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2018 MLB Regular Season Thread! Current thread batting average: .420 (1 Viewer)

If your window is a 4-5 year rebuild, which coincides with Simmons turning 30, and hitting his declining years, why not move him? Especially when you already have Albies in your pipeline.

Also, I'd have to imagine that the value of a player's defensive prowess is at an all time high.

So when are you going to get better value for a guy like Simmons than now?
The concern other teams will have (or should have) is that if he declines defensively even just a little bit, his value takes a huge hit.
No. The only concern other teams should have is where they are now and over the duration of his contract which caps out at $15M in 2020.

Considering the front end of that contract is very friendly, 6m next year / 8m in 2017, it's a no brainier if you're a team in win now mode.

 
Unless, of course, the price is DeGrom or Harvey

According to Joel Sherman of the New York Post, the Mets checked in on the availability of Andrelton Simmons on Thursday morning and were told that it would take Matt Harvey or Jacob deGrom.

:mellow:

 
If your window is a 4-5 year rebuild, which coincides with Simmons turning 30, and hitting his declining years, why not move him? Especially when you already have Albies in your pipeline.

Also, I'd have to imagine that the value of a player's defensive prowess is at an all time high.

So when are you going to get better value for a guy like Simmons than now?
The concern other teams will have (or should have) is that if he declines defensively even just a little bit, his value takes a huge hit.
Simmons is so good defensively that he can lose a bit of range and still be an excellent defender. Ozzie, Vizquel and Belanger were still Gold Glove SS into their mid-30s. Some of that was due to reputation but the limited metrics that exist are still positive. Belanger retained value in spite of smoking like a chimney.

My bigger concern with an aging Simmons would be an increased risk of injury.

 
Limp Ditka said:
Unless, of course, the price is DeGrom or Harvey

According to Joel Sherman of the New York Post, the Mets checked in on the availability of Andrelton Simmons on Thursday morning and were told that it would take Matt Harvey or Jacob deGrom.

:mellow:
If I were the Mets I'd trade Harvey for Simmons in a heartbeat. Harvey's a huge injury risk, he's entering arbitration (will cost more than Simmons after this season if he stays healthy) and is under team control for two fewer years than Simmons. Plus he's a Boras client so he's unlikely to do a pre-FA extension.

 
RnR said:
I'm with LD on this one. If this is a true rebuild job, they may as well explore their options for trading Simmons. Everyone in the league knows that Simmons has a good contract. That only ups his trade value. And given that half of the league should have a legit interest, getting some folks to bid against one another is never a bad thing.
Agree with this. Its the same reason the Phils are said to be shopping Ken Giles. If you have someone who is most valuable in the next 2-3 years and you dont plan to be competitive for 4-5 years, it makes sense to try to sell high and try to get some younger players in return now while you can.

 
Limp Ditka said:
Unless, of course, the price is DeGrom or Harvey

According to Joel Sherman of the New York Post, the Mets checked in on the availability of Andrelton Simmons on Thursday morning and were told that it would take Matt Harvey or Jacob deGrom.

:mellow:
If I were the Mets I'd trade Harvey for Simmons in a heartbeat. Harvey's a huge injury risk, he's entering arbitration (will cost more than Simmons after this season if he stays healthy) and is under team control for two fewer years than Simmons. Plus he's a Boras client so he's unlikely to do a pre-FA extension.
:shrug:

DeGrom's had TJ too. Is he someone less of an injury risk?

 
Eephus said:
pantagrapher said:
Limp Ditka said:
If your window is a 4-5 year rebuild, which coincides with Simmons turning 30, and hitting his declining years, why not move him? Especially when you already have Albies in your pipeline.

Also, I'd have to imagine that the value of a player's defensive prowess is at an all time high.

So when are you going to get better value for a guy like Simmons than now?
The concern other teams will have (or should have) is that if he declines defensively even just a little bit, his value takes a huge hit.
Simmons is so good defensively that he can lose a bit of range and still be an excellent defender. Ozzie, Vizquel and Belanger were still Gold Glove SS into their mid-30s. Some of that was due to reputation but the limited metrics that exist are still positive. Belanger retained value in spite of smoking like a chimney.

My bigger concern with an aging Simmons would be an increased risk of injury.
We're all getting older and increasing our risk of injury.

 
Limp Ditka said:
Unless, of course, the price is DeGrom or Harvey

According to Joel Sherman of the New York Post, the Mets checked in on the availability of Andrelton Simmons on Thursday morning and were told that it would take Matt Harvey or Jacob deGrom.

