What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

Welcome to Our Forums. Once you've registered and logged in, you're primed to talk football, among other topics, with the sharpest and most experienced fantasy players on the internet.

*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (14 Viewers)

Rodrigo Duterte said:
Air Force has had two weeks to prepare.  Meanwhile, the Republic of Boulder just got off two rivalry games.  The Air Force option they run is a ##### to defend.  Their O/U win total was 8 this year, supposed to be good, returning a lot of starters.  CU was outgained by CSU and got lucky against Nebraska; they are not as good as that record might indicate.  I could be wrong, obviously, but that is a good line on a game Air Force can’t wait for.  I’m going money-line, too.
Click to expand...
What are we thinking for MNF?

 
I thought I would share my story here.  Someone might find it amusing, or pathetic, or pathetically amusing.

Sportsbook betting just became legal in Indiana before the NFL season, and even though I am in Ohio, I am just about 45 minutes from a place I can now legally place a bet.  Now, not being someone who has been able to legally place a bet for a lot of his life, it makes sense that I would not have a clue about this.  

I know some are professionals who go for the season grind trying to win, what? 57%, so that you can come out ahead on the season, but I am more of a long shot type bettor.  I prefer 4 card poker over blackjack, Mississippi Stud over Roulette, and Pai Gow over just about anything.  I play GPPs on DK because doubling my money doesn't hold quite the same excitement for me as a shot at a million.  Again, long shot bettor.  I'm fairly low stakes, so I don't see this as being a problem.  It's what I like.  

So, I take a little jaunt over to the sportsbook to place my first legal bet and I am looking at a 4 team 7 point teaser.  Not really big money, but I just wanted to get my feet wet.  The line for the counter was ridiculous, so I went to a kiosk to place my $20 wager.  I punch in my 4 teams, and I hit the teaser button on screen (I think) and proceed to print out my ticket.  I thought the odds were pretty favorable for a teaser, but being a newbie, didn't really put much into it.  I played a little 4 card while I was there, pocketed $180 and drove back to the great state of Ohio.  Now I'm thinking.  +1198 for a 4 team 7 point teaser seems way too good to be true.  When I get to my destination, I look at the ticket, and you've probably figured out now, that it didn't accept the teaser, and my bet was just a 4 team parlay.  oops.  

Here are the four I went with.  NE  -18.5, IND +3.5, Jax +9.5, and Atlanta +2.  After a bit of a sweat last night, and a few curse words when the two-point conversion put Phi up by 3, it turns out that being an idiot actually worked in my favor.  This Friday, I will cash my ticket for $260.  I still don't know what I did wrong at the kiosk, but I guess it all worked out.  Its still a little too far out of the way to make this a weekly habit, but if Ohio does legalize, I'll be minutes from a place.  I better figure it out fast, or I probably won't get so lucky the next time.

 
Caesar said:
I thought I would share my story here.  Someone might find it amusing, or pathetic, or pathetically amusing.

Sportsbook betting just became legal in Indiana before the NFL season, and even though I am in Ohio, I am just about 45 minutes from a place I can now legally place a bet.  Now, not being someone who has been able to legally place a bet for a lot of his life, it makes sense that I would not have a clue about this.  

I know some are professionals who go for the season grind trying to win, what? 57%, so that you can come out ahead on the season, but I am more of a long shot type bettor.  I prefer 4 card poker over blackjack, Mississippi Stud over Roulette, and Pai Gow over just about anything.  I play GPPs on DK because doubling my money doesn't hold quite the same excitement for me as a shot at a million.  Again, long shot bettor.  I'm fairly low stakes, so I don't see this as being a problem.  It's what I like.  

