I was in the pool
Footballguy
Time to kick off the Dynasty Draft season!
Maybe they are booked straight through to the start of the season. Really, WTH would you do it this soon for?I would like to hear people's reasoning for doing a startup draft at this point in the football calender.
The unknown is the exact reason it's fun to draft early. Once it's all spelled out then any joe schmo can draft well.Pretty ridiculous that anyone in any league worth their salt would be drafting already. Too much unknown like this thing called the NFL draft. At the very earliest start up drafts should be starting in May.
The unknown is the exact reason it's fun to draft early. Once it's all spelled out then any joe schmo can draft well.I don't care how smart anyone thinks they are, drafting before free agency and the draft is dumb. Free agency and the draft is completely a mystery to everyone, and no one can predict either with anything close to accuracy.Pretty ridiculous that anyone in any league worth their salt would be drafting already. Too much unknown like this thing called the NFL draft. At the very earliest start up drafts should be starting in May.
I don't care how smart anyone thinks they are, drafting before free agency and the draft is dumb. Free agency and the draft is completely a mystery to everyone, and no one can predict either with anything close to accuracy.might be dumb to you, but not for others...i love drafting early in the year, precombine...The unknown is the exact reason it's fun to draft early. Once it's all spelled out then any joe schmo can draft well.Pretty ridiculous that anyone in any league worth their salt would be drafting already. Too much unknown like this thing called the NFL draft. At the very earliest start up drafts should be starting in May.
My first guess at rankings would be:1 point PPR, 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 2Flex (one of which can be a QB)
Round 1
1. Calvin Johnson
2. Arian Foster
3. Aaron Rodgers
4. Cam Newton
5. Ray Rice
6. LeSean McCoy
7. Matt Stafford
8. Trent Richardson
9. Drew Brees
10. Larry Fitzgerald
11. Chris Johnson
12. Maurice Jones-Drew
My quick thoughts: I thought in this format (QB flex), there was a pretty clear top 7 and they all went before my pick. All those guys in the top 7 are very talented, still have a ton of football left to play and are in good offensive situations.
Unfortunately, I was stuck at 8 and couldn't find a reasonable trade up deal. Which led to me making the biggest reach in the round grabbing Trent Richardson. I thought long and hard about Brees, but in the end thought the scoring format (1 for 25 passing, 4 pt. TD) and Brees' age made RB the better value. Unfortunately, after the top 3 RBs, I felt like it was wide open and went back and forth in my mind on who to take. CJ looked bad last year. MJD, ADP, Run DMC and Jamaal Charles all have injury concerns that scared me away from them this early. Ryan Matthews was a strong consideration but I'm not completely sold on him as an elite talent and Tolbert may be back in FA to share carries and vulture TDs. The one RB I felt most comfortable with and came very, very close to drafting was Matt Forte. Still pretty young. True workhorse back. Durable and no real injury issues going forward. However, the combo of new offensive coaching staff (will he still get a ton of catches with Tice as OC?) and his talk of possibly holding out next year (another CJ situation?) was just enough for me to decide to go with Richardson.
Admittedly, it was a huge gamble to take Richardson. He could end up on any team and possibly even a timeshare on a bad offense (Tampa worst case?). He could end up being a bust. He could be overrated due to the awesome Bama OL. But I tend to lean towards talent and youth early in dynasty drafts and I believe in his talent and felt like with a bunch of other somewhat risky RB options, I could make the gamble. I hope he ends up in that Cleveland offense that made a mediocre talent like Hillis into a fantasy star.
Hopefully we'll get through the 2nd round this afternoon and if anyone is interested, I can post that as well. (I already feel like I made a big mistake in the 2nd round...)
I don't care how smart anyone thinks they are, drafting before free agency and the draft is dumb. Free agency and the draft is completely a mystery to everyone, and no one can predict either with anything close to accuracy.might be dumb to you, but not for others...i love drafting early in the year, precombine...I can see both sides, and I am of the opinion that even the pros making the selections are little better than a crapshoot, and that's only in the 1st round. I think the earlier the rookie draft, the more it favors the well prepared, well educated and even more the college football fans. I agree that there becomes a concensus top 6-8 in most years come summer. Anybody can follow that list and throw darts at the 2nd/3rd round.The unknown is the exact reason it's fun to draft early. Once it's all spelled out then any joe schmo can draft well.Pretty ridiculous that anyone in any league worth their salt would be drafting already. Too much unknown like this thing called the NFL draft. At the very earliest start up drafts should be starting in May.
