Hi r/ussoccer,
Chelsea fan here coming in peace. I saw this sub over in my own home of r/chelseafc and decided to weigh in with my two cents on why I believe that the plethora of circumstances surrounding the club in general have created a difficulty in opportunity for Christian Pulisic, but also hopefully providing an optimistic outlook on his future at the club. I hope i'm not breaking any rules by posting this - I would just like to open some genuine discourse on the matter.
I think the first port of call in this discussion has to start with our incredibly unfortunate injury record this season. We're currently missing our only competent left back in Emerson for the foreseeable future and I hold the personal belief that it's forcing Frank's hand in deploying a three back system to accommodate his replacement in Marcos Alonso. MA has excelled in the past whilst operating in a 'wing back' role, but the absolute polar opposite when asked to perform the duties of a traditional left back and it does make *logical sense*, especially given our disastrous defensive record this season, that Frank would opt for a 'safer system' in high stakes games. Whilst I still maintain that Pulisic has been hard done by in recent weeks, the usage of 'inverted wingers' in the 343 we're deploying does slightly put him out of favour in comparison to the likes of Willian and Pedro who have played the roles before, or Mason Mount who's responsible for leading our press and winning the ball back high.
I haven't seen anything in the three/four games we have used a 3ATB thus far to genuinely believe it has distinct potential when Frank has a healthy cohort of players to choose from after the international break. It gives us slightly more defensive rigidity but at total expense of midfield control and it renders us almost useless when creating in the attacking phase of play. Our xG when using 3ATB has been highly questionable and supportive of the theory that we're simply not creating enough - just 1.2 against Lille tonight, which speaks volumes in comparison to the 4.13 we conjured up against Brighton last week when Frank opted for our more comfortable 433. It's simply not a sustainable system and the fact that we've literally just spent an entire season mastering an intense, high-pressing 433 with Maurizio Sarri last year leaves me with optimism that we'll return to the familiar system when integral players like Emerson and Kante are back for it.
What does this mean for Pulisic? When we finally revert to a four back system, it will create a myriad of opportunities for two distinct reasons - not only the fact that Chelsea will likely be playing in at least three, possibly four competitions, but the fact that his player profile distinctly matches the winger role in both 4231/433 lineups. He *has* to get minutes when we're playing two matches every week - or otherwise our players would just burn out.
It's also important to give personnel a mention, and who Pulisic will be competing with when we have a fit cohort to choose from. Willian (31yrs) and Pedro (32yrs) obviously don't have age on their side and they have been two of the club's most notorious villains for inconsistency in recent seasons - and that's not an exaggeration. The goal that Willian scored vs Brighton over the weekend was the first in almost nine months and Pedro's last non-penalty goal for the club came in February. Not trying to suggest here that goals are the be and end all of a player's success but they're not regular nor consistent contributors to our attacking game and it's generally expected that at least one of them will leave in summer 2020. One of the more serious competitors is Callum Hudson-Odoi. He's absolutely adored by the fans and has incredible hype around him, whilst also providing two assists in two substitute cameos since returning from his ACL tear last season. Just signed a fresh five year deal and looks to be set on starting for the senior team regularly, and there's big expectation in and around the fanbase that he'll have a place nailed down by Christmas.
The point i'm trying to make here is that Willian and Pedro don't necessarily set the bar staggeringly high and I personally believe that it wouldn't take the world to shift one of them from a starting position. They do the basics well though, and Frank has publicly stated a preference for high pressing and tracking back/defensive contribution in the winger's role in a typical Chelsea XI. Pulisic has to master both of these characteristics and do them equally as well, but otherwise it's just a case of taking chances and proving himself when the right time arrives. It takes a strong mentality to play for a club like Chelsea and I firmly believe that this is the very test of what he's about - one that will bear incredible reward when/if he overcomes the challenges of adaptation.
I really like the lad, for the record. He says the right things and there's nothing to suggest that he isn't training as hard or working as hard as other players in the squad. I mean come on now, the lad cut his summer holiday short to come back early and impress for pre-season. It's *exactly* the attitude I want to see in a Chelsea player and I can't help but feel like he has been incredibly unfortunate because of the aforementioned factors such as the forced 3ATB system and moving to the most physical league in the planet. He hasn't performed as well as we'd hoped thus far but I was never expecting fireworks in the first month of competitive play - the culture shock alone of moving to the PL from overseas merits an adaptation period and he deserves to be given just that.
This has got pretty long-winded but the TLDR is as follows: He's absolutely going to get chances this season. We're playing in three/four competitions and will be likely reverting to a traditional winger four back system when our full personnel is back and fully fit to play. Lampard has proven that he chooses players on merit and Christian just has to work hard and take every opportunity that's handed to him. His competition in Willian and Pedro isn't a million miles away in regard to genuine ability and output on the field. The spot is his for the taking.
Thanks to anyone that's taken the time to read this. I have unwavering respect for our friends across the pond and hope this comes across well. Would love to hear some opinions to any of the points made above.
Cheers!