FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (3 Viewers)

[The Ref]

USC has 13 captians playing in tonight's game, one for every interception they have dropped.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

USC has 13 captians playing in tonight's game, one for every interception they have dropped.

 

[got_nugs]

Wheeeee!!!

 

[Frostillicus]

I'm going to light CSU, USC, and Tim Hardaway Jr. on fire.

 

[BRONG]

Is it typical to have a midlife crisis where you kind of just stop giving a #### about sports?

Been doing this for awhile now. Football is the only thing left for me, for the most part. At least as far as being an "avid" fan goes. And CSU sports. But the interest in the rest of it all is waning.

You've given up the ponies? Say it ain't so...

Nah, that stuff is fun still, with all that goes along with it. It's a puzzle and an entertaining 2 months of the year.

 

[got_nugs]

Fisher got a lot of light skinned dudes on the court lately.

 

[BRONG]

Two games in a row CSU has failed to cover because of some bizarre sequence of events. Crazy :(

You're right. Totally forgot about that last one, which was easily one of the worst beats ever (I did not have CSU, btw).

 

[modogg]

I'm going to light CSU, USC, and Tim Hardaway Jr. on fire.

and i want to take that hipster standing in the top left corner of the RB front page and stuff him right in a garbage can after i rob him

 

[Raider Nation]

While we are doing avatar interventions, 'sup with Gramatica?

 

[got_nugs]

Just saw him over the holidays and every time

I think of him getting hurt while celebrating/razz him about it i laugh so hard.

You gotta kick there right!?

 

[tjnc09]

Two games in a row CSU has failed to cover because of some bizarre sequence of events. Crazy :(

You're right. Totally forgot about that last one, which was easily one of the worst beats ever (I did not have CSU, btw).

I even had CSU -2.5 that game. I saw your comments about how dirty that line was and you have been spot on both times. Vegas has been begging people to take CSU. The losses on both have been surreal but at the same time, I shouldn't be taking lines like that in the first place.

 

[Raider Nation]

Just saw him over the holidays and every time

I think of him getting hurt while celebrating/razz him about it i laugh so hard.

That was his bro, bro.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Cant find the post but yeah OBJ tomorrow.

Sick as it sounds over 8 and 120 if they are posted tomorrow. Just hope he doesnt get thrown out of the game

 

[swirvenirvin]

This guys puts out a parlay card every year and then fades the lopsided ones.

10-2 ATS and 7-5 ATS respectively the last 2 years

Here are the most disparaging results from this years Cards:

209. South Alabama -3 (17-1). PLAY ON BOWLING GREEN +3

224. North Carolina -3 (26-3). PLAY ON RUTGERS +3

228. Cincinnati -3 (31-5). PLAY ON VA TECH +3

230. Arizona State -8. (41-4). PLAY ON DUKE +8

236. Southern Cal -7 (52-5). PLAY ON NEBRASKA +7

240. Oklahoma -3. (48-4). PLAY ON CLEMSON +3

242. Arkansas -6. (37-8). PLAY ON TEXAS +6

246. Georgia -7. (40-7). PLAY ON LOUISVILLE +7

250. TCU -3. (49-4). PLAY ON OLE MISS +3

256. Auburn -7. (37-12) I PLAY ON WISCONSIN +7

272. Washington -6 (27-6). PLAY ON OKLAHOMA STATE +6

I mean I was going to play OU, but not fading this

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Hüsker Dü did!

Thanks for the winning day Big Red!

 

[ChainsawU]

Swirve, great find and great play on Nebraska ATS dude. Really good. They should have won SU.

 

[ChainsawU]

Every time the media refer to Ohio State's QB as "the third string QB," in my mind's eye I just see more and more people punching Alabama tickets. Cha-ching, cha-ching, cha-ching. Every time I turn around I hear the media alluding to him that way. I'm taking Ohio State to win SU for sure.

 

[tjnc09]

This guys puts out a parlay card every year and then fades the lopsided ones.

