Adams has been ~15th in WR efficiency for both the last two years. He's also been covered by the top corner on opposing teams on most plays for the past two years.For being a top 18 pick, it is awful quiet in here. I guess the story is: he's the top receiver for Rodgers and we have seen him score TDs so he is a super safe pick. I totally bought that as well, but I am starting to have some worries. Are we sure Adams is a Jordy Nelson and not a Randall Cobb/James Jones?
Jones and Cobb both had a big seasons mostly based on crazy high TD % but then were overdrafted. They left buyers disappointed when they could no longer sustain such an improbable TD %. All three had chances to shine in the absence of Jordy Nelson in 2015. Adams and Cobb fell on their faces. James Jones led the team with 800 yards and 8 TDs. I am nervous about Adams as the focal point of this passing game.
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/wr2017
I think his draft position is about where he should be valued. He's clearly not an elite talent like Brown, Julio, Hopkins. but he's still one of the top dozen WRs in the league, and he gets a major boost playing with Rodgers. As the 8th WR coming off the board, he's probably closer to his ceiling than his floor, but he's about as safe of a mid-2nd round pick as you can get.