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Week 16 2022 who should I start thread **OFFICIALLY UNOFFICIAL** (1 Viewer)

Flex in two leagues (.5 ppr):

League 1 - M Sanders or D Hopkins (Third string qb tossing)
League 2 - Dillon, Akers, B Robinson, Olave (weather and hammy)

League 2 - I am starting D Hopkins at WR because I dont have better options..
 
Half PPR, start two:

Elliott vs Eagles
Pacheco vs Seahawks
Dobbins vs Falcons
Monty vs Bills
Mostert vs Packers

Think it's probably not the bottom two, have Zeke and Pacheco in right now but could easily be persuaded on Dobbins.
 
Half PPR, start two:

Elliott vs Eagles
Pacheco vs Seahawks
Dobbins vs Falcons
Monty vs Bills
Mostert vs Packers

Think it's probably not the bottom two, have Zeke and Pacheco in right now but could easily be persuaded on Dobbins.
I like Dobbins slightly more than Pacheco
 
QB (I’m stressing over the weather and matchups), 6pt all TDs.
Geno Smith
Fields
Could also grab Minshew or Purdy

Flex, 1 spot, 0.5 PPR
Zack moss
Gus edwards
Gabe Davis
J dotson
Jamaal Williams

Thanks for help and replies!
 
Last edited:
Need 2
Lazard at Miami
Aiyuk vrs Seattle
Kirk at Jets
The Jets v Jags game is causing me fits this week.

Kirk may be the one Jag I'm not fading, in PPR, this week. But when I think about it I can't defend why. Target volume? Maybe. He hasn't had fewer than 7 since week 6. But Zay hasn't had fewer than 7 in the past 5 games, so why favor Kirk while I've been fading Zay? But Zay doesn't matter here, Aiyuk and Lazard do and I think, in a PPR Kirk should see reasonable targets and may be able to generate 5-7 receptions for 50-80 yards. Not sure he has much upside though.

Aiyuk (v Washington not Seattle btw) is a low volume guy. He may only see 3 targets and it's a stretch to think he could see as many as 7 with Purdy under center.

Lazard's target share has dropped since around week 10 (although he did have 11 in week 11). But over that span he has 4, 11, 3, 6 & 2. The good news is his snap share has remained steady at around 95%. He is on the field more than any Packer WR. Miami is a great matchup being 26th or worse in every relevant receiving defensive stat.

Lazard>Kirk>Aiyuk
 
Shout out to Chaka for doing this thread each week. It’s definitely helped me make some 50/50 decisions… so why not a couple more?

1/2 PPR Superflex 4 pt passing TD

With Hurts most likely sitting I’m looking at either:
Minshew @ DAL
or
Russel Wilson @ Rams

For the Superflex (Geno is taking over at standard QB slot). Not too many other options for the Superflex spot with other injuries.

At TE I’ve got:
Engram @ Jets
Or
Waller @ Pitt
 
Half PPR, start two:

Elliott vs Eagles
Pacheco vs Seahawks
Dobbins vs Falcons
Monty vs Bills
Mostert vs Packers

Think it's probably not the bottom two, have Zeke and Pacheco in right now but could easily be persuaded on Dobbins.
I think you’ve got it right. Hawks run D is pretty bad, and Cowboys could get up on the Hurts-less Eagles and salt the clock with the rush.
 
Flex in two leagues (.5 ppr):

League 1 - M Sanders or D Hopkins (Third string qb tossing)
League 2 - Dillon, Akers, B Robinson, Olave (weather and hammy)

League 2 - I am starting D Hopkins at WR because I dont have better options..
Sanders for league 1. Could be a lot of dump offs and more rushing opportunities if Hurts out.

I lean Akers. But it’s close between him and Dillon.
 
4 pt passing TD's.
Need 1
D. Jones at Vikes
Minshaw at Dallas
I've been high on Minshew this week but, man that Vikings pass defense is bad. 31st in yards/game, attempts against & yards/attempt. 25th in completion % & 20th in TDs allowed.