10-2 ATS and 7-5 ATS respectively the last 2 years

Here are the most disparaging results from this years Cards:

209. South Alabama -3 (17-1). PLAY ON BOWLING GREEN +3

224. North Carolina -3 (26-3). PLAY ON RUTGERS +3

228. Cincinnati -3 (31-5). PLAY ON VA TECH +3

230. Arizona State -8. (41-4). PLAY ON DUKE +8

236. Southern Cal -7 (52-5). PLAY ON NEBRASKA +7

240. Oklahoma -3. (48-4). PLAY ON CLEMSON +3

242. Arkansas -6. (37-8). PLAY ON TEXAS +6

246. Georgia -7. (40-7). PLAY ON LOUISVILLE +7

250. TCU -3. (49-4). PLAY ON OLE MISS +3

256. Auburn -7. (37-12) I PLAY ON WISCONSIN +7

272. Washington -6 (27-6). PLAY ON OKLAHOMA STATE +6

I mean I was going to play OU, but not fading this

I don't follow CFB closely like you guys, but this would be a good exercise for someone with Betlabs. Looks like the 5 favorite consensus picks per SBR so far:

Utah 59.8% (won)

SDST 59.2% (lost)

WKU 65.0% (lost)

UCF 58.9% (lost)

USC 62.8% (lost)

The numbers are really early, but for Monday:

Oklahoma -3.5 67.7%

Arkansas -5.5 65.5%

are really lopsided

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Every time the media refer to Ohio State's QB as "the third string QB," in my mind's eye I just see more and more people punching Alabama tickets. Cha-ching, cha-ching, cha-ching. Every time I turn around I hear the media alluding to him that way. I'm taking Ohio State to win SU for sure.

I already bet them +9.5 as an autoplay, and will likely play both them and FSU SU.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

This guys puts out a parlay card every year and then fades the lopsided ones.

10-2 ATS and 7-5 ATS respectively the last 2 years

Here are the most disparaging results from this years Cards:

209. South Alabama -3 (17-1). PLAY ON BOWLING GREEN +3

224. North Carolina -3 (26-3). PLAY ON RUTGERS +3

228. Cincinnati -3 (31-5). PLAY ON VA TECH +3

230. Arizona State -8. (41-4). PLAY ON DUKE +8

236. Southern Cal -7 (52-5). PLAY ON NEBRASKA +7

240. Oklahoma -3. (48-4). PLAY ON CLEMSON +3

242. Arkansas -6. (37-8). PLAY ON TEXAS +6

246. Georgia -7. (40-7). PLAY ON LOUISVILLE +7

250. TCU -3. (49-4). PLAY ON OLE MISS +3

256. Auburn -7. (37-12) I PLAY ON WISCONSIN +7

272. Washington -6 (27-6). PLAY ON OKLAHOMA STATE +6

I mean I was going to play OU, but not fading this

I don't follow CFB closely like you guys, but this would be a good exercise for someone with Betlabs. Looks like the 5 favorite consensus picks per SBR so far:

Utah 59.8% (won)

SDST 59.2% (lost)

WKU 65.0% (lost)

UCF 58.9% (lost)

USC 62.8% (lost)

The numbers are really early, but for Monday:

Oklahoma -3.5 67.7%

Arkansas -5.5 65.5%

are really lopsided

Texas is also a Johnny Detroit play FWIW

 

[ChainsawU]

I have them twice on the last legs of teasers at -1.

Dude nice hit. They tried everything they could, even with one second left on the clock. That damn referee reminded me of the old dude from the 1991 film, Nothing But Trouble. Also, nice hit on the over for the dudes who played it.

 

[Frostillicus]

WE DID IT!!!

 

[Frostillicus]

Easy win. Thanks Goo.

 

[swirvenirvin]

This guys puts out a parlay card every year and then fades the lopsided ones.

