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2008 $35,000 Subscriber Contest (2 Viewers)

I have tried to score each team and this is my UNOFFICIAL list for Week 14. I am still working out bugs and tweaks, but should be pretty close (My defense scoring may be off). I will need to compare to the official numbers tomorrow to see if my spreadhseet is working correctly. Does anyone know of a resource where I can get the player points real time rather than looking each one up on NFL gamebooks? Thanks!
thefantasystar.com has all the players in the contest listed with their points. There is a scoring glitch where it doesn't catch yardage correctly if they end up with a negative, but that amounts to very little error for an early summary. Great job on your scoring work! Did you script a way to input the teams, or did you download them all manually? I started a project like yours last year, but abandoned it after about 25 entries because it was taking forever. If you have an automated team download method, I already have a scoring algorithm setup in excel.
 
Thanks Carolina (Smith and Williams last night) -- 212.20 and #29 overall -- 19 of the 28 teams ahead of me have A. Bryant who was week 14's biggest difference maker.The key difference makers in week 14 were (# of live teams in parens):

33.3 - S. Wallace (-0-)

31.9 - P. Manning, QB (4)

31.7 - M. Schaub, QB (37)

30.6 - P. Rivers, QB (5)

28.7 - J. Garcia, QB (8)

28.1 - M. Ryan, QB (44)

26.9 - J. Cutler (79)

26.2 - A. Rodgers (15)

26.1 - S. Hill (-0-)

32.3 - B. Westbrook, RB (4)

31.7 - D. Williams, RB (102)

24.6 - C. Johnson, RB (101)

23.5 - J. Stewart, RB (16)

23.4 - P. Thomas, RB (5)

19.9 - D. Sproles, RB (-0-)

19.7 - MJD, RB (26)

19.1 - T. Choice, RB (-0-)

18.1 - R. Bush, RB (5)

17.7 - R. Grant, RB (13)

17.5 - S. Slaton, RB (244)

41.0 - A. Bryant, WR (46)

32.1 - B. Marshall, WR (117)

26.7 - S. Smith, WR (85)

26.6 - K. Walter, WR (130)

26.4 - R. White, WR (2)

25.8 - V. Jackson, WR (14)

25.4 - W. Welker, WR (2)

24.8 - D. Branch, WR (5)

24.9 - J. Carlson, TE (12)

20.8 - T. Gonzalez, TE (9)

20.0 - V. Shiancoe, TE (4)

18.4 - Z. Miller, TE (26)

15.0 - K. Brown, K (49)

14.0 - P. Dawson, K (19)

 
I have a 0.5% chance to make it. I had three guys (Well Steve Smith twice) get tackled at the one costing me 18.2 points.
And of course this week, I score 213.
Put me in for the bad beat award as well. Week 11 I missed the cut by .60 and would have passed every week since. This week I get 228.25 with Westy, Slaton, Bryant, Marshall, Steve Smith, and Walter. :thumbup:
 
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thefantasystar.com has all the players in the contest listed with their points. There is a scoring glitch where it doesn't catch yardage correctly if they end up with a negative, but that amounts to very little error for an early summary. Great job on your scoring work! Did you script a way to input the teams, or did you download them all manually? I started a project like yours last year, but abandoned it after about 25 entries because it was taking forever. If you have an automated team download method, I already have a scoring algorithm setup in excel.
I downloaded them manually for now but will work on a way to script it in for the future. A few years ago, FBG gave everyone a file a the beginning of the contest that had everyone's team in it which made everything real easy (HINT, HINT). Back then, they also did not use a flex player which made the excel calculations a lot easier.This did take a lot longer than anticipated, but once I started, I couldn't stop. My scoring algorithm in excel works great (took a little longer to figure out the flex position), it was the manual player scoring entries that accounted for my point total inaccuracies. If I can rectify that, then my data will be 100% accurate. Now that FBG is a lot faster on their publishing of totals, I might not invest a lot more time in this. Several years ago (when I was paying attention), they would wait until Thursday to publish the contest results and that was just WAY to long to wait. :lmao:
 
A very interesting point about the tendency to rate studs too high in the projections. I doubt that is the case. The actual performances of the studs probably have no greater statistical variance than for other players. I think we should keep in mind that the Dodds numbers are not created for this game. For example, it makes good sense to project a stud RB to do 20 points because some days he will do 24 and others only 16 (I am sure that Drinen can supply the appropriate bell curve). If you have to make a weekly lineup choice between Barber and Lewis almost any sane person would want Barber and that is the direction that the Dodds numbers point. However, there will be a day when Lewis turns out to be a better choice. In this game (or any salary cap game) having a player like Barber means scrimping elsewhere. On those days when Barber does a 11.0 his owners will likely hurt a lot. This tends to lead to large fallout rates because those owners probably don't have a lot of middle ground players to take up the slack. Bye weeks are a bigger problem with large amounts tied to one ot two players. Injuries in this group also tend to be catastrophic.

Want some proof? I arbitrarily took all players selected by any team in the contest who cost more than $33 and I looked at their survival percentages. The overall survival rate in the contest is 1.98% of the teams which started out. Those high priced players had these rates (in order from top to bottom): 3.32, 2.28, 2.27, 1.83, 1.66, 1.21, 1.15, 0.83, 0.70, 0.66, 0.53, 0.47, 0.44, 0.30, 0.24, and 0.00. So of 16 players only 3 had higher survival rates than the overall survival rate. Perhaps even more telling, nine of the 16 had survival rates less than half of the overall survival rate.