And Jones can run.

He is a low volume guy and has thrown 2 TD passes only 3 times and 0 TD passes 5 times. But he has rushed for a TD 4 times. It equates to 7 multi TD games. Not great but not terrible. By comparison Minshew has 16 multi-TD games in 22 starts (4 games with 3 TD passes).

Last con is Jones may have the worst group of pass catchers in the NFL. Not an inspiring group at all. Minshew has an excellent supporting cast all around.

This one is all about the matchups. The Cowboys have a strong defense overall but other than yards/game they're closer to top 10-12 in most passing defense metrics, not top 3. They shine with sacks & turnovers. Minshew has been okay with INTs (only 2 games with 2 INTs) but he does have 19 fumbles.

Ultimately you've got a coin toss here.

My W.A.G is:
Jones>Minshew
 
I'll start:

SF, PPR league

I think I just need a flex play (QB allowed)
Tyler Huntley v ATL
Jamaal @ CAR
Gus v ATL
JAMES Cook @ CHI
M.Brown v TBB
Jameson @ CAR

I honestly have no idea which way to go but am tempted to say WTF and roll with Jameson.

In PPR, I can see the argument for Cook.

Gus is always a risk to vulture TDs and has a pretty nice matchup, so he'd be my second choice most likely.
 
Full point PPR:

Jamaal Williams @ Carolina
Michael Carter vs Jacksonville
Brian Robinson vs San Francisco
Tyler Allgeier @ Baltimore
Deon Jackson vs Chargers
 
Christian Kirk vs DJ Moore at FLEX in 0.5 PPR.

Obviously have to decide this by tonight. Every ranking has Kirk higher but I have Moore in there right now vs Detroit. I need the upside as I am a big underdog if that helps.
 
O.K. here's "sick" dilema:
Need a TE from the list of expendables below:
FFPC scoring:

C.Okonkwo vs Hou( no Tannehill?)
M.Gesicki(no show all year)
J.Johnson @ Cleve(weather,weather,weather)
D.Bellinger @ Minn(can he finish a game?)
 
Bad weather, short week, on the road, against a good defense, low point total

Considering benching Trevor for Aaron Rodgers @ MIA?

Picked up Trevor as a stop gap for Deshaun and Lamar but and he’s been excellent, but so many things seem to be pointing towards sitting Trevor here. Slight favorite(and somehow facing the same QB dilemma in 2 leagues) in both, so a safer play would be ideal I’d think? (Rodgers)
I assume you still have Lamar as well, so if you do, I would wait it out and start him if he's playing, knowing you can still pivot to Rodgers. If, however, you no longer have Lamar, I would go Lawrence. I like Lawrence ever so slightly more than Rodgers.

Fields Vs BUF or Brady at AZ?

Currently have Fields. Matchup makes it tempting, despite Brady’s abysmal week 15 game.
I don't think I could sit Fields for Brady regardless of match ups, he's been far too consistent.

2 quick ones that I hope you won't mind answering because they are so tight for me

TE

Goedert or Schultz - both playing in the same game. Got to like Goedert's chances as a safety blanket and Schultz's floor is so low. Then again, Goedert is just back from injury

DEF

Patriots vs Bengals
or
Titans vs Texans

Never usually ask DEF questions but this is proving difficult. Pats are actually #1 in my scoring but harder matchup. Titans are ok, not great, better matchuo

Thanks!!
I think Schultz is the better option in case the Eagles ease Goedert back in.

I'd roll with the Titans D. They aren't bad in their own right, and even though NE is a better defense, I think Joe Burrow is in that level of player I like to avoid starting defenses against.

I was able to snag Marquise Goodwin off waivers.

Flex, ppr, pick 1:
Olave vs Cle
Goodwin vs Chiefs


Goodwin seems like a no brainer but just want to confirm.