So, I take a little jaunt over to the sportsbook to place my first legal bet and I am looking at a 4 team 7 point teaser.  Not really big money, but I just wanted to get my feet wet.  The line for the counter was ridiculous, so I went to a kiosk to place my $20 wager.  I punch in my 4 teams, and I hit the teaser button on screen (I think) and proceed to print out my ticket.  I thought the odds were pretty favorable for a teaser, but being a newbie, didn't really put much into it.  I played a little 4 card while I was there, pocketed $180 and drove back to the great state of Ohio.  Now I'm thinking.  +1198 for a 4 team 7 point teaser seems way too good to be true.  When I get to my destination, I look at the ticket, and you've probably figured out now, that it didn't accept the teaser, and my bet was just a 4 team parlay.  oops.  

Here are the four I went with.  NE  -18.5, IND +3.5, Jax +9.5, and Atlanta +2.  After a bit of a sweat last night, and a few curse words when the two-point conversion put Phi up by 3, it turns out that being an idiot actually worked in my favor.  This Friday, I will cash my ticket for $260.  I still don't know what I did wrong at the kiosk, but I guess it all worked out.  Its still a little too far out of the way to make this a weekly habit, but if Ohio does legalize, I'll be minutes from a place.  I better figure it out fast, or I probably won't get so lucky the next time.
Click to expand...
It only gets easier here on out

 
That last TD by Julio cost me in DFS last night.  Had Ridley as my captain and went from cashing 450 on 20 to min cash.  :(   If that last one goes to Ridley instead of Julio, I might be hiring a tax attorney this morning.

 
Kanil said:
That last TD by Julio cost me in DFS last night.  Had Ridley as my captain and went from cashing 450 on 20 to min cash.  :(   If that last one goes to Ridley instead of Julio, I might be hiring a tax attorney this morning.
Click to expand...
Same boat.  I was up as high as 48th at one point. So, maybe not tax attorney, but a nice cash.

 
ChainsawU said:
might back the Jets just based on the 18 penalties Browns committed sdql
I didn't see the game but how do you clean that up in one week.
Click to expand...
Browns got a brand new HC. Brand new offensive coordinator. Brand new defensive coordinator. They also got zero poise. In the Browns L8 games last season - the L8 games after Hue Jackson got fired - Mayfield was only sacked five times. This season, dude was sacked five times on Sunday alone (and threw 3 picks)! The Browns forced ZERO turnovers on Sunday. Allowed 43 points on Sunday - In their home opener - the game they had all summer to prepare for. What is going on with this coaching staff.

Yo. Another point about coaches: In the Browns' L8 games last season (the L8 games after Hue Jackson got fired): they hired interim head coach Gregg Williams. Dude led the Browns to a 5-3 record to close out the season - the first Browns' coach since Schottenheimer to end with a winning record. How did the Browns respond? They fired him! They fired him and hired his interim offensive coordinator as their new head coach instead. They undercut the dude! So now he Jets' defensive coordinator, knows Mayfield better than anyone, and about to unleash the fury - show the Browns how to professionally coach a football team.

Jets 200/540

 
Get on this now IMHO - Eli benched.  Be low digits by end of the week.

DESCRIPTIONNFL - OFFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR - WINNER
[21707] DANIEL JONES +2800

 
Solich hosting Napier is a compelling head coach matchup. Napier is a pretty tenacious coach, and Louisiana was picked to win the Western division of the Sun Belt in the preseason. Solich at OHU has history of non-conference games going over the total - especially vs Sun Belt, and more often in regular season than neutral site bowl games. That's exciting to me. Both coaches are very strong in their respectable roles in this game as well: host/visitor and underdog/favorite. It's going to be must-see TV for me. Solich after two consecutive losses is not as good as you'd think, either - unless he's laying big points, which he isn't. And they're typically scheduled to play cupcakes after they come off the annual game versus Marshall (again, laying big points, which they aren't). Solich even said it himself that "two games in a row now [tackling] appears to be a problem for us." This game is going to ####### rock. The weather looks perfect, too.

 
“No question our staff did a tremendous job,” he said. “I thought we had the players ready to play. It’s easy to maybe overlook an opponent … you’re playing an FCS level team where Vegas has got you as a 40-plus point favorite, so it was good for our staff to get our players in the right frame of mind and for four veteran players to do that.”
Click to expand...
That is Napier's direct quote from his last press conference. Dude is aware of the spread.

