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Your Team: One Take: Main Reason (1 Viewer)

ChiefD

Footballguy
Kansas City Chiefs

My Take:

Patrick Mahomes will have a career more like Aaron Rodgers and not win another Super Bowl.

Main Reason:

Andy Reid. He will ultimately be too stubborn to make offensive adjustments when his personnel changes.  In addition, it seems the fire in his belly may be going out based on events of the last 18 months regarding his family. I wouldn't be shocked it he hangs it up within the next two seasons.

 
Detroit Lions

My Take:

Brad Holmes & MCDC will win a Super Bowl in the next five years.

Main Reason:

We’re due.

AYOM (accumulated years of misery) is at an all time high. Which of course just means we’re one year closer to it ending. #believe

Serious answer: They’re headed in the right direction. But they have a long, long, long ways to go. I really like the entire coaching staff - Campbell did a great job of assemblying an outstanding group of (mostly) ex-NFL players. Young teams need coaches who can teach them. 

They have some foundational pieces in place but they need to string together several great drafts. It’s a great atmosphere in the building and I think they will be able to attract quality FAs.

 
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Detroit Lions

My Take:

Brad Holmes & MCDC will win a Super Bowl in the next five years.

Main Reason:

We’re due.

AYOM (accumulated years of misery) is at an all time high. Which of course just means we’re one year closer to it ending. #believe

Serious answer: They’re headed in the right direction. But they have a long, long, long ways to go. I really like the entire coaching staff - Campbell did a great job of assemblying an outstanding group of (mostly) ex-NFL players. Young teams need coaches who can teach them. 

They have some foundational pieces in place but they need to string together several great drafts. It’s a gray atmosphere in the building and I think they will be able to attract quality FAs.
I was going to say they would win their division in the next 3, but I like your version better.

 
Chicago Bears

My Take:

Justin Fields will be the best QB from the 2021 draft

Main reason:

He's got the best combo of accuracy and mobility. His biggest weakness is holding the ball too long, and now he's got a new GM(who was a former OL himself) who comes from KC and will likely prioritize the OL just like they did. Also, Nagy seemed to completely ignore Fields mobility, despite it being probably better than anyone short of Lamar/Kyler. I don't expect Eberflus and co. to be that stubborn/stupid. 

 
Detroit Lions

My Take:

Brad Holmes & MCDC will win a Super Bowl in the next five years.

Main Reason:

We’re due.

AYOM (accumulated years of misery) is at an all time high. Which of course just means we’re one year closer to it ending. #believe

Serious answer: They’re headed in the right direction. But they have a long, long, long ways to go. I really like the entire coaching staff - Campbell did a great job of assemblying an outstanding group of (mostly) ex-NFL players. Young teams need coaches who can teach them. 

They have some foundational pieces in place but they need to string together several great drafts. It’s a gray atmosphere in the building and I think they will be able to attract quality FAs.
The Lions are one of those teams where I think everyone outside that division would root for them when they make the playoffs and utltimately the Super Bowl. 

 
San Francisco 49ers 

My Take: 

As tough as the division is, the NFC West is setup for them to take over for the foreseeable future if Trey Lance hits.

Main Reason:

How long will that Rams core stick together now that they’ve won the Super Bowl? The Carroll/Wilson days seem to be numbered in Seattle. What is going on with Kyler and the Cardinals? 

 
Minnesota Vikings

My Take: 

They have been good enough to beat any team any week......but they also have played so poorly at critical times they could lose to any team any given week.

Main Reason:

The coaching staff was so conservative that the play calling and lack of "step on their throat and end them" mentality was not there.  They have the offensive pieces (although continued O-line improvement is needed) to beat anyone but need a coach that will set them free.  I am not sure if O'Connell is that guy.  On defense they were hit with some big injuries (Hunter missing most of the last two years is a big issue) and need to improve the D-line and secondary to really be able to compete for a SB.  On the bright side the NFC is in flux so they just need to put it all together to be contenders.  The pieces are mostly there.  

ETA:  However, they are the Vikings so even if they somehow put it together for a season they will eventually kick all their fans in the nuggets with an absurd loss preventing any real joy.  