:mellow:
If I were the Mets I'd trade Harvey for Simmons in a heartbeat. Harvey's a huge injury risk, he's entering arbitration (will cost more than Simmons after this season if he stays healthy) and is under team control for two fewer years than Simmons. Plus he's a Boras client so he's unlikely to do a pre-FA extension.
:shrug:

DeGrom's had TJ too. Is he someone less of an injury risk?
He's significantly less of an injury risk IMO. He's four years removed from the surgery and stayed healthy since. He also had two full seasons to build arm strength before the long season inc playoffs this year.

More importantly, though, he's better than Harvey. And he has much less service time so he's much further from free agency.

There's not a lot of players I'd trade one-for-one for DeGrom. The list for Harvey is significantly longer.

 
RnR said:
I'm with LD on this one. If this is a true rebuild job, they may as well explore their options for trading Simmons. Everyone in the league knows that Simmons has a good contract. That only ups his trade value. And given that half of the league should have a legit interest, getting some folks to bid against one another is never a bad thing.
Agree with this. Its the same reason the Phils are said to be shopping Ken Giles. If you have someone who is most valuable in the next 2-3 years and you dont plan to be competitive for 4-5 years, it makes sense to try to sell high and try to get some younger players in return now while you can.
It's why Oakland shops their players every year.
 
RnR said:
I'm with LD on this one. If this is a true rebuild job, they may as well explore their options for trading Simmons. Everyone in the league knows that Simmons has a good contract. That only ups his trade value. And given that half of the league should have a legit interest, getting some folks to bid against one another is never a bad thing.
Agree with this. Its the same reason the Phils are said to be shopping Ken Giles. If you have someone who is most valuable in the next 2-3 years and you dont plan to be competitive for 4-5 years, it makes sense to try to sell high and try to get some younger players in return now while you can.
It's why Oakland shops their players every year.
I don't think that's true. Beane's never done a multi-year tear-down job, I think he realizes the fact that he needs to allocate Oakland's payroll as efficiently as possible to have a chance. Which means that Oakland's mostly barred from the luxury of having $15-20mm per year players. Tampa's in that same boat. There may be a bigger stadium and more money somewhere in the future, but I don't think anyone's counting on that now.

I also don't think that Beane/Forst ever place a premium value on their own players, which means that nobody's completely/irrationally off-limits, although they might be softening that stance in their repeated, definitive statements that Gray's not getting moved this winter. I mean, certainly there's some hypothetical trade for another young stud(s) that would make sense. But I think the Donaldson debacle stung everybody pretty hard.

 
If Atlanta deals Simmons, I think it would have to be for prospects rather than an established major leaguer like Harvey, Hart's strategy has been to get younger (except for Hector Olivera), cheaper and more flexible so the good people of Cobb County will have a contender to cheer for. The Harvey and Puig rumors are fun to talk about but they are riskier assets than Simmons IMO.

 
Preller trades Joaquin Benoit to Seattle for two low minor leaguers: 2B Nelson Ward and Dominican RHP Enyel De Los Santos. Benoit could have fantasy significance since the Mariners bullpen is kind of a mess.

 
That's a pretty nifty trade for San Diego. I don't know if DiPoto is aware of this whole "free agent market" thing, but there are a lot of older/maybe pretty good relievers there that you don't have to give up prospects for.

 
Neither of the minor leaguers appear to be top prospects. It seems like more of a salary dump by Preller than anything else. Benoit is due to make $7.5M in the final year of a contact signed during the Josh Byrnes administration.

Benoit is 38 but he has been consistently effective. He'll definitely help a shaky Mariners bullpen. The value formulas don't recognize leverage situations and $/IP numbers look bad on paper, but it's hard to win nowadays without a few dependable relievers.

 
Didn't Preller actually pick up Benoit's option in hopes of flipping him for something useful? If so, not much of a haul.

 
Neither of the minor leaguers appear to be top prospects. It seems like more of a salary dump by Preller than anything else. Benoit is due to make $7.5M in the final year of a contact signed during the Josh Byrnes administration.

Benoit is 38 but he has been consistently effective. He'll definitely help a shaky Mariners bullpen. The value formulas don't recognize leverage situations and $/IP numbers look bad on paper, but it's hard to win nowadays without a few dependable relievers.
But why not at least knock on some relievers' doors before you trade for one? Benoit has been pretty dependable, but he's not exactly a purple unicorn. $7.5mm AND two players seems like a lot for Benoit.