Those 16 players collectively appear 218 times on the rosters of the remaining 250 teams and Barber accounts for about 1/3rd of the total. This suggests that since most survivors have a stud it is possible to beat the odds, but you need to be right on target with the rest of your roster.

I will be rooting for 16 broken legs as I have none of those players :lmao:
Excellent points. I think this year may be a little unusual because premier players like LT, P. Manning, Randy Moss, Steven Jackson, Tom Brady, and some others did not have dominant years either due to injuries or other factors. In past years, huge performances by a single player like LT or Manning has been enough to get many teams to the final 250.That being said, I'm not surprised by the above result that most teams with high-priced studs had lower survival rates than the "average" team. IMO selecting one or more high-priced studs is a high-risk, "all-or-nothing" decision -- your team is either very successful (small percentage of the time) or mediocre or unsuccessful (more than average).

Another factor working against high-priced studs is that, even though their average actual points is close to average projected points, they score less than their projected points over 60% of the time (because of many outliers on the high side). Thus, there is more week-to-week variation which hurts a team that must survive the cut for 13 straight weeks.

As opposed to high-priced studs, I think "value" and "diversification" are the keys to consistent success in this contest. Because of the fact that salary $'s are set on August 1st, this means that there are numerous "value players" the week before the 1st game is played. Some of these players like Warner and Slaton are virtual locks because they have earned the starting position. Others like Ryan, Chris Johnson, DeSean Jackson, Antonio Bryant, Kevin Walter, Fasano and Keller have substantially better prospects at the close of camp than they did on August 1st.

---

Random stat o' the night:

Only 17 of the 250 remaining teams have never been within 10 points of being cut. And this team here wins the award for least sweat during the course of the contest. The closest it came to being cut was 22.8 points. That's living right.
I love this team. It has no high-priced studs and is a great example of the principles of "value" and "diversification" IMO. Highest paid players are Portis ($33), Calvin Johnson ($25), Tony Gonzalez ($23), Marshall ($23), and Thomas Jones ($21).QB - Romo, Cutler, Warner

RB - Portis, T.Jones, D.Williams, Watson, Rice, Booker and Slaton

WR - C.Johnson, Marshall, Mason, Gage, Walter, D. Jackson

TE - Gonzalez, Keller

K - Folk, K. Brown

D - Minnesota, New England

In general, it's a stronger team than my team. Although I finished 10 spots higher in week 14, I think the above team has better prospects to finish high. Basically, our objectives were similar, but it did a better job of implementation.

 
(2:26) S.Hill pass short middle to J.Hill to NYJ 1 for 6 yards (H.Poteat). FUMBLES (H.Poteat), recovered by SF-J.Staley at NYJ 0. TOUCHDOWN. Caught at NYJ 3, lost ball at NYJ 1. J.Staley recovered ball in end zone for TD. 1-yd of loose ball yardage.

So this is NOT a SF DTD?

I thought offensive fumbles weren't allowed to be advanced?

Fantasy star had the SF DST at 11 points and FBG's has it at 5 points.

Just curious if this is a scoring error or it was scored correctly.

Regardless my team was :X this week.

 
OU#1 said:
(2:26) S.Hill pass short middle to J.Hill to NYJ 1 for 6 yards (H.Poteat). FUMBLES (H.Poteat), recovered by SF-J.Staley at NYJ 0. TOUCHDOWN. Caught at NYJ 3, lost ball at NYJ 1. J.Staley recovered ball in end zone for TD. 1-yd of loose ball yardage.So this is NOT a SF DTD?I thought offensive fumbles weren't allowed to be advanced?Fantasy star had the SF DST at 11 points and FBG's has it at 5 points.Just curious if this is a scoring error or it was scored correctly.Regardless my team was :coffee: this week.
O was on the field, therefore it's a TD for Staley, not D/ST. Stat service for FS is not the FBG official stat source, so they must have done something different, but I don't see why.I missed this TD, but that's a cool one, my FIL is good friends with Staley's dad and he also grew up just down the street from where I live. His family took a bus of friends to the SF/CHI preseason game last year so I got to meet him and he's a pretty good kid! Felt kinda weird being the only one on the bus with a Bears jersey on tho...
 
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scooterpea said:
ctriopelle said:
thefantasystar.com has all the players in the contest listed with their points. There is a scoring glitch where it doesn't catch yardage correctly if they end up with a negative, but that amounts to very little error for an early summary. Great job on your scoring work! Did you script a way to input the teams, or did you download them all manually? I started a project like yours last year, but abandoned it after about 25 entries because it was taking forever. If you have an automated team download method, I already have a scoring algorithm setup in excel.
I downloaded them manually for now but will work on a way to script it in for the future. A few years ago, FBG gave everyone a file a the beginning of the contest that had everyone's team in it which made everything real easy (HINT, HINT). Back then, they also did not use a flex player which made the excel calculations a lot easier.This did take a lot longer than anticipated, but once I started, I couldn't stop. My scoring algorithm in excel works great (took a little longer to figure out the flex position), it was the manual player scoring entries that accounted for my point total inaccuracies. If I can rectify that, then my data will be 100% accurate. Now that FBG is a lot faster on their publishing of totals, I might not invest a lot more time in this. Several years ago (when I was paying attention), they would wait until Thursday to publish the contest results and that was just WAY to long to wait. :hophead:
I did the same thing with the excel file from several contests ago and agree it would be great if they released it again. I suspect it is in some kind of database format now though, which is part of the reason they don't release it anymore. That, and I don't think they want anyone else to have access to the full file since there were a few of us that consistently beat them to the final scoring punch.
 
