse
Footballguy
Well that is certainly the read now, and I agree, but didn't see it coming. I suppose for me the fog of "Diggs and Davis are leaving and there are a gazillion targets out there" got me reaching but it's hard to hate the process. I was more or less right about LaPorta, Kelce, McBride, Pitts and Andrews and very wrong about Kincaid and Bowers. Not sure what to make of Njoku/Engram as I feel like maybe the right combo with a 3rd could have won the day but IDK.
barackdhouse
Footballguy
Oh gosh Ferguson I had way too much of him obviously.
I did write about it before the season, just can't remember what thread it was in but said I considered him the biggest boom/bust player in top two rounds and biggest boom/bust player of the TE group that covered into round typically round 3 of FFPC drafts.
In short those risks was he was not the same player last year when Knox was healthy and Brady was the OC. Those things occurred at a similar time frame so was hard to distinguish which one had the biggest impact but since both things were returning this year I was not overly concerned with trying to determine which one it was. Then the excellent Bills beat writer for The Athletic, Joe Buscaglia(sp?) put out an article in camp where he really re-inforced my fears and referenced these things and I believe point blank said fantasy managers should temper expectations about his role.
Now all that being said in no shape form or way did I think he'd be this bad. I thought if things went bad he'd be like a 12'ish PPG kind of guy, a useful player, but the kind of production you usually get from TE7-10 and someone I could draft 4-5 rounds later. So my thought process was he was risky, but if things went south I'd get a get a useful player at a fairly thin position and his upside made that worth taking a few shots on.
Judge Smails
Footballguy
Same with Aiyuk. Just never got it going before he was hurt. Of course I had them both.
Need to remove the Tampa game too. The helmet to helmet that should have been clearly flagged and resulting concussion/fumble were less than halfway thru the 1st qtr. That leaves only 2 bad games, one of which was a total blowout in week 1 where it was over in the 1st qtr. The other against the Chiefs. Small sample size, but not nearly as bad as it looks at first glance.
TartanLion
Footballguy
Etienne and a plethora of early round WRs that all failed or were way too inconsistent to predict
Bijan
Etienne
Hurts
Waddle
DJ Moore
Flowers
First 6 rounds. Ouch. Saved myself and got to semis by grabbing good Ds ( Steelers and Broncos ) off the wire, alongside some players like Tracy and Thielen. Never truly solved the WR issue all season long though
Bijan
Etienne
Hurts
Waddle
DJ Moore
Flowers
First 6 rounds. Ouch. Saved myself and got to semis by grabbing good Ds ( Steelers and Broncos ) off the wire, alongside some players like Tracy and Thielen. Never truly solved the WR issue all season long though
Chemical X
Footballguy
in a flex keep i started with love, stroud and lawrence. at wr i had rice and olave. i didn’t do well.
KellysHeroes
Footballguy
The targets are there... the QB is there; but he just didn't light up the stat sheets. Not going to give up but am disappointed
fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
Can’t believe it took this many posts to mention him.
IdiotSavant
Footballguy
CMC
MHJ
Deebo
MHJ
Deebo
TheWinz
Footballguy
It's not a Toomer!
daveR
Footballguy
#21. Last year they were first by plenty!
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
Yeah, that’s brutal.
I went from the 5-seed to the 7-seed in a 16 team IDP because my LB (Azeez Al-Shaair) cheap shot hit my QB (Lawrence) resulting in TLaw concussion & Al-Shaair ejection all on the same play in a game I lost by less than 5 points.
Naturally because I was the 7-seed, I faced the 1 team that outscored me in the 1st round of the playoffs and lost.
FF can be brutal.
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
KWIII - started out looking like a great pick. Then the injury bug bit, and kept biting.
Kincaid - along with everyone else I tonight it would be a breakout year, Allen’s #1 target without Diggs/Gabe. Man were we wrong.
DKM - again, came out with a couple really solid games & faded back into the bushes like Homer Simpson. Some of this has to do with Geno’s clear regression & the SEA OL, but some of it has to be on DK. I dunno what’s up with Temu Terrell Owens, but he seemed poised to finally put it all together and instead had a very mid year.
JaWill - yuck
PIT RBs - not dependable at all. Warren started the year hurt, and Najee has looked extremely mediocre.
Kincaid - along with everyone else I tonight it would be a breakout year, Allen’s #1 target without Diggs/Gabe. Man were we wrong.
DKM - again, came out with a couple really solid games & faded back into the bushes like Homer Simpson. Some of this has to do with Geno’s clear regression & the SEA OL, but some of it has to be on DK. I dunno what’s up with Temu Terrell Owens, but he seemed poised to finally put it all together and instead had a very mid year.
JaWill - yuck
PIT RBs - not dependable at all. Warren started the year hurt, and Najee has looked extremely mediocre.
BobbyLayne
Footballguy
As is the case 75% of the time, I am my biggest bust. I was the one who screwed up the draft, traded away the wrong guy, dropped players before they blew up, kept starting guys who clearly were not the same guy, The details vary year to year but the core issue remains the same.
Roughly 25% of the time I luck into a title. 2024 was not a lucky year for me.
Roughly 25% of the time I luck into a title. 2024 was not a lucky year for me.
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Screwed up the draft: Took Mahomes in the 3rd, Took GP over Nabers
Dropped players before they blow up: Ladd for D Hop. Wanted that Mahomes/DHop stack
Kept starting guys who were clearly not the same guy: GP, Amari Cooper, Kincaid, DHop, Butker
TheDirtyWord
Footballguy
MHJ
Really had high expectations, but a combination of 1) an OC that seemed intent on relying on a physical run game and a 'whoever is open' philosophy in the passing game along with 2) MHJ being unprepared for the physicality of the NFL game thwarted what I thought was going to be an ideal situation.
Really had high expectations, but a combination of 1) an OC that seemed intent on relying on a physical run game and a 'whoever is open' philosophy in the passing game along with 2) MHJ being unprepared for the physicality of the NFL game thwarted what I thought was going to be an ideal situation.
Mr.Pack
Footballguy
This and it's not even close. End of discussion IMO
For me, I had $267 of my $300 cap invested in 4 guys, CMC $89, Tyreek $89, Breece $56, Hurts $33. My season was over before it started. However though trading I was able to get myself back into playoff contention as the 6 seed, but came up 9 points shy
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For my fantasy team...
Tyreke HIll, Kyle Pitts, BAL D and pretty much all of those RBS, who in years past would have found some way to play and be the difference for a guy who drafted them....including (but not limited to) Tyjae Spears, Trey Benson, Jaylen Warren and Jaylen Wright...