 
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New Orleans Saints

My Take: 

The Saints are going to be stuck for the next 4-5 years in the middle of the league. 

Main Reason: 

Seems pretty obvious.  First and foremost, cap hell.  Second, no Sean Payton.  Dennis Allen is a great DC but he's already had one disappointing stint as a HC so tempered expectations there.  Third, uncertain QB future.  Jameis was brought in to learn from Payton, now that he's gone and Jameis is a FA, who knows.  Taysom isn't the long-term answer.  No one in the 2022 QB class inspires much confidence, and if the Saints opt for one at 1.18 and whiff on the pick that only sets them back further.  Kamara's status up in the air.  Who knows what Michael Thomas will look like if/when he does return.  Defense should still be good, not elite enough to carry the offense to the playoffs, but good enough to win a couple extra games and maybe give the illusion that the division can be won if the Brady-less Bucs start slow, and the Falcons/Panthers stay down.   I don't see Loomis tearing it down from the ground up and entering top to bottom rebuild, so it'll take years to get out of cap hell and we'll be stuck with a early/middle-teens draft pick every year.  Not bad enough to land a top 5 draft pick, but not good enough to have any legitimate chance at anything.  Stuck in the middle.    

 
San Francisco 49ers

My Take:  If this team fails to shore up the secondary & OL, it really won't matter how good Trey Lance is. 

Main Reason: In a pass-heavy league, they are just about the least capable of defending the pass. And in a division like the NFC West where you have to face Metcalf, Kupp, Woods, Hopkins, etc, they really, really need to hit on at least one, maybe 2 CBs this off-season. They have a couple of pieces. They need a lot more. And OT needs to be a priority as well. SF has enough weapons on offense to make a run, but until they build the secondary it's all going to be wasted with also-ran seasons. The secondary isn't a new problem for the 49ers, they've just tried to approach it with low priority, and bubble bum & duct tape solutions just aren't good enough. 

 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

My Take: The Buccaneers are about to go into rebuilding mode, whether they like it or not. 

Main Reason: The team was a perfect scenario for Brady to walk into. Then other free agents piled on to go for the ride. Now it's over and that moment has passed (think The Breakfast Club when detention was over. They shared something special, but then go their separate ways after sharing some jewelry). 

Yes, they'll stubbornly try to manage the decay for a year (maybe even two) but they won't be competitive for a championship. Maybe they'll be a wild-card team. But they're going to lose a lot of talent on one-year contracts. Arians will call it a day, and the team will start over. Fans will be frustrated, but the ring was worth it. They'll be a .500 team at best for a number of years unless they hit it big with draft picks.

 
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

My Take: The Buccaneers are about to go into rebuilding mode, whether they like it or not. 

Main Reason: The team was a perfect scenario for Brady to walk into. Then other free agents piled on to go for the ride. Now it's over and that moment has passed (think The Breakfast Club when detention was over. They shared something special, but then go their separate ways after sharing some jewelry  weed). 

Yes, they'll stubbornly try to manage the decay for a year (maybe even two) but they won't be competitive for a championship. Maybe they'll be a wild-card team. But they're going to lose a lot of talent on one-year contracts. Arians will call it a day, and the team will start over. Fans will be frustrated, but the ring was worth it. They'll be a .500 team for a number of years unless they hit it big with draft picks.
FYP - have to stay with the Breakfast Club theme

 
Pittsburgh

My Take:  They're going to be truly "rebuilding" for the first time in about 30 years, but I'm skeptical that they'll fully embrace the idea. 

Main Reason:  There has been scuttlebutt being reported for months from the local hacks about the Pitty FO brass viewing '22 onward as a "retooling" exercise, not a "rebuild."  That' wrong-headed, IMO.  The defense still has its share of play makers, and will likely preclude the team from truly bottoming out completely, but some if its key guys are aging rapidly and their depth is non-existent.   Their offense needed a 100% overhaul with #7 on board, and even moreso now without him....which doesn't appear to be in the offing (retaining the OC, going lowest common denominator on some position coach hires, etc, etc).  

They already seem to be tipping their hand that they'll be pursuing this crop of draftable QBs far more heavily than it deserves, and that's also of concern.  This team isn't a "QB away", but at the moment is seems like this front office believes that maybe it is.

