BassNBrew
Footballguy
The problem is that it's dark where you're looking. Pull your head out and you'll find them.#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.Doug Drinen said:
The problem is that it's dark where you're looking. Pull your head out and you'll find them.#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.Doug Drinen said:
How are the sidelines...sport?The problem is that it's dark where you're looking. Pull your head out and you'll find them.#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.Doug Drinen said:
#211How are the sidelines...sport?The problem is that it's dark where you're looking. Pull your head out and you'll find them.#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.Doug Drinen said:
Hmm... #439. Maybe my squad is better than I thought. With Leftwich benched, Hasselbeck and Parker hurt, Matt Jones being dead money, Antonio Bryant being very disappointing and D. Butler not coming around I don't see it, but I hope you are right.Doug Drinen said:
Matt Hasselbeck $17 30.25 6.05 0.00 0.00 Mark Sanchez $9 19.20 13.95 26.55 6.30 Byron Leftwich $4 20.10 30.80 0.40 0.00 Ryan Grant $24 13.20 14.30 10.90 12.10 Ray Rice $21 13.00 10.70 15.50 17.70 Willie Parker $16 2.90 5.50 19.90 0.00 Ahmad Bradshaw $8 8.60 5.50 10.40 6.40 LeSean McCoy $7 5.20 7.50 15.80 0.00 Michael Bush $6 12.40 5.70 6.00 1.90 Marques Colston $28 12.00 29.80 10.70 5.30 DeSean Jackson $24 6.20 21.60 26.90 0.00 Antonio Bryant $23 4.90 0.00 1.60 14.40 Derrick Mason $9 8.70 6.10 22.80 21.80 Matt Jones $5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hakeem Nicks $4 3.80 0.00 0.00 12.40 Deon Butler $2 1.70 2.50 1.80 0.00 Dallas Clark $18 9.90 34.80 23.40 20.00 Dustin Keller $12 15.40 12.70 5.40 7.60 Chris Baker $1 2.20 1.60 13.20 0.00 Kris Brown $3 1.00 11.00 6.00 10.00 Josh Scobee $2 8.00 6.00 10.00 17.00 New York Jets $4 6.00 2.00 10.00 2.00 Houston Texans $2 8.00 5.00 2.00 16.00 New Orleans Saints $1 7.00 16.00 8.00 24.00 ---------------------------------------------------------TOTAL 127.15 187.80 181.55 153.30 CUTOFF 120.88 130.04 126.34 113.79
Getting a head start on the cold ones before you join me...junior.How are the sidelines...sport?The problem is that it's dark where you're looking. Pull your head out and you'll find them.#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.Doug Drinen said:
I thought the byes in weeks 8 and 9 were the worst. I have 7 players on a bye in week 9, although they only represent $33 of the $250 pool.Fennis said:42% of my team is on bye week 7 and 17% on week 8. Yikes.OTOH, 95% chance this week.
