EBF, what a joke. Why do you bother even posting in this thread. Your arguments are ridiculous.
Actually, my argument is pretty solid. No RBs who are as small as Chris Johnson have become elite FF backs in the past decade. Therefore I find it unlikely that Chris Johnson will become an elite FF back.
Nice videos, what does CJ, Stewart, and Mendehall have in common? Nothing.....CJ is the only one producing on the NFL level currently.
I posted those videos to show the dramatic difference in size between Mendenhall/Stewart and Johnson. Johnson is noticeably skinny. Yes, he's the only one of the three producing consistent stats right now, but I'd argue that part of the reason for that is because his competition for touches is much weaker. He's the best offensive player on the Titans. That wouldn't be the case if he was on the Steelers or Panthers. He might not even be the best RB on those teams. Opportunity is a necessary ingredient for production. If Mendenhall and Stewart had the same opportunity as Johnson then I think they'd be producing pretty respectable numbers.
Why are you so caught up on "Full time Back"? How many of those are there in the NFL? Maybe 1, LT.
Winning FF leagues is often about having difference makers on your roster. In order to become a difference maker, a RB usually has to receive the lion's share of his teams carries. Consider the elite difference maker FF backs of the past decade:LaDainian Tomlinson
Marshall Faulk
Ahman Green
Larry Johnson
Priest Holmes
Clinton Portis
Emmitt Smith
Shaun Alexander
Tiki Barber
Ricky Williams
Jamal Lewis
Fred Taylor
Eddie George
Barry Sanders
Frank Gore
Brian Westbrook
By and large, RBBC is not what comes to mind when you think of these players. Yes, some of them split carries at some point in their career, but none of them reached the truly elite levels until they became the unquestioned bell cow for their team.
20 Touches per game is all he needs.....especially when he averages 5.5 yards per carry.
If he continues to get 20 touches per game then he'll continue to be very useful to FF teams. That said:- He's been losing crucial goal line touches to LenDale White. He won't be an elite FF back unless he gets those touches.
- We don't know that he can survive this workload over an extended period of time.
- It's possible, but unlikely that he'll sustain a 5.5 YPC. I have a hunch that his YPC might dip as he wears down over the course of the season.
Chris Johnson is a dynamic player. He has the potential to help FF teams for a long time (just like Warrick Dunn has). However, I don't think it's wrong to be skeptical of the idea that he's the next great FF back. Physically, he doesn't really resemble the guys who were able to put up multiple monster seasons and sustain elite production over an extended period of time. That tells me he probably won't be able to match their achievements and should be viewed more as a committee type.
This is not really that controversial of an argument. When he was drafted, most pundits pegged him as a speedy
complement to White. IMO people who are selling the idea that he's a future workhorse have turned him into something he's not. Only time will tell if I'm right.