With the money the Steelers have available the next two seasons in particular, they could/should be back to their normal selves very quickly....if they don't do something ridiculous, like spend an exorbitant amount of draft capital on chasing a QB from the '22 class or decide to ignore viable FAs on both the OL or DL in lieu of attempting to only draft replacements/upgrades instead. 

 
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Pittsburgh

My Take:  They're going to be truly "rebuilding" for the first time in about 30 years, but I'm skeptical that they'll fully embrace the idea. 

Main Reason:  There has been scuttlebutt being reported for months from the local hacks about the Pitty FO brass viewing '22 onward as a "retooling" exercise, not a "rebuild."  That' wrong-headed, IMO.  The defense still has its share of play makers, and will likely preclude the team from truly bottoming out completely, but some if its key guys are aging rapidly and their depth is non-existent.   Their offense needed a 100% overhaul with #7 on board, and even moreso now without him....which doesn't appear to be in the offing (retaining the OC, going lowest common denominator on some position coach hires, etc, etc).  

They already seem to be tipping their hand that they'll be pursuing this crop of draftable QBs far more heavily than it deserves, and that's also of concern.  This team isn't a "QB away", but at the moment is seems like this front office believes that maybe it is.

With the money the Steelers have available the next two seasons in particular, they could/should be back to their normal selves very quickly....if they don't do something ridiculous, like spend an exorbitant amount of draft capital on chasing a QB from the '22 class or decide to ignore viable FAs on both the OL or DL in lieu of attempting to only draft replacements/upgrades instead. 
I think every team is a QB away, meaning you have to have the QB, then you can build around them. The Buccaneers and Rams did it the other way, adding the QB later. But they already had good infrastructure in place and few teams have that. If Pittsburgh can find the QB, they can build to his strengths. The question is whether a franchise QB will be available for them. But any team that can get a difference-maker at QB can start thinking about building a champion. But without him, it's not going to happen. 

 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

My Take: The Buccaneers are about to go into rebuilding mode, whether they like it or not. 

Main Reason: The team was a perfect scenario for Brady to walk into. Then other free agents piled on to go for the ride. Now it's over and that moment has passed (think The Breakfast Club when detention was over. They shared something special, but then go their separate ways after sharing some jewelry). 

Yes, they'll stubbornly try to manage the decay for a year (maybe even two) but they won't be competitive for a championship. Maybe they'll be a wild-card team. But they're going to lose a lot of talent on one-year contracts. Arians will call it a day, and the team will start over. Fans will be frustrated, but the ring was worth it. They'll be a .500 team at best for a number of years unless they hit it big with draft picks.
All of this, but Rams too. 

 
NYG

My Take: Another top 5 pick next year.

Main Reason:  it's the NYG.
I am cautiously optimistic. They went from arguably the worst coaching/GM combo in the league to possibly one of the very best. 

I believe they’ll turn things around relatively quickly. 

 
But any team that can get a difference-maker at QB can start thinking about building a champion. But without him, it's not going to happen. 
Well, yeah, but that's the trick.  I'm certainly not seeing one available in this class of draftable individuals and I wouldn't be burning any legit draft capital to acquire any of them if I were I a sitting NFL GM.  I possess a sinking feeling that the Steelers may feel otherwise.  I'm just a dude on the internet though, so what do I know?

If they DO feel that way, the only thing that may save them from themselves is that, for this year at least, they don't have any excess draft capital to really spend.  If they start giving away future picks for the Malik Willises of the world.....

They need to build up both their lines for a year (maybe two) and assess the landscape at QB come '23, IMO.  Much more attractive options with better shots at being a long-term answer.

 
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I am cautiously optimistic. They went from arguably the worst coaching/GM combo in the league to possibly one of the very best. 

I believe they’ll turn things around relatively quickly. 
I agree with both of you.  The GM and coaching staff hires are the best anyone could have hoped for so there's definitely reason for long term optimism.  However, the Giants are over the cap next year and are going to have to cut some starters so they may have to take a step backwards before they can start moving forward.