How are the sidelines...sport?The problem is that it's dark where you're looking. Pull your head out and you'll find them.#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.Doug Drinen said:
As a Duke fan you should know all about the sidelines come tourney time.How are the sidelines...sport?The problem is that it's dark where you're looking. Pull your head out and you'll find them.#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.Doug Drinen said:
Be happy you have a QB this week.Ryan is my only QB this week.:fingerscrossed:
Im feeling good ranked at #782. I am 2-2 against the #1 team above and only 20 pts less cumulative. helps that I lost Willie Parker but nobody else. 1 2 3 4 ---------------------------------------------------------Aaron Rodgers $27 15.90 23.35 35.25 31.80 Joe Flacco $14 34.15 20.80 23.60 24.40 DeAngelo Williams $37 15.90 18.60 8.40 0.00 Willie Parker $16 2.90 5.50 19.90 0.00 LenDale White $12 3.80 2.50 8.70 1.40 Leon Washington $12 10.40 8.60 5.70 6.10 Michael Bush $6 12.40 5.70 6.00 1.90 Marques Colston $28 12.00 29.80 10.70 5.30 Chad Ochocinco $27 14.70 19.10 10.40 17.40 Vincent Jackson $21 16.60 26.10 17.00 9.60 Derrick Mason $9 8.70 6.10 22.80 21.80 Isaac Bruce $5 10.60 7.50 5.80 5.00 Kenny Britt $2 12.50 4.20 9.90 17.50 Andre Davis $2 4.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mario Manningham $2 14.80 31.00 9.50 5.30 Greg Olsen $15 2.30 8.60 17.90 7.60 Todd Heap $5 20.90 8.40 10.10 10.60 Ryan Longwell $3 11.00 11.00 14.00 4.00 Joe Nedney $2 12.00 15.00 7.00 5.00 Jay Feely $1 6.00 12.00 7.00 5.00 Houston Texans $2 8.00 5.00 2.00 16.00 New Orleans Saints $1 7.00 16.00 8.00 24.00 St. Louis Rams $1 6.00 3.00 2.00 4.00 ---------------------------------------------------------TOTAL 161.95 196.15 164.65 145.70 CUTOFF 120.88 130.04 126.34 113.79Here's the #1 entry....Matt Ryan $19 23.05 28.30 9.85 0.00 Shaun Hill $11 16.45 8.90 20.75 19.40 Mark Sanchez $9 19.20 13.95 26.55 6.30 Three solid guys, nothing great. Will put up a good score each week. I just give it a B though. Better combinations out there, but the money well spent.Darren McFadden $29 10.30 12.50 5.80 0.70 Ryan Grant $24 13.20 14.30 10.90 12.10 Cedric Benson $19 18.80 14.10 14.60 9.10 Tim Hightower $13 19.60 15.90 8.60 0.00 Leon Washington $12 10.40 8.60 5.70 6.10McFadden is in the worst possible situation. Grant solid consistent producer. Benson a great pick, producing solid numbers. Hightower and Washington are good contributors. Again good depth, but nothing outstanding. Could have done much better spending McFadden's money somewhere else. B- Santonio Holmes $25 28.10 13.30 2.80 9.90 DeSean Jackson $24 6.20 21.60 26.90 0.00 Steve Smith $12 14.00 29.40 19.30 36.40 Isaac Bruce $5 10.60 7.50 5.80 5.00 Nate Burleson $5 20.40 8.60 20.10 7.10 Kenny Britt $2 12.50 4.20 9.90 17.50 Darrius Heyward-Bey $2 0.00 2.80 0.00 4.80 Top three picks and Burleson outstanding picks. Bruce and Britt are good fill ins. If he had Harvin, would have given A+, but still an A.Dustin Keller $12 15.40 12.70 5.40 7.60 Brent Celek $7 18.70 22.40 28.40 0.00 Todd Heap $5 20.90 8.40 10.10 10.60 3 solid picks. Saved some money here, but these guys were great picks. B+Rob Bironas $3 6.00 9.00 6.00 3.00 Shayne Graham $2 1.00 9.00 4.00 6.00 Joe Nedney $2 12.00 15.00 7.00 5.00 Tampa Bay Buccaneers $3 1.00 6.00 0.00 11.00 Dallas Cowboys $3 0.00 0.00 15.00 5.00 Seattle Seahawks $2 5.00 4.00 6.00 2.00 Nothing sticks out here. Pretty average picks, but having three at each position is a plus. B-
