2006 NFL PLAYOFF SCENARIOS (1 Viewer)

[Maurile Tremblay]

2006 NFL PLAYOFF SCENARIOS

AFC EAST DIVISION

New England can clinch division title with:

1) NE win + NYJ loss or tie, OR

2) NE tie + NYJ loss.

AFC NORTH DIVISION

Baltimore can clinch division title with:

1) BAL win + CIN loss or tie, OR

2) BAL tie + CIN loss.

Baltimore can clinch playoff berth with:

1) BAL win or tie, OR

2) CIN loss or tie + BAL clinches strength of victory tiebreaker over NYJ, OR

3) DEN loss or tie + BAL clinches strength of victory tiebreaker over NYJ, OR

4) NYJ loss or tie + CIN loss or tie, OR

5) NYJ loss or tie + DEN loss or tie, OR

6) NE loss + CIN loss or tie + JAX loss, OR

7) NE loss + DEN loss or tie + JAX loss.

Strength of victory: The season-ending won-lost-tied percentage of all opponents a team has defeated.

AFC SOUTH DIVISION

Indianapolis can clinch division title with:

1) JAX loss, OR

2) IND win or tie + JAX tie.

Indianapolis can clinch playoff berth with:

1) IND win or tie, OR

2) DEN loss or tie.

AFC WEST DIVISION

San Diego has clinched division.

San Diego can clinch first-round bye with:

1) SD win + IND loss.

NFC EAST DIVISION

Dallas can clinch playoff berth with:

1) DAL win + MIN loss or tie + NO win or tie, OR

2) DAL win + MIN loss or tie + CAR loss or tie.

NFC NORTH DIVISION

Chicago has clinched division and first-round bye.

Chicago can clinch homefield advantage with:

1) CHI win + NO loss or tie, OR

2) CHI tie + NO loss.

NFC SOUTH DIVISION

New Orleans can clinch division with:

1) NO win, OR

2) NO tie + ATL loss or tie, OR

3) ATL loss + CAR loss or tie.

New Orleans can clinch first-round bye with:

1) NO win + DAL loss + NYG loss or tie + SEA loss.

New Orleans can clinch playoff berth with:

1) NO tie, OR

2) MIN loss or tie + PHI loss, OR

3) MIN loss or tie + CAR loss or tie, OR

4) MIN loss or tie + DAL loss + PHI/NYG tie.

NFC WEST DIVISION

Seattle can clinch division title with:

1) SEA win or tie.

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Arizona, Cleveland, Detroit, Houston, Oakland, Tampa Bay and Washington have been eliminated from playoff contention.

 

[switz]

Great job MT, and insight into Wild Card race?

 

[Maurile Tremblay]

Great job MT

I didn't figure it all out. I just copied it from the NFL's press release.

 

[Chase Stuart]

Strength of victory: The season-ending won-lost-tied percentage of all opponents a team has defeated.

I've often wondered why this is used. I don't really see the value of it. Why not just use SOS first?

 

[Maurile Tremblay]

Updated.

AFC EAST DIVISION

New England can clinch division with:

1) NE win or tie, OR

2) NYJ loss or tie.

New England can clinch playoff berth with:

1) CIN/DEN tie.

AFC NORTH DIVISION

Baltimore has clinched division.

Cincinnati can clinch playoff berth with:

1) CIN win + BUF loss or tie + NYJ loss, OR

2) CIN win + BUF loss or tie + JAX loss.

AFC SOUTH DIVISION

Indianapolis has clinched division.

Indianapolis can clinch first-round bye with:

1) IND win + BAL loss.

AFC WEST DIVISION

San Diego has clinched division.

San Diego can clinch homefield advantage with:

1) SD win + BAL loss or tie, OR

2) SD tie + BAL loss + IND loss or tie.

San Diego can clinch first-round bye with:

1) SD win, OR

2) IND loss, OR

2) SD tie + IND tie, OR

3) SD tie + BAL loss.