I did the same thing with the excel file from several contests ago and agree it would be great if they released it again. I suspect it is in some kind of database format now though, which is part of the reason they don't release it anymore. That, and I don't think they want anyone else to have access to the full file since there were a few of us that consistently beat them to the final scoring punch.
I noticed that some of you have your finishes in the contest as a signature on your posts. Is there a way to see where you finished in past years or you just kept track? Thanks.
 
I did the same thing with the excel file from several contests ago and agree it would be great if they released it again. I suspect it is in some kind of database format now though, which is part of the reason they don't release it anymore. That, and I don't think they want anyone else to have access to the full file since there were a few of us that consistently beat them to the final scoring punch.
I noticed that some of you have your finishes in the contest as a signature on your posts. Is there a way to see where you finished in past years or you just kept track? Thanks.
they are still here somewhere, but I remember my positions because I kept a results database for the past 3 years :towelwave: . If you poke around some you might find the old results.
 
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Here is a week 15 simulation. The number in parentheses is your current (i.e. week 14) score. The top10 percentage shows your estimated probability of being in the top 10 for weeks 14 and 15 combined, and likewise for 11--50 and 51--100.
I am at #120 with less than a 1% chance to make the top 10, granted I have never been higher than 21, but weeks 11-13 which helped get me here I was 14th overall out of the 250. :lmao: However, I need to be peaking in weeks 14-16. Good Luck everyone, stupid simulator :hifive:
 
#39!

Of course, that's if I hadn't been knocked out by 1.15 in week 12.

193.95 in week 13.

207 this past week.

I've decided to blame Chris Cooley (12.9 points in w12) and Santana Moss (11.20 - score didn't even count).

Stupid Chris Cooley.

Stupid Santana Moss.

I agree with Clinton Portis. Genius head coach.

</sourgrapes>

I still don't have any beef with the ref who called back Polamalu's TD because he "didn't know the rules".

 
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I'm going to need big games from Braylon Edwards and LJ Smith to get out of the bottom 50. Of course, if I actually GOT big games from those two in the same week, I would run out and buy a lottery ticket.

 
This is my UNOFFICIAL scores through the Sunday night game. Only the Monday nighter to go...

Ignore these, they are wrong...See below...

 
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scooterpea, you have me with 29 more points for W15 than the FS database does. I would love for you to be right, but FS has not made an error of that size, in my experience. Team 107759.

 
This is my UNOFFICIAL scores through the Sunday night game. Only the Monday nighter to go...

Pos Team W14 W15 Total

1 Entry 107410 229.95 187.00 416.95

2 Entry 107554 242.60 163.00 405.60

...
These do not match up with what I'm getting (last week they did). Could someone who has hand-checked their score see if their score here looks correct? TIA.
 
This is my UNOFFICIAL scores through the Sunday night game. Only the Monday nighter to go...

Pos Team W14 W15 Total

1 Entry 107410 229.95 187.00 416.95

2 Entry 107554 242.60 163.00 405.60

...
These do not match up with what I'm getting (last week they did). Could someone who has hand-checked their score see if their score here looks correct? TIA.
Mine does not look correct (unfortunately, because the listed score is higher). I got excited for a mintue there :lmao:
 
This is my UNOFFICIAL scores through the Sunday night game. Only the Monday nighter to go...

Pos Team W14 W15 Total

1 Entry 107410 229.95 187.00 416.95

2 Entry 107554 242.60 163.00 405.60

...
These do not match up with what I'm getting (last week they did). Could someone who has hand-checked their score see if their score here looks correct? TIA.
Sorry guys. Small spreadsheet snafu. How about these...Pos Team W14 W15 Total