might be dumb to you, but not for others...i love drafting early in the year, precombine...I can see both sides, and I am of the opinion that even the pros making the selections are little better than a crapshoot, and that's only in the 1st round. I think the earlier the rookie draft, the more it favors the well prepared, well educated and even more the college football fans. I agree that there becomes a concensus top 6-8 in most years come summer. Anybody can follow that list and throw darts at the 2nd/3rd round.I can't argue that its not a little silly to draft this early, but its also kind of fun. As others have mentioned, there are a ton of dynasty ranking out later summer and everyone is kind of following the same scripts. This early, a lot of it comes down to scouting of college guys, educated guesses about how the draft and FA play out, etc. I personally thought it would be a real challenge which makes it fun to me. Plus, its a $55 league, not huge money or anything, just something fun to do when the weather is crappy.I don't care how smart anyone thinks they are, drafting before free agency and the draft is dumb. Free agency and the draft is completely a mystery to everyone, and no one can predict either with anything close to accuracy.The unknown is the exact reason it's fun to draft early. Once it's all spelled out then any joe schmo can draft well.Pretty ridiculous that anyone in any league worth their salt would be drafting already. Too much unknown like this thing called the NFL draft. At the very earliest start up drafts should be starting in May.
My first guess at rankings would be:1 point PPR, 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 2Flex (one of which can be a QB)
Round 1
1. Calvin Johnson
2. Arian Foster
3. Aaron Rodgers
4. Cam Newton
5. Ray Rice
6. LeSean McCoy
7. Matt Stafford
8. Trent Richardson
9. Drew Brees
10. Larry Fitzgerald
11. Chris Johnson
12. Maurice Jones-Drew
My quick thoughts: I thought in this format (QB flex), there was a pretty clear top 7 and they all went before my pick. All those guys in the top 7 are very talented, still have a ton of football left to play and are in good offensive situations.
Unfortunately, I was stuck at 8 and couldn't find a reasonable trade up deal. Which led to me making the biggest reach in the round grabbing Trent Richardson. I thought long and hard about Brees, but in the end thought the scoring format (1 for 25 passing, 4 pt. TD) and Brees' age made RB the better value. Unfortunately, after the top 3 RBs, I felt like it was wide open and went back and forth in my mind on who to take. CJ looked bad last year. MJD, ADP, Run DMC and Jamaal Charles all have injury concerns that scared me away from them this early. Ryan Matthews was a strong consideration but I'm not completely sold on him as an elite talent and Tolbert may be back in FA to share carries and vulture TDs. The one RB I felt most comfortable with and came very, very close to drafting was Matt Forte. Still pretty young. True workhorse back. Durable and no real injury issues going forward. However, the combo of new offensive coaching staff (will he still get a ton of catches with Tice as OC?) and his talk of possibly holding out next year (another CJ situation?) was just enough for me to decide to go with Richardson.
Admittedly, it was a huge gamble to take Richardson. He could end up on any team and possibly even a timeshare on a bad offense (Tampa worst case?). He could end up being a bust. He could be overrated due to the awesome Bama OL. But I tend to lean towards talent and youth early in dynasty drafts and I believe in his talent and felt like with a bunch of other somewhat risky RB options, I could make the gamble. I hope he ends up in that Cleveland offense that made a mediocre talent like Hillis into a fantasy star.
Hopefully we'll get through the 2nd round this afternoon and if anyone is interested, I can post that as well. (I already feel like I made a big mistake in the 2nd round...)
Yeah, let me check to make sure posting a link is cool.For now, the 3rd round so far:25. Mike Vick26. Andrew Luck27. Phil Rivers28. Darren McFadden29. Robert Griffin III30. Greg Jennings31. Wes Welker(Luck was my pick, decided to go young and I'm intrigued by his mobility in a .04 for passing yard scoring system.)Edit to add: By the way, thanks for your rookie rankings, definitely helpful in doing my prep and trying to put my own rankings together.Thanks for sharing. Can you post a link to the actual draft? If not, more updates would definitely be appreciated.
I don't care how smart anyone thinks they are, drafting before free agency and the draft is dumb. Free agency and the draft is completely a mystery to everyone, and no one can predict either with anything close to accuracy.It's not "dumb" to draft earlier, it's just a different kind of draft with less information available on the players.The unknown is the exact reason it's fun to draft early. Once it's all spelled out then any joe schmo can draft well.Pretty ridiculous that anyone in any league worth their salt would be drafting already. Too much unknown like this thing called the NFL draft. At the very earliest start up drafts should be starting in May.
boredom?I would like to hear people's reasoning for doing a startup draft at this point in the football calender.