Also, since this may be my last WDIS for 9 months, lets throw some K & DST out:

K, pick 1
Gano vs Min
Folk vs Cin


Bad weather for Folk and Minny giving up the #1 K week in and week out for a month now would indicate Gano is a lock. Right?

DST, no points for scoring or yardage
Lions vs Car
Cowboys vs Phi
Chiefs vs Sea


Lions are hot but Panthers are run first, Cowboys are coming off 2 duds but Minshew may be rusty, Chiefs will force Seattle to play catch up in possible T.O. friendly weather. Thoughts? Leaning towards Lions or Cowboys.
I'd stick with Olave. In theory Goodwin should see a bigger role with Lockett out, but he's never proven to be a guy who earns targets, and its just as likely Lockett's workload goes elsewhere, maybe to the TEs, maybe just a monster target game for Metcalf.

I'd go Folk at K. I don't see weather being an issue in NE, and Folk has been better this year.

I think I'd actually roll with KC. Geno has taken a fair amount of sacks and has turned it over whenever he's been point chasing this year, and that seems likely against KC.

WR/TE Flex, standard: Kittle vs Pittman

RB, pick 2, standard: Kamara vs McKinnon vs Pacheco vs Stevenson
I think I'd go with Pittman, its pretty much a toss up, so I'll go with the one on the team I think will be passing more.

Stevenson is a lock. I think I'd go Kamara in the other spot. I think he's just a little safer as we don't truly know which KC back will have the good game. Browns are also a poor run D.

No hurts

So Lawrence @ nyj
Or
Minshew @ dem boys
I'd roll with Lawrence over Minshew. Lawrence is playing his butt off, and Minshew is a question mark in a not particularly better matchup.

Hello all... a really dumb question here. I have my avatar, Etienne and Zay available. I don't have a choice over Etienne or Zay (they are starting)... but I have Fields on the bench and goldilocks has been on fire the last couple weeks... please confirm I would be beyond stupid to start the "trifecta" - THANKS
Unless I have Allen or Mahomes, I'm not sitting Fields. He's just being so consistent, and in matchups just as tough as this one.

PPR- Need 1
R. White at AZ
A.J. Dillion at Miami

Need 2
Lazard at Miami
Aiyuk vrs Seattle
Kirk at Jets

nobody is perfect but I do like your thought process. Can't say thank you enough, but thank you.
Merry Christmas
Because its PPR, I'd roll with White. Probably the best matchup he could have.

Kirk and Aiyuk would be my calls at WR. Kirk has been an excellent player all season, and Aiyuk has FAR less target competition even if his QB isn't as good.
 
This is a major pain:

Choose 3

Aiyuk vs WAS
Gabe Davis @ CHI
Peoples-Jones vs NOS
Mike Evans @ ARI
Demarcus Robinson vs ATL
Marquise Goodwin @ SEA

As it stands, Evans, Gabe, and Goodwin. DPJ should be a lock, but CLE looks like this for SAT

Day: Windy with snow showers possible. Highs around 15°F. Wind chill values as low as -18°F. Very windy, with a west southwest wind 28 to 33 MPH, gusting to 48 MPH. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Aiyuk the floor is low, Goodwin has two little injuries that just popped up, and DeMarcus Robinson has no other WR to contend with, but Huntley is throwing for 125 yards.
 
This is a major pain:

Choose 3

Aiyuk vs WAS
Gabe Davis @ CHI
Peoples-Jones vs NOS
Mike Evans @ ARI
Demarcus Robinson vs ATL
Marquise Goodwin @ SEA

As it stands, Evans, Gabe, and Goodwin. DPJ should be a lock, but CLE looks like this for SAT

Day: Windy with snow showers possible. Highs around 15°F. Wind chill values as low as -18°F. Very windy, with a west southwest wind 28 to 33 MPH, gusting to 48 MPH. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Aiyuk the floor is low, Goodwin has two little injuries that just popped up, and DeMarcus Robinson has no other WR to contend with, but Huntley is throwing for 125 yards.
Evans Ayuik Goodwin. DPJ would be second if it wasnt for the horrible weather.
 