1 Entry 107554 242.60 177.00 419.60

2 Entry 101057 234.30 181.40 415.70

3 Entry 108551 231.80 178.50 410.30

4 Entry 100021 226.75 178.60 405.35

5 Entry 101455 232.30 168.10 400.40

6 Entry 101182 222.20 177.70 399.90

7 Entry 105073 213.70 185.80 399.50

8 Entry 102405 225.90 168.80 394.70

9 Entry 104516 223.70 170.90 394.60

10 Entry 101513 225.30 167.60 392.90

11 Entry 103637 220.65 170.70 391.35

12 Entry 106154 214.80 173.30 388.10

13 Entry 103554 210.30 177.60 387.90

14 Entry 100019 213.20 173.60 386.80

15 Entry 105634 223.50 163.10 386.60

16 Entry 100572 218.45 165.30 383.75

17 Entry 106478 199.25 184.35 383.60

18 Entry 105455 218.20 164.60 382.80

19 Entry 104492 201.45 181.00 382.45

20 Entry 102699 194.20 187.00 381.20

21 Entry 104187 220.85 159.50 380.35

22 Entry 100415 217.55 162.30 379.85

23 Entry 107410 229.95 149.50 379.45

24 Entry 100166 205.15 172.70 377.85

25 Entry 100292 215.10 162.30 377.40

26 Entry 110950 211.65 164.70 376.35

27 Entry 104903 223.95 152.30 376.25

28 Entry 104737 227.15 148.40 375.55

29 Entry 100474 233.80 141.70 375.50

30 Entry 106117 217.60 157.80 375.40

31 Entry 102241 204.90 170.10 375.00

32 Entry 104937 211.35 163.30 374.65

33 Entry 106728 211.35 163.00 374.35

34 Entry 106390 190.45 183.60 374.05

35 Entry 101943 206.00 168.00 374.00

36 Entry 109548 203.30 170.60 373.90

37 Entry 100176 234.70 137.55 372.25

38 Entry 103665 216.80 154.20 371.00

39 Entry 101519 212.20 158.00 370.20

40 Entry 106192 208.25 161.90 370.15

41 Entry 103127 186.00 183.60 369.60

42 Entry 102963 190.80 178.20 369.00

43 Entry 101061 212.10 155.10 367.20

44 Entry 100055 194.30 172.40 366.70

45 Entry 102729 207.00 159.30 366.30

46 Entry 104871 203.80 161.70 365.50

47 Entry 103826 211.65 152.90 364.55

48 Entry 101613 201.20 163.20 364.40

49 Entry 107520 201.95 162.00 363.95

50 Entry 105573 212.60 150.80 363.40

51 Entry 109062 200.95 161.50 362.45

52 Entry 111345 198.80 163.30 362.10

53 Entry 102876 194.35 167.40 361.75

54 Entry 106058 205.30 156.10 361.40

55 Entry 109045 188.40 172.90 361.30

56 Entry 105378 203.55 157.70 361.25

57 Entry 102815 168.55 192.50 361.05

58 Entry 100327 204.20 156.60 360.80

59 Entry 103830 200.05 160.70 360.75

60 Entry 109189 189.35 169.60 358.95

61 Entry 102071 172.70 185.70 358.40

62 Entry 100958 200.70 157.60 358.30

63 Entry 101991 212.50 145.20 357.70

64 Entry 102726 195.60 162.00 357.60

65 Entry 109910 189.80 167.80 357.60

66 Entry 108973 166.75 190.60 357.35

67 Entry 102803 197.30 160.00 357.30

68 Entry 110463 177.55 179.30 356.85

69 Entry 107565 191.80 164.90 356.70

70 Entry 108231 199.20 156.70 355.90

71 Entry 109279 185.50 169.90 355.40

72 Entry 101075 178.35 176.80 355.15

73 Entry 102023 178.05 176.50 354.55

74 Entry 107625 190.20 164.10 354.30

75 Entry 105345 206.10 148.20 354.30

76 Entry 104629 192.65 161.20 353.85

77 Entry 108617 191.95 161.50 353.45

78 Entry 107117 205.15 147.90 353.05

79 Entry 102757 207.20 145.70 352.90

80 Entry 108730 201.65 151.25 352.90

81 Entry 100011 206.80 145.40 352.20

82 Entry 103059 198.00 153.70 351.70

83 Entry 108053 191.40 160.10 351.50

84 Entry 101848 195.50 155.90 351.40

85 Entry 102498 190.95 159.40 350.35

86 Entry 100130 174.20 175.90 350.10

87 Entry 101791 197.05 152.90 349.95

88 Entry 100684 174.85 174.30 349.15

89 Entry 104581 192.75 156.20 348.95

90 Entry 104860 177.65 171.20 348.85

91 Entry 108720 183.65 164.40 348.05

92 Entry 101294 193.10 154.80 347.90

93 Entry 105866 185.50 161.95 347.45

94 Entry 108405 203.25 144.10 347.35

95 Entry 106802 186.90 160.00 346.90

96 Entry 108875 186.30 160.60 346.90

97 Entry 103076 177.65 169.20 346.85

98 Entry 108151 176.55 169.60 346.15

99 Entry 100778 191.30 154.70 346.00

100 Entry 102250 204.45 140.70 345.15

101 Entry 105385 166.45 178.30 344.75

102 Entry 107569 198.35 146.00 344.35

103 Entry 103192 194.60 149.40 344.00

104 Entry 100069 176.45 167.50 343.95

105 Entry 103071 201.20 141.10 342.30

106 Entry 108389 176.70 165.60 342.30

107 Entry 100562 193.55 148.70 342.25

108 Entry 104234 182.15 160.10 342.25

109 Entry 107479 167.05 174.70 341.75

110 Entry 107434 181.40 160.30 341.70

111 Entry 108113 195.00 146.10 341.10

112 Entry 109302 182.10 158.50 340.60

113 Entry 105051 171.90 167.10 339.00

114 Entry 102889 179.75 158.70 338.45

115 Entry 104212 168.05 170.40 338.45

116 Entry 107124 187.50 150.90 338.40

117 Entry 102754 187.85 150.50 338.35

118 Entry 107357 175.85 162.30 338.15

119 Entry 100874 181.65 156.40 338.05

120 Entry 102323 182.00 155.20 337.20

121 Entry 108646 185.35 151.50 336.85

122 Entry 106882 180.60 156.00 336.60

123 Entry 105084 211.60 124.90 336.50

124 Entry 102501 190.10 145.90 336.00

125 Entry 101955 193.30 142.60 335.90

126 Entry 104635 177.40 158.50 335.90

127 Entry 105010 167.60 167.80 335.40

128 Entry 104687 184.00 150.90 334.90

129 Entry 102775 181.05 153.80 334.85

130 Entry 103079 194.10 140.20 334.30

131 Entry 102374 183.90 150.40 334.30

