Dedfin
Footballguy
Yeah. There is apparently a twitter account that hunts down people that use nonplussed all willy nilly. He's a good dog.It's funny how that word has come to mean about the exact opposite of it's original meaning.
Yeah. There is apparently a twitter account that hunts down people that use nonplussed all willy nilly. He's a good dog.It's funny how that word has come to mean about the exact opposite of it's original meaning.
No...just the liberal media.this is what makes people think Trump isn't fit to be President?
538: The Bottom Could Fall Out for TrumpPlasmaDogPlasma said:Walter Mondale must be a little excited. Finally someone has a chance to make people forget about his electoral map.
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Perhaps the most relevant piece of context, however, is that Trump was extremely unpopular to begin with. In our national polling average, he’s varied between having 36 percent of the vote and 41 percent and was at about 40 percent heading into the weekend. That’s awfully low for our modern, highly partisan era, in which all major-party nominees since 2000 have received at least 46 percent of the vote. Clinton isn’t doing great either, but at about 45 percent in national polls, she’s closer to the normal range.
True, both candidates also figure to pick up some undecided or third-party support and finish higher than their current raw numbers — but put a pin in that thought for a moment.
On the one hand, the fact that Trump’s support was so low to begin with could presumably mitigate the damage to him. If you’re only getting 40 percent of the vote, the voters you do have are probably pretty committed to you — and Trump has some passionate supporters.
On the other hand, the fact that Trump has only 40 percent of the vote means that the downside for him is awfully far down. What if he doesn’t win over any undecideds, and 40 percent turns out to be more of a ceiling than a floor? Trump’s unfavorable rating was approaching 60 percent even before the “hot mic” tape surfaced, which means he was already running into a headwind in terms of picking up additional support. Furthermore, he’s targeted a narrow slice of the electorate instead of a majority coalition. Hedoesn’t have much of a ground game to turn out his marginal voters, and, especially if he’s losing in the polls, they could decide that it just isn’t worth the time to vote.
If Trump gets stuck at 40 percent of the vote, you could wind up with an outcome like Clinton 51 percent, Trump 40 percent, Gary Johnson 7 percent, Jill Stein and others 2 percent, or something of that nature. That is, a double-digit win for Clinton, which could potentially yield somewhere around 400 votes for her in the Electoral College, and make states as exotic as Texas and Alaska competitive.
That outcome might seem far-fetched. But in an election with high uncertainty, it shouldn’t be. Even before the “hot mic” tape, our model gave Clinton a 5 to 6 percentage point lead, and the error in the forecast is roughly symmetric. The polls could move by 5 or 6 points toward Trump, giving him a narrow win, or — equally likely, per our model — they could move by 5 or 6 points toward Clinton, giving her a double-digit margin. To put it another way, a Clinton landslide is no more far-fetched than a Trump victory — and given the events of the past 24 hours, probably less so.
Do you have any tapes we could listen to?yeah, again, why is Bill's sexual assault different than Trump's? In fact, one of Bill's accusers even accused him of rape.
Hope he doesn't go Last Boy Scout.30 minutes ago, SaintsInDome2006 said:
Trump is in a total bubble right now but he is also desperate and wounded.
Absolutely anything can happen tomorrow.
Bill isnt running for President.yeah, again, why is Bill's sexual assault different than Trump's? In fact, one of Bill's accusers even accused him of rape.
Why do you need tapes? They have all come out and directly accused Bill. Aren't you on the side that believes that all sexual assault victims deserve to be believed?Do you have any tapes we could listen to?
He may eat his words (again). He could be depressed and mopey. He might come out like Godzilla and destroy everything. Who knows.Hope he doesn't go Last Boy Scout.
Way to figure that out, sherlock. Nothing escapes you.Bill isnt running for President.
"Gee, I wasn't sure whether to vote for Trump this whole time but now that I know he wants to #### my wife and grab my daughter in the ##### I have to vote for him!"What if he doesn’t win over any undecideds
You make a lot of incorrect assumptions.Why do you need tapes? They have all come out and directly accused Bill. Aren't you on the side that believes that all sexual assault victims deserve to be believed?
Yet, you keep bringing it up as if it helps anything.Way to figure that out, sherlock. Nothing escapes you.
Are you defending Trump? Is he a horrible person, ya know, like Bill? Who is not running for President.Why do you need tapes? They have all come out and directly accused Bill. Aren't you on the side that believes that all sexual assault victims deserve to be believed?
You're quite snarky for a guy who hasn't mastered the concept of "past and present."Way to figure that out, sherlock. Nothing escapes you.
Yet Bill Clinton was elected President not once, but twice!!!!! Amazing, isn't it?Are you defending Trump? Is he a horrible person, ya know, like Bill? Who is not running for President.
God, this is going to look terrible for the soulless fools who actually supported Trump all this time. Between forums and facebook, it's not like our parents / grandparents who could just lie about voting for Nixon. We will know where you stood on the matter of the most unqualified and disgusting major candidate in our lifetimes. Thank god we will have a record to speak for itself.
Unadulterated, unfiltered and unfettered support for a sexist, racist, misogynistic narcissist. On the record. That will have some payback for some time to come, I expect.
It apparently escapes youWay to figure that out, sherlock. Nothing escapes you.
1. This is not about Bill Clinton. Which was my point.Yet Bill Clinton was elected President not once, but twice!!!!! Amazing, isn't it?
And clarify one thing for me here: Where do you think I stand on Trump?
Huh? If Trump wins you don't think there won't be crow served here? Doesn't have to be me, but the bragging by the liberals certainly demands that crow will be eaten.Yet, you keep bringing it up as if it helps anything.