Standard Scoring:

Need 3:

Waddle vs GB
Hopkins vs TB (Possible Mcsorly at QB)
A Cooper vs NO (Possible Wind)
Theilen Vs NYG?
ATM the wind forecast in Cleveland makes it very difficult to recommend Cooper. It sucks because McSoreley is not easy to rely on and Thielen is a lower volume play.

Still McSorley targeted Hopkins 7 times in just under two quarters of play and Hopkins went 4-34-0 with a missed two point conversion target. It seems likely that Hopkins will get his regular 10+ targets, unfortunately they will be lower quality opportunities.

I am trying to remember the last game I can think of where wind was a big negative factor and IIRC the first New England @ Buffalo game last year was one. I remember watching that game in pure amazement I see a report of 19 mph winds, although my foggy memory thought it was worse than that, either way the stat lines are crazy. The Patriots only attempted 3 passes all game, Josh Allen went 15 of 30 for 145 & 1TD (14 yards to Davis). Tyler Bass missed a 33 yard field goal too.

If the wind in Cleveland is really 27mph with gusts a lot higher...:

I think I sit Cooper and hate every minute of it.

Waddle>>>Thielen>Hopkins>Cooper
 
Need to sit 2 in a PPR league with bonus of 40+ yard TDs

Lamb
Allen
Stevenson
Hopkins
Godwin
Metcalf
Good options pick two to sit and sleep comfortably.

I definitely sit Hopkins with McSorley starting.

After that it's a total crap shoot but, Lamb gets the fewest looks of the remaining options so and he has a difficult matchup.

But really, pick at random and you have just as much chance of being "right".

Hopkins & Lamb
 
PPR :

Need 1

Pat Freimuth vs LV
Evan Engram vs Jets
Juwan Johnson vs Clev?

Presently have Freimuth in (Pickett) back think he gets back on track?
No earthly idea but Engram is playing very well and I doubt he sees much coverage from Sauce.

I could also see Juwan but the wind is supposed to be blowing 27mph, Dalton doesn't have the arm to Juwan worth the risk relative to his downside.

I see the argument for Friermuth and you could do worse in a PPR but I think Engram is the better player with the better QB ATM.

Engram>Friermuth>Juwan
 
A couple of calls to make this week. 12 team full point PPR. Need 1 RB, 1WR, and 1 flex.

RB 2/3- need 1 + possible flex
Dillon- looks like he is good to go, I'm also starting A. Jones
Hunt- slam dunk if Chubb is out or maybe even if Chubb is limited sharing carries
Deon Jackson- my eyes from the last game and my gut tells me he will be the better Colt RB to play this week. I think he was punished last week because of the fumble, looked much better than Moss

WR 3/4- need 1 + possible flex
Zay- Sauce plays on one side, Zay plays all 3 WR positions. Jets play zone, Zay is better vs zone, Zay is hot
Gabe- I'm the underdog shooing for the fences
Chris Moore- only if Collins and Cooks are out
Sutton- can't trust
Chubb has been cleared to play.

Dillon is rolling.

Deon, in a PPR, against a very soft Charger rush defense seems like a safer floor option.

Dillon>Deon>Hunt

No problem starting Zay out of that group.

Winds are supposed to be 22mph in Chicago, that's enough to tilt the scales to Zay IMO.

I'm not starting Moore over Zay. He may get all the pie but that pie is tiny.

You're right, you can't trust Sutton.

Zay>Gabe>Moore>Sutton
 
I wasn't able to land Moss as I was outbid; New WDIS question for standard scoring, non-ppr league:

Knight or Dillon?
I like Knight but Dillon is just playing too well at the moment. The ride will end but I think you need to stay on until the end.