 
I agree with both of you.  The GM and coaching staff hires are the best anyone could have hoped for so there's definitely reason for long term optimism.  However, the Giants are over the cap next year and are going to have to cut some starters so they may have to take a step backwards before they can start moving forward.
Oh, yeah - they’re not playoff-bound in 2022….far from it. I expect competence though. They may well have another top 5 pick, but like, in a good way. :)  

 
Baltimore Ravens

My Take: 10 or 11 wins and back in playoff contention.

Main Reason: They had 22 players on IR in 2021(including 2 All Pro CB, an All Pro LT, and the entire RB room), with several more extremely limited by injury and/or experiencing COVID issues. There are some pending FAs whose spots will have to be addressed, but Baltimore is as good as any organization about rebuilding on the fly and flipping the roster while remaining competitive. Given reasonable health in 2022, they should be right in the thick of it. 

 
New York Jets 

My Take: At least one more year of a rebuild and after that, who knows? 

Main Reason: Watching the Jets play these past five years is like going into a time warp. Their offense struggles so mightily we might as well be in the early '80s of football. First downs seem like miracles. Never mind butt fumbles, the QB was hitting guys in the back with screen passes and couldn't even throw a WR screen without skipping the ball this year.  Now, he had a fine final four games but it remains to be seen exactly who he is. And that will determine everything. That's the main reason why we just don't know where they'll be. 

To find out, they need an OL in the draft who can come in and play well, and they need their first-round pick in 2020 (Mekhi Becton) to remain healthy and be the left tackle they drafted him to be. If those two things pan out, we'll see how the QB performs and then reassess next year. But I foresee about a pick in the 5-12 range next year, maybe even lower (1-5, that is) if the QB somehow takes a step back. Also, this defense was historically bad. Like, Tom Kinglisbury rated it among the worst in the past twenty years. That's no bueno. 

So there are a lot of things to fix here. Good thing they have four picks in the top 38 to do it. Don't blow it all in one place, fellas. 

 
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Pittsburgh

My Take:  They're going to be truly "rebuilding" for the first time in about 30 years, but I'm skeptical that they'll fully embrace the idea. 

Main Reason:  There has been scuttlebutt being reported for months from the local hacks about the Pitty FO brass viewing '22 onward as a "retooling" exercise, not a "rebuild."  That' wrong-headed, IMO.  The defense still has its share of play makers, and will likely preclude the team from truly bottoming out completely, but some if its key guys are aging rapidly and their depth is non-existent.   Their offense needed a 100% overhaul with #7 on board, and even moreso now without him....which doesn't appear to be in the offing (retaining the OC, going lowest common denominator on some position coach hires, etc, etc).  

They already seem to be tipping their hand that they'll be pursuing this crop of draftable QBs far more heavily than it deserves, and that's also of concern.  This team isn't a "QB away", but at the moment is seems like this front office believes that maybe it is.

With the money the Steelers have available the next two seasons in particular, they could/should be back to their normal selves very quickly....if they don't do something ridiculous, like spend an exorbitant amount of draft capital on chasing a QB from the '22 class or decide to ignore viable FAs on both the OL or DL in lieu of attempting to only draft replacements/upgrades instead. 


As you said the defense is better than average and aside from Cam Heyward and Tyson Alaalu they are a pretty young unit.  They do have holes to fill but unlike previous years the Steelers are in good shape cap-wise and will be even better shape in 2023 as long as they don't so something stupid and sign an Aaron Rogers or Russel Wilson.

The offensive line was awful last year and IMO is the #1 thing they must address in 2022.  If they can do this and fill some holes on defense I think they'll have a good base to potentially compete in 2023, depending on what they do at QB.

Obviously they need a QB better than Mason Rudolph.  I would prefer they do not use their #1 on a QB but I get a feeling they're going to.  I just hope they don't trade away picks to move up a couple spots to land one.  I would rather sign a Trubisky or Mariota to compete with Rudolph and if they suck wait until next year to draft a QB.

 
Seattle Seahawks

My Take: Improve on 2021 season, but fall short of playoffs for 2nd year running given the strength of the NFC West. 