Nice looking QBs and WRs are beautiful, but RBs are looking like trouble.Im feeling good ranked at #782. I am 2-2 against the #1 team above and only 20 pts less cumulative. helps that I lost Willie Parker but nobody else. 1 2 3 4 ---------------------------------------------------------Aaron Rodgers $27 15.90 23.35 35.25 31.80 Joe Flacco $14 34.15 20.80 23.60 24.40 DeAngelo Williams $37 15.90 18.60 8.40 0.00 Willie Parker $16 2.90 5.50 19.90 0.00 LenDale White $12 3.80 2.50 8.70 1.40 Leon Washington $12 10.40 8.60 5.70 6.10 Michael Bush $6 12.40 5.70 6.00 1.90 Marques Colston $28 12.00 29.80 10.70 5.30 Chad Ochocinco $27 14.70 19.10 10.40 17.40 Vincent Jackson $21 16.60 26.10 17.00 9.60 Derrick Mason $9 8.70 6.10 22.80 21.80 Isaac Bruce $5 10.60 7.50 5.80 5.00 Kenny Britt $2 12.50 4.20 9.90 17.50 Andre Davis $2 4.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mario Manningham $2 14.80 31.00 9.50 5.30 Greg Olsen $15 2.30 8.60 17.90 7.60 Todd Heap $5 20.90 8.40 10.10 10.60 Ryan Longwell $3 11.00 11.00 14.00 4.00 Joe Nedney $2 12.00 15.00 7.00 5.00 Jay Feely $1 6.00 12.00 7.00 5.00 Houston Texans $2 8.00 5.00 2.00 16.00 New Orleans Saints $1 7.00 16.00 8.00 24.00 St. Louis Rams $1 6.00 3.00 2.00 4.00 ---------------------------------------------------------TOTAL 161.95 196.15 164.65 145.70 CUTOFF 120.88 130.04 126.34 113.79
If someone picked that team, I would be congradulating them on their victory. That is far better than any team out there, but with hindsight it should be. Actually, the number 1 guy did nail WR's pretty darn well, and that probably is the most important spot to nail since 3 start and has flex possibilities. But I think this shows there was lots of room for improvement at QB and RB even on the best ranked team. Manning is only QB I would feel comfortable going with only 2.Alright for fun since I'm out - I came up with - what team would I pick now? This is clearly biased towards who has performed well so far - but I tried not to just do that exclusively - and especially looking for some uniqueness while having a few of the obvious heavily owned guys who have worked out. There are a fair number of 7/8 byes - but then again there are 6 teams on a bye each of those weeks. Here's what I came up with:QB: P. Manning $32 (6), 3.3% ownedFlacco $14 (7), 9.7% You could probably spend less - but I like Peyton and his low ownership, consistency and good schedule. $46 RB:Chris Johnson $38 (7), 3.4% (weeks 14-16, all at home vs. STL, MIA, SAN)Benson $19 (8), 8.4%Mendenhall $10 (8), 5.4%Bradshaw $8 (10), 23.6%McGahee $7 (7), 4.2%Choice $2 (6), 8.8%Not a huge strength - but good. $84WReSean Jackson $24 (4), 13.6%Vincent Jackson $21 (5), 21.8%Steve Smith (NYG) $12 (10), 7.0%Mason $9 (7), 29.3%Sims-Walker $9 (7), 1.4%Harvin $5 (9), 41.0%Burleson $5 (7), 19.6%Very strong here, 3 guys on a week 7 bye, but at least they're not the big guns. $85.TEallas Clark $18 (6), 14.7%Celek $7 (4), 12.5%Finley $3 (5), 31.9%Strength for little cost. $28K:Gould $2 (5)Hauschka $1 (7)Feely $1 (9)$4Def:Saints $1 (5)Broncos $1 (7)Cinci $1 (8)$3I think the 3 cheap K's and the 3 cheap D's are the way to go in this contest. $250 total. Week 7 would be a danger week - but at least Peyton/Clark are playing St. Louis, Bradshaw/SS are playing Arizona, D-Jax/Celek are playing Washington on MNF, V-Jax is playing KC.
I agree. #1 has really good WRs. But much like my team, his RBs are weak. I wouldn't trade my team for his.jon_mx said:I kook at the #1 and #2 teams and they are not all that great. I wish I had Steve Smith on my team, but still. I made a few mistakes, but still like by #1173 team. Not sure i would switch places.Doug Drinen said:
Epic fail. Duke has the 3rd most final four appearances in the history of the tournament. I'm still enjoying the contest too And just for further ownage, Duke has the best tournament record of ANY program. #1 at .746 winning percentage. That's ahead of UCLA, Kentucky, and Cryolina.As a Duke fan you should know all about the sidelines come tourney time.