 
Speaking of relievers, Gammons says that he's heard from four (!) different people that Chapman will be traded by the end of this weekend. I'm pretty sure someone's going to give up too much, given that he has a year left.

 
According to Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports, Colby Rasmus will accept the Astros' one-year, $15.8 million qualifying offer.

Rasmus would be the first player to accept a qualifying offer under the current system. The 29-year-old hit .238/.314/.475 with 25 homers and 61 RBI last season with the Astros. As teams have gotten more liberal with qualifying offers this was bound to happen eventually.

 
The funny thing about Rasmus (other than his scraggly hair) is that the Astros really don't need him that much. They have Springer, Gomez, Preston Tucker, Marisnick and guys like Grossman and LJ Hoes who are fungible OF5 options.

Rasmus is decent, especially if his 2015 improvement against LHP is legitimate but $15.8M is almost a 100% raise. I don't think he's much of a trade asset at that salary.

 
The funny thing about Rasmus (other than his scraggly hair) is that the Astros really don't need him that much. They have Springer, Gomez, Preston Tucker, Marisnick and guys like Grossman and LJ Hoes who are fungible OF5 options.

Rasmus is decent, especially if his 2015 improvement against LHP is legitimate but $15.8M is almost a 100% raise. I don't think he's much of a trade asset at that salary.
Note to self: That's going to be a ##### of a situation for fantasy baseball purposes.

 
Limp Ditka said:
Unless, of course, the price is DeGrom or Harvey

According to Joel Sherman of the New York Post, the Mets checked in on the availability of Andrelton Simmons on Thursday morning and were told that it would take Matt Harvey or Jacob deGrom.

:mellow:
If I were the Mets I'd trade Harvey for Simmons in a heartbeat. Harvey's a huge injury risk, he's entering arbitration (will cost more than Simmons after this season if he stays healthy) and is under team control for two fewer years than Simmons. Plus he's a Boras client so he's unlikely to do a pre-FA extension.
well you've been proven to be an idiot many times before
 
Looks like the Anaheims are giving up Erick Aybar and two top minor league pitching prospects. Sean Newcomb and Chris Ellis were both 2014 draft picks out of college (1st and 3rd round respectively). Both made it as far as the AA Texas League in their first full seasons but they look like they struggled with command. Newcomb is a lefty and is higher on most prospects lists but Ellis' Cal League numbers were more impressive.

 
Guess the Angels feel they need to keep going all in with Trout. Interesting to give up the long term upside along with the decent Aybar, but that's one helluva glove they acquired.

 
Olney says execs from other teams are about to coming calling on the Braves for Aybar. They may get more prospects out of this than at first glance.

 
Limp Ditka said:
Unless, of course, the price is DeGrom or Harvey

According to Joel Sherman of the New York Post, the Mets checked in on the availability of Andrelton Simmons on Thursday morning and were told that it would take Matt Harvey or Jacob deGrom.

:mellow:
If I were the Mets I'd trade Harvey for Simmons in a heartbeat. Harvey's a huge injury risk, he's entering arbitration (will cost more than Simmons after this season if he stays healthy) and is under team control for two fewer years than Simmons. Plus he's a Boras client so he's unlikely to do a pre-FA extension.
No way. Someone like Bogaerts, or Russell, yes, but Simmons really can't hit, and his contract will stop being a bargain soon. I'm also not seeing Harvey as an injury risk.

I do agree, though, that it's more likely that Harvey gets traded than he stays through 2018.

 
Limp Ditka said:
Unless, of course, the price is DeGrom or Harvey

According to Joel Sherman of the New York Post, the Mets checked in on the availability of Andrelton Simmons on Thursday morning and were told that it would take Matt Harvey or Jacob deGrom.

:mellow:
If I were the Mets I'd trade Harvey for Simmons in a heartbeat. Harvey's a huge injury risk, he's entering arbitration (will cost more than Simmons after this season if he stays healthy) and is under team control for two fewer years than Simmons. Plus he's a Boras client so he's unlikely to do a pre-FA extension.
well you've been proven to be an idiot many times before
:lmao: gold coming from you Mr shady

 
Limp Ditka said:
If your window is a 4-5 year rebuild, which coincides with Simmons turning 30, and hitting his declining years, why not move him? Especially when you already have Albies in your pipeline.

Also, I'd have to imagine that the value of a player's defensive prowess is at an all time high.

So when are you going to get better value for a guy like Simmons than now?
It certainly makes sense from a baseball perspective, but it might not make sense from a business perspective. Really gutting the team and putting out awful teams can seriously diminish your fanbase.