I don't care how smart anyone thinks they are, drafting before free agency and the draft is dumb. Free agency and the draft is completely a mystery to everyone, and no one can predict either with anything close to accuracy.It's not "dumb" to draft earlier, it's just a different kind of draft with less information available on the players.Fair enough. 'Dumb' is a bit harsh. I look at it this way: In a redraft, in August, after everyone has ALL the info, and any schmo can supposedly draft a good team, we all still don't know as much as we think we do, and make mistakes. And that's after we know where the rookies went, and the free agents went. A dynasty draft? Where mistakes follow you for years? And you are going to pick players with no idea where they are going? I don't see the upside.The unknown is the exact reason it's fun to draft early. Once it's all spelled out then any joe schmo can draft well.Pretty ridiculous that anyone in any league worth their salt would be drafting already. Too much unknown like this thing called the NFL draft. At the very earliest start up drafts should be starting in May.
You realize you still get points for players even if they go to a different team than the one you thought they'd go to, right? You don't have to predict exactly where everyone will land in order to start them.I've done some early drafts, and in my mind, it just places a greater emphasis on talent evaluation rather than situation evaluation. You don't know where Vincent Jackson is going to land, so it becomes much more important to figure out exactly how good you think he is so you can draft accordingly. It also rewards players with much better risk management skills- knowing when it's time to stop chasing mediocre players in mediocre situations and start rolling the dice on guys like Peyton Manning or the rookies is a very important skill. It makes for a very interesting change of pace, and while you might say it increases the role of luck, I'd say it just emphasizes a different set of skills.Fair enough. 'Dumb' is a bit harsh.
I look at it this way: In a redraft, in August, after everyone has ALL the info, and any schmo can supposedly draft a good team, we all still don't know as much as we think we do, and make mistakes. And that's after we know where the rookies went, and the free agents went. A dynasty draft? Where mistakes follow you for years? And you are going to pick players with no idea where they are going? I don't see the upside.
You are actually increasing the luck factor, not diminishing it. The smarter FF player, which we all think we are, is at a disadvantage right now, because we don't know where any player is going to be. Vincent Jackson? Michael Bush? People think they have a clue where to slot these guys? Educated guess? Ha! What 'educated'? Where would Sidney Rice have gone last January, when no one knew where he was going, vs. August, when we knew it was going to be Tarvaris throwing him the ball. There was no inkling that he was thinking about Seattle, there was no info for the 'better, smarter' owner to know. You were drafting a guy, in dynasty, and hoping he'd go to a good situation.
Anyone thinking they have an advantage over anyone in January, because they have more of a handle on the way things are shaping up next year, is dramatically overestimating their skills.
And there's a simple way to prove it. Post your predictions for where the free agent and rookie skill guys wind up, that change teams. Not even their numbers, just their team, next season. Leaving out players that re-sign, no one would hit 10% accuracy. Guaranteed.
The Hernandez factor, maybe?how does Graham go over Gronkowski? Because Brady is older than Brees?
It's not "dumb" to draft earlier, it's just a different kind of draft with less information available on the players.Fair enough. 'Dumb' is a bit harsh. I look at it this way: In a redraft, in August, after everyone has ALL the info, and any schmo can supposedly draft a good team, we all still don't know as much as we think we do, and make mistakes. And that's after we know where the rookies went, and the free agents went. A dynasty draft? Where mistakes follow you for years? And you are going to pick players with no idea where they are going? I don't see the upside.I don't care how smart anyone thinks they are, drafting before free agency and the draft is dumb. Free agency and the draft is completely a mystery to everyone, and no one can predict either with anything close to accuracy.The unknown is the exact reason it's fun to draft early. Once it's all spelled out then any joe schmo can draft well.Pretty ridiculous that anyone in any league worth their salt would be drafting already. Too much unknown like this thing called the NFL draft. At the very earliest start up drafts should be starting in May.
Hell yes! At least it does to me. Information changes everything IMO. The later the draft the less unknown variables I have to deal with. I even prefer rookie drafts to be later rather than earlier as in back-to-back years in one league I drafted Ben Tate and Ryan Williams which were wasted 1st round picks before the season started (even in Dynasty that was way overpaying for them in retrospect). The less information you have, the more it is a crapshoot (unless you can predict the future and I haven't seen anybody in Dynasty leagues yet that can do that on a consistent basis).Does it matter when you do a dynasty. Information changes what. If I drafted last August for a new league, I would after year 1 be still looking at the same complications that this new league is looking at with FA and draft. Dynasty can be done anytime because things change year to year anyways so much. Are you just playing for one year when you draft than. I doubt it.