10-2 ATS and 7-5 ATS respectively the last 2 years

Here are the most disparaging results from this years Cards:

209. South Alabama -3 (17-1). PLAY ON BOWLING GREEN +3

224. North Carolina -3 (26-3). PLAY ON RUTGERS +3

228. Cincinnati -3 (31-5). PLAY ON VA TECH +3

230. Arizona State -8. (41-4). PLAY ON DUKE +8

236. Southern Cal -7 (52-5). PLAY ON NEBRASKA +7

240. Oklahoma -3. (48-4). PLAY ON CLEMSON +3

242. Arkansas -6. (37-8). PLAY ON TEXAS +6

246. Georgia -7. (40-7). PLAY ON LOUISVILLE +7

250. TCU -3. (49-4). PLAY ON OLE MISS +3

256. Auburn -7. (37-12) I PLAY ON WISCONSIN +7

272. Washington -6 (27-6). PLAY ON OKLAHOMA STATE +6

I mean I was going to play OU, but not fading this

I don't follow CFB closely like you guys, but this would be a good exercise for someone with Betlabs. Looks like the 5 favorite consensus picks per SBR so far:

Utah 59.8% (won)

SDST 59.2% (lost)

WKU 65.0% (lost)

UCF 58.9% (lost)

USC 62.8% (lost)

The numbers are really early, but for Monday:

Oklahoma -3.5 67.7%

Arkansas -5.5 65.5%

are really lopsided

i think fade the public in bowl games is always going to be a winner. I made picks with my old boss every year and we alternate picking games do the whole bowl games in 10 minutes tops. Both are the casual ncaaf gamblers who really dont know ####. I left my sheet at work but we usually pick like 45% at best. :dr detroit: autofade!

 

[got_nugs]

Just saw him over the holidays and every time

I think of him getting hurt while celebrating/razz him about it i laugh so hard.

That was his bro, bro.

He's got a Super Bowl ring. Bill beat Pahokee though.

Goo for prez!

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Sides: 6-5 +1.4u

Totals: 6-4 +1.2u

System plays: 3-3 -.3

Overall: 12-9 +2.6u

Link

Stay above water until the New Year's Eve games, that's my motto.

 

[tjnc09]

To expand it to all bowl games so far this season (using closing pinnacle lines). Definitely is very interesting at the top and consistent with what your guy is seeing.

W. Kentucky -3.5 65.0% (lost)

USC -7 62.8% (lost)

Utah -3 59.8% (won)

SD St -3.5 59.2% (lost)

UCF -2 58.9% (lost)

N. Illinois +8 57.1% (lost)

S. Alabama -3.5 56.4% (lost)

AZ State -7.5 56.3% (lost)

UNC -3.5 54.6% (lost)

LA Tech -7 54.5% (won)

Air Force +2 54.1% (won)

Memphis +1 53.7% (won)

Boston Coll -3 53.1% (lost)

Utah St -10 52.3% (won)

ULL +1.5 52.2% (won)

Cincinnati -2 52.2% (lost)

Fresno St. pick 51.8% (lost)

Miami FL -3 51.4% (lost)

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Pretty much by script. Bet the dog before 31, bet the chalk after.

I'd do it but the year I tried that all the chalk would win before the 31st, and all the dogs would win after.

 

[Frostillicus]

St Johns -12

Wisconsin -22

Marquette -17

Arkansas -22.5

FGCU +13.5

 

[swirvenirvin]

To expand it to all bowl games so far this season (using closing pinnacle lines). Definitely is very interesting at the top and consistent with what your guy is seeing.

W. Kentucky -3.5 65.0% (lost)

USC -7 62.8% (lost)

Utah -3 59.8% (won)

SD St -3.5 59.2% (lost)

UCF -2 58.9% (lost)

N. Illinois +8 57.1% (lost)

S. Alabama -3.5 56.4% (lost)

AZ State -7.5 56.3% (lost)

UNC -3.5 54.6% (lost)

LA Tech -7 54.5% (won)

Air Force +2 54.1% (won)

Memphis +1 53.7% (won)

Boston Coll -3 53.1% (lost)

Utah St -10 52.3% (won)

ULL +1.5 52.2% (won)

Cincinnati -2 52.2% (lost)

Fresno St. pick 51.8% (lost)

Miami FL -3 51.4% (lost)

55% and higher 1-7.

who is going to remember next yr.. Not it

 

[Billy Bats]

Cant find the post but yeah OBJ tomorrow.