Dillon>Zonovan
 
Need to select one WR and one FLEX from this dung heap:

Hardman @SEA
Goodwin vs SEA
CMoore @TEN
Chark @CAR
Dotson @SF
DeonJackson vs LAC

0.5ppr

kthxbai
 
So Claypool is out, as is Equanimeous St Brown. So it looks like (checks notes) Byron Pringle is the Bears WR1 this week? With Petis, Velus Jones and Harry rounding things out.
:oldunsure:

Not really a WSIS question, just leaning more and more towards Brady, with Evans, Godwin, Gage & likely Julio as seemingly a much better option this week.
 
🤢 Eli Moore, Corey Davis, Robert woods, orHunter Renfrew as flex? Or Gerald Everett and Darren Waller both needed to start?
 
Brady @ AZ or D Jones @ MIN?

Start 2 of these WRs...PPR
Palmer @ IND
Slayton @ MIN
London @ BAL
C Samuel @ SF
Chark @ CAR
I like Brady well enough this week. I guess there is a possibility the Bucs roll the Cards and run out the clock but, IMO, Brady doesn't roll that way. He wants the stats and he's throwing the ball more often than he ever has.

The Vikings pass defense is terrible but the Cardinals is pretty bad too and they seem unlikely to have many sustained drives with McSorley at QB (then again you never know). Still the Vikings offense has a better chance to control ToP than the Cards which should lead to more opportunities for Brady.

Brady>Jones

I like London here under the premise of, who else are they going to throw to? He went 11-7-70-0 last week and I imagine he will see something similar this week.

Your second option is tougher but I probably lean towards Slayton because of the matchup, and only that reason.

I like Palmer but his opportunities have really dipped with Williams and Keenan both available. Palmer and Everett seem to be vulturing each other.

Samuel has been fun to watch but the production really hasn't followed. Throw in the toughest defense in the league on the road and it's a hard pass from me.

Chark has a decent opportunity this week IMO but he's still relatively low volume and Goff just doesn't throw a lot of TDs on the road.

London>Slayton>Chark>Palmer>Samuel
 
I havent been on this thread lately because honestly my team is not deep and there arent really good options to sit a current starter for me. But.......I appreciated this forum feature this year and I have a good one this week:

Dobbins (without Jackson) vs ATL or,
Sanders (without Hurts) vs DAL?

It's a 1/2 PPR but neither guy has been used that way much this year.

I wouldn't normally sit Sanders but Dobbins has forced the issue and I'm leaning towards Dobbins. I do not know which way to go.
It's a tough call and I can see the argument either way.

My concern with Sanders is without Hurts under center the running game as a whole becomes easier to defend. The Cowboys won't need to use a spy and the defensive ends will not need to worry as much about contain and may be able to push straight up field more. That being said he is probably in line for 17 carries and has a great offensive line in front of him. Also, the Cowboys aren't particularly daunting vs the run. They are allowing a couple more yards per game than the Falcons (133-129) and are giving up 4.6 y/c (4.3 for ATL). Now they don't give up a lot of TDs on the ground (7 to 15 for ATL), but they can be run on.

The downside with Dobbins he may not even see 15 carries, then again when you are averaging 8.8 yards/carry maybe you don't need 15 carries.

Very tough call but I think I lean Sanders because he isn't splitting time as much as Dobbins. But either back seems like a good option.

Sanders>Dobbins
 
I'm in QB purgatory after losing Hurts. 4 pt passing TD, 6 pt rushing.

I was out of FAAB so missed out on Minshew/Cousins (had been recently dropped). My QB options are

Carr @ Pit (not a cold weather QB, also my bench QB)
Pickett vs LV
Purdy vs Was
Foles vs LA
Darnold vs Det

Purdy seems to be the "safest" bet in my opinion. Obviously not replacing Hurts output, but are any of these guys able to go for >20 points??

Thanks in advance!
What's a cold weather QB?