I don't find that so astonishing. He's a good player in a good situation, but we may have just seen his career year. Alot of his big plays seemed a little flukey and he isn't a physically imposing player. I'm not saying he's worthless or will not be good going forward, but personally I would likely pass on him within the first three rounds as well.Victor Cruz didnt go in first 3 rounds of a dynasty?
I don't find that so astonishing. He's a good player in a good situation, but we may have just seen his career year. Alot of his big plays seemed a little flukey and he isn't a physically imposing player. I'm not saying he's worthless or will not be good going forward, but personally I would likely pass on him within the first three rounds as well.I disagree with the "fluky" aspect to his big plays. If you watch him, he has one of the best juke moves I've seen -- here's an example from his 99 yarder - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gwj90GMIeu8Watch the move he makes to make the defender miss right after the catch. He does that all the time and it allows him amazing yards after the catch. He has great hands, fights for the ball, and has terrific vision. I think he's great and he will be a very good fantasy receiver for the next few years.Victor Cruz didnt go in first 3 rounds of a dynasty?
IMO this is why dynasty leagues with an auction start don't last long. Maybe it's just the ones I have been in, but the mismanagement of auction money combined with when a players name is called makes for some very lopsided teams.There are so many things that caught my eye on this draft, but just to name a few:I am doing a dynasty draft right now for a startup league and I'm really enjoying it. I think that the variables that are brought in at this point make things interesting and cause you to weigh the risks/rewards of going with a free agent player.
In our league, we did an auction for the first 5 rounds and a snake for the remaining draft. We will have a rookie draft after the NFL draft, and are able to bid/draft spots in that draft, so it adds another dimension.
With a $200 budget for your five players, here are the players that went (note that we have a QB flex position and tight ends get double yardage, so they both have inflated values)
Sorry they aren't in order, there wasn't an easy list to grab. Obviously there were some steals from the end of the auction, as people were running low on money or had all of their money devoted to other picks. My picks are in bold.
For the draft portion, you can view the results (currently in the 4th round of the snake portion) at this link - - http://football30.myfantasyleague.com/2011/options?L=59147&O=17&DISPLAY=LEAGUE
Cam Newton - $96
Matt Stafford - $96
Aaron Rodgers - $81 (he went early in the auction, so he was able to be acquired at a pretty good deal)
Brandon Marshall - $20
Victor Cruz - $31
Jamaal Charles - $45
Lesean McCoy - $68
MJD - $30
Michael Vick - $46
Rookie Pick 1.02 - $30
Rookie Pick 1.04 - $2
Rob Gronkowski - $72
Marques Colston - $3
Arian Foster - $82
Wes Welker - $33
Jimmy Graham - $78
Calvin Johnson - $61
Hakeem Nicks - $21
Dez Bryant - $4
Percy Harvin - $19
Antonio Gates - $2
Adrian Peterson - $21
Rookie Pick 1.03 - $24
Ray Rice - $84
Kenny Britt - $12
Chris Johnson - $36
Philip Rivers - $34
Matt Forte - $51
Darren Mcfadden - $36
Drew Brees - $75
Jermichael Finley - $7
Larry Fitzgerald - $33
AJ Green - $54
Rookie Pick 1.01 - $40
Ryan Mathews - $34
Rookie Pick 1.05 - $1
Matt Ryan - $39
Tony Romo - $19
Tom Brady - $76
Marshawn Lynch - $1
Greg Jennings - $9
Demarco Murray - $1
Eli Manning - $47 (last available top QB, so a bidding war happened)
Aaron Hernandez - $42
Mike Wallace - $1
Rashard Mendenhall - $1
Jason Witten - $1
Andre Johnson - $1
I disagree with the "fluky" aspect to his big plays. If you watch him, he has one of the best juke moves I've seen -- here's an example from his 99 yarder - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gwj90GMIeu8Watch the move he makes to make the defender miss right after the catch. He does that all the time and it allows him amazing yards after the catch. He has great hands, fights for the ball, and has terrific vision. I think he's great and he will be a very good fantasy receiver for the next few years.I don't want to take too much away from Cruz but I see that play as Cromartie blowing an easy tackle (right at the begining, where you see a juke move) and Eric Smith taking a terrible angle later on where most safeties would have knocked him out of bounds. There were a few other plays as well - I watch the Giants each week since I'm in the market. By no means am I saying there's nothing to like about him, because while I don't agree he has great hands, he does have great lateral movement and quickness.I also don't mean to imply that he'll never be any good again - because I'd be happy to have him on my team - I just don't think one season (where Nicks and Manningham missed a fair amount of time) automatically vaults him into the first three rounds. I'm not even saying it would be a huge mistake if some one paid that price, but I don't think it was so astonishing that no one was willing to.I don't find that so astonishing. He's a good player in a good situation, but we may have just seen his career year. Alot of his big plays seemed a little flukey and he isn't a physically imposing player. I'm not saying he's worthless or will not be good going forward, but personally I would likely pass on him within the first three rounds as well.Victor Cruz didnt go in first 3 rounds of a dynasty?