Sick as it sounds over 8 and 120 if they are posted tomorrow. Just hope he doesnt get thrown out of the game

Wow big totals. If you're back in your site, check the OBJ to score odds, I'm curious to know how much I'm going to lay. I'm guessing -150ish?

 

[The Ref]

Usc just dropped another int.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Only thing I got tomorrow is one 3-team teaser:

Packers -1

Eagles +8.5

Panthers +9

 

[BRONG]

 

[Frostillicus]

I'm due.

12 Team Teaser (ties push) Teaser tp 6fb & 4½bk

Pending 12/28/14 12:00pm College Basketball 814 St. John's -7½ * vs Tulane

Pending 12/28/14 2:00pm College Basketball 818 Wisconsin -17½ * vs Buffalo

Pending 12/28/14 1:00pm College Basketball 831 Iona -1 * vs Drexel

Pending 12/28/14 3:00pm College Basketball 840 Northern Iowa -9 * vs South Dakota State

Pending 12/28/14 2:00pm College Basketball 852 Marquette -12½ * vs Morgan State

Pending 12/29/14 2:00pm College Football 238 Texas A&M +7½ * vs West Virginia

Pending 12/29/14 5:30pm College Football 240 Oklahoma +2 * vs Clemson

Pending 12/30/14 6:30pm College Football 246 Georgia -1 * vs Louisville

Pending 1/1/15 12:00pm College Football 256 Auburn -1 * vs Wisconsin

Pending 12/28/14 8:30pm NFL Football 306 Pittsburgh Steelers +2½ * vs Cincinnati Bengals

Pending 12/28/14 1:00pm NFL Football 314 Miami Dolphins -1 * vs New York Jets

Pending 12/28/14 1:00pm NFL Football 318 Minnesota Vikings -1 * vs Chicago Bears

Pays 70/1.

 

[ChainsawU]

I like JAX, KC, WAS, and AZ all SU and ATS.

 

[BRONG]

YEEEESSSS!!!

MP with the the backdoor Minnie cover!

+ Nebraska + over. Heart the FFA gambling thread.

 

[Frostillicus]

Wolves!

 

[BRONG]

Wolves!

 

[swirvenirvin]

Only thing I got tomorrow is one 3-team teaser:

Packers -1

Eagles +8.5

Panthers +9

like that

 

[swirvenirvin]

Only thing I got tomorrow is one 3-team teaser:

Packers -1

Eagles +8.5

Panthers +9

mother ####### ######s HRwager wont even let me do a teaser

 

[Zegras11]

Only thing I got tomorrow is one 3-team teaser:

Packers -1

Eagles +8.5

Panthers +9

like that

I like the Packers, Panthers and Chargers

 

[swirvenirvin]

Brilliant bar in detroit is giving giving all patrons free drinks if the Lions win. Get a ton of extra homers in the bar drinking excessively and he throws 1 or 2k on Lions ML at 3-1

Win win

 

[Raider Nation]

Hmmm...


‏@AdamSchefter Cowboys HC Jason Garrett practiced his starters this week as if he were playing them in regular role, with no extra reps for Dallas backups.

 

[loser]

Unpopular team totals tomorrow:

Ravens over

Titans over

Bucs over

All bad offenses at home against struggling defenses

 

[ChainsawU]

Since '91 (entire database), home teams in week 17 division matchups where your opponent is coming in with ≥ 11 wins: 19-15 (.559) SU and 22-11-1 (.667) ATS. (Packers, 49ers, Redskins)

As the home fave: 9-2 (.818) SU and 7-4 (.636) ATS

As the home dog: 10-13 (.435) SU and 15-7-1 (.682) ATS

Redskins 3.5 -105

 

[swirvenirvin]

Done

Whatever happens tomorrow I blame glenvidet, and this song https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1bt-FHaFVH8

 

[got_nugs]

Wolverine Harrrrrbaugh and the missing airliners.

