What is the better predictor of future performance?
What he's done in the last four games . . .
Or talent?
That is a good point and question to condier.
Realistically we can only play what gives us the best chance to win as fantasy owners.
Why else would we play?
I can promise you in my life and leagues, it is not just to start a "name player" or stud, just because of who he is.
I try and play the player who gives me the best chance to win....it doesn't matter if that may be Adrian Peterson, or Joique Bell, I don't much care on a week to week basis.
Much of the last handful of posts is arguing a lot of things, semantics included but what it boils down to is exactly when do you cut bait on a player and move on.
These situations are among the most difficult in fantasy football and they are what I like to call the "silent killer".
So you roll out a stud week after week hoping he returns to form.
At some point you look back and say, "Well, that was a steady point drain for 6-7 weeks". (or however long it may be)
No matter how we argue or look at it, if we all continue to start Randall Cobb at his current pace, he will most certainly help eliminate most of us from contention at the end of the year.
One thing all the "stat heads" must remember................. Sure the overall points is a fine indicator at the end of the year.
(this is not targeting anyone , I am just as guilty at this as anyone here)
But also realize that its a week to week game.
I know its an extreme example, but suppose a WR goes out and puts up a 50 point game, then posts 4 straight zeroes.
"HEY~! he put up 50 points~!!" But what he ultimately did was win you one game, and aid in you losing 4.
I don't know about you guys, but I need to win weekly to get to the playoffs.
In fact, I need to win most weeks.
I will ultimately have to start the guy in one league, but he is on the bench in another.
I am not at the "cuttable" point just yet, but he is perilously close, I can promise you that.
I need week to week production, and no matter how any of you may want to argue his upside, the injury related dip, Aaron Rodgers not looking for him, the loss of Jordy, no help from other WRs or at TE, all that is irrelevant.
I need production, and its as simple as that....and argue as you might, Cobb isn't getting it done.
TZM