132 Entry 102799 175.15 159.10 334.25

133 Entry 100045 191.35 142.60 333.95

134 Entry 102982 195.80 136.80 332.60

135 Entry 105352 187.60 143.60 331.20

136 Entry 107809 185.50 145.50 331.00

137 Entry 105435 175.90 153.80 329.70

138 Entry 108033 197.90 131.60 329.50

139 Entry 104721 178.30 151.00 329.30

140 Entry 103472 165.20 163.80 329.00

141 Entry 102393 178.20 150.60 328.80

142 Entry 106747 156.40 171.90 328.30

143 Entry 106397 184.00 143.50 327.50

144 Entry 104338 176.50 150.60 327.10

145 Entry 101679 171.70 155.10 326.80

146 Entry 100858 199.30 127.20 326.50

147 Entry 106125 179.65 146.60 326.25

148 Entry 105183 166.15 160.00 326.15

149 Entry 103029 173.35 152.70 326.05

150 Entry 103737 158.85 166.90 325.75

151 Entry 107246 156.15 169.60 325.75

152 Entry 103451 190.90 133.90 324.80

153 Entry 101526 187.05 137.60 324.65

154 Entry 101089 176.35 148.10 324.45

155 Entry 103524 175.70 148.70 324.40

156 Entry 106520 174.60 149.50 324.10

157 Entry 101090 182.90 140.90 323.80

158 Entry 105719 180.20 143.40 323.60

159 Entry 105798 159.00 164.50 323.50

160 Entry 103608 177.85 145.40 323.25

161 Entry 102243 169.50 153.70 323.20

162 Entry 106939 194.15 128.30 322.45

163 Entry 108337 153.95 168.50 322.45

164 Entry 105083 183.40 138.80 322.20

165 Entry 102600 168.10 153.20 321.30

166 Entry 100884 187.65 133.00 320.65

167 Entry 100753 150.30 169.50 319.80

168 Entry 101320 159.05 160.70 319.75

169 Entry 109167 147.55 172.20 319.75

170 Entry 104274 164.35 153.20 317.55

171 Entry 100360 155.20 162.30 317.50

172 Entry 105268 177.65 139.80 317.45

173 Entry 103875 169.50 147.50 317.00

174 Entry 101134 173.45 143.50 316.95

175 Entry 103269 159.25 157.20 316.45

176 Entry 105086 170.10 146.10 316.20

177 Entry 106657 185.80 129.70 315.50

178 Entry 102240 148.25 167.00 315.25

179 Entry 102073 140.15 175.10 315.25

180 Entry 105576 174.20 140.40 314.60

181 Entry 102237 169.50 144.50 314.00

182 Entry 101142 166.15 147.60 313.75

183 Entry 107413 160.40 153.00 313.40

184 Entry 104733 182.65 130.50 313.15

185 Entry 105985 158.15 154.90 313.05

186 Entry 100881 186.15 126.75 312.90

187 Entry 100908 168.20 144.60 312.80

188 Entry 106113 167.40 145.00 312.40

189 Entry 100378 187.85 123.70 311.55

190 Entry 108392 179.35 131.40 310.75

191 Entry 106448 171.85 138.10 309.95

192 Entry 103842 192.65 117.30 309.95

193 Entry 110417 169.20 140.30 309.50

194 Entry 105713 206.40 102.60 309.00

195 Entry 109527 152.55 156.40 308.95

196 Entry 103498 166.15 142.20 308.35

197 Entry 100716 165.55 142.80 308.35

198 Entry 107683 179.60 128.70 308.30

199 Entry 103700 164.75 143.20 307.95

200 Entry 108286 168.20 139.50 307.70

201 Entry 108005 167.65 139.90 307.55

202 Entry 100081 165.40 142.10 307.50

203 Entry 102848 168.95 138.30 307.25

204 Entry 104544 165.70 141.10 306.80

205 Entry 100907 142.05 164.40 306.45

206 Entry 107759 162.35 143.70 306.05

207 Entry 108022 170.60 135.30 305.90

208 Entry 101333 191.20 114.40 305.60

209 Entry 107014 164.70 140.70 305.40

210 Entry 101445 157.35 147.10 304.45

211 Entry 100645 159.20 144.70 303.90

212 Entry 105748 159.10 144.60 303.70

213 Entry 104482 161.05 142.50 303.55

214 Entry 100062 175.20 127.70 302.90

215 Entry 111650 150.40 151.55 301.95

216 Entry 101714 168.50 132.90 301.40

217 Entry 100546 171.45 129.40 300.85

218 Entry 108040 170.10 130.50 300.60

219 Entry 104224 146.75 153.10 299.85

220 Entry 106133 142.75 156.70 299.45

221 Entry 100646 159.40 139.90 299.30

222 Entry 100135 165.85 133.10 298.95

223 Entry 105970 151.25 147.60 298.85

224 Entry 108673 136.70 161.60 298.30

225 Entry 107219 159.45 136.10 295.55

226 Entry 106961 168.05 127.20 295.25

227 Entry 103782 145.10 149.40 294.50

228 Entry 104910 147.30 147.00 294.30

229 Entry 104634 172.70 120.80 293.50

230 Entry 109431 142.15 151.20 293.35

231 Entry 101370 158.90 134.10 293.00

232 Entry 100923 142.05 150.80 292.85

233 Entry 110520 152.55 137.80 290.35

234 Entry 107019 171.80 117.60 289.40

235 Entry 105964 132.90 156.50 289.40

236 Entry 108987 132.00 157.20 289.20

237 Entry 101005 172.10 116.10 288.20

238 Entry 102878 143.80 141.90 285.70

239 Entry 104538 135.30 150.10 285.40

240 Entry 110866 155.30 128.10 283.40

241 Entry 100576 164.40 119.00 283.40

242 Entry 105859 148.45 134.30 282.75

243 Entry 104780 146.75 133.90 280.65

244 Entry 110828 141.35 139.20 280.55

245 Entry 110226 134.25 145.20 279.45

246 Entry 105918 144.25 135.10 279.35

247 Entry 105020 144.80 131.50 276.30

248 Entry 105542 141.70 129.70 271.40

249 Entry 100150 113.35 154.00 267.35

250 Entry 110132 126.00 112.60 238.60

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Interesting...if you didn't break 210 last week things aren't looking good. Only three sub 210 teams in the top 30. I would guess that a large percentage of the field has basically been eliminated from contention. Need some huge weeks from low % owners to see some turnover at the top.