 

[tjnc09]

To expand it to all bowl games so far this season (using closing pinnacle lines). Definitely is very interesting at the top and consistent with what your guy is seeing.

W. Kentucky -3.5 65.0% (lost)

USC -7 62.8% (lost)

Utah -3 59.8% (won)

SD St -3.5 59.2% (lost)

UCF -2 58.9% (lost)

N. Illinois +8 57.1% (lost)

S. Alabama -3.5 56.4% (lost)

AZ State -7.5 56.3% (lost)

UNC -3.5 54.6% (lost)

LA Tech -7 54.5% (won)

Air Force +2 54.1% (won)

Memphis +1 53.7% (won)

Boston Coll -3 53.1% (lost)

Utah St -10 52.3% (won)

ULL +1.5 52.2% (won)

Cincinnati -2 52.2% (lost)

Fresno St. pick 51.8% (lost)

Miami FL -3 51.4% (lost)

55% and higher 1-7.

who is going to remember next yr.. Not it

2013-14:

Pre Jan 1:

Ohio +14.5 62.0% (lost)

Boise St. +4 60.5% (lost)

UL-Lafayette +1 59.4% (won)

Texas Tech +17 59.2% (won)

Ole Miss -2.5 59.1% (won)

Minnesota -3.5 58.5% (lost)

Texas A&M -13.5 57.6% (lost)

Navy -7 56.6% (won)

Buffalo -1 55.8% (lost)

Colorado St. +4 55.7% (won)

Rice +7 54.2% (lost)

North Carolina -2.5 54.0% (lost)

USC -4.5 53.6% (won)

Arizona -7 53.5% (won)

Texas +14.5 53.0% (lost)

Kansas St -7 52.9% (won)

Notre Dame -14.5 52.6% (lost)

BYU +4.5 52.4% (lost)

Louisville -5.5 52.2% (won)

N. Illinois +2 51.6% (lost)

Bowling Green -7 51.2% (lost)

Maryland +2.5 50.5% (lost)

No PCT for VA Tech / UCLA

Jan 1 & later:

Ball St -6.5 60.2% (lost)

North Texas -5.5 59.7% (won)

LSU -7.5 57.6% (lost)

Ohio St -2.5 56.0% (lost)

Alabama -17 55.6% (lost)

Auburn +12 54.1% (won)

South Carolina +1.5 53.6% (won)

Missouri +3 52.7% (won)

Michigan St +6.5 52.1% (won)

Baylor -17 51.0% (lost)

Nebraska +9.5 50.8% (won)

Houston +1.5 50.7% (lost)

6-9 overall > 55.0%

2012-13:

Pre Jan 1:

Ball St +7 63.7% (lost)

Texas Tech -13 61.5% (lost)

Oregon -3 61.1% (lost)

Western Kentucky -6 58.7% (lost)

Fresno St -13 57.9% (lost)

LSU -6 57.9% (lost)

Bowling Green +7 56.8% (lost)

UL Lafayette -6.5 56.8% (won)

SD State +3 55.3% (lost)

GA Tech +7.5 54.6% (won)

Boise St -4 54.1% (lost)

Vanderbilt -7.5 53.9% (won)

Air Force +1 53.2% (lost)

TCU -2 53.0% (lost)

UCLA -3 52.6% (lost)

Tulsa -1.5 52.3% (won)

Duke +9 51.9% (lost)

W. VA -4 51.4% (lost)

Rutgers +1 51.4% (lost)

Arizona -8.5 50.6% (lost)

Toledo +10 50.2% (lost)

Arizona St -12 50.1% (won)

No PCT for Ohio / ULM or after 1/1

1-8 > 55%

I can probably guess which year your buddy went 7-5 and which year he went 10-2. That's 8-25 that I see. Definitely need to get a Betlabs trial and see what they have.

 

[swirvenirvin]

some interesting trends on guys going over yardage. Brees needs 325 for 5000, etc. Can definitely see Brees and Payton going for individual records