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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (12 Viewers)

tigers f5 and over, and tigers tt over

Moore's 1st 5 innings performance during night games has been even worse. (9-25, -36% ROI, 14-26 0.5 ATS -33% ROI, 26-12 OVER 1st 5 OU) #MLB #sportsbetting #freepick

Texas LHP Matt Moore has struggled badly the past 3 years with the @Rangers Giants, and Rays. Not surprisingly, his teams' 1st 5 inn. line performance reflects that. (23-38, -21% ROI, 29-40 0.5 ATS -19% ROI, 38-26 OVER 1st 5 OU) #MLB #sportsbetting #freepicks

 
Good Posting Judge said:
Does he have a long-term, documented record anywhere? I know there's more than one way to skin a cat, but this guy's not terribly persuasive.
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This is the first year I've followed him or known about him but I will tell you he slayed college hoops. He says 44 or 48 units or something? and I can vouch for that. I'll also tell you he's been dreadful at soccer and I don't think he's any better than I am at baseball.

 
speaking of two-sport players I can't believe Jacoby Jones is in the MLB now him and his cousin Adam are both two-sport players that's just crazy

 
This season faves with a total of 8 or less 17-1 SU versus Pods (avg line -157; ROI 55.4%). sdql

Since 2013 Nats 10-0 SU going from home to NL West parks on zero rest (avg line -130). sdql

Both teams coming in from out of town and the flight from D.C. to San Diego actually looks to be about the same if not shorter.

Nats -167

 
So just got my golf win limits cut to 1250 at bovada.  Took a whole 6 weeks....

Cut from 5d

Cut from Heritage $50 bet litmits

Cut from bovada $1250 win limits

good to go at bookmaker, 

Where else can I go?  Preferably to bet golf.  

 
Good Posting Judge said:
I was not nearly as aggro as i shouldve been playing poker back then. I was happy to take rinky dink 2k payouts instead of consistently moving up. Sad. 
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Forget poker, casino bonuses were huge and even better they had auto play features, you didn't even need to do the work, bonus would clear while you sleep.

 
Inspired by GPJ's thread about gambling I went back to my daily log that I kept and found I had 1877 consecutive days of gambling data.  I didn't wager every day(those had 0's) but this chart is basically 5 years of gambling.  This was a fun exercise for me, I used to be ####### nuts, I had -25k+ days 4 weeks apart, looking through everything I was both excited and wanted to throw up.  I can't believe I handled swings like I did but when you put it in graph form it really smooths out those swings.

https://www.awesomescreenshot.com/image/3343310/d418de452c21a1855bfea5205a696854

 
Good Posting Judge said:
Are there still any +EV casino bonuses?
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Not that I know of, used to be a few k a month in EV just in casino bonuses.  Good timing for me to have 3 roommates and gobs of time just out of college.

 
MIA TT F5 O2 - 110 - Have you seen who the cubs are starting? I know that MIA is a triple A team, but this guy has an era over 8.. in AAA;

Cincy TT F5 O2.5 -120 - Vargas has been terrible;

NYY TT F5 O2.5-120 - Redsox - NYY always seems to end up a slugfest and Pomeranz has been not good;

GLTA
AB

 
L3 seasons D-Backs 29-10-1 O/U after a day off (1st MLB):

  • 17-2-1 O/U at NL parks at night
  • 13-0-1 O/U v LHP
ARI o3½ +110
ARI/LA o6½ -130
ARI/LA o7 -105
ARI/LA o8 +155

 
lumpy19 said:
Inspired by GPJ's thread about gambling I went back to my daily log that I kept and found I had 1877 consecutive days of gambling data.  I didn't wager every day(those had 0's) but this chart is basically 5 years of gambling.  This was a fun exercise for me, I used to be ####### nuts, I had -25k+ days 4 weeks apart, looking through everything I was both excited and wanted to throw up.  I can't believe I handled swings like I did but when you put it in graph form it really smooths out those swings.

https://www.awesomescreenshot.com/image/3343310/d418de452c21a1855bfea5205a696854
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Damn I made you a lot of money!

 
swirvenirvin said:
Damn I made you a lot of money!
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The end of this graph is before you started posting, or at least before I started following you I think.  It's been 5+ years since I did daily accounting.  Beginning of that graph was props/ @TheGooRoo middle was maybe 25% props/75% big markets and the end was me thinking I'm hot #### and essentially breaking even for 2 years before the Ravens niners Superbowl where i crashed and burned and took some time off.

 
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Peyton Marino said:
Are you literally tallying up your daily w/l across all the sites? Seems like a ton of work.
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It actually wasn't, took like 5 min.  I updated balances for each site and spreadsheet spit out daily figure into correct location.  Sometimes I'd go a few days without updating (especially if I knew I lost) but it just became part of my routine.

 
Page 3... summer doldrums starting early..

Hou F5 O2 - 120  Mengden rocked by Houston back on 4/28 - yes, it was in Houston - not sure that matters much against this lineup;

Sea F5 O2 - 130 : Garcia is 0-2 with a 9.88 ERA in his past three starts;

Skoglund has given up fewer than 4 runs in a start exactly once in 5 tries this season... Baltimore F5 O2.5 - 125;

AZ +107 - give me the small dog with the better Pitcher and at this point, maybe the better team - LAD are a mess;

GLTA
AB

adding SD +121 - Was is 4-8 versus lefty starters and 16-9 against righties; coupled with SD is 6-7 against LHP but 7-17 against RHP; two lefties take the hill tonight in SD

 
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comfortably numb said:
Every once in awhile I get bitten on these long odds but I'll take the stab BOS wont lose 4 in a row

BOS -400
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that line is so dumb it is insane. When Philly was down 3-0 they were still +400. for comparison sake, Toronto down 3-0 was over +1000. I don't know why vegas and the line makers have all of a sudden fallen so in love with the Sixers, but it has not been as fun as taking the Sixers during their regular season run

 
Summer vacation is here I got 1092.5 out of a possible 1083.5 points in business ethics. That's above and beyond the call of duty right there. But Art History II final just kicked my ãssets, even though I learned more about art in that class than I've ever learned about anything else in my life. If you need to know anything about the Italian Renaissance, Baroque art, Impressionism, Futurism, Dadaism, Pointillism, Romanticism.. I can do that for you. Can't wait to action junkie the shıt out of these games tonight.

 
Booty woman is getting her lips done today. She goes and drops $600 about once every couple months to have some rich ******* in west lake inject solution into her lips with needles.

 
modogg said:
that line is so dumb it is insane. When Philly was down 3-0 they were still +400. for comparison sake, Toronto down 3-0 was over +1000. I don't know why vegas and the line makers have all of a sudden fallen so in love with the Sixers, but it has not been as fun as taking the Sixers during their regular season run
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Its nuts. I keep expecting the shoe to drop and they come back and win.

Maybe waaaaay too much money is flowing in on phi

 
comfortably numb said:
Its nuts. I keep expecting the shoe to drop and they come back and win.

Maybe waaaaay too much money is flowing in on phi
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I can't figure it out either. I hope Vegas knows something and they are right, but considering teams 0-3 in playoff series are 0-129, the fact that Philly was only +400 going into game 4 is just insanity. it is close to Floyd > McGreggor line making

 
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