 
I would guess that a large percentage of the field has basically been eliminated from contention.
I think this is right. Wednesday morning's sim will clarify this, but I think it's probably safe to say that there are only about 100 teams left with any reasonable chance at all.[teaser for BnB and others (but especially BnB)]I just got clearance to do something crazy with the postseason contest. It will be a VERY different kind of contest than anything you've ever seen before.[/teaser]
 
I would guess that a large percentage of the field has basically been eliminated from contention.
I think this is right. Wednesday morning's sim will clarify this, but I think it's probably safe to say that there are only about 100 teams left with any reasonable chance at all.[teaser for BnB and others (but especially BnB)]I just got clearance to do something crazy with the postseason contest. It will be a VERY different kind of contest than anything you've ever seen before.[/teaser]
:kicksrock:thanks Doug. I figured with the type of stuff you've done with the this contest that the post-season contest could be significantly more interesting than years past.
 
I would think with all the "sameness" on the rosters it would be less than 100 with a chance.
Every team is unique, so there's always a chance a given team's unique configuration of players goes nuts over the next 2 weeks.
It's pretty much getting to the point that they would need a Bryant type explosion and down weeks fromm the widely held players for that explosion to really make an impact.
 
Here is my UNOFFICIAL results through week 15 with only week 16 to go...