high school player in the top 100.Here is the link to our draft, just started round 11:http://football27.myfantasyleague.com/2011/options?L=53026&O=17As mentioned above, its PPR with QB/RB/RB/WR/WR/TE/Flex/Flex with one of the flex spots QB eligible.
high school player in the top 100.Yeah, that owner has gone pretty much exclusively with college devy picks (total of 20 overall for the league), rookies from the upcoming draft, and trade downs for future draft picks. I wouldn't have the patience for it and I think he's overdrafted some of the guys. But I guess its possible he'll have a lot of talent/trade ammo in a couple years. It's an interesting roster to say the least and he certainly should be strong at WR if even half of his picks pan out.Here is the link to our draft, just started round 11:http://football27.myfantasyleague.com/2011/options?L=53026&O=17As mentioned above, its PPR with QB/RB/RB/WR/WR/TE/Flex/Flex with one of the flex spots QB eligible.
IMO this is why dynasty leagues with an auction start don't last long. Maybe it's just the ones I have been in, but the mismanagement of auction money combined with when a players name is called makes for some very lopsided teams.There are so many things that caught my eye on this draft, but just to name a few:'jmo87usc said:I am doing a dynasty draft right now for a startup league and I'm really enjoying it. I think that the variables that are brought in at this point make things interesting and cause you to weigh the risks/rewards of going with a free agent player.
In our league, we did an auction for the first 5 rounds and a snake for the remaining draft. We will have a rookie draft after the NFL draft, and are able to bid/draft spots in that draft, so it adds another dimension.
With a $200 budget for your five players, here are the players that went (note that we have a QB flex position and tight ends get double yardage, so they both have inflated values)
Sorry they aren't in order, there wasn't an easy list to grab. Obviously there were some steals from the end of the auction, as people were running low on money or had all of their money devoted to other picks. My picks are in bold.
For the draft portion, you can view the results (currently in the 4th round of the snake portion) at this link - - http://football30.myfantasyleague.com/2011/options?L=59147&O=17&DISPLAY=LEAGUE
Cam Newton - $96
Matt Stafford - $96
Aaron Rodgers - $81 (he went early in the auction, so he was able to be acquired at a pretty good deal)
Brandon Marshall - $20
Victor Cruz - $31
Jamaal Charles - $45
Lesean McCoy - $68
MJD - $30
Michael Vick - $46
Rookie Pick 1.02 - $30
Rookie Pick 1.04 - $2
Rob Gronkowski - $72
Marques Colston - $3
Arian Foster - $82
Wes Welker - $33
Jimmy Graham - $78
Calvin Johnson - $61
Hakeem Nicks - $21
Dez Bryant - $4
Percy Harvin - $19
Antonio Gates - $2
Adrian Peterson - $21
Rookie Pick 1.03 - $24
Ray Rice - $84
Kenny Britt - $12
Chris Johnson - $36
Philip Rivers - $34
Matt Forte - $51
Darren Mcfadden - $36
Drew Brees - $75
Jermichael Finley - $7
Larry Fitzgerald - $33
AJ Green - $54
Rookie Pick 1.01 - $40
Ryan Mathews - $34
Rookie Pick 1.05 - $1
Matt Ryan - $39
Tony Romo - $19
Tom Brady - $76
Marshawn Lynch - $1
Greg Jennings - $9
Demarco Murray - $1
Eli Manning - $47 (last available top QB, so a bidding war happened)
Aaron Hernandez - $42
Mike Wallace - $1
Rashard Mendenhall - $1
Jason Witten - $1
Andre Johnson - $1
I originally traded down for a couple extra 8th/9th rounders thinking I would take a couple devys in that range, but they went a few rounds earlier than I expected. I thought Keenan Allen and Sammy Watkins were guys that might be available in that area, but in hindsight they are probably worth a bit more than that.It's a bit of a conundrum because future rookie picks are so devalued due to the devys that you need to build that base of young talent now. But on the other hand, all the devys and rookies pushed some talented older guys down the draft board pretty far.That league (mostly Rusty) went a little crazy with the rookies and devs. I like what broncofan did.