#80#211How are the sidelines...sport?The problem is that it's dark where you're looking. Pull your head out and you'll find them.#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.
I hope you don't find anything. I'm at 83. It looks just fine to me.Uh, hmmmm. OK. Here is the Week 5 sim
88 teams with 100% survival probability? Let me just state for the record that, just on principle, no team has a 100% chance of survival. But, as was discussed last week, I'm OK with the sim spitting out an occasional 100.
Honestly I'm not quite sure what to make of this. It will be a very low cut because tons of heavily-owned players are on bye this week, so I guess teams with no significant bye/injury troubles are sitting pretty. But not that pretty. I'm going to go bug-hunting.
Since there are about 800 teams who will take a goose egg at QB this week, add that to other injuries and bye week problems, there are going to be teams that are almost certain to survive. These no-QB teams start out with about a 20 point deficit to overcome, that is not easy especially when a lot of the player they own are also on their competitors teams. I have 1/3 of my cap on bye this week, but still have an 88% chance of survival, because I still have a QB.I hope you don't find anything. I'm at 83. It looks just fine to me.Uh, hmmmm. OK. Here is the Week 5 sim
88 teams with 100% survival probability? Let me just state for the record that, just on principle, no team has a 100% chance of survival. But, as was discussed last week, I'm OK with the sim spitting out an occasional 100.
Honestly I'm not quite sure what to make of this. It will be a very low cut because tons of heavily-owned players are on bye this week, so I guess teams with no significant bye/injury troubles are sitting pretty. But not that pretty. I'm going to go bug-hunting.
Definitely will be going this route next year. I do have 3 TE's this year, but they all have byes week 5! I am surprised at the points kickers can score. Next year I am going 3, $1 kickers, and 3 $1 defenses. I also am a believer now in 3 qbs. 1 stud, 1 veteran, and 1 cheap starter. Didn't work out for me this year. Brees, Hasselback, and Quinn!!!Really enjoyed doing this, though. Worth the subscription cost by itself.pizzatyme said:Entry #1069953 QBs, Ks, TEs, Ds is the way to go IMO. Covers BYEs, injuries, and down weeks.
Agree, that's the lesson I took away from last year, and it's kept me alive so far. The lesson I'll take from this year is to draft better.Definitely will be going this route next year. I do have 3 TE's this year, but they all have byes week 5! I am surprised at the points kickers can score. Next year I am going 3, $1 kickers, and 3 $1 defenses. I also am a believer now in 3 qbs. 1 stud, 1 veteran, and 1 cheap starter. Didn't work out for me this year. Brees, Hasselback, and Quinn!!!Really enjoyed doing this, though. Worth the subscription cost by itself.pizzatyme said:Entry #1069953 QBs, Ks, TEs, Ds is the way to go IMO. Covers BYEs, injuries, and down weeks.
You know it. I own Morris and felt the $4 was more than enough of a risk for a goal line back with receiving skills behind two injury prone backs. He'll certainly add some needed depth after losing Davis and Parker. That sporadic touchdown from time to time will certainly help.I'm pretty sure BJGE was not available to purchase.Fred Taylor being out should help:Sammy Morris owners:Still Alive 207 51.11% survival rateLaurence Maroney owners (me):Still Alive 414 46.67% survival rateAnd maybe even BJGE owners (are there any? I don't see his name in the drop down of the querier):
#42 :X110693
Seeing as these rankings are a rough gauge of strength, isn't there roughly 1226 better squads than yours? Or is that math to inconvenient?#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.
First, too not "to"Second, is looking at these highly ranked teams too inconvenient for you?Seeing as these rankings are a rough gauge of strength, isn't there roughly 1226 better squads than yours? Or is that math to inconvenient?#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.