Tell us again how you, a guy who doesnt like Trump, and wont vite for him yet you will serve some crow.
"We're going to win so much, you'll get bored with winning."
You asked what was different.Way to figure that out, sherlock. Nothing escapes you.
You claimed early "we're going to serve crow" ?Huh? If Trump wins you don't think there won't be crow served here? Doesn't have to be me, but the bragging by the liberals certainly demands that crow will be eaten.
I did couch it in a question which really is less of an assumption and more of a, y'know, question.You make a lot of incorrect assumptions.
Are you defending Trump? Is he a horrible person, ya know, like Bill? Who is not running for President.
God, this is going to look terrible for the soulless fools who actually supported Trump all this time. Between forums and facebook, it's not like our parents / grandparents who could just lie about voting for Nixon. We will know where you stood on the matter of the most unqualified and disgusting major candidate in our lifetimes. Thank god we will have a record to speak for itself.
Unadulterated, unfiltered and unfettered support for a sexist, racist, misogynistic narcissist. On the record. That will have some payback for some time to come, I expect.
Bill Clinton is none of the things you bolded. Well, narcissist maybe but what president isn't.Yet Bill Clinton was elected President not once, but twice!!!!! Amazing, isn't it?
And clarify one thing for me here: Where do you think I stand on Trump?
Trust me, if Trump wins, eating crow will be about the 119th worst thing we will have to deal with.Huh? If Trump wins you don't think there won't be crow served here? Doesn't have to be me, but the bragging by the liberals certainly demands that crow will be eaten.
Gee, I can't fathom.How did rape even get into this discussion?
Do you really think Trump is going to win? If you do, you can quadruple your money.Huh? If Trump wins you don't think there won't be crow served here? Doesn't have to be me, but the bragging by the liberals certainly demands that crow will be eaten.
Both Bill and Trump have sexual assault allegations against them. Trump's is different in one sense because he's the only one of the two that essentially admitted and bragged about committing those offenses. Crudely, no less.yeah, again, why is Bill's sexual assault different than Trump's? In fact, one of Bill's accusers even accused him of rape.
Maybe the topics are, maybe- but they aren't all out.Rohn Jambo said:At this point, probably all of Trump's skeletons are out of the closet.
As for Hillary...
In a clown mask with orange hair...I wonder how many guys are going to dress up as Trump this year as an excuse to grab women in the #####?
I don't think any reasonable person said that an affair was impeachable.Both Bill and Trump have sexual assault allegations against them. Trump's is different in one sense because he's the only one of the two that essentially admitted and bragged about committing those offenses. Crudely, no less.
The other major difference is that people had already voted when Bill's allegations went mainstream. There is a difference between trying to impeach someone not legally convicted of a crime and deciding morally that person shouldn't get your vote. Had Bill's allegations come out prior to the election he certainly would have lost votes over it, even without bragging about it being true. There simply wasn't anything that a regular joe could do about it with Bill. There is with Trump.
One other issue is that hypocrisy is only being charged one way here but it's being committed both ways and arguably to a greater extent the other way. That is, the people that once said merely having an affair (before sexual assault allegations actually came out) was an impeachable offense are now defending and voting for someone that has had numerous affairs, has sexual allegations against him, and has vulgarly bragged about committing those offenses.
Bill isn't running for pres. Imagine what Trump will be accused of if God forbid he wins...yeah, again, why is Bill's sexual assault different than Trump's? In fact, one of Bill's accusers even accused him of rape.
That's what GOT him impeached, but you've lost your flipping mind if you don't think there weren't a bajillion Republicans calling for it as soon as the Lewinsky thing came out.I don't think any reasonable person said that an affair was impeachable.
Bill Clinton was being sued for sexual harassment. As part of the evidence gathering phase of that court case. Bill Clinton lied under oath, pressured others to lie under oath and directed people to destroy evidence. It was that felonious behavior that got him impeached.
Mainly because Trump confessed.yeah, again, why is Bill's sexual assault different than Trump's?
When the Lewinsky thing came out the story was that he lied under oathThat's what GOT him impeached, but you've lost your flipping mind if you don't think there weren't a bajillion Republicans calling for it as soon as the Lewinsky thing came out.
Bill? IDK, I think he's calmed down some in his greyer years.Assume for a minute he is elected, how long do you think it would be before he would be impeached (for this, or anything)
Your post shows that you completely misread the situation. No matter how many likes your post gets from other like-minded people who also just want to rail against the other team does not make your post correct in any way.Ramsay Hunt Experience said:You act as if history began in 2015. The Republican Party actively pushed resentment against immigrants, resentment against minorities, pushed for "law and order" policies. And of course, they've fetishized the idea of "projecting American strength" overseas. They've spent decades propagating those messages. And you want to absolve them of responsibility when a guy from outside their clubhouse comes in and appeals to the very element they worked so hard to recruit to their side.
When the primary for the "party of small government" can be won by a guy who pretty much believes in anything but limited government, you have to wonder how much of that party's message has been about limited government and how much has been about just demonizing anything a Democrat did over the past few decades. And now it's a surprise that a guy can get a base in that party by doing birther stuff? Who in the party stood up against that?
My guess is he's in a bunker with his German Shepherd right about now.FOX news just reported Trump left Trump towers moments ago. In the video they showed, the sky was a little cloudy. Um, it should be dark in New York right now. FOX doctoring video again.
I think this week was worse...As enjoyable as it is watching the little puffy orange fella scuffle around I think donald will actually stabilize a little. He can't possibly have a worse week can he?
Not Steinitz!!!!My guess is he's in a bunker with his German Shepherd right about now.