Main Reason: Russ will stay and be better by just being healthy but The Defense was held together with bailing wire and duct tape. I think Wagner moves on and they most likely will lose Diggs. The CB position in today's passing league really makes me want to pull up the Tums regularly watching them give up yards and yards and more yards. I was happy that Norton got fired, but Hurtt being promoted makes me believe it will be much of the same as this year and perhaps be even worse...Russ can only bail out the Def so much. 

 
As you said the defense is better than average and aside from Cam Heyward and Tyson Alaalu they are a pretty young unit.  They do have holes to fill but unlike previous years the Steelers are in good shape cap-wise and will be even better shape in 2023 as long as they don't so something stupid and sign an Aaron Rogers or Russel Wilson.

The offensive line was awful last year and IMO is the #1 thing they must address in 2022.  If they can do this and fill some holes on defense I think they'll have a good base to potentially compete in 2023, depending on what they do at QB.

Obviously they need a QB better than Mason Rudolph.  I would prefer they do not use their #1 on a QB but I get a feeling they're going to.  I just hope they don't trade away picks to move up a couple spots to land one.  I would rather sign a Trubisky or Mariota to compete with Rudolph and if they suck wait until next year to draft a QB.


Because I trust Pittsburgh's front office/coaching I think this is the perfect year for them to identify and draft a QB in the first round that they can develop...while there are no wow prospects going into this draft there are some very good prospects and because of this scenario the Steelers may be in a position to obtain their QB of the future without moving up or only having to do it by moving up a little...if they wait a year and finish around .500 they will be boxed into a corner next offseason where they will be forced to get a QB at all costs...obviously this is all contingent on liking a particular QB or two in the draft but if they do they could solve their biggest issue without having to trade away the farm. 

 
Washington Commanders

My Take: After Daniel Snyder is forced to sell the team, Satan releases his hold and curse over our franchise. We will land a great QB upgrade, we won't lead the league in players on IR like we do almost every year, and the team will not only win the division next year, but make a deep run in the playoffs. If Dan isn't removed, expect the opposite of everything I just posted. 

 
Washington Commanders

My Take: After Daniel Snyder is forced to sell the team, Satan releases his hold and curse over our franchise. We will land a great QB upgrade, we won't lead the league in players on IR like we do almost every year, and the team will not only win the division next year, but make a deep run in the playoffs. If Dan isn't removed, expect the opposite of everything I just posted. 
Not sure if you will like this opinion from the latest FantasyPros mock draft:

Washington Commanders receive pick 6. Carolina Panthers receive picks 11, 42.

6) Washington Commanders (via Carolina) – Malik Willis (QB – Liberty)

In the first trade of the mock draft, the Commanders give up their second-round pick to jump over the Atlanta Falcons and Denver Broncos for the top quarterback in the draft class. 

 
Not sure if you will like this opinion from the latest FantasyPros mock draft:

Washington Commanders receive pick 6. Carolina Panthers receive picks 11, 42.

6) Washington Commanders (via Carolina) – Malik Willis (QB – Liberty)

In the first trade of the mock draft, the Commanders give up their second-round pick to jump over the Atlanta Falcons and Denver Broncos for the top quarterback in the draft class. 
If he ends up the best QB in the class, I'm all for it. And again, if the son of Satan is no longer the owner of our team, perhaps we are in for some good fortune ;)

 
Baltimore Ravens

My Take: 10 or 11 wins and back in playoff contention.

Main Reason: They had 22 players on IR in 2021(including 2 All Pro CB, an All Pro LT, and the entire RB room), with several more extremely limited by injury and/or experiencing COVID issues. There are some pending FAs whose spots will have to be addressed, but Baltimore is as good as any organization about rebuilding on the fly and flipping the roster while remaining competitive. Given reasonable health in 2022, they should be right in the thick of it. 
LJax still unvaccinated?

Seems fair to wonder if he’ll miss more time in 2022.  🤔 

 
Not sure if you will like this opinion from the latest FantasyPros mock draft:

Washington Commanders receive pick 6. Carolina Panthers receive picks 11, 42.

6) Washington Commanders (via Carolina) – Malik Willis (QB – Liberty)

In the first trade of the mock draft, the Commanders give up their second-round pick to jump over the Atlanta Falcons and Denver Broncos for the top quarterback in the draft class. 
But….don’t the Panthers also need a QB? 

 

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