beer 30
Footballguy
Quitter. Randomness from a brief glance at MyBookie
IND -1 1/2
MIN v NOR Over 51 1/2
Coastal Carolina -6 1/2
UCF v BYU Over 78
UCF +6 1/2 (hat tip)
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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (18 Viewers)
- Thread starter The Ref
- Start date
IND -1 1/2
MIN v NOR Over 51 1/2
Coastal Carolina -6 1/2
UCF v BYU Over 78
UCF +6 1/2 (hat tip)
The Man With No Name
Footballguy
Never say college basketball isn’t a funny game. The first half saw the #1 team in the country suffer its worst half of the season at the hands of the vaunted Northwestern State Demons.
https://www.slipperstillfits.com/2020/12/22/22194576/10-observations-from-gonzagas-win-over-northwestern-state
the rover
Footballguy
I watched the game. They were playing their bench players early after going up by 12 right away, and northwestern was fouling the hell out of them.
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
sitting on the under 56.5 - total is 52 8 minutes left... whisky in hand... Happy Holidays!
Hoos First
Footballguy
Big fan of Mychal Mulder, whoever he is
beer 30
Footballguy
facook
Footballguy
Yep. Get the number, y'all. Damm I'm shrap.
(BP is going to be slightly elevated at my dentist appt tomorrow. Hmmm)
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Look at me - I score even during a pandemic!
The bigger question is what is even open? Worse comes to worse I hear PoundTown is lovely this time of year!
dino259
Footballguy
General Malaise
Footballguy
Bah, split the baby. Didn't watch any of the action; did UCF just not show up? BYU was like 0-8 in the state of Florida coming into this thing. Rode them hard early in the year; should have stuck with them.File this under "Boredom is a terrible thing".....
UCF +6
Tulane/Nevada OVER 28 for 1st Half
I need to go to meetings.
Boredom continues to be a terrible thing....
Memphis -8.5
LA Tech +6.5 (NEVER FADE SKIP HOLTZ IN A BOWL)
Under 47 in the New Orleans Bowl (sponsored by bad decisions, good food and floppy bosoms)
the rover
Footballguy
hooter311
Footballguy
Might be meeting up with Chainsaw and his girl while in town....so who knows what's all in play.
1H - Pelicans / Heat O112
The trend is normally to take unders on these Christmas Day games. But if there had ever a trend breaker / paradigm shift it's 2020.
Feels like a setup for some ##### ball where both teams say #### defense and run up and down the court.
One of these teams will have 60 points at halftime and we'd only need 52 from the other for this to push.
The trend is normally to take unders on these Christmas Day games. But if there had ever a trend breaker / paradigm shift it's 2020.
Feels like a setup for some ##### ball where both teams say #### defense and run up and down the court.
One of these teams will have 60 points at halftime and we'd only need 52 from the other for this to push.
leftcoastguy7
Footballguy
Eric Kendricks, the Vikings best linebacker, is out for this game. The Vikings are very thin at linebacker.
I think Kamara is going to have a big day.
facook
Footballguy
CR69
Footballguy
facook
Footballguy
Jefferson Over 70.5
Great spot for Jefferson as he should be matched up against Marshon Lattimore who ranks just 97th at the cornerback position this year according to PFF.com. Look for him to potentially grab a big chunk of these yards beating him on a deepball.
Jefferson grew up in St. Rose, Louisiana, just 20 minutes from the Superdome where he starred at Destrehan High School. And he is on pace to beat the NFL record for receiving yards as a rookie, needing just 132 more yards. This should give Kirk Cousins another reason to pepper him with targets today.
Great spot for Jefferson as he should be matched up against Marshon Lattimore who ranks just 97th at the cornerback position this year according to PFF.com. Look for him to potentially grab a big chunk of these yards beating him on a deepball.
Jefferson grew up in St. Rose, Louisiana, just 20 minutes from the Superdome where he starred at Destrehan High School. And he is on pace to beat the NFL record for receiving yards as a rookie, needing just 132 more yards. This should give Kirk Cousins another reason to pepper him with targets today.
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Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Oh and I hope these QBs throw it a ton today
facook
Footballguy
Fell @$$ backwards into him in my dynasty league. Great rookie wr all year. Could really use him to have a big day as you're suggesting to pull the "#6 Seed Shocks the World" Super Bowl victory. Good luck to us!
lumpy19
Footballguy
No video but my son exploded in tears not because of the damage but because he was scared of me yelling at him and my wife consoled him by telling him it was all my fault because I let him ride the skateboard in the house.......sooooo this is all my fault
Warriors / Bucks O229.5 (buy a point)
The Warriors don't have anybody who can stop Giannis and if they don't double him then he's going to walk into the paint over and over and over, get a few and & 1s, get fouled excessively, etc. If they double him the following guys will be open for a wide open look / chance for isolation:
Holiday, Lopez, Middleton.