 
It's the Braves so who cares but it was only two years ago that the club won 96 games behind an enviable collection of young talent. Simmons, Heyward, Freeman, Upton, Gattis, Medlen, Tehran, Minor, Kimbrel, Carpenter, Avilan. Granted it's hard to keep a team intact these days but they really reached for the self-destruct button quickly. They have a bad TV deal and they've poisoned the well at Turner Field. I guess we'll all see if the reboot works as planned but it'll take scouting, development and luck to assemble as much talent as they've dealt away in the past couple of seasons.

 
dparker713 said:
Limp Ditka said:
If your window is a 4-5 year rebuild, which coincides with Simmons turning 30, and hitting his declining years, why not move him? Especially when you already have Albies in your pipeline.

Also, I'd have to imagine that the value of a player's defensive prowess is at an all time high.

So when are you going to get better value for a guy like Simmons than now?
It certainly makes sense from a baseball perspective, but it might not make sense from a business perspective. Really gutting the team and putting out awful teams can seriously diminish your fanbase.
I think fans are more resilient these days, especially now that the template is out there. A couple years of 100 L seasons for a team that's had so much success for so long will just build anticipation for when the pieces start coming together. People will complain. The baseball will be ugly. But it's better than trying to plug holes in a sinking ship.

Sincerely,

A Cubs fan

 
On the Simmons trade, the sports talk here is ripping it but I don't really mind. Copollela brought Kiley McDaniel from fangraphs over and I think they're making smart and calculated decisions. Some fans are mad because Simmons was a fan favorite, but there will be new fan favorites in time. I think the decisions they've made (except maybe the Olivera deal) will all make this team much better in a few years. I get that there are a lot of names that have come and gone, but those names couldn't get us a wildcard spot, let alone anything better than that.

 
The Braves are stockpiling young arms which is inherently high risk. Some will flame out in the minors, some will get hurt and others will top out as Jo Jo Reyes or Jeff Locke. If one of the guys coming from Anaheim turns into a top of the rotation starter, the trade will be a win but that's far from a sure thing.

The oddest thing to me is that the haul the Braves got seems like something you'd get in a deadline deal for a short-term rental, not a 3-4 win player tied to a below market contract for the next five years.

 
On the Simmons trade, the sports talk here is ripping it but I don't really mind. Copollela brought Kiley McDaniel from fangraphs over and I think they're making smart and calculated decisions. Some fans are mad because Simmons was a fan favorite, but there will be new fan favorites in time. I think the decisions they've made (except maybe the Olivera deal) will all make this team much better in a few years. I get that there are a lot of names that have come and gone, but those names couldn't get us a wildcard spot, let alone anything better than that.
I would get that thinking if Simmons had 1-2 years left, but the Braves had him on a great deal through the end of the decade. Maybe 6 years of control of Newcomb is better than two years of control of Simmons, but it certainly isn't better than 5.

Newcomb seems like a big gamble, given his lack of control in spite of great stuff. I don't think anyone has the magic formula to figure out who's going to be Kershaw, and who's going to be Brien Taylor, or whatever other bust you wanna pick.

 
The Braves are stockpiling young arms which is inherently high risk. Some will flame out in the minors, some will get hurt and others will top out as Jo Jo Reyes or Jeff Locke. If one of the guys coming from Anaheim turns into a top of the rotation starter, the trade will be a win but that's far from a sure thing.

The oddest thing to me is that the haul the Braves got seems like something you'd get in a deadline deal for a short-term rental, not a 3-4 win player tied to a below market contract for the next five years.
Is there a definitive study on stockpiling pitching prospects vs. trading them and which ultimately yields more MLB value? The original TINSTAAP stuff makes me think the proper thing to do is trade them all, but I'll admit I have some bias as a Jays fan.

 
FOX Sports' Ken Rosenthal reports that Brett Anderson "is still undecided" on whether to accept the Dodgers' $15.8 million qualifying offer.

Man if I were Anderson with his injury history I would be all over that offer.

 
FOX Sports' Ken Rosenthal reports that Brett Anderson "is still undecided" on whether to accept the Dodgers' $15.8 million qualifying offer.

Man if I were Anderson with his injury history I would be all over that offer.
Sounds like he took your advice. Olney reported he has accepted the offer.

 
Matt Wieters also accepts QO from Baltimore. That one surprises me a little. Though with a healthy season he's probably set up for a nice paycheck in 2017.

 

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