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The big difference in this best ball format is the cutoffs, when teams are eliminated week-to-week. The first 5 or 6 weeks, the cut off is surprisingly low. Any decent team advances. I think the worst thing you want to think in this game is, "I am a little shaky week 8 (or 9 or 10), but if I make it past that week, I am golden." Better to have a weak bye week team early.
Doug, thanks for the statistics. Very interesting stuff as always. I have a quick question for you: how many teams have *both* TE Jason Witten (6.7%) *and* TE Tony Gonzalez (2.8%)?? My 2008 strategy is weird, locking up $54 on the TE.Last year I barely missed the money in week 17, and did it with just 1 TE rostered (Scaife). This year, I just fell in love with the strategy of two elite TEs, with the thought of getting great positional advantage and probably getting my flex from the TE as well, with the 1.5 PPR. If they both get 80+ catches, I might make some noise again this season.I'm not sure about that. Marshall is the second-most-taken WR and Smith is the 8th. I think the number of people scared off by the suspensions was balanced (and then some) by the number who were thinking along the same lines as you.The suspensions apparently really cut down on the number of people taking [steve Smith and Brandon Marshall].
The only reasone is because of the much cheaper price tag. It will leave you with more $ to field a solid RB corp come week 10. It is still a risky move that I didn't take.
:X Although that doesn't apply to the best-ball format in general, just this particular "survivor" type contest. Here it is very important to watch the byes, especially the ones later in the season. Unlike a regular fantasy league, you can't afford to have one "bad" week - that's all it takes to get knocked out. (As a non-Warner owner, this is why I'm rooting hard for Leinart to win his job back... There could be a lot of Brees/Warner and Romo/Warner teams falling off the map if Warner isn't still the starter by week 9.
)
Thanks Massraider. I started thinking along those lines getting closer to the deadline. Early on, I had a bunch of players with a week 8 and 10 bye. Would have been dog meat in those weeks. That is also why I may have incorrectly removed Witten from my lineup.
The only problem is that Gonzo costs the same amount as Smith, Cotchery and Marshall (and more than Ward, Mason and Santana Moss). If you count on Witten being the higher producer most weeks, wouldn't you be better off getting one of those WR's for the same money? On a weekly basis, they probably outscore Gonzo. I think you're better off with Smith (or one of the others) and Fasano or Keller as a backup TE than Gonzo and a $2 WR.Doug, thanks for the statistics. Very interesting stuff as always. I have a quick question for you: how many teams have *both* TE Jason Witten (6.7%) *and* TE Tony Gonzalez (2.8%)?? My 2008 strategy is weird, locking up $54 on the TE.Last year I barely missed the money in week 17, and did it with just 1 TE rostered (Scaife). This year, I just fell in love with the strategy of two elite TEs, with the thought of getting great positional advantage and probably getting my flex from the TE as well, with the 1.5 PPR. If they both get 80+ catches, I might make some noise again this season.I'm not sure about that. Marshall is the second-most-taken WR and Smith is the 8th. I think the number of people scared off by the suspensions was balanced (and then some) by the number who were thinking along the same lines as you.The suspensions apparently really cut down on the number of people taking [steve Smith and Brandon Marshall].
Good point. I actually have Cotchery as a WR2 (Fitzgerald, then a bunch of low $ guys -- Walter, Mush, Randel El, Ike Hillard, Breaston).The idea though is that every week I'll get 15-20 points out of the TE spot, if both have good weeks then very likely one ends up a flex. Both guys seem very reliable and unlikely to bust, whereas a guy like Heap/Scheffler might end up being a waste of ~$15. My main RB is Westy (7.3%), along w/ the other popular 3 so i'm clearly very weak at RB. We'll see how it goes!apalmer said:
there's a post by Doug Drinen with the full % breakdown a few pages back, page 6 maybe?