Denver can clinch playoff berth with:

1) DEN win + KC loss or tie + NYJ loss, OR

2) DEN win + KC loss or tie + JAX loss.

NFC EAST DIVISION

Dallas has clinched playoff berth.

Dallas can clinch division with:

1) DAL win.

Philadelphia can clinch playoff berth with:

1) PHI win, OR

2) PHI tie + NYG loss or tie, OR

3) PHI tie + ATL loss.

New York can clinch playoff berth with:

1) NYG win + MIN loss or tie + ATL loss + PHI win or tie + SEA win or tie, OR

2) NYG win + MIN loss or tie + ATL loss + PHI win or tie + SF loss or tie.

NFC NORTH DIVISION

Chicago has clinched homefield advantage.

NFC SOUTH DIVISION

New Orleans has clinched division.

New Orleans can clinch first-round bye with:

1) NO win + DAL loss.

NFC WEST DIVISION

Seattle can clinch division with:

1) SEA win or tie, OR

2) SF loss or tie.

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Arizona, Cleveland, Detroit, Houston, Miami, Oakland, Tampa Bay and Washington have been eliminated from playoff contention.

 

[Maurile Tremblay]

2006 NFL PLAYOFF SCENARIOS

(Before 12/25 Philadelphia-Dallas & N.Y, Jets-Miami Monday night games)

AFC:

Clinched:

San Diego - West Division and first-round bye

Indianapolis - South Division

Baltimore - North Division

New England - East Division

Eliminated: Oakland, Cleveland, Houston, Miami, Buffalo, Pittsburgh.

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

San Diego clinches homefield advantage:

1) SD win or tie

2) BAL loss or tie

BALTIMORE RAVENS

Baltimore clinches homefield advantage:

1) BAL win + SD loss

Baltimore clinches a first-round bye:

1) BAL win or tie

2) IND loss or tie

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Indianapolis clinches a first-round bye:

1) IND win + BAL loss

DENVER BRONCOS

IF NY JETS BEAT MIAMI

Denver clinches a playoff berth:

1) DEN win or tie

2) KC loss or tie

IF MIAMI BEATS NY JETS

Denver clinches a playoff berth:

1) DEN win or tie

2) KC loss or tie

3) NYJ loss or tie + CIN loss or tie + TEN loss or tie

NEW YORK JETS

IF NY JETS BEAT MIAMI

NY Jets clinch a playoff berth:

1) NYJ win or tie

2) CIN loss or tie + JAC loss or tie

3) CIN loss or tie + TEN win

4) DEN loss + JAC loss

IF MIAMI BEATS NY JETS

NY Jets clinch a playoff berth:

1) NYJ win + CIN loss or tie + JAC loss or tie

2) NYJ win + CIN loss or tie + TEN win

3) NYJ win + DEN loss + JAC loss

4) NYJ tie + CIN loss + KC/JAC tie + TEN tie

CINCINNATI BENGALS

IF NY JETS BEAT MIAMI

Cincinnati clinches a playoff berth:

1) CIN win + NYJ loss

2) CIN win + DEN loss + KC win

IF MIAMI BEATS NY JETS

1) CIN win

2) CIN tie + KC/JAC tie + NYJ loss or tie + TEN loss or tie

TENNESSEE TITANS

IF NY JETS BEAT MIAMI

Tennessee clinches a playoff berth:

1) TEN win + CIN loss or tie + DEN loss + KC win

IF MIAMI BEATS NY JETS

Tennessee clinches a playoff berth:

1) TEN win + NYJ loss or tie + CIN loss or tie

2) TEN win + NYJ loss or tie + DEN loss + KC win

3) TEN win + CIN loss or tie + DEN loss + KC win

4) TEN tie + NYJ loss + CIN loss + JAC/KC tie

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

IF NY JETS BEAT MIAMI

Jacksonville clinches a playoff berth:

1) JAC win + NYJ loss + CIN loss or tie + TEN loss or tie

IF MIAMI BEATS NY JETS

Jacksonville clinches a playoff berth:

