Ok here is my write-up of the startup we did in early June. Back when dinosaurs roamed the world it seems like so long ago.
1.08 Jefferson - I wanted to start with a top WR and felt confident that if I hustled I could come out of the first 4 rounds with two quality RBs. That is my main goal coming out of a startup in this format. My intention was to take my first RB in the 2nd round but....
2.07 Kelce - As 2.05 approached (I don't remember if the trade was OTC or not) I realized that moving back just a little would probably work fine for me. I had CEH and Gibson at the top of my board, along with Chase and Kelce and might have considered reaching for Dobbins at the 2.07 that I traded back to. I felt comfortable enough to do so and
@menobrownoffered me a 5th/4th draft bump (along with me giving him a 7th/8th bump on the other side) to move up the two spots to 2.05. I would have bet my house he would take CEH and he did. At this point I started getting cold feet about Gibson and his toe situation. I have many shares of him and decided I was going to go with Chase if he was still there. But
@jabaronymoved up and snagged him. I thought it was a great trade for him. So although I had no plans of taking Kelce in a startup, and in fact I don't know if I have ever drafted a player over the age of 26 in the first several rounds, I took what I consider to be the biggest single advantage in all of FF, regardless of format. Maybe I can flip him for a ransom later. He can certainly help me win now.
3.04 ETN - Once I drafted Kelce it was an immediate pivot towards trying to move up and acquire more picks and/or better picks, particularly to get RBs. I was probably going to do this regardless of how I started the first two rounds but I had no luck striking a deal around the 2nd/3rd turn as Dobbins and Zeke came off the board. I had ETN and Javonte Williams as the last two young RBs in a tier that I'd want to move up for and I had 3.08 coming up. I spent an entire future 2nd round draft pick to move up 4 spots to 3.04 to grab ETN. I would have done the same move for J Williams. Based on our chat afterwards it became clear I would not have been able to get either of them if I had sat tight at 3.08 so I love the move for my squad.
4.03 Aiyuk - One of my favorite 2nd year WRs coming into 2021. I'm not as excited about the ability of a rookie running QB on a running team to support multiple receiver options. But I really think he is going to ascend to the alpha role in this offense, even above Kittle, as early as week 1 this year. He is that good. Talent over situation. But I don't hate the situation the way many do. This was a little bit of a reach based on ADP but this was a guy I wasn't leaving this round without getting. I moved my future 1st and 6.05/9.08 to move up to 4.03/8.03. This gave me 4.03/4.05/4.07. I didn't want to leave without Sermon either but in hindsight I wish I had taken McLaurin at 4.05 instead because I suspect I could have still got Sermon at 4.07.
4.05 Sermon - The last of the good young RBs (that I consider to be undervalued) and indeed the next back didn't go until 5.12, again at 6.01 and not again until 6.09. I'm sort of tired of defending the drafting of Sermon as I just wanna let this one play out and I'll point to the scoreboard later. I don't mean just here but in redraft, too. They're going to run the ball a lot and they moved up in the draft to get him and I think he can be elite in their zone scheme. 1/2 punch with him and Mostert sounds like a predictable enough rotation to me. Wilson out until week 8 and he is JAG. Gallman was never more than depth. E Mitchell takes the 2 role from Mostert by midseason. All paths lead to Sermon crushing. I need this one to hit, though.
4.07 Andrews - I think he has the highest TD upside in the NFL at the position, along with Kelce. He will have some worse floor games and he won't get as many receptions. But his targets will be more efficient this year as I believe the Ravens offense bounces back. If I do move Kelce this is a good hedge. Then I don't feel the necessity to move Kelce for another TE per se. Was really hoping McLaurin would fall to me here but I wasn't leaving without both the Niners. And I love Andrews.
**NOTE** Aside from talking about the composition of my team or the actual names involved, from a general umbrella statement point of view in terms of strategy, at this point in the draft I have taken 6 players out of a total of only 43 players drafted. This is the most fundamental and consistent part of my startup strategy. To get as much of that top talent as I can. I happen to think much of this next gap in my draft is made up of many, many players that I would rather fade anyway. There are only a few names I like in the 5th and 6th rounds so I truly don't mind moving out of them. 6/43 is 14%. 1/12 teams is 8% (if we didn't make any trades). I don't know if that means anything if my guys miss but this idea is central to my strategy. Anyway.
7.01 Chark - I gave my 5th and 6th picks in earlier trades. I moved 8.03/10.05 to get to 7.01/14.12 to take Chark here. I think Lawrence can unlock him in a way that can be league winning. News about Marvin Jones has not been encouraging to me since then and neither was the Coach Meyer talk about Chark playing small last year. But I think Chark can be a stud in this offense. We shall see. As for trading more and more picks to move up, I knew I was not likely to really hit on later picks because of the sharks in this room. Better to aggregate closer to the premium picks than to move back (in this room).
7.10 Fields - I don't give a ton of value to QBs in single QB format, but I really wanted my guy here. I think he can be a difference maker at the position and I will get him for many years to come. And I'm a Bears fan. I moved 8.05/12.05/2022 3rd for 7.10/14.03 here. I suspect Fields would have made it back to me at 8.05 but I wasn't so confident in that and I am a go up and get your guy kind of drafter.
8.07 T Marshall - My #2 WR in this class I think his landing spot is sneaky good. I am pretty big on fading DJ Moore and Robby Anderson this year because this guy is going to carve his role. He may not emerge enough to be worth starting, but with CMC there I think Robby and Moore are being way overdrafted right now. This guy was drafted to be the alpha and he is going to take that role in year 1. Or so I hope. But I love this guy and I think he is this year's Higgins/Jefferson. I *could* have a really high octane WR corps to go along with probably the very top TE group. RB is really the biggest question mark (and a big one), but I feel like I have built a perennial winner at this point. I will need to gain RB strength and depth and future capital.
10.12 Gainwell - The guy was incredibly productive at Memphis and looked really good to me. Poor draft class but he went to a Philly team with a new coaching staff that isn't emotionally invested in Sanders and where Boston Scott is the only competition for meaningful 3rd down and backup touches. He is never going to be a league winning RB but I need depth and receiving backs are a good place to start.
14.03 Palmer - The Chargers WR room is crowded but what the heck they took him pretty high and Mike Williams may be moving on after this year. Allen isn't getting younger. If I can afford to stash this guy it may pay off. Could be a decent trade piece for me to offer. IDK.
14.05 Jacob Harris - TE Rams - The next Megatron. No brainer. Next pick. JK but I hear he just had core muscle surgery so nevermind. A 2nd probably buys him from me.
14.12 Gage - I was higher on him a month ago than I am now. But whatever this my WR6.
15.08 Doaks - RB Dolphins - I don't believe Gaskin is going to get the early down or goalline work. It is going to be Malcolm Brown or this guy. Dart throw.
16.05 Granson - TE Colts - Reich called him the guy for the Burton role and early camp returns look good. Wentz going down is a mystery.
16.12 M Brown - see Doaks
17.08 Winston - If Fields doesn't start right away this is my "insurance" option. I think he wins the Saints job, although I agree with the take that now that Thomas is hurt it could swing towards Taysom. But I'll find other streaming options if I need them.
Legatron and Patriots defense and I also took:
20.05 - Strachan WR Colts - size speed specimen that I've heard good things about. IDK.
Ok there it is.