To each their own, I will never do a snake draft again for the intial year of a dynasty as I don't like having a shot at every player. IMO, the guys lucky enough to draw the top 2~4 picks have a huge advantage and can reap enormous value trading down. For every owner I have seen overspend in an auction, I have seen twice as many trade happy guys hugely overpay to move up in an initial snake draft. Or guys who trade away their future 1st's for an extra 7th rounder or a bump up at some slot thinking they will rock year 1 and then their teams bust.Either way, this hybrid auction/draft is a bad example to judge auctions by.IMO this is why dynasty leagues with an auction start don't last long. Maybe it's just the ones I have been in, but the mismanagement of auction money combined with when a players name is called makes for some very lopsided teams.There are so many things that caught my eye on this draft, but just to name a few:'jmo87usc said:I am doing a dynasty draft right now for a startup league and I'm really enjoying it. I think that the variables that are brought in at this point make things interesting and cause you to weigh the risks/rewards of going with a free agent player.
In our league, we did an auction for the first 5 rounds and a snake for the remaining draft. We will have a rookie draft after the NFL draft, and are able to bid/draft spots in that draft, so it adds another dimension.
With a $200 budget for your five players, here are the players that went (note that we have a QB flex position and tight ends get double yardage, so they both have inflated values)
Sorry they aren't in order, there wasn't an easy list to grab. Obviously there were some steals from the end of the auction, as people were running low on money or had all of their money devoted to other picks. My picks are in bold.
For the draft portion, you can view the results (currently in the 4th round of the snake portion) at this link - - http://football30.myfantasyleague.com/2011/options?L=59147&O=17&DISPLAY=LEAGUE
Cam Newton - $96
Matt Stafford - $96
Aaron Rodgers - $81 (he went early in the auction, so he was able to be acquired at a pretty good deal)
Brandon Marshall - $20
Victor Cruz - $31
Jamaal Charles - $45
Lesean McCoy - $68
MJD - $30
Michael Vick - $46
Rookie Pick 1.02 - $30
Rookie Pick 1.04 - $2
Rob Gronkowski - $72
Marques Colston - $3
Arian Foster - $82
Wes Welker - $33
Jimmy Graham - $78
Calvin Johnson - $61
Hakeem Nicks - $21
Dez Bryant - $4
Percy Harvin - $19
Antonio Gates - $2
Adrian Peterson - $21
Rookie Pick 1.03 - $24
Ray Rice - $84
Kenny Britt - $12
Chris Johnson - $36
Philip Rivers - $34
Matt Forte - $51
Darren Mcfadden - $36
Drew Brees - $75
Jermichael Finley - $7
Larry Fitzgerald - $33
AJ Green - $54
Rookie Pick 1.01 - $40
Ryan Mathews - $34
Rookie Pick 1.05 - $1
Matt Ryan - $39
Tony Romo - $19
Tom Brady - $76
Marshawn Lynch - $1
Greg Jennings - $9
Demarco Murray - $1
Eli Manning - $47 (last available top QB, so a bidding war happened)
Aaron Hernandez - $42
Mike Wallace - $1
Rashard Mendenhall - $1
Jason Witten - $1
Andre Johnson - $1
Cruz goes for $10 more than Nicks?
Andre Johnson for $1?????
Jamal Charles goes for $5 more than the 1.01 rookie pick?
Demarco Murray $1?
4th overall rookie pick $2??
I understand that part of the fun of an auction draft is getting a good deal on a player by using strategy, but I would never do a dynasty with an auction draft again. Unless you have guys that are fully committed and willing to throw away their entry fee every year just for fun.
I originally traded down for a couple extra 8th/9th rounders thinking I would take a couple devys in that range, but they went a few rounds earlier than I expected. I thought Keenan Allen and Sammy Watkins were guys that might be available in that area, but in hindsight they are probably worth a bit more than that.It's a bit of a conundrum because future rookie picks are so devalued due to the devys that you need to build that base of young talent now. But on the other hand, all the devys and rookies pushed some talented older guys down the draft board pretty far.I would love to see some more of these start up drafts posted because it helps guage the value of veterand vs. rookie picks. This one does seem skewed a bit with how heavy some went with rookies and developmental players.That league (mostly Rusty) went a little crazy with the rookies and devs. I like what broncofan did.
