So here's a question for all the FFPC people. Since roster's are very restricted in the offseason, some teams like the depth, some like to package up for "studs". Half the time, that either I've seen or heard of, that package has lead to the package being much better in the long term. It's the wrong bet basically.
So how do you manage that "depth" if you have it? I have multiple teams with 3-4 WR2 types, and then 1-2 WR1 types. Obviously I like all their ceilings and production in the coming year, but it's almost impossible for me to keep them all. Plus the lineup choice would be a nightmare at that point.
At this time of year, nobody wants the package deal anyways. They want roster space and rookie picks. So how can you manage this issue? And if you have packaged them, did the bet go wrong?
I know this is nitpicky, but semantically if it is wrong half of the time, that means it is right the other half, no? Within some margin of error in either direction based on it being a loose observation in the first place? Such that if you believe in yourself and your scouting and your team management, all those intangibles, etc., that maybe, just maybe, you can flip this loose % to something closer to 60/40 in your favor, dare I say 66:33?
Even if I'm wrong and it is just 50/50 or so, how much value does future correctness hold compared to current win equity? In my book almost nothing. Unless the team is truly a rebuild that has no present chance or unless the deal is too much of a slam dunk not to do it. I would rather package up for studs in almost every instance otherwise.
But nuance matters and "my guy" vs "your guy" matters and all of that. I've been on every side of package deals and I think every deal and each team has to be looked at on it's own merits. I think hoarding guys you can't start and aren't willing to move is a recipe for decay, so if I was making a blanket statement it would be to package up whenever possible and within your team build.
As to how do you manage depth if you have it? Well it is really difficult actually. I think Meno's post above just about covers it for me, too. My spin is that I tend to really strongly emphasize the notion of moving keeper level players for youth/draft capital and for the purpose of elevating other players who are either cut candidates or valued keepers that you can't keep. He talked about that but I'm saying I sort of live within that mindframe and probably stretch the limit of doing it too much.
As for packages that have gone wrong for me, yeah I've had a few. I think my successful packages, however, have been much more impactful. That is, even if the results were 50/50 (and I really think I've done better than that), the ones that paid off probably netted me a much bigger victory than the magnitude of the losses.
I have no prob with a higher buy in if there's interest but this should be pretty easy to fill with fbg members.
