mikel0254 said:
I'm buying in. I think he'll have a big role in this offense. Could he be the #2 WR? I can see it. Percy Harvin w/o the baggage.
This is my concern. Even if he plays himself into a "big role," what's that amount to from a fantasy perspective? I just don't see the volume as being enough to warrant the optimism, unless Seattle's offense experiences a Pittsburg-esque shift from run based to high flying passing attack.
It's not going to cost you much to get him so there shouldn't be too much concern either way. He went undrafted in my league (only 10 teams). At most it costs a late pick.
With Lynch and Graham, he will almost always see single coverage. And he can burn most DB's in this league. They should throw it more this year as they have better weapons. A player like that will play his way into a lot of playing time. He could be a great bye-week fill-in play with upside potential up the wazoo.
Point is, my prediction is this is the cheapest you will find him all year.
Based on the posts above, it doesn't look like those whom have bought are now willing to sell for less than a rookie 1st. That's a significant cost.
My problem isn't Lockett's talent, it's their offense...an offense that doesn't pass a ton as it were and one which added Jimmy Graham as the primary weapon. Unless they have a dramatic shift in offensive philosophy, I can't imagine Lockett getting more than 7 targets per game
even if he were to become a full time starter. Tough to have "upside up the wazoo" on something like 100-120 targets per year. What am I missing, or what should we expect to change regarding Seattle's offense that allows for some fantasy relevance at WR?
Depends on your league, but he was available in both of mine (10 and 12 team leagues). That's what I meant by cheap.
Who is he fighting for receptions? Doug Baldwin, Jermaine Kearse, and Chris Matthews. If you believe in his talent (which I do), that's not a tough group to beat out for playing time.
Wilson will throw for what, 3,500 yards this year and 25 TD's? Say a thousand goes to Graham and TE's (which I think is he very high end range) and 400 to the RB's. That leaves roughly 2K+ for the WR's. I think he'll get playing time, so 800 and 7 TD's is my prediction, with the potential for upside. Not bad for someone you can get on the WW.
Pete Carroll has never been afraid to start who he thinks is best for the team. See Wilson vs Matt Flynn (after giving him a big contract to be the starter). Talent wins out in a Pete Carroll regime, and I think Lockett wins a starting job, very early in the season.