'Dragon1952 said:
I can tell you he won't be easy to grab now. I shot all $100 blind bid dollars at him in one league and lost to a guy with higher WW priority who did the same thing.
And I just had an offer of the 1.07 for Simpson and the 2.07 shot down.
In leagues where Simpson may be available in this years rookie/FA draft, where do you think he'd go? I looked at 6 start-up dynasty's that have been completed this year, and that included 2011 rookies, and he went between 1.5 and 1.6 in two of them, between 1.6 and 1.7 in another, between 1.7 and 1.8 in another, between 1.9 and 1.10 in another, and in the last one he went at 1.13/2.1 in a league that starts 2 QB's (meaning he would have gone a couple earlier if not for the 2 QB rule). So it appears that he's worth the 1.6 - 1.9, at least, based on those 6 drafts. The NFL draft could shake things up a bit of course. BTW, one of my leagues is currently holding the rookie draft and some guy actually offered me the 4.3 rookie pick for Simpson
So evidently not everyone values him the same, or else he thought I was really stupid.
I think that is about fair, but if Hankerson, Cobb, or Baldwin end up with a clear path to PT it's going to be tough to not go with the young gun. Also probably depends on how these backs shake down. There are some potentially good situations for some rookie backs who could earn roles in and some of there value is very hard to gauge now):1 Indy (feature role could be open)
2 Miami (ditto)
3 Cincy
4 seattle
5 washington
6 Giants (feature duties somewhat open, Bradshaw could be FA)
(above could be 1st round rookie picks)
(below have a chance depending on how high of pick, dynasty team need, etc..)
7) Tampa (long term spot, high enough pick could compete for feature duties)
8 Denver (role could be open for RBBC)
9) Arizona (Wells value not high?, Hightower RFA?, spot somewhat up for grabs in short term, with long term upside)
(wild cards)
10 New England (high enough pick could compete for gig)
11 Det (Best has injury history, nobody behind him)
12 Phi (handcuff)
13 Chi (handcuff)
14 Balt (handcuff) Gerhart, Dixon, and others went early 2nd in some leagues
15 St Louis
16 Atlanta (Turner older, Snelling 4 year RFA)
17 Green Bay (would take high pick to compete with Grant/Starks)