To each their own, I will never do a snake draft again for the intial year of a dynasty as I don't like having a shot at every player. IMO, the guys lucky enough to draw the top 2~4 picks have a huge advantage and can reap enormous value trading down. For every owner I have seen overspend in an auction, I have seen twice as many trade happy guys hugely overpay to move up in an initial snake draft. Or guys who trade away their future 1st's for an extra 7th rounder or a bump up at some slot thinking they will rock year 1 and then their teams bust.Either way, this hybrid auction/draft is a bad example to judge auctions by.IMO this is why dynasty leagues with an auction start don't last long. Maybe it's just the ones I have been in, but the mismanagement of auction money combined with when a players name is called makes for some very lopsided teams.There are so many things that caught my eye on this draft, but just to name a few:'jmo87usc said:I am doing a dynasty draft right now for a startup league and I'm really enjoying it. I think that the variables that are brought in at this point make things interesting and cause you to weigh the risks/rewards of going with a free agent player.
In our league, we did an auction for the first 5 rounds and a snake for the remaining draft. We will have a rookie draft after the NFL draft, and are able to bid/draft spots in that draft, so it adds another dimension.
With a $200 budget for your five players, here are the players that went (note that we have a QB flex position and tight ends get double yardage, so they both have inflated values)
Sorry they aren't in order, there wasn't an easy list to grab. Obviously there were some steals from the end of the auction, as people were running low on money or had all of their money devoted to other picks. My picks are in bold.
For the draft portion, you can view the results (currently in the 4th round of the snake portion) at this link - - http://football30.myfantasyleague.com/2011/options?L=59147&O=17&DISPLAY=LEAGUE
Cam Newton - $96
Matt Stafford - $96
Aaron Rodgers - $81 (he went early in the auction, so he was able to be acquired at a pretty good deal)
Brandon Marshall - $20
Victor Cruz - $31
Jamaal Charles - $45
Lesean McCoy - $68
MJD - $30
Michael Vick - $46
Rookie Pick 1.02 - $30
Rookie Pick 1.04 - $2
Rob Gronkowski - $72
Marques Colston - $3
Arian Foster - $82
Wes Welker - $33
Jimmy Graham - $78
Calvin Johnson - $61
Hakeem Nicks - $21
Dez Bryant - $4
Percy Harvin - $19
Antonio Gates - $2
Adrian Peterson - $21
Rookie Pick 1.03 - $24
Ray Rice - $84
Kenny Britt - $12
Chris Johnson - $36
Philip Rivers - $34
Matt Forte - $51
Darren Mcfadden - $36
Drew Brees - $75
Jermichael Finley - $7
Larry Fitzgerald - $33
AJ Green - $54
Rookie Pick 1.01 - $40
Ryan Mathews - $34
Rookie Pick 1.05 - $1
Matt Ryan - $39
Tony Romo - $19
Tom Brady - $76
Marshawn Lynch - $1
Greg Jennings - $9
Demarco Murray - $1
Eli Manning - $47 (last available top QB, so a bidding war happened)
Aaron Hernandez - $42
Mike Wallace - $1
Rashard Mendenhall - $1
Jason Witten - $1
Andre Johnson - $1
Cruz goes for $10 more than Nicks?
Andre Johnson for $1?????
Jamal Charles goes for $5 more than the 1.01 rookie pick?
Demarco Murray $1?
4th overall rookie pick $2??
I understand that part of the fun of an auction draft is getting a good deal on a player by using strategy, but I would never do a dynasty with an auction draft again. Unless you have guys that are fully committed and willing to throw away their entry fee every year just for fun.
At first blush, some of those prices look crazy, but it makes a lot more sense in context. If I am understanding it correctly, you are only bidding on 48 players total and nobody can get more than 4 of them, so basically late 4th round guys should be going for $1 or so because they are have minimal value in this context. You then start out with a normal snake style draft in the 5th round and there's no more bidding. It seems like the criticism is possibly coming from viewing this more like a normal full auction where kickers and defenses go for $1 and top 48 guys all go for much mroe. In actuality, with only the 48 players to bid on, it makes complete sense that the 5th rookie pick, Mendy, Demarco Murray, etc. only go for $1. I'm not even sure any of those belong in the top 48, so I wouldn't bid more than $1 for them either. AJ for $1 was great value though. Even in a QB/TE heavy format, he should still be a late 3rd.To each their own, I will never do a snake draft again for the intial year of a dynasty as I don't like having a shot at every player. IMO, the guys lucky enough to draw the top 2~4 picks have a huge advantage and can reap enormous value trading down. For every owner I have seen overspend in an auction, I have seen twice as many trade happy guys hugely overpay to move up in an initial snake draft. Or guys who trade away their future 1st's for an extra 7th rounder or a bump up at some slot thinking they will rock year 1 and then their teams bust.Either way, this hybrid auction/draft is a bad example to judge auctions by.IMO this is why dynasty leagues with an auction start don't last long. Maybe it's just the ones I have been in, but the mismanagement of auction money combined with when a players name is called makes for some very lopsided teams.There are so many things that caught my eye on this draft, but just to name a few:I am doing a dynasty draft right now for a startup league and I'm really enjoying it. I think that the variables that are brought in at this point make things interesting and cause you to weigh the risks/rewards of going with a free agent player.