Pos Team W14 W15 Total

1 Entry 107554 242.60 177.00 419.60

2 Entry 101057 234.30 181.40 415.70

3 Entry 108551 231.80 181.40 413.20

4 Entry 100021 226.75 183.70 410.45

5 Entry 101455 232.30 168.10 400.40

6 Entry 101182 222.20 177.70 399.90

7 Entry 105073 213.70 185.80 399.50

8 Entry 103637 220.65 177.70 398.35

9 Entry 106154 214.80 183.30 398.10

10 Entry 102405 225.90 168.80 394.70

11 Entry 104516 223.70 170.90 394.60

12 Entry 101513 225.30 169.20 394.50

13 Entry 106478 199.25 192.40 391.65

14 Entry 105455 218.20 171.60 389.80

15 Entry 103554 210.30 177.60 387.90

16 Entry 107410 229.95 157.50 387.45

17 Entry 100019 213.20 173.60 386.80

18 Entry 105634 223.50 163.10 386.60

19 Entry 104737 227.15 158.40 385.55

20 Entry 100572 218.45 165.30 383.75

21 Entry 100474 233.80 148.70 382.50

22 Entry 104492 201.45 181.00 382.45

23 Entry 109548 203.30 178.60 381.90

24 Entry 102699 194.20 187.00 381.20

25 Entry 100166 205.15 176.00 381.15

26 Entry 104187 220.85 159.50 380.35

27 Entry 100415 217.55 162.30 379.85

28 Entry 104903 223.95 155.20 379.15

29 Entry 106728 211.35 167.70 379.05

30 Entry 100292 215.10 162.30 377.40

31 Entry 106390 190.45 186.50 376.95

32 Entry 101943 206.00 170.90 376.90

33 Entry 110950 211.65 164.70 376.35

34 Entry 106117 217.60 157.80 375.40

35 Entry 102241 204.90 170.10 375.00

36 Entry 103665 216.80 158.10 374.90

37 Entry 104937 211.35 163.30 374.65

38 Entry 101061 212.10 161.80 373.90

39 Entry 100176 234.70 137.55 372.25

40 Entry 102963 190.80 179.90 370.70

41 Entry 101519 212.20 158.00 370.20

42 Entry 106192 208.25 161.90 370.15

43 Entry 103127 186.00 183.60 369.60

44 Entry 102729 207.00 162.20 369.20

45 Entry 104871 203.80 165.30 369.10

46 Entry 109189 189.35 177.80 367.15

47 Entry 100055 194.30 172.40 366.70

48 Entry 105378 203.55 162.40 365.95

49 Entry 109062 200.95 165.00 365.95

50 Entry 102876 194.35 170.30 364.65

51 Entry 103826 211.65 152.90 364.55

52 Entry 101613 201.20 163.20 364.40

53 Entry 107520 201.95 162.00 363.95

54 Entry 100327 204.20 159.50 363.70

55 Entry 105573 212.60 150.80 363.40

56 Entry 106058 205.30 157.80 363.10

57 Entry 111345 198.80 164.30 363.10

58 Entry 102803 197.30 164.10 361.40

59 Entry 101991 212.50 148.80 361.30

60 Entry 109045 188.40 172.90 361.30

61 Entry 102815 168.55 192.50 361.05

62 Entry 108730 201.65 159.25 360.90

63 Entry 103830 200.05 160.70 360.75

64 Entry 102023 178.05 180.90 358.95

65 Entry 108973 166.75 192.10 358.85

66 Entry 102071 172.70 185.70 358.40

67 Entry 100958 200.70 157.60 358.30

68 Entry 102726 195.60 162.00 357.60

69 Entry 109910 189.80 167.80 357.60

70 Entry 110463 177.55 179.30 356.85

71 Entry 104629 192.65 164.10 356.75

72 Entry 107565 191.80 164.90 356.70

73 Entry 101848 195.50 160.50 356.00

74 Entry 108231 199.20 156.70 355.90

75 Entry 109279 185.50 169.90 355.40

76 Entry 101075 178.35 176.80 355.15

77 Entry 108646 185.35 169.60 354.95

78 Entry 105345 206.10 148.20 354.30

79 Entry 107625 190.20 164.10 354.30

80 Entry 102323 182.00 172.20 354.20

81 Entry 100778 191.30 162.70 354.00

82 Entry 108617 191.95 161.50 353.45

83 Entry 108053 191.40 161.80 353.20

84 Entry 107117 205.15 147.90 353.05

85 Entry 102757 207.20 145.70 352.90

86 Entry 101791 197.05 155.80 352.85

87 Entry 100011 206.80 145.40 352.20

88 Entry 100684 174.85 177.20 352.05

89 Entry 100069 176.45 175.40 351.85

90 Entry 103059 198.00 153.70 351.70

91 Entry 101294 193.10 158.50 351.60

92 Entry 102498 190.95 160.20 351.15

93 Entry 104860 177.65 172.90 350.55

94 Entry 100130 174.20 175.90 350.10

95 Entry 108113 195.00 154.10 349.10

96 Entry 109302 182.10 167.00 349.10

97 Entry 103192 194.60 154.40 349.00

98 Entry 104581 192.75 156.20 348.95

99 Entry 107479 167.05 181.70 348.75

100 Entry 102250 204.45 143.60 348.05

101 Entry 108720 183.65 164.40 348.05

102 Entry 108151 176.55 171.10 347.65

103 Entry 105866 185.50 161.95 347.45

104 Entry 108405 203.25 144.10 347.35

105 Entry 107569 198.35 148.90 347.25

106 Entry 106802 186.90 160.00 346.90

107 Entry 108875 186.30 160.60 346.90

108 Entry 103076 177.65 169.20 346.85

109 Entry 100562 193.55 153.20 346.75

110 Entry 107434 181.40 165.30 346.70

111 Entry 107124 187.50 158.80 346.30

112 Entry 105385 166.45 179.50 345.95

113 Entry 103071 201.20 144.00 345.20

114 Entry 106882 180.60 161.90 342.50

115 Entry 108389 176.70 165.60 342.30

116 Entry 104234 182.15 160.10 342.25

117 Entry 102775 181.05 160.30 341.35

118 Entry 102889 179.75 161.60 341.35

119 Entry 107357 175.85 164.70 340.55

120 Entry 104635 177.40 162.60 340.00

121 Entry 101526 187.05 152.50 339.55

122 Entry 105051 171.90 167.10 339.00

123 Entry 100045 191.35 147.30 338.65

124 Entry 104212 168.05 170.40 338.45

125 Entry 102754 187.85 150.50 338.35

126 Entry 102799 175.15 163.00 338.15

127 Entry 100874 181.65 156.40 338.05

128 Entry 104687 184.00 153.80 337.80

129 Entry 105084 211.60 124.90 336.50

130 Entry 102982 195.80 140.60 336.40

131 Entry 108337 153.95 182.40 336.35

132 Entry 102501 190.10 145.90 336.00

133 Entry 101955 193.30 142.60 335.90

134 Entry 105010 167.60 167.80 335.40

135 Entry 106397 184.00 150.50 334.50

136 Entry 103079 194.10 140.20 334.30

137 Entry 102374 183.90 150.40 334.30

138 Entry 106939 194.15 139.60 333.75

139 Entry 105352 187.60 146.10 333.70

140 Entry 108033 197.90 134.50 332.40

141 Entry 103451 190.90 141.30 332.20

142 Entry 106747 156.40 175.80 332.20

143 Entry 101090 182.90 148.30 331.20

144 Entry 107809 185.50 145.50 331.00

145 Entry 104721 178.30 152.20 330.50

146 Entry 100753 150.30 180.20 330.50

147 Entry 105435 175.90 153.80 329.70

148 Entry 101679 171.70 158.00 329.70