I can't see how this is anything but a highly efficient outing for the Bucks offense. If Steve Kerr actually wants a chance to pull an upsets, he comes out small and has his boys shooting 3s. The line has dropped all day too, imply money being on the under. "Public money is no money."
The Warriors don't have anybody who can stop Giannis and if they don't double him then he's going to walk into the paint over and over and over, get a few and & 1s, get fouled excessively, etc. If they double him the following guys will be open for a wide open look / chance for isolation:
Holiday, Lopez, Middleton.
I can't see how this is anything but a highly efficient outing for the Bucks offense. If Steve Kerr actually wants a chance to pull an upsets, he comes out small and has his boys shooting 3s. The line has dropped all day too, imply money being on the under. "Public money is no money."
regularguy
Footballguy
The Ref
Footballguy
The half point is to cover the "sports is rigged" angle. Point shaving is a real thing and I don't want to be on a number that everyone else is. If this was a Cavaliers game on a Tuesday afternoon, I'd probably pass. But I liked the over at 232 and I love it 230.5, so why not really get my jollies on line movement in my favor on top of a potential rigged situation.
"Situations are situational." - Pat McAfee
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The Ref
Footballguy
If they played this game over and over again how many times would that 1 point matter?
law of averages you are not going to win the bet more than 50% of the time, but let’s assume you are a long term winner and win 60%. So the 40% you will lose an extra $40 for every ten bets on a $100 per unit basis.
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It's probably a sucker bet. I got my line at -122, technically it was an alt line. I'm sure everyone here has played player props juicier than that. What's that?
"There's no juice when you win."
I guess it's aiken buying insurance on blackjack. I don't think it's going to wipe me out long-term, probanly negative net but in my experience I'm willing to pay extra in certain situations I feel may be screwy.
More applicable in NFL turning a non football number into a football number(-2 or +5 to -3 or +6).
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facook
Footballguy
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facook
Footballguy
Congrats A & L Dynasty.Mavericks / Lakers O226, -130 (buy 1 point)
Almost an identical situation as the Warriors / Bucks game. The line opened at 229.5 (and I liked it then). the line has dropped to O227 so I'm grabbing the the extra point again to bring it to 226. I don't see how this game isn't a track meet. Neither of these teams want to start off 0-2 and both have a chance to "make an impact".
I'm envisioning beautiful sequences and a tremendous amount of 3PM. Both these teams were underwhelming in the season debut and have a lot to prove. Remember how Lebron was acting like he was just "kidding around" in the last game? He can't use that excuse this game and with the Lakers as 5-6 point favorites, we can assume a barrage of 3 point attempts from the Mavericks who were setting records last year.
If you prefer not the buy the point, that's perfectly acceptable but just know that there's A LOT of money on this game. It's King James on Christmas. I just try to protect myself from point shaving as much as possible and this gives me a 3.5 point window from the original line. If Sharps pushed it down from 229.5 with heavy bets, I believe the goal is to squeeze them out or at the least the sharps win but everyone is left holding the bag of #### at 228 to 229.
@facook
Almost an identical situation as the Warriors / Bucks game. The line opened at 229.5 (and I liked it then). the line has dropped to O227 so I'm grabbing the the extra point again to bring it to 226. I don't see how this game isn't a track meet. Neither of these teams want to start off 0-2 and both have a chance to "make an impact".
I'm envisioning beautiful sequences and a tremendous amount of 3PM. Both these teams were underwhelming in the season debut and have a lot to prove. Remember how Lebron was acting like he was just "kidding around" in the last game? He can't use that excuse this game and with the Lakers as 5-6 point favorites, we can assume a barrage of 3 point attempts from the Mavericks who were setting records last year.
If you prefer not the buy the point, that's perfectly acceptable but just know that there's A LOT of money on this game. It's King James on Christmas. I just try to protect myself from point shaving as much as possible and this gives me a 3.5 point window from the original line. If Sharps pushed it down from 229.5 with heavy bets, I believe the goal is to squeeze them out or at the least the sharps win but everyone is left holding the bag of #### at 228 to 229.
@facook
Mr.Pack
Footballguy
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Courtjester
The Town Drunk
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Knew I should have played Stafford unders
CR69
Footballguy
Haha yeah no sweat on those. I'm heavy on Fournette overs in this game so keeping my fingers crossed.