Carr has his full compliment of WRs & TEs for the first time in a long time (well he did last week too and threw 3 TDs, now they're all a week healthier) he's thrown 2 or more TDs in 10 of 14 games. He is probably your safest option.

If you don't like Carr, which is understandable, I think I lean to Nick Foles. He's got a great opportunity against an average pass defense. Their yardage numbers look good because they are so bad at defending the run team just don't throw on them (3rd fewest pass attempts against). If Jonathan Taylor were playing I may like Foles less but with Jackson & Moss it may be tougher for the Colts to run. The Colts have a solid receiving corps and Foles is a capable backup.

I guess Purdy may be a decent choice but I'm still not entirely sure what to think of him. Unless Washington jumps out to a big lead I have to imagine Purdy will be capped around 25 pass attempts. He can score some points with that kind of volume but I am always concerned by high TD efficiency numbers as they are generally not sustainable.

No real interest in Pickett. He may have a nice game but he is more likely to have a dud.

Darnold will throw about 150 yards and a TD and has a reasonable chance to rush for a TD but it's tough to be inspired by this guy.

Carr>Foles>Purdy>Darnold>Pickett
 
Flex in two leagues (.5 ppr):

League 1 - M Sanders or D Hopkins (Third string qb tossing)
League 2 - Dillon, Akers, B Robinson, Olave (weather and hammy)

League 2 - I am starting D Hopkins at WR because I dont have better options..
League 1 - I have no problem taking Sanders over Hopkins in a 0.5 PPR with McSorley throwing in his general direction. He almost certainly will see double digit targets but the efficiency is in question and it's hard to see his upside. Sanders may come close to 20 carries this week IMO.

Sanders>Hopkins

League 2 - I am riding the hot hand here and that is Dillon. If he's consistently getting 12-15 touches, like we thought he would be all year and performing the way he has been over the last three games then he is difficult to bench.

I know Akers has been surprisingly productive over the last three weeks. So why not ride his hot hand, right? Because it's the Rams, they suck and Denver is still playing very solid defense. They are a little more vulnerable to the run but have only given up 8 rush TDs all year and they are still the #3 scoring defense in the NFL.

I like Robinson but I don't like any RB against the Niners.

No to Olave because of the reasons you stated.

Dillon>Akers>Robinson>Olave
 
4 point passing td, 6 point rush.
Which mediocre QB should I go with:
Dak vs Philly
Minshew vs Dallas
Goff vs Carolina
I know none of them have a huge upside, but but I'm looking for a solid 20 some points since my opponent has a lot of injuries to deal with this week.
 
Half PPR, start two:

Elliott vs Eagles
Pacheco vs Seahawks
Dobbins vs Falcons
Monty vs Bills
Mostert vs Packers

Think it's probably not the bottom two, have Zeke and Pacheco in right now but could easily be persuaded on Dobbins.
Montgomery could be a nice option but probably not over some of your others ATM.

Zeke has a hot hand for finding the end zone. TDs in 7 straight and I imagine that could continue this week. The Eagles are not particularly stout v the run (121 ypg, 4.7 y/a & 12 TDs) and they are the best in the league against the pass. Zeke is worth the risk.

I do like Pacheco this week against that terrible Seahawks run defense. The concern, as always, is if it's a close game it favors McKinnon. If the Chiefs are cruising then Pacheco is a very good option. Either way he is getting 15 carries/game like clockwork so he's a good bet.

Dobbins is playing lights out but he's also in a time share with Gus and the Ravens offense is simply not good ATM. As much as I like Dobbins I think I prefer backing the Chiefs offense more ATM.

Elliot>Pacheco>Dobbins>Montgomery>Mostert
 
4 point passing td, 6 point rush.
Which mediocre QB should I go with:
Dak vs Philly
Minshew vs Dallas
Goff vs Carolina
I know none of them have a huge upside, but but I'm looking for a solid 20 some points since my opponent has a lot of injuries to deal with this week.
Goff CAR

Good weather, soft matchup, safer floor.