This ranking is based purely on the first 4 weeks performances. So for instance, if you have a stud who produced a lot who is now out for the season, it doesn't take that into account. Or if you have a rookie who just earned a starting spot it doesn't take that into account. It is interesting, but this was not a ranking on who looks to have the best team going forward but who had the best team the first 4 weeks.Seeing as these rankings are a rough gauge of strength, isn't there roughly 1226 better squads than yours? Or is that math to inconvenient?#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.
Or, on the other hand, you could have read the very first line at the top of the power rankings, which says "I used the databases that generate the weekly cheatsheets and the custom top 200 forward to get an estimate of how many points each player will score for the rest of the season. I double-weighted the upcoming week's projections because those are a bit more certain."This ranking is based purely on the first 4 weeks performances. So for instance, if you have a stud who produced a lot who is now out for the season, it doesn't take that into account. Or if you have a rookie who just earned a starting spot it doesn't take that into account. It is interesting, but this was not a ranking on who looks to have the best team going forward but who had the best team the first 4 weeks.Seeing as these rankings are a rough gauge of strength, isn't there roughly 1226 better squads than yours? Or is that math to inconvenient?#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.
Actually, I believe it is a forward looking estimate based on the top 200 forward rankings on the site. So having a good guy go down drops your team. For example, my team has done fairly well for the first 4 weeks, but I have lost my only backup QB to benching, a backup but playable WR to the IR , and a flier RB to the IR. Went from a ranking in the low hundreds to about 3000, even though my team overall hasn't done bad yet. What it doesn't do, is consider the probability of failure in a one week situation, where injuries and byes could knock out a strong team.Of course, last year, I was ranked either #1 or #2 pretty early, and got knocked out on a few key injuries late in the season, so rankings are just that. I think apalmer will tell you the same thing...This ranking is based purely on the first 4 weeks performances. So for instance, if you have a stud who produced a lot who is now out for the season, it doesn't take that into account. Or if you have a rookie who just earned a starting spot it doesn't take that into account. It is interesting, but this was not a ranking on who looks to have the best team going forward but who had the best team the first 4 weeks.Seeing as these rankings are a rough gauge of strength, isn't there roughly 1226 better squads than yours? Or is that math to inconvenient?#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.
Not at all, because I am among them at #42First, too not "to"Second, is looking at these highly ranked teams too inconvenient for you?Seeing as these rankings are a rough gauge of strength, isn't there roughly 1226 better squads than yours? Or is that math to inconvenient?#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.
ctriopelle is correct. The power rankings do not take the week 1--4 scores into account at all. They only look forward. Injuries, benchings, and increased roles are accounted for (as well as they can be given the unpredictable nature of an NFL season).Actually, I believe it is a forward looking estimate based on the top 200 forward rankings on the site. So having a good guy go down drops your team. For example, my team has done fairly well for the first 4 weeks, but I have lost my only backup QB to benching, a backup but playable WR to the IR , and a flier RB to the IR. Went from a ranking in the low hundreds to about 3000, even though my team overall hasn't done bad yet. What it doesn't do, is consider the probability of failure in a one week situation, where injuries and byes could knock out a strong team.This ranking is based purely on the first 4 weeks performances. So for instance, if you have a stud who produced a lot who is now out for the season, it doesn't take that into account. Or if you have a rookie who just earned a starting spot it doesn't take that into account. It is interesting, but this was not a ranking on who looks to have the best team going forward but who had the best team the first 4 weeks.
:XNot at all, because I am among them at #42First, too not "to"Second, is looking at these highly ranked teams too inconvenient for you?Seeing as these rankings are a rough gauge of strength, isn't there roughly 1226 better squads than yours? Or is that math to inconvenient?#1227, I'll take it.Still looking for a squad that is convincingly better than mine....haven't found it.