I too used the same strategy. I am another owner who has both Witten and Gonzalez. The last 2 years I got knocked out in the final cutdown week. I hope this year I can make it to the money. Last year I went with 4 starting RB (S.Jackson,Cadillac W.,Marion Barber and Adrian Peterson) and TE Gates. that strategy worked fine, but the money I spent on S. Jackson backfired, I anticipated S. Jackson as being the guy that would seperate me from the pack if I made it to the finals. It didnt happen. This year I am hoping that the TE's carry my team. Only thing that worries me is Witten and Gonzo have the same bye week. Good luck.benbadman said:Doug, thanks for the statistics. Very interesting stuff as always. I have a quick question for you: how many teams have *both* TE Jason Witten (6.7%) *and* TE Tony Gonzalez (2.8%)?? My 2008 strategy is weird, locking up $54 on the TE.Last year I barely missed the money in week 17, and did it with just 1 TE rostered (Scaife). This year, I just fell in love with the strategy of two elite TEs, with the thought of getting great positional advantage and probably getting my flex from the TE as well, with the 1.5 PPR. If they both get 80+ catches, I might make some noise again this season.I'm not sure about that. Marshall is the second-most-taken WR and Smith is the 8th. I think the number of people scared off by the suspensions was balanced (and then some) by the number who were thinking along the same lines as you.The suspensions apparently really cut down on the number of people taking [steve Smith and Brandon Marshall].
Then I guess you have no worries. Witten = bye week 10; Gonzo = bye week 6.I too used the same strategy. I am another owner who has both Witten and Gonzalez. The last 2 years I got knocked out in the final cutdown week. I hope this year I can make it to the money. Last year I went with 4 starting RB (S.Jackson,Cadillac W.,Marion Barber and Adrian Peterson) and TE Gates. that strategy worked fine, but the money I spent on S. Jackson backfired, I anticipated S. Jackson as being the guy that would seperate me from the pack if I made it to the finals. It didnt happen. This year I am hoping that the TE's carry my team. Only thing that worries me is Witten and Gonzo have the same bye week. Good luck.benbadman said:Doug, thanks for the statistics. Very interesting stuff as always. I have a quick question for you: how many teams have *both* TE Jason Witten (6.7%) *and* TE Tony Gonzalez (2.8%)?? My 2008 strategy is weird, locking up $54 on the TE.Last year I barely missed the money in week 17, and did it with just 1 TE rostered (Scaife). This year, I just fell in love with the strategy of two elite TEs, with the thought of getting great positional advantage and probably getting my flex from the TE as well, with the 1.5 PPR. If they both get 80+ catches, I might make some noise again this season.I'm not sure about that. Marshall is the second-most-taken WR and Smith is the 8th. I think the number of people scared off by the suspensions was balanced (and then some) by the number who were thinking along the same lines as you.The suspensions apparently really cut down on the number of people taking [steve Smith and Brandon Marshall].
A correction is in order. I was looking at some ownership percentages of live teams later in the year when I saw things like Welker at 67%.As it turns out, Warner, Slaton, Rice, and Ricky are more
than anyone was last year. Sorry about the earlier erroneous statement.
I think you'll survive the week 1 cut.
I hoping someone had Brady/Marshall/smith/Cooley
Can someone post the link of the software people are referring to to check out stats for this contest?I thought I remember reading somebody post they had something going for updates.Thanks in advance!
what scoring application? would love to see real time.
late games aren't updating yet
Um, while I appreciate the shout out CT, it was not my work. I cannot take credit for that awesome utility.It's Organized Chaos who deserves all the props
Um, while I appreciate the shout out CT, it was not my work. I cannot take credit for that awesome utility.It's Organized Chaos who deserves all the props
-QG
big thankis to you & OC
Um, thanks even though I have no involvement in the enterprise whatsoeverUm, while I appreciate the shout out CT, it was not my work. I cannot take credit for that awesome utility.It's Organized Chaos who deserves all the props
-QG
-QG
Um, while I appreciate the shout out CT, it was not my work. I cannot take credit for that awesome utility.It's Organized Chaos who deserves all the props
-QG
BTW, the scoring/flex issues have all been fixed and should be reflected on your teams..
Nicely done OC, very cool.145 despite missing three of my top four WRs. ADP, Olsen and DJax still to play. Kind of liking my team after Week One anyhow.
I approved anyone in the queue, you should be good to go.
Let's hope they make it through this week.
12,600 I believe.
150 will easily get you through week 1.
unless you're sitting on 100 or so right now, you probably don't have much to worry about...
so am i supposed to add the numbers myself or is it supposed to do it for me? i input my team but the "week 1" column is empty.
Good luck!