If you want the ceiling play, it’s probably Dak. At home, good receiving corps, RBs who can take a dump off to the house.
 
QB (I’m stressing over the weather and matchups), 6pt all TDs.
Geno Smith
Fields
Could also grab Minshew or Purdy

Flex, 1 spot, 0.5 PPR
Zack moss
Gus edwards
J dotson
Jamaal Williams

Thanks for help and replies!
I'm not benching Fields for Geno. There will be a lot of wind in Chicago, enough to inhibit passing games. Good thing Fields strength isn't passing.

Fields>Geno

Moss has a great opportunity against a very poor run defense. But we aren't sure about the split with Deon Jackson and the Chargers are capable of turning this game into a track meet.

Gus on the wrong end of his timeshare. If you're going to speculate on a TD I think you have a better option.

I'm not playing the Commodores WR2/3 on the road in San Francisco.

Jamaal has been cool on the TD front for two weeks now but the Panthers are a bottom tier run defense and their offense isn't likely to force Detroit into a passing contest. Jamaal is still getting 13-16 carries/game and we know he will get goal line opportunities.

Jamaal>Moss>Gus>Dotson
 
Shout out to Chaka for doing this thread each week. It’s definitely helped me make some 50/50 decisions… so why not a couple more?

1/2 PPR Superflex 4 pt passing TD

With Hurts most likely sitting I’m looking at either:
Minshew @ DAL
or
Russel Wilson @ Rams

For the Superflex (Geno is taking over at standard QB slot). Not too many other options for the Superflex spot with other injuries.

At TE I’ve got:
Engram @ Jets
Or
Waller @ Pitt
Definitely Minshew over Wilson. True coin flip at TE, I'd go Engram and hope he stays hot. Both the games in NY and Pitt should have gross weather.
 
Shout out to Chaka for doing this thread each week. It’s definitely helped me make some 50/50 decisions… so why not a couple more?

1/2 PPR Superflex 4 pt passing TD

With Hurts most likely sitting I’m looking at either:
Minshew @ DAL
or
Russel Wilson @ Rams

For the Superflex (Geno is taking over at standard QB slot). Not too many other options for the Superflex spot with other injuries.

At TE I’ve got:
Engram @ Jets
Or
Waller @ Pitt
Minshew>Wilson

Maybe the Broncos have figured something out finally but, I simply don't trust Wilson enough to start him in a playoff game.

Mind you it is a little closer than that because, well Gardner Minshew. But, Minshew has at least 2 TDs (pass/rush) in 16 of 22 starts. He has a terrific team supporting him too. He is a big risk but, this week I think I am taking the risk rather than hoping the Broncos offense is finally all better.

You know how I feel about TEs. But I think the Steelers, in general have been more vulnerable to the position and Waller has another full week of practice under his belt. If it was a full PPR I might be inclined to go with Engram as he may benefit from the Jets DBs being focused elsewhere but in a 0.5 it's a lot closer for me. And the Jets are still the much better defense overall.

Waller>Engram
 
Full point PPR:

Jamaal Williams @ Carolina
Michael Carter vs Jacksonville
Brian Robinson vs San Francisco
Tyler Allgeier @ Baltimore
Deon Jackson vs Chargers
Not Robinson against that defense and not Michael Carter because the Jets offense can't be trusted and he's second fiddle to Zonovan, apparently by a good margin.

I do like Jamaal this week in Carolina but in a full PPR he takes a hit. If he doesn't score a TD he's a liability in that format. But you don't have many, any?, options that stand out in that department and Jamaal is on the highest scoring team of this group, by a wide margin.

The problem with Allgeier is the strength of the Baltimore defense is against the run. They're right up there with Tennessee & the Niners. He also isn't used often in the passing game. But he has been running lights out over his last four games so he is still worth considering a little bit. But, again it's a low scoring offense.