While I'd agree that 3QB's may be very helpful for your long term survival (helping to cover unexpected injuries/benchings), I tend to think the cost of a 3rd QB relative to a cost of a few fill in WR/RB is too high. It is almost guaranteed to leave some big points and big dollars on the bench, dollars that can be used to upgrade the starters at RB/WR. If there is a "uniqueness" that I have tended to have for my team it is to have as many value plays available as possible to contribute on an occasional basis. The risk that I take is potentially not having a QB for a week (a reality I suffer this week for the first time), but to win in the finals I want as many potential "blow up" players as possible. QB's as a unit are just too generally consistent to take this same approach.I'm thinking that three QBs are a must in this contest. At least two quality starters with one cheap flier. Otherwise, if you roll with just one good QB and one flier, you're potentially losing a lot of points in a bye week or with injury. That's just too many points at one position to roll with only one quality starter.Oh, and I need to remember not to spend $6 on two defenses next year. Both of my Ds are mediocre, and teams like SF were cheaper.
All my $20 plus guys have contributed every week, except Colston last week and DeAngelo on his bye of course. But Rivers, Williams, R. Grant, R. Rice, M. Colston, and R. Moss have done their job. Not counting TE, Defense, and K....Hakeem Nicks is the cheap player to score for me this season. Counting TE, Finley has had two nice weeks.which cheapies $1-$3 sal have contributed to your squad the most so far?Excluding the $1-$3 K & D I have 6 cheapies:Finley has been used 2xMeachem 1xBaker 1xBetts, Davis & Chaz have not contributed yet.
Yep. Remember that there is only 1 possible QB score each week. There are FOUR possible WR scores, or THREE possible RB scores. Sure, the 3rd QB might boost your score a couple of weeks, and is injury protection. But putting those points in WR or RB boosts your injury protection there as well, and is more likely to be used instead of sitting on your bench.While I'd agree that 3QB's may be very helpful for your long term survival (helping to cover unexpected injuries/benchings), I tend to think the cost of a 3rd QB relative to a cost of a few fill in WR/RB is too high. It is almost guaranteed to leave some big points and big dollars on the bench, dollars that can be used to upgrade the starters at RB/WR. If there is a "uniqueness" that I have tended to have for my team it is to have as many value plays available as possible to contribute on an occasional basis. The risk that I take is potentially not having a QB for a week (a reality I suffer this week for the first time), but to win in the finals I want as many potential "blow up" players as possible. QB's as a unit are just too generally consistent to take this same approach.I'm thinking that three QBs are a must in this contest. At least two quality starters with one cheap flier. Otherwise, if you roll with just one good QB and one flier, you're potentially losing a lot of points in a bye week or with injury. That's just too many points at one position to roll with only one quality starter.Oh, and I need to remember not to spend $6 on two defenses next year. Both of my Ds are mediocre, and teams like SF were cheaper.
Just saying that only one quality starter makes your injury risk that much higher.Yep. Remember that there is only 1 possible QB score each week. There are FOUR possible WR scores, or THREE possible RB scores. Sure, the 3rd QB might boost your score a couple of weeks, and is injury protection. But putting those points in WR or RB boosts your injury protection there as well, and is more likely to be used instead of sitting on your bench.While I'd agree that 3QB's may be very helpful for your long term survival (helping to cover unexpected injuries/benchings), I tend to think the cost of a 3rd QB relative to a cost of a few fill in WR/RB is too high. It is almost guaranteed to leave some big points and big dollars on the bench, dollars that can be used to upgrade the starters at RB/WR. If there is a "uniqueness" that I have tended to have for my team it is to have as many value plays available as possible to contribute on an occasional basis. The risk that I take is potentially not having a QB for a week (a reality I suffer this week for the first time), but to win in the finals I want as many potential "blow up" players as possible. QB's as a unit are just too generally consistent to take this same approach.I'm thinking that three QBs are a must in this contest. At least two quality starters with one cheap flier. Otherwise, if you roll with just one good QB and one flier, you're potentially losing a lot of points in a bye week or with injury. That's just too many points at one position to roll with only one quality starter.Oh, and I need to remember not to spend $6 on two defenses next year. Both of my Ds are mediocre, and teams like SF were cheaper.