Wow
/
. Yes, let's ignore all of the bad calls anyone has made and look at their hit percentage on guys that they hit on...?
Even someone who has an incredible eye for talent (note, this is probably not you) will have an even smaller chance at predicting fantasy success, let along a near fantasy stud. Think about the following:
You need the right talent, the right opportunity, the right system and the right health. There are a lot of unpredictable elements in here. Even top scouts will get the first wrong a lot.
Saying that there is any skill in the matter is just sad. Sorry.
Not sure if the bolded part was aimed at me or not, since it was my post you replied to , but nevertheless
overall.There is skill involved in predicting NFL talent - but that doesn't guarantee success because of all the factors you mentioned. No one can predict opportunity, system, or health accurately.
Quite frankly though, there are some guys on these forums that are very good at spotting talent. There are some guys that post on these forums that actually work in professional football. They're not just armchair QBs.
The guys that hit more frequently than they miss, and year after year are consistently better than average - there's more to that than luck.
But the average joe who is hyping Chris Johnson, a first round pick, like he discovered hidden gold is pretty ridiculous.