In our league, we did an auction for the first 5 rounds and a snake for the remaining draft. We will have a rookie draft after the NFL draft, and are able to bid/draft spots in that draft, so it adds another dimension.
With a $200 budget for your five players, here are the players that went (note that we have a QB flex position and tight ends get double yardage, so they both have inflated values)
Sorry they aren't in order, there wasn't an easy list to grab. Obviously there were some steals from the end of the auction, as people were running low on money or had all of their money devoted to other picks. My picks are in bold.
For the draft portion, you can view the results (currently in the 4th round of the snake portion) at this link - - http://football30.myfantasyleague.com/2011/options?L=59147&O=17&DISPLAY=LEAGUE
Cam Newton - $96
Matt Stafford - $96
Aaron Rodgers - $81 (he went early in the auction, so he was able to be acquired at a pretty good deal)
Brandon Marshall - $20
Victor Cruz - $31
Jamaal Charles - $45
Lesean McCoy - $68
MJD - $30
Michael Vick - $46
Rookie Pick 1.02 - $30
Rookie Pick 1.04 - $2
Rob Gronkowski - $72
Marques Colston - $3
Arian Foster - $82
Wes Welker - $33
Jimmy Graham - $78
Calvin Johnson - $61
Hakeem Nicks - $21
Dez Bryant - $4
Percy Harvin - $19
Antonio Gates - $2
Adrian Peterson - $21
Rookie Pick 1.03 - $24
Ray Rice - $84
Kenny Britt - $12
Chris Johnson - $36
Philip Rivers - $34
Matt Forte - $51
Darren Mcfadden - $36
Drew Brees - $75
Jermichael Finley - $7
Larry Fitzgerald - $33
AJ Green - $54
Rookie Pick 1.01 - $40
Ryan Mathews - $34
Rookie Pick 1.05 - $1
Matt Ryan - $39
Tony Romo - $19
Tom Brady - $76
Marshawn Lynch - $1
Greg Jennings - $9
Demarco Murray - $1
Eli Manning - $47 (last available top QB, so a bidding war happened)
Aaron Hernandez - $42
Mike Wallace - $1
Rashard Mendenhall - $1
Jason Witten - $1
Andre Johnson - $1
Cruz goes for $10 more than Nicks?
Andre Johnson for $1?????
Jamal Charles goes for $5 more than the 1.01 rookie pick?
Demarco Murray $1?
4th overall rookie pick $2??
I understand that part of the fun of an auction draft is getting a good deal on a player by using strategy, but I would never do a dynasty with an auction draft again. Unless you have guys that are fully committed and willing to throw away their entry fee every year just for fun.
Thanks for posting. Interesting to see the same guy take the 1.1/1.2 at the turn there. About right for Richardson (I assume), but way early for the 1.2 when guys like Rodgers/Newton/Wallace/Bryant/Charles/MJD, etc. were still on the board. Also, AJ Green going 6 spots higher than Julio was interesting. 1.1/1.2 guy following up with CJ/Stafford makes me think he wants Blackmon...he must be quite high on him. Same guy also went on to take Hernandez and 1.4...interesting. So he went:1.11.2Chris JohnsonStaffordHernandez1.4DHBJon Baldwin1.12Ryan WilliamsJake Locker2.1Robert MeachemEvan Royster (rather than 2.4, which went right after....interesting)I don't think I've seen someone invest so heavily in one rookie draft in a startup before. Wow. Looking weak at WR.Try this one on for size. 1PPR, 1QB, 2-3RB, 3-4WR, 1-2TE, DEF, no kickers.http://football99.myfantasyleague.com/2011/options?L=30991&O=17
Obviously that league drastically devalued all QBs as a whole. Rodgers and Cam didn't go until the second, and Brees was picked right between Darren Sproles and Marques Colston. Makes me wonder if the league doesn't have any funky scoring rules.Don't know how Stafford makes it to round 4....1.09 in my startup from last week. The 1.01 rookie pick almost made it to the 3rd round (2.10) as well...probably lower than 95% of startups right now.