1) JAC win + CIN loss or tie + TEN loss or tie

2) JAC tie + CIN loss + TEN loss + NYJ loss or tie

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

IF NY JETS BEAT MIAMI

Kansas City clinches a playoff berth:

1) KC win + CIN loss or tie + DEN loss + TEN loss or tie

IF MIAMI BEATS NY JETS

Kansas City clinches a playoff berth:

1) KC win + NYJ loss or tie + CIN loss or tie + DEN loss

2) KC win + NYJ loss or tie + CIN loss or tie + TEN loss or tie

3) KC win + NYJ loss or tie + DEN loss + TEN loss or tie

4) KC win + CIN loss or tie + DEN loss + TEN loss or tie

NFC:

Clinched:

Chicago - North Division and homefield advantage

New Orleans - South Division

Seattle - West Division

Dallas - playoff berth

Eliminated: Detroit, Arizona, Tampa Bay, Washington, Minnesota, San Francisco.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

IF DALLAS BEATS PHILADELPHIA

New Orleans clinches a first-round bye:

1) NO win

2) DAL loss

3) NO tie + DAL tie

IF PHILADELPHIA BEATS DALLAS

(NEW ORLEANS WILL HAVE ALREADY CLINCHED A FIRST-RD BYE)

DALLAS COWBOYS

IF DALLAS BEATS PHILADELPHIA

(DALLAS WILL HAVE CLINCHED NFC EAST DIVISION)

Dallas clinches a first-round bye:

1) DAL win + NO loss or tie

2) DAL tie + NO loss

IF PHILADELPHIA BEATS DALLAS

Dallas clinches East Division:

1) DAL win + PHI loss or tie

2) DAL tie + PHI loss

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

IF DALLAS BEATS PHILADELPHIA

Philadelphia clinches playoff berth:

1) PHI win or tie

2) NYG loss or tie

3) GB loss or tie + CAR win

4) GB loss or tie + STL win

5) GB win + NYG win strength of victory tiebreaker over GB

IF PHILADELPHIA BEATS DALLAS

(PHILADELPHIA WILL HAVE CLINCHED A PLAYOFF BERTH)

Philadelphia clinches East Division:

1) PHI win

2) DAL loss

3) PHI tie + DAL tie

NEW YORK GIANTS

IF DALLAS BEATS PHILADELPHIA

NY Giants clinch a playoff berth:

1) NYG win + NYG clinch strength of victory tiebreaker over GB

2) NYG win + PHI loss

3) NYG win + GB loss or tie

4) NYG tie + GB loss or tie + STL loss or tie + ATL loss or tie +

CAR loss or tie

5) GB loss + STL loss + ATL loss + CAR loss

IF PHILADELPHIA BEATS DALLAS

NY Giants clinch a playoff berth:

1) NYG win + NYG clinch strength of victory tiebreaker over GB

2) NYG win + GB loss or tie

3) NYG tie + GB loss or tie + STL loss or tie + ATL loss or tie +

CAR loss or tie

4) GB loss + STL loss + ATL loss + CAR loss

GREEN BAY PACKERS

Green Bay clinches a playoff berth:

1) GB win + NYG win + GB clinches strength of victory tiebreaker over NYG

2) GB win + NYG loss or tie + STL loss or tie

3) GB win + NYG loss or tie + CAR win

4) GB win + NYG loss or tie + ATL win

5) GB tie + NYG loss + STL loss + ATL loss or tie + CAR loss or tie

CAROLINA PANTHERS

Carolina clinches a playoff berth:

1) CAR win + NYG loss or tie + GB loss or tie

2) CAR tie + NYG loss + GB loss + STL loss or tie + ATL loss or tie

ATLANTA FALCONS

IF DALLAS BEATS PHILADELPHIA

Atlanta clinches a playoff berth:

1) ATL win + CAR loss or tie + GB loss or tie + STL loss or tie

2) ATL win + CAR loss or tie + GB loss or tie + NYG loss or tie

3) ATL tie + CAR loss + GB loss + NYG loss + STL loss

IF PHILADELPHIA BEATS DALLAS

Atlanta clinches a playoff berth:

1) ATL win + CAR loss or tie + GB loss or tie + NYG loss or tie

2) ATL tie + CAR loss + GB loss + NYG loss + STL loss

ST. LOUIS RAMS

St. Louis clinches a playoff berth:

1) STL win + NYG loss or tie + CAR loss or tie + ATL loss or tie

2) STL tie + NYG loss + CAR loss + ATL loss + GB loss

 

[Kevin Ashcraft]

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

IF NY JETS BEAT MIAMI

Kansas City clinches a playoff berth:

1) KC win + CIN loss or tie + DEN loss + TEN loss or tie

IF MIAMI BEATS NY JETS

Kansas City clinches a playoff berth:

1) KC win + NYJ loss or tie + CIN loss or tie + DEN loss

2) KC win + NYJ loss or tie + CIN loss or tie + TEN loss or tie

3) KC win + NYJ loss or tie + DEN loss + TEN loss or tie

4) KC win + CIN loss or tie + DEN loss + TEN loss or tie

So.......you're sayin' there's a chance I think I have a better chance of winning the lottery than KC does of making the playoffs...

 

[Capella]

for fantasy purposes, what does this mean? for instance, do the colts play after the ravens, etc? I'm in a total points league, so this should be a real mess.

last I checked the NFL hasn't announced game times yet.

 

[Chase Stuart]

NEW YORK JETS

IF NY JETS BEAT MIAMI

NY Jets clinch a playoff berth:

1) NYJ win or tie

2) CIN loss or tie + JAC loss or tie

3) CIN loss or tie + TEN win

4) DEN loss + JAC loss

IF MIAMI BEATS NY JETS

NY Jets clinch a playoff berth:

1) NYJ win + CIN loss or tie + JAC loss or tie

2) NYJ win + CIN loss or tie + TEN win

3) NYJ win + DEN loss + JAC loss

4) NYJ tie + CIN loss + KC/JAC tie + TEN tie

Wow, I totally forgot that Tennessee's win yesterday means Tennessee can knock Jacksonville out of the first tiebreaker round because only one team from each division advances. That's huge for the Jets, who lose H2H to Jax, but win H2H to the Titans.Obviously the Jets want and most likely need to win both games to get in. But a Tennessee victory over NE or a KC victory over Jac isn't too far fetched, combined with a Pittsburgh loss.

But you'd much rather see the Jets get in with two wins. Thanks for the posting, MT.

 

[lborges]

for fantasy purposes, what does this mean? for instance, do the colts play after the ravens, etc? I'm in a total points league, so this should be a real mess. last I checked the NFL hasn't announced game times yet.

The Colts and the Ravens play at the same time.... 1 PM Eastern

 

[Chase Stuart]

NEW YORK JETS

IF NY JETS BEAT MIAMI

NY Jets clinch a playoff berth:

1) NYJ win or tie

2) CIN loss or tie + JAC loss or tie

3) CIN loss or tie + TEN win

4) DEN loss + JAC loss

IF MIAMI BEATS NY JETS

NY Jets clinch a playoff berth:

1) NYJ win + CIN loss or tie + JAC loss or tie

2) NYJ win + CIN loss or tie + TEN win

3) NYJ win + DEN loss + JAC loss

4) NYJ tie + CIN loss + KC/JAC tie + TEN tie

I calculate an 87.1% chance of the Jets clinching a playoff berth if they beat Miami, and a 26.5% chance of making the playoffs if the Jets lose to Miami. Begrudgingly, I've got the Jets with only a 42.2% chance of beating Miami. Therefore, the Jets have a 36.7% chance of making the playoffs through route A. The chance that the Jets miss the playoffs through both routes, then, would be 46.5%; therefore, the Jets are better than 50/50 to make the playoffs.I'll take a break before trying to do the NFC.

 

[BGP]

So many clubs involved.

Odds have to be pretty good that one of these clubs will suffer a key injury in week 17, costing them the game and altering things.