149 Entry 103472 165.20 163.80 329.00

150 Entry 102393 178.20 150.60 328.80

151 Entry 103029 173.35 155.20 328.55

152 Entry 101089 176.35 151.90 328.25

153 Entry 105183 166.15 162.10 328.25

154 Entry 105719 180.20 147.30 327.50

155 Entry 104338 176.50 150.60 327.10

156 Entry 106520 174.60 152.00 326.60

157 Entry 100858 199.30 127.20 326.50

158 Entry 106125 179.65 146.60 326.25

159 Entry 103608 177.85 148.30 326.15

160 Entry 100881 186.15 139.80 325.95

161 Entry 103737 158.85 166.90 325.75

162 Entry 107246 156.15 169.60 325.75

163 Entry 103524 175.70 148.70 324.40

164 Entry 105086 170.10 153.50 323.60

165 Entry 105798 159.00 164.50 323.50

166 Entry 102243 169.50 153.70 323.20

167 Entry 102073 140.15 182.10 322.25

168 Entry 105083 183.40 138.80 322.20

169 Entry 101320 159.05 162.80 321.85

170 Entry 102600 168.10 153.20 321.30

171 Entry 100360 155.20 166.10 321.30

172 Entry 108005 167.65 153.40 321.05

173 Entry 102240 148.25 172.60 320.85

174 Entry 100884 187.65 133.00 320.65

175 Entry 100907 142.05 178.00 320.05

176 Entry 109167 147.55 172.20 319.75

177 Entry 106657 185.80 133.80 319.60

178 Entry 103875 169.50 150.00 319.50

179 Entry 103269 159.25 160.10 319.35

180 Entry 104274 164.35 154.90 319.25

181 Entry 104733 182.65 136.40 319.05

182 Entry 105713 206.40 112.50 318.90

183 Entry 107014 164.70 153.30 318.00

184 Entry 100378 187.85 129.60 317.45

185 Entry 105268 177.65 139.80 317.45

186 Entry 101134 173.45 143.50 316.95

187 Entry 101333 191.20 125.50 316.70

188 Entry 108392 179.35 136.00 315.35

189 Entry 108286 168.20 146.90 315.10

190 Entry 100062 175.20 139.50 314.70

191 Entry 105576 174.20 140.40 314.60

192 Entry 102237 169.50 144.50 314.00

193 Entry 101142 166.15 147.60 313.75

194 Entry 107413 160.40 153.00 313.40

195 Entry 107683 179.60 133.70 313.30

196 Entry 105985 158.15 154.90 313.05

197 Entry 100908 168.20 144.60 312.80

198 Entry 107759 162.35 150.30 312.65

199 Entry 106113 167.40 145.10 312.50

200 Entry 110417 169.20 143.20 312.40

201 Entry 105748 159.10 152.00 311.10

202 Entry 108022 170.60 139.40 310.00

203 Entry 103842 192.65 117.30 309.95

204 Entry 106448 171.85 138.10 309.95

205 Entry 109527 152.55 156.40 308.95

206 Entry 103498 166.15 142.20 308.35

207 Entry 100716 165.55 142.80 308.35

208 Entry 104482 161.05 147.00 308.05

209 Entry 103700 164.75 143.20 307.95

210 Entry 100081 165.40 142.10 307.50

211 Entry 102848 168.95 138.30 307.25

212 Entry 100645 159.20 148.00 307.20

213 Entry 101445 157.35 149.60 306.95

214 Entry 104544 165.70 141.10 306.80

215 Entry 101714 168.50 137.60 306.10

216 Entry 100646 159.40 146.50 305.90

217 Entry 104224 146.75 157.80 304.55

218 Entry 108673 136.70 166.60 303.30

219 Entry 100135 165.85 137.00 302.85

220 Entry 111650 150.40 151.55 301.95

221 Entry 103782 145.10 156.00 301.10

222 Entry 100546 171.45 129.40 300.85

223 Entry 108040 170.10 130.50 300.60

224 Entry 106133 142.75 156.70 299.45

225 Entry 105964 132.90 166.20 299.10

226 Entry 104910 147.30 151.70 299.00

227 Entry 105970 151.25 147.60 298.85

228 Entry 104634 172.70 126.10 298.80

229 Entry 106961 168.05 130.20 298.25

230 Entry 110520 152.55 144.30 296.85

231 Entry 104538 135.30 161.00 296.30

232 Entry 107219 159.45 136.10 295.55

233 Entry 101370 158.90 135.90 294.80

234 Entry 107019 171.80 121.70 293.50

235 Entry 109431 142.15 151.20 293.35

236 Entry 100923 142.05 150.80 292.85

237 Entry 108987 132.00 157.20 289.20

238 Entry 105859 148.45 140.60 289.05

239 Entry 104780 146.75 141.80 288.55

240 Entry 101005 172.10 116.10 288.20

241 Entry 105020 144.80 141.70 286.50

242 Entry 110866 155.30 130.60 285.90

243 Entry 102878 143.80 141.90 285.70

244 Entry 100576 164.40 119.00 283.40

245 Entry 105918 144.25 136.70 280.95

246 Entry 110828 141.35 139.20 280.55

247 Entry 110226 134.25 146.00 280.25

248 Entry 100150 113.35 158.70 272.05

249 Entry 105542 141.70 129.70 271.40

250 Entry 110132 126.00 112.60 238.60

 
#6!!

I am just happy the Eagles and my FBG seasons have been extended this long.

Good luck to everyone, these payout structures make me miss tournament poker.

 
Looks like I picked a bad time to have my second-lowest output of the season.

Also looks like I picked a bad time to quit sniffing glue.

 
I would think with all the "sameness" on the rosters it would be less than 100 with a chance.
Every team is unique, so there's always a chance a given team's unique configuration of players goes nuts over the next 2 weeks.
It's pretty much getting to the point that they would need a Bryant type explosion and down weeks fromm the widely held players for that explosion to really make an impact.
Unfortunately those week 14 scores will be all but impossible to overcome if you missed out. Week 14 I was down at 169th, then this week was 3rd overall, but that only moved me up to 65th.That still leaves me over 50 points from the top guys. Oh well, this contest has been a nice added bonus to the regular Fantasy Football leagues. The nearer it got to the end of the season, the more I was paying attention to this contest.Thanks to FBG for doing this contest, and those of you who kept us up to date in this thread! :ptts:
 
I'm in 100th place with 348.0 pts.

But I'm two small money moves away from 5th place. Switch out Nate Washington ($3) for Antonio Bryant ($2) at WR and Utecht ($5) for Carlson ($4) at TE and my score jumps to 407.4......of course I never actually considered either Bryant or Carlson at the beginning of the year, so this really isn't relevant.

I still can't believe Bryant's last two games. Ridiculous.

 

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