Deon is an interesting play. I don't think he is a particularly strong runner but he may involved in the passing game. He did have 10 targets in his only start this season going 10-79-0. But we really have no idea what the split is going to be with Moss. Probably a hot hand approach, if I had to guess and against the Chargers terrible run defense either of these guys could seize that opportunity.

Yeah, this is a real head scratcher.

I think I lean:
Jamaal>Deon>Allgeier
 
O.K. here's "sick" dilema:
Need a TE from the list of expendables below:
FFPC scoring:

C.Okonkwo vs Hou( no Tannehill?)
M.Gesicki(no show all year)
J.Johnson @ Cleve(weather,weather,weather)
D.Bellinger @ Minn(can he finish a game?)

From that list im going JJ and praying for a TD
 
Minshew or Lawrence
This is where I stood on this question earlier in the thread. It's super close
Lawrence has burned me over the past few weeks but, I just hate that matchup. To be fair the Jags have a dynamic offense and maybe match up well with the Jets but I'm betting on the Jets D tomorrow. Lawrence may have turned a corner but I still think Saleh will figure out some wrinkles he has never considered.

Minshew and the Eagles have an even better supporting cast than the Jags IMO and Minshew has been a decent starter previously. He is one of the better backup QBs in the league, maybe the best. I will bet on the talent of the Eagles as a whole.

Minshew>Lawrence

eta: need2know this is a very low confidence projection on my part. I could easily flip flop on it. i.e. go with your gut, not mine.
 
Christian Kirk vs DJ Moore at FLEX in 0.5 PPR.

Obviously have to decide this by tonight. Every ranking has Kirk higher but I have Moore in there right now vs Detroit. I need the upside as I am a big underdog if that helps.
If you need the upside, I am not sure either has much, the Lions are still vulnerable to the pass. They're last in yards/reception allowed and 25th in receiving TDs allowed, 30th in pass yards allowed and last in yards/attempt. So, from that perspective DJ probably has a better opportunity. He also seems a little better with Darnold under center.

But, remember Kirk has simply been the better WR this season.

For the upside:
DJ>Kirk
 
O.K. here's "sick" dilema:
Need a TE from the list of expendables below:
FFPC scoring:

C.Okonkwo vs Hou( no Tannehill?)
M.Gesicki(no show all year)
J.Johnson @ Cleve(weather,weather,weather)
D.Bellinger @ Minn(can he finish a game?)
Ugh. Yeah...uhhhh. I know you know I am virtually zero help in TE questions but I appreciate you keep asking.

Realistically this is a situation where I would close my eyes and play the matchup.

The Vikings defense has been terrible against the pass so...yeah.

I can see an argument for Gesicki simply because he is in a strong passing offense but his opportunities still aren't there.

The wind in Cleveland looks terrible I don't know what Andy Dalton can do in the face of that but, if they get close to the goal line maybe Juwan has a punchers chance at a TD.

I'll pass on anyone catching passes from Malik Willis.

So:
Bellinger>Johnson>Gesicki>Chig
 
Pick one. PPR

zonovan Knight
Zay jones
Diontae johnson
Donta Foreman
The Lions run defense has been way too strong over the last seven games to consider Foreman.

I like Zonovan but he doesn't bring much in PPR and that offense is just not very good with Zach Wilson at QB.

Between Zay and Diontae, Diontae has the much better matchup. In a full PPR Zay should eat some even against this Jets defense. He moves around a lot and seems to be good in the short zone areas. Lawrence is a much better QB than Pickett and that Jags offense has been humming for the past two games and they have a real shot at the division. Zay also seems to have a high ceiling even against the Jets.

But the Raiders defense is 25th or worse in pretty much every passing and receiving defensive metric. And they only have 4 INTs on the season and 25 sacks (31st & 29th in the league). In a full PPR Diontae should have the opportunity to eat. All that being said it will be windy and cold in Pittsburgh so it is tough to see much upside from Diontae.

It's a big risk but I am basing this more on upside:downside ratios:
Zay>Diontae
 

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