 
Bryan Holaday replaces Jorge Alfaro at catcher for the Marlins in the bottom of the second. Alfaro appeared to injure his left hand/wrist on a play in the bottom of the first
Click to expand...
Smith has a 3.89 ERA with Alfaro and 5.44 ERA with Holaday. If he gets out of this frame without giving up any runs I'm betting AZ live, Zona will probably be priced better than what it went off the board at, too.

 
ChainsawU said:
Solich hosting Napier is a compelling head coach matchup. Napier is a pretty tenacious coach, and Louisiana was picked to win the Western division of the Sun Belt in the preseason. Solich at OHU has history of non-conference games going over the total - especially vs Sun Belt, and more often in regular season than neutral site bowl games. That's exciting to me. Both coaches are very strong in their respectable roles in this game as well: host/visitor and underdog/favorite. It's going to be must-see TV for me. Solich after two consecutive losses is not as good as you'd think, either - unless he's laying big points, which he isn't. And they're typically scheduled to play cupcakes after they come off the annual game versus Marshall (again, laying big points, which they aren't). Solich even said it himself that "two games in a row now [tackling] appears to be a problem for us." This game is going to ####### rock. The weather looks perfect, too.
Click to expand...
Via my close personal friends at VSiN: Ohio is 9-0-1 OVER last 10 vs Sun Belt.  

Pending  9/21/19 2:00pm  College Football  321 UL Lafayette/Ohio Over 66 -110* 

 
This Saturday is going to be THE BEST for college football.  By far the best of the year so far.  Gonna be soooo good.

 
See I told u. The one that didn't go over did so by a single point, too. I'm waiting because Ohio has 4 guys injured on offense and coach is being cryptic about their status. Opened at 65 so am looking to see if it comes down a point or two from the 66 if/when Ohio's leading rusher is confirmed out. Also need coach to tell the media about all the focus they've spent practicing their tackling this week to generate some defensive "buzz" lol. Go ask your boys at VSiN about Napier's ATS record next.

 
ChainsawU said:
See I told u. The one that didn't go over did so by a single point, too. I'm waiting because Ohio has 4 guys injured on offense and coach is being cryptic about their status. Opened at 65 so am looking to see if it comes down a point or two from the 66 if/when Ohio's leading rusher is confirmed out. Also need coach to tell the media about all the focus they've spent practicing their tackling this week to generate some defensive "buzz" lol. Go ask your boys at VSiN about Napier's ATS record next.
Click to expand...
9-5 under Naps last year.  3-2 on the road, 3-2 as dog.  8-6 over last year.  2-1 this year.

 
@ChainsawU  Can you run the numbers on teams that win first two games on the road, how they do when they return home for week 3 ats?

Niners, Bills, Colts, Chiefs  Thanks man

 
Sure, no problem. Dude, I bought D-Backs at the end of the 2nd inning last night. It SUCKED. They responded by allowing 2+ base runners in six straight innings. In 3 of those innings, relief pitchers Andriese, Sherfy, and Clarke combined, allowing 10 runs on 11 hits. In 3 innings. They turned a 4-2 lead into a 12-5 deficit. I think Sherfy was the MVP though. He literally did the worst relief pitching I've ever seen in my life - keep in mind I paid 65 cents of juice to back this team, and they were winning by 2 runs - Dude came into the game, gave up five straight hits - three doubles and two singles - all five of those dudes scored, and then Sherfy left the game without recording an out. He literally got paid to do that. Allowed 5 runs in ZERO innings pitched.

 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

supermike80
Thread---Marital Advice
2
Replies
70
Views
1K
coopersdad
C
DJackson10
Work won’t allow me back after being injured because of limitations on a separate issue they had no issue with previously when doing this job
Replies
29
Views
1K
DJackson10
DJackson10
ChiefD
Merry Christmas All
Replies
27
Views
636
simsarge
simsarge

Users who are viewing this thread

Total: 15 (members: 